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山东首发136号文细化方案,攻守兼备破局新能源入市
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-11 13:55
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Buy" [4] Core Viewpoints - The Shandong 136 document details a balanced approach to the entry of new energy into the market, providing stability for existing projects while enhancing competition for new projects [3][12][13] - For existing projects, the mechanism price is set at a cap of 0.3949 CNY/kWh (including tax), which aligns with the coal benchmark price in Shandong [13] - For new projects, a bidding capacity requirement of 125% is established, which increases competitive pressure and accelerates the exit of high-cost projects, pushing for efficiency and cost reduction in new energy projects [3][12][13] - The report recommends focusing on green power operators with a higher proportion of existing projects and better short-term revenue certainty, as well as high-quality flexible power sources like thermal and hydropower [3][12][13] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The Shandong 136 document was released on May 7, detailing the market-oriented reform implementation plan for new energy pricing [13] - The coal price has dropped to 643 CNY/ton [14] - The inflow and outflow of the Three Gorges reservoir have decreased by 17.39% and 47.66% year-on-year, respectively [36] - Silicon material prices have decreased to 39 CNY/kg, and mainstream silicon wafer prices have dropped to 1.18 CNY/unit [50] - The national carbon market trading price has decreased by 2.24% this week [60] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3342.00 points, up 1.92%, while the CSI 300 Index closed at 3846.16 points, up 2.00% [65] - The CITIC Power and Utilities Index closed at 2904.26 points, up 2.04%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.04 percentage points [65] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - Zhejiang Energy Power (600023.SH) - Buy - Anhui Energy Power (000543.SZ) - Buy - Guodian Power (600795.SH) - Buy - Huaneng International (600011.SH) - Buy - New Energy (688501.SH) - Buy - New Tian Green Energy (600956.SH) - Buy [8]
电力及公用事业行业周报(25WK19):山东机制电价与燃煤标杆一致,深化电力市场改革
Minsheng Securities· 2025-05-11 12:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for companies such as China Nuclear Power, Funiu Co., and Huaneng Hydropower, while giving a "Cautious Recommendation" to companies like China General Nuclear Power and Longyuan Power [23][3]. Core Insights - The electricity sector outperformed the market this week, with the public utility sector rising by 2.22% and the electricity sub-sector by 2.21%, both exceeding the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [1][7]. - Shandong Province has established a mechanism electricity price that aligns with the benchmark price for coal-fired power, which is expected to stabilize investment returns for renewable energy projects [2][24]. - The report highlights the significant drop in coal prices, which has led to steady growth in thermal power performance in Q1, with expectations for continued improvement as the peak electricity consumption season approaches [3][20]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The public utility sector index closed at 2,377.21 points, up 51.64 points, while the electricity sub-sector closed at 3,171.91 points, up 68.52 points [1][7]. - The sub-sectors showed varied performance, with solar power up 4.01%, thermal power up 4.00%, and wind power up 1.78% [12][19]. Special Topic - Shandong's new pricing mechanism for renewable energy projects is set at 0.3949 yuan per kWh, matching the coal-fired benchmark price, which is expected to mitigate revenue volatility for existing projects [2][24]. - The competitive bidding for new renewable projects starting from June 1, 2025, will determine the mechanism price, enhancing investment predictability [2][24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong growth potential in the thermal and hydropower sectors, particularly Funiu Co., Gansu Energy, and Huaneng International [3][20]. - It also emphasizes the stability of large hydropower companies in a declining interest rate environment, recommending companies like Yangtze Power and Chuanwei Energy [3][20]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for several companies, with China Nuclear Power expected to have an EPS of 0.46 yuan in 2024, while Funiu Co. is projected at 1.07 yuan [23][3].
公用事业—电力天然气周报:山东省出台首份136号省级承接文件,欧盟计划2027年终止进口俄能源
Xinda Securities· 2025-05-11 07:35
山东省出台首份 136 号省级承接文件,欧盟计划 2027 年终止进口俄能源 【】【】[Table_Industry] 公用事业—电力天然气周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 10 日 15666646523.tcy 证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 公用事业 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 [左前明 Table_Author] 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮 箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 李春驰 电力公用联席首席分析师 执业编号:S1500522070001 联系电话:010-83326723 邮 箱:lichunchi@cindasc.com 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 化工行业: 执业编号:S1500524080001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮 箱:xingqinhao@cindasc.com 唐婵玉 电力公用研究助理 邮 箱:tangchanyu@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限 ...
粤电力A(000539) - 000539粤电力A投资者关系管理信息20250509
2025-05-09 09:34
证券代码:000539、200539 证券简称:粤电力 A、粤电力 B 目前公司在建煤电装机 800 万千瓦,其中 2025 年内预计投产约 400-500 万千瓦,其余预计在 2026-2027 年投产;在建气电装机 194.2 万 千瓦,预计在 2026 年投产;在建新能源项目合计装机容量约 207.9 万千 瓦,完成决策拟建及签订收购协议的项目 278.5 万千瓦,其中 2025 年内 预计投产约 200 万千瓦。上述项目实际投产时间可能根据建设情况而有所 调整。 1 中双边协商成交电量 3,310.08 亿千瓦时,成交均价 391.87 元/千千瓦时(含 税,下同),同比上年下降 73.77 元/千千瓦时。 问题二:公司一季度经营业绩情况? 2025 年广东电力市场竞争加剧,年度双边协商交易成交均价大幅下 降;公司下属电厂一季度检修较多,沿海地区海风强度同比减弱等因素影 响公司上网电量同比下降 10%。尽管燃煤价格有所回落,但不足以弥补公 司营业收入下降带来的不利影响,公司发电毛利下降,导致公司第一季度 业绩同比出现亏损。 问题三:公司未来项目建设投运节奏? 广东电力发展股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录 ...
政策红利释放,协鑫能科向“绿”而行
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the potential rapid development of new energy companies like GCL-Poly Energy Technology Co., Ltd. (协鑫能科) due to the gradual advancement of electricity marketization and the re-evaluation of green electricity value driven by new policies [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued guidelines to achieve nationwide electricity spot market coverage by the end of 2025, which will support the marketization of green electricity [1] - The comprehensive revenue of green electricity is expected to stabilize as the positive externalities of its "green" nature and the negative externalities of its volatility are reflected through market mechanisms [1] Group 2 - As of March 31, 2025, GCL-Poly's total installed capacity reached 5,978.01 MW, with renewable energy accounting for 58.23% of the total generation capacity [2] - The company is actively advancing in trading services, with a virtual power plant load of approximately 550 MW in Jiangsu Province, representing about 30% of the province's actual adjustable load [2] - GCL-Poly participated in market transactions totaling 59.74 billion kWh in electricity, including 1.33 million kWh in green electricity transactions [2] Group 3 - Looking ahead, GCL-Poly aims to become a leading green energy service provider in China by optimizing its asset structure and expanding its operational management scale [3] - The company plans to enhance customer loyalty by focusing on high-quality commercial clients in economically developed regions and developing energy service businesses [3] - With strong business foundations and clear strategic planning, GCL-Poly is making significant strides towards becoming a green energy service provider, supported by national electricity market construction policies [3]
政策解读 | ​电力辅助服务市场顶层设计落地 全国统一电力市场增添“稳定器”
国家能源局· 2025-05-08 07:05
电力辅助服务市场顶层设计落地 全国统一电力市场增添"稳定器" 近日,国家发展改革委、国家能源局联合印发《电力辅助服务市场基本规则》(发改能源规 〔2025〕411号)(以下简称《规则》),按照"谁提供、谁获利,谁受益、谁承担"原则,优化了 电力辅助服务市场价格形成机制,健全了电力辅助服务费用传导机制,构建了统一规范的电力辅助 服务市场体系。《规则》的出台对于推动全国统一电力市场建设、提升新能源消纳利用水平、加快 培育电力领域新质生产力等方面具有重大意义和深远影响。 一、 积极推动全国统一电力市场建设 一是为全国统一电力市场体系建设奠定制度基础。 我国电力辅助服务市场历经了无偿服务(2006 年前)、计划补偿(2006-2014年)和市场化探索(2014年至今)三个发展阶段。 近年来,随着 电力辅助服务市场规模持续扩大,亟须从顶层上规范电力辅助服务市场的运营管理。 《规则》是首 个国家层面针对电力辅助服务的市场化规则,同时在全国统一电力市场"1+N"基础规则体系中扮 演"稳定器"的角色,其出台为全国统一电力市场规则体系建设提供了坚实基础。 二是有利于推动各地电力辅助服务市场规范统一。此前,国内部分省份出台了电力 ...
政策解读|“1+N”规则体系再添关键支撑
Zhong Guo Dian Li Bao· 2025-05-08 05:45
Core Viewpoint - The release of the "Basic Rules for the Electricity Auxiliary Service Market" marks a significant step towards optimizing resource allocation through market mechanisms, ensuring the safe and stable operation of the power system [1][2] Summary by Relevant Sections Importance of the Rules - The rules are crucial for ensuring the safety and stability of the power system and advancing the development of the electricity auxiliary service market [2] - Market-oriented reforms will enhance energy resource allocation and encourage participation from various stakeholders, including power generation and sales entities, thereby improving power supply security [2] - The rules align with the national unified electricity market system and summarize lessons learned from local auxiliary service market developments [2] Highlights of the Rules - The rules establish a legal and policy foundation for market system construction, defining the concept and scope of electricity auxiliary services [3] - They expand the range of market participants to include new entities such as energy storage companies and virtual power plants, while standardizing the entry and exit processes for market participants [3] - Detailed guidance is provided for local implementation, ensuring uniformity and completeness of market rules across regions [3] Compensation and Market Efficiency - The rules stipulate that auxiliary service prices are determined by market forces, establishing a fair cost-sharing mechanism based on the principle of "who benefits, who bears the cost" [4] - They facilitate the integration of the auxiliary service market with the energy market, ensuring orderly development and clear connections between different market segments [4] - The rules also define the settlement methods for auxiliary service costs, promoting transparency and fairness in market operations [4] Risk Management - The rules identify various risk types within the auxiliary service market and outline protocols for risk monitoring and emergency response [5] - In the event of market risks, power dispatch agencies are required to prioritize safety and document emergency measures taken [5]
政策解读 | 技术驱动、机制护航,助力破解电网灵活调节难题
国家能源局· 2025-05-07 09:40
技术驱动、机制护航,助力破解电网灵活调节难题 为贯彻落实加快建设全国统一大市场要求,构建全国统一电力市场体系,加快构建新型电力系 统,指导和规范全国电力辅助服务市场建设运营管理,保障电力系统稳定运行和能源电力安全供 应,国家发展改革委、国家能源局近日联合发布《电力辅助服务市场基本规则》(以下简称《规 则》),标志着我国电力中长期市场、现货市场和辅助服务市场三大电力市场核心基本规则全面 建成。《规则》的出台,既是能源转型关键制度突破,亦为新型电力系统建设注入市场化动能。 电力辅助服务市场是保障电力系统安全稳定运行、促进新能源发展的重要制度。目前,我国电力 辅助服务市场基本实现全国覆盖,市场化的辅助服务品种不断拓展,初步建立以市场为引导的辅 助服务资源优化配置机制,形成以调峰、调频、备用等交易品种为核心的区域、省级辅助服务市 场体系,通过市场实现对资源的优化配置。部分地区在辅助服务市场机制创新上进行了积极探 索,积极推动电力辅助服务市场与现货市场的协同运行,引导独立储能、虚拟电厂、负荷侧可调 节资源、厂网互动运营企业等新型主体参与辅助服务市场,取得了良好效果。电力辅助服务市场 的持续规范运行,对推进全国统一电力市 ...
中电联规划发展部副主任韩放解读《电力辅助服务市场基本规则》
Zhong Guo Dian Li Bao· 2025-05-07 02:30
技术驱动、机制护航,助力破解电网灵活调节难题 ——《电力辅助服务市场基本规则》解读 一、政策背景和市场环境 二、《规则》出台的重大意义 近年来,我国电力行业电源结构、电网形态发生深刻变化,电力装机规模持续扩大,清洁能源发展迅 猛,新能源消纳压力不断增大,市场对辅助服务的需求显著增加,迫切需要统筹设计适应新能源特性的 市场体系和交易机制。 《规则》的颁布实施,恰逢其时地满足了市场需求,为电力辅助服务市场发展建设指明了方向。《规 则》进一步规范了电力辅助服务市场运营管理行为。首先对电力辅助服务和辅助服务市场的重要概念进 行了进一步梳理和明确;同时厘清了包括各类新型主体在内的辅助服务的提供方、辅助服务的采购方以 及电网企业、交易机构、监管机构的权利义务、职责界面和工作流程与要求;特别是规定了辅助服务交 易品种的分类和市场注册、交易组织、计量结算、信息披露、风险防控等相关流程和要求;进一步明确 了电力辅助服务市场与中长期市场、现货市场的衔接机制。《规则》的落地实施,将会充分调动可调节 资源主动参与系统调节积极性,助力构建统一规范的电力辅助服务市场体系。 《规则》的出台,是中国电力市场改革的重要举措。《规则》的实施,将 ...
国家电力调度控制中心原副主任郭国川解读《电力辅助服务市场基本规则》
Zhong Guo Dian Li Bao· 2025-05-07 02:07
《电力辅助服务市场基本规则》特点浅析 ——《电力辅助服务市场基本规则》解读 国家电力调度控制中心原副主任 《电力辅助服务市场基本规则》(以下简称《规则》)的出台,对于完备电力市场法规体系具有极其重 要的意义,标志着我国电力辅助服务市场建设从逐步探索迈向制度规范的新阶段。理解《规则》的主要 特点,有助于全面、完整、准确地掌握《规则》的实质内容,推进《规则》有效实施。 一、《规则》具有扎实的实践基础 当前,我国电能量市场建设已取得重大进展。然而,省间与省内市场、中长期与现货、现货与辅助服务 等多层次市场的不同交易品种间存在复杂的衔接关系,某一个市场的滞后可能对整体市场交易产生难以 估量的影响。因此亟需规范和引导解决如何科学确定电力辅助服务市场需求,合理规范和明晰各类辅助 服务品种的定义,厘清和明确各类市场经营主体的权利和义务,统筹创新建立各类市场经营主体公平参 与、激励相容的电力辅助服务市场机制及开发关键技术等一系列问题,《规则》应时而生。 我国电力辅助服务市场是电力市场化最为活跃的领域,其建设经历了十分独特的发展历程,并积攒了丰 富的实践经验。在现货市场尚未投入运行的条件下,原国家电监会于2006年颁发了《并网 ...