以下文章来源于凤凰网财经 ，作者风暴眼 凤凰网财经 . 你好，我们是凤凰网财经，全球华人都在看的财经公众号，传播最有价值的财经报道，你值得关注！欢 迎访问：http://finance.ifeng.com/ 输血游戏终究难以为继。 作者： 风暴眼 来源：凤凰网财经 英皇国际股价当日一度暴跌超 15% ，尽管尾盘跌幅收窄至 11.76% ，但市值已缩水至仅 11.58 亿港元，这一数字甚至不足其债务总额的零头。 更具连锁效应的是英皇系个股的集体重挫。 截至港股收盘，英皇钟表珠宝跌 8.33% ，英皇娱乐酒店跌 5.26% ，英皇资本暴跌 18.18% ，英皇文化产业，跌幅亦达 14.89% ，整个资本版图在市场的寒意中震荡不已。 这里插播一条课程资讯： 报名 黑马 「消费重构精选课」， 国内首场，汇聚中日消费领域顶尖实战派导师 ， 用 3天时 间沉浸式拆解中日消费巨头方法论。 我们邀请到了日本企业家 三浦展本人、 萨莉亚前社长、明治食品"爆款教父" ，现场面授 日 本30年周期经验到中国本土化路径 ， 教你效率革命、需求重构、资本破局。 扫码咨询报名 （翻到底部了解详情） 01 6 月 30 日，一则核数师"非 ...

Core Points - The "Big Beautiful Plan" represents a significant fiscal expansion gamble by the U.S. government, aiming to stimulate economic growth through a combination of tax cuts, increased spending, welfare cuts, and borrowing [2][5] - The plan includes unprecedented tax cuts totaling $3.8 trillion over ten years, directly benefiting businesses and households, particularly targeting Trump's core supporters [5] - The plan also proposes a substantial increase in defense and border security spending, amounting to $144 billion over ten years, with $80 billion allocated specifically for combating illegal immigration [5] - Many social welfare programs are set to be cut, including Medicaid, student loan subsidies, and food stamps, reflecting a strategy to appeal to Republican supporters [5] - The plan raises the U.S. debt ceiling by $4 trillion, creating concerns about future fiscal deficits and potential economic instability [5][6] Financial Implications - Wall Street has expressed caution regarding the plan, with concerns that its risks outweigh potential benefits, estimating a total cost of $2.3 trillion against projected revenues of only $1.028 billion [8] - Analysts from Morgan Stanley warn that the plan could lead to a significant depreciation of the dollar, threatening its status as the global reserve currency [8] Global Economic Impact - The plan is expected to resonate globally, as it coincides with simultaneous monetary and fiscal stimulus measures in Europe and China, potentially leading to a new round of economic recovery [9][10] - China's central bank is likely to adjust its monetary policy in response to the U.S. actions, focusing on stimulating domestic consumption and economic growth through fiscal measures [10] Conclusion - The "Big Beautiful Plan" is not merely an economic policy but a gamble that could significantly impact both the U.S. and global economies, ushering in a period of uncertainty and challenges [12]

Group 1 - The "Big and Beautiful" Act is expected to increase the U.S. deficit by over $3 trillion in the next 10 years and reduce tax revenue significantly, raising concerns about a potential debt crisis [3][4] - The Act includes a permanent tax cut from 2017, substantial cuts to Medicaid, and a one-time increase in the debt ceiling by $5 trillion, which will worsen the fiscal outlook for the U.S. [4][5] - The Act is seen as benefiting certain industries, including fossil fuel companies, semiconductor manufacturers, and defense contractors, while negatively impacting the renewable energy sector [6][6][6] Group 2 - The Act allows for new oil and gas lease auctions in federal lands and waters, restoring lower royalty rates and increasing subsidies for carbon capture projects [6] - Tax credits for semiconductor manufacturers will increase from 25% to 35%, incentivizing domestic production of key technologies [6] - The Pentagon plans to allocate approximately $150 billion over five years for large projects, which may benefit companies like Lockheed Martin and Palantir Technologies [6]

以下文章来源于凤凰网财经 ，作者风暴眼 凤凰网财经 . 你好，我们是凤凰网财经，全球华人都在看的财经公众号，传播最有价值的财经报道，你值得关注！欢 迎访问：http://finance.ifeng.com/ 将投中网设为"星标⭐"，第一时间收获最新推送 整个资本版图在市场的寒意中震荡不已。 作者丨 风暴眼 来源丨 凤凰网财经 6 月 30 日，一则核数师"非标报"引爆香江。 香港大佬杨受成旗下英皇国际 166 亿港元银行借贷逾期，德勤对其持续经营能力亮出红灯，"可能 对其持续经营能力构成重大疑问"。 利空消息迅速引发市场剧烈反应，投资者用脚投票。 英皇国际股价当日一度暴跌超 15% ，尽管尾盘跌幅收窄至 11.76% ，但市值已缩水至仅 11.58 亿港元，这一数字甚至不足其债务总额的零头。 更具连锁效应的是英皇系个股的集体重挫。 截至港股收盘，英皇钟表珠宝跌 8.33% ，英皇娱乐酒店跌 5.26% ，英皇资本暴跌 18.18% ，英 皇文化产业，跌幅亦达 14.89% ，整个资本版图在市场的寒意中震荡不已。 亏损扩大一倍多 这场风暴的导火索，源于英皇国际的 2025 财年业绩公告。 财报里藏着两个平行世界 ...

Core Points - The article discusses the intense political struggle within the Republican Party regarding President Trump's proposed "Great America" economic bill, highlighting the potential loss of support from core MAGA voters if the bill is rejected [1][2] - The bill, which includes tax cuts, spending cuts, immigration control, and energy policy adjustments, is projected to increase U.S. national debt by $3.4 trillion over the next decade, pushing federal debt beyond $36.2 trillion [1][2] Summary by Sections Legislative Controversy - The bill extends the 2017 tax cuts, reduces Medicaid and food security spending, adds budget for border control, and eliminates several renewable energy subsidies [2] - It also proposes raising the debt ceiling by $5 trillion, necessitating a new agreement in Congress to avoid a sovereign debt default [2] - The Senate passed the bill with a narrow margin, but the House vote remains uncertain, complicating Trump's legislative timeline [2] Political Dynamics - Trump's social media pressure on Republican lawmakers reflects anxiety over moderates within the party, especially regarding Medicaid cuts that have faced backlash [2][3] - Democrats have criticized the bill, claiming it could lead to approximately 10 million low-income individuals losing health insurance and that 83% of tax benefits would go to the wealthiest 1% [2] - The current deadlock reveals deep divisions within the Republican Party, with fiscal conservatives and populists at odds, testing party unity and the future fiscal direction of the U.S. [3]

以下文章来源于凤凰网财经 ，作者风暴眼 凤凰网财经 . 你好，我们是凤凰网财经，全球华人都在看的财经公众号，传播最有价值的财经报道，你值得关注！欢 迎访问：http://finance.ifeng.com/ 6月30日，一则核数师"非标报"引爆香江。 香港大佬杨受成旗下英皇国际166亿港元银行借贷逾期，德勤对其持续经营能力亮出红灯，"可能对其持续 经营能力构成重大疑问"。 利空消息迅速引发市场剧烈反应，投资者用脚投票。 英皇国际股价当日一度暴跌超15%，尽管尾盘跌幅收窄至11.76%，但市值已缩水至仅11.58 亿港元，这一数 字甚至不足其债务总额的零头。 更具连锁效应的是英皇系个股的集体重挫。 截至港股收盘，英皇钟表珠宝跌8.33%，英皇娱乐酒店跌5.26%，英皇资本暴跌18.18%，英皇文化产业，跌 幅亦达 14.89%，整个资本版图在市场的寒意中震荡不已。 而英皇国际债务危机爆发的本质与近几年杨受成的战略方向有关。 01 亏损扩大一倍多 这场风暴的导火索，源于英皇国际的2025财年业绩公告。 财报里藏着两个平行世界。报告期内，公司总收入同比增长41.5%至13.76亿港元。但连同来自不再持续经营 业务， ...

以下文章来源于凤凰网财经 ，作者风暴眼 凤凰网财经 . 82岁的杨受成， 再次站在了命运的悬崖边。 文 ｜ 风暴眼 来源｜ 凤凰网财经（ID：finance_ifeng） 封面来源 ｜ IC photo 6月30日，一则核数师"非标报"引爆香江。 香港大佬杨受成旗下英皇国际166亿港元银行借贷逾期，德勤对其持续经营能力亮出红灯，"可能对其持续经营能力构成重大疑问"。 利空消息迅速引发市场剧烈反应，投资者用脚投票。 更具连锁效应的是英皇系个股的集体重挫。 截至港股收盘，英皇钟表珠宝跌8.33%，英皇娱乐酒店跌5.26%，英皇资本暴跌18.18%，英皇文化产业，跌幅亦达14.89%，整个资本版图在市场的寒意中 震荡不已。 亏损扩大一倍多 这场风暴的导火索，源于英皇国际的2025财年业绩公告。 你好，我们是凤凰网财经，全球华人都在看的财经公众号，传播最有价值的财经报道，你值得关注！欢迎访问：http://finance.ifeng.com/ 财报里藏着两个平行世界。报告期内，公司总收入同比增长41.5%至13.76亿港元。但连同来自不再持续经营业务，年度亏损由上财年的20.47亿港元扩至 47.43亿港元。 业务板 ...

Group 1 - The likelihood of a dollar collapse in the short term is low due to the continued dominance of the dollar as a global reserve currency, accounting for approximately 58% of reserves and trade settlements [1] - The recent legislation increases the debt ceiling by $5 trillion, temporarily averting a debt default and maintaining market confidence in U.S. Treasury liquidity [1] - The Federal Reserve has effective tools to stabilize the currency if a dollar crisis arises, including interest rate hikes and balance sheet adjustments [2] Group 2 - Long-term systemic risks are evident, with a rising interest burden on national debt, which reached $684.1 billion in interest payments in the first seven months of the fiscal year 2025, becoming the second-largest fiscal expenditure [2] - Moody's predicts that if current policies remain unchanged, the national debt-to-GDP ratio could rise to 134% by 2035, up from the current 98%, squeezing essential spending on defense and social security [2] - The dollar's credibility is increasingly undermined, as the dollar index has fallen to its lowest level since February 2022, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability [3] Group 3 - The economic structure is becoming more polarized, with the wealthiest households seeing a 4.3% increase in after-tax income, while the bottom 20% only see a 0.6% increase [4] - The legislation is expected to result in 12 million people losing health insurance and an increase of $1,060 in annual mortgage interest, which could weaken consumer spending and hinder economic growth [4] Group 4 - Warning signals for a potential collapse include significant sell-offs of U.S. Treasuries by sovereign funds, an inversion of inflation and interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts accelerating the de-dollarization process [5] - The debate surrounding the legislation highlights conflicting viewpoints, with some arguing it could lead to a debt crisis, while others believe it may stimulate economic growth [6] Group 5 - While a collapse is not inevitable, systemic risks are increasing, with the legislation likely to accelerate a threefold crisis involving debt, trust, and social issues [7] - Key observation points include the outcome of the House's second vote, the potential for 10-year Treasury yields to exceed 5.5%, and changes in the proportion of U.S. Treasuries in foreign central banks' reserves [7]

6 月 30 日，一则核数师"非标报"引爆香江。 香港大佬杨受成旗下英皇国际 166 亿港元银行借贷逾期，德勤对其持续经营能力亮出红，"可能对其持续经营能力构成重 大"。 利空消息迅速引发市场剧烈反应，投资者用脚投票。 英皇国际股价当日一度暴跌超 15% ，尽管尾盘跌幅收窄至 11.76% ，但市值已缩水至仅 11.58 亿港元，这一数字甚至不足 其债务总额的零头。 更具连锁效应的是英皇系个股的集体重挫。 截至港股收盘，英皇钟表珠宝跌 8.33% ，英皇娱乐酒店跌 5.26% ，英皇资本暴跌 18.18% ，英皇文化产业，跌幅亦达 14.89% ，整个资本版图在市场的寒意中震荡不已。 01 亏损扩大一倍多 这场风暴的导火索，源于英皇国际的 2025 财年业绩公告。 财报里藏着两个平行世界。报告期内，公司总收入同比增长 41.5% 至 13.76 亿港元。但连同来自不再持续经营业务，年度 亏损由上财年的 20.47 亿港元扩至 47.43 亿港元。 业务板块的表现也呈现出极端分化态势。住宅销售端，屯门澄天等项目带动物业销售暴涨 352% ；不过，收租业务"跌入冰 窖"，写字楼空置率飙升致租金收入缩水 11.6% ...

这场由美债引发的风暴，正在全球市场掀起一场腥风血雨。 中国不再试探，果断抽走一张关键筹码，让美国措手不及。 金融圈震动，军工体系也感受到了冲击。 原本想趁机抢回主动权的盟友，一着不慎，反而打乱了自己的节奏。 6月的华尔街，注定不平静。 10年期美债收益率突然暴涨，一周之内飙高50个 基点，直接冲到4.49%，创下2003年以来最大单周涨幅。 别看这只是一个数字变化，对投资市场来说，这意味着大规模的抛售正在发生。 美债价格雪崩，全球资金连夜逃离。 当美元再也撑不起信心，美债还撑得起全球秩序吗？ 日本逆势增持了一些，英国也跳出来当接盘侠。 一口气加仓284亿美元，一举超过中国，成了美债第二大持有国。 但最让市场紧张的，是中国与加拿大的行动。 中国连续两个月减持美债，4月的持仓降到7570亿美元，创下16年来的新低。 相比十年前巅峰时期1.3万亿美元的持仓，如今已经砍去四成多。 与此同时，加拿大更是干脆，直接一次性甩卖578亿美元，几乎是拔腿就跑。 这一波大规模抛售，与特朗普的一纸关税新政直接挂钩。 4月10日，美国政府宣布对中国产品加征高达125%的关税。 不仅中国，连欧洲盟友也吃了一记闷棍。 特朗普口口声声说是 ...