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伊朗或暂不封锁霍尔木兹海峡,美股三大股指高开,原油、黄金转跌,比特币站上10.7万美元
news flash· 2025-06-16 13:37
美股三大股指高开,道指涨0.48%,标普500指数涨0.56%,纳指涨0.7%。美国钢铁涨约5%,特朗普批 准美国钢铁与日本制铁之间的合作伙伴关系。热门中概股普涨,纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨超2%,哔哩 哔哩涨5.8%,小鹏汽车涨3.4%。 ...
美元重挫10%!贬值潮将至?历史重演!美元资产怎么办?普通人如何应对?
美投讲美股· 2025-06-15 01:51
Market Analysis & Trends - The U_S stock market has recovered from a previous flash crash, but the dollar index has fallen to a new low since 2022 [1] - The dollar index (DXY) measures the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies, with the Euro having the largest weighting at 575% [1] - Since early 2025, the dollar index has been declining, reaching its lowest level since 2022 [1] Factors Influencing the Dollar - Dollar's value is determined by supply and demand, with supply factors including the U_S trade deficit, Federal Reserve monetary policy, and U_S fiscal deficit [1] - Demand for dollars is influenced by international trade settlement, central bank foreign exchange reserves, and investment in dollar assets [1] - Short-term dollar trends are primarily influenced by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the U_S government's fiscal deficit [1] Recent Dollar Depreciation - The dollar's strength in 2024 was driven by Trump's policies, but it weakened in early 2025 due to concerns about trade protectionism and fiscal policies [2] - Market concerns about U_S governance and institutional issues are eroding foreign investors' confidence in dollar assets [2] - Some countries are reducing their reliance on the dollar [2] Future Dollar Trends - The report suggests that a complete collapse of dollar hegemony is unlikely in the foreseeable future [2] - Short-term dollar trends will be heavily influenced by Trump's policies, with potential for continued downward pressure due to trade and fiscal uncertainties [2] - The U_S economy remains strong, with positive economic data and a relatively hawkish Federal Reserve compared to other central banks [3] Investment Strategy - The author believes that the dollar's depreciation pressure may be nearing its end, with potential for appreciation due to economic fundamentals and policy factors [3] - The author suggests that long-term investors should focus on the U_S's economic fundamentals and technological advancements rather than short-term policy risks [3] - The author maintains a long-term positive outlook on U_S equities and dollar assets, particularly for investors in developing countries [3]
美股低开低走,三大指数均跌超1%。道指跌1.79%,纳指跌1.3%,标普500指数跌1.13%。
news flash· 2025-06-13 20:01
美股低开低走,三大指数均跌超1%。道指跌1.79%,纳指跌1.3%,标普500指数跌1.13%。 ...
刘刚:“对等关税”后的全球市场2025下半年投资机会前瞻
2025-05-30 16:09
Summary of Conference Call Minutes Industry or Company Involved - Focus on the global market impact of the "reciprocal tariff" policy Core Points and Arguments - The recent tariff reduction from 145% to 10% exceeded expectations, alleviating short-term market concerns, but medium to long-term risks related to trade restrictions need monitoring, particularly around key dates in July and August [1][2] - The U.S. effective tax rate has decreased to 16-17%, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics [2] - The performance of U.S. stocks, particularly in the tech sector, has rebounded quickly, suggesting that previous recession fears may have been overstated [4] - The current market is characterized by limited upward momentum and constrained downside potential, indicating a state of indecision [2] - The liquidity shock is viewed as an occasional event that presents buying opportunities, with central bank interventions typically proving effective [4] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The recommendation to focus on sectors with strong end-demand and technology innovation, while also capitalizing on short-term trading opportunities in Hong Kong stocks [1] - The expectation that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate will decline to 3.5-4% by year-end, with the Federal Reserve potentially lowering rates 1-2 times in Q4 [4] - The suggestion to wait for U.S. Treasury yields to rise to 4.8-5% before making long positions, as the current yield of 4.5% is deemed unattractive [5][8] - The impact of tariff adjustments on China's market is projected to reduce GDP influence from 3% to 1-1.5%, with Hong Kong's earnings being less affected than A-shares [7][9] - Recommendations for gold investment strategies include dollar-cost averaging or grid trading, given the high levels of market congestion [6][9]
美股持续上扬,标普500指数涨幅扩大至2%、纳指涨2.45%、道指涨1.64%。特斯拉(TSLA.O)现涨近7%。
news flash· 2025-05-27 17:56
美股持续上扬,标普500指数涨幅扩大至2%、纳指涨2.45%、道指涨1.64%。特斯拉(TSLA.O)现涨近 7%。 ...