摩根大通公布2025年夏季阅读书单。图片来源：Getty Images 对 许多人而言，夏季阅读或许等同于沉浸在惊悚小说或通俗言情故事中，但如果你想提升自身人生 境界，摩根大通推荐如下书单。 这家金融机构的年度夏季阅读书单已成为富人海滩读物首选，今年的书单提供了16本书籍供读者挑选， 从梅琳达·弗伦奇·盖茨的自传以及对慈善事业的思考，到帕兰提尔（Palantir）首席执行官亚历克斯·卡普 对人工智能未来走向的预测，不一而足。 与往年相比，入选图书数量有所增加，往年通常只有10本图书入选。今年这份书单还推荐了一些夏季体 验活动，包括纳帕的希尔家族酒庄以及百老汇音乐剧《也许幸福结局》。 • 《技术共和国：硬实力、软信仰与西方未来走向》——亚历山大·C·卡普（Alexander C. Karp）、尼古 拉斯·W·扎米斯卡（Nicholas W. Zamiska） • 《不可避免：混乱却不可阻挡的电动汽车转型内幕》——迈克·科利亚斯（Mike Colias） • 《培育人工智能：培育未来基本指南》——德恺（De Kai，音译） • 《镜像：当代艺术中的反射面》——迈克尔·佩特里（Michael Petry） • 《弗 ...

Core Viewpoint - The export data from South Korea for May indicates growing concerns about the country's economic trajectory, with overall exports declining despite a surge in semiconductor exports driven by AI technology demand [1][2]. Export Performance - In May, South Korea's semiconductor exports rose by 21.2% year-on-year, reaching $13.79 billion, marking the second-highest monthly export figure on record [1]. - However, overall exports fell into negative territory, with 10 out of 15 major export categories experiencing year-on-year declines [1][2]. - Exports to the three major trading partners— the United States, China, and ASEAN— also contracted, with a slight increase in exports to the EU primarily due to a low base effect from the previous year [1]. Sector-Specific Challenges - Key sectors such as electric vehicles (EVs) and steel faced significant declines, with steel exports down 12.4% and automotive exports down 4.4% [2]. - The automotive sector, being South Korea's largest export category, saw exports to the U.S. plummet by 32% to $1.84 billion, largely due to a 25% tariff imposed by the U.S. government [2][3]. - Semiconductor shipments to China fell by 14.6%, as China increases domestic production of mid-to-low-end chips, potentially reducing reliance on South Korean exports [3]. Economic Outlook - The Korea International Trade Association predicts a 2.1% decline in total exports for the year, with automotive exports expected to drop by 8% due to stagnant demand and tariff impacts [3]. - The short-term recovery outlook appears limited amid weakened competitiveness and ongoing trade policy uncertainties [3].

Core Insights - Tesla's car sales in multiple European markets have significantly declined for five consecutive months, attributed to CEO Elon Musk's political activities and an aging vehicle lineup [1][3] Sales Performance - In Sweden, Tesla's new car sales dropped by 53.7% year-on-year in May, while Portugal saw a decline of 68%. Notably, overall electric vehicle sales in these markets grew by nearly 25% [3] - Sales in Denmark decreased by 30.5%, in the Netherlands by 36%, in Spain by 19%, and in France by 67% [3] - Conversely, Norway showed a positive trend with Tesla's Model Y sales increasing from 690 units to 2,346 units, marking a 213% rise [3] Competitive Landscape - Since 2020, Tesla has not launched new mainstream models, facing intensified competition from traditional automakers and Chinese rivals like BYD entering the European market [4] - In Sweden, the Volkswagen ID.7 outsold the Model Y nearly twofold, and Tesla's Model 3 sales lagged behind models from Porsche, BYD, and Xpeng [4] - The founder of FairCharge noted that while Tesla's price cuts have stimulated sales, the brand's future outlook appears bleak due to limited popular models [4] Market Strategy - Tesla is offering financial incentives in Sweden, Germany, the UK, and France to stimulate demand, and is providing interest-free loans for the new Model Y in Norway [3] - The new Model Y is expected to start deliveries in Germany, the UK, France, and Italy, which may not yet be reflected in sales data [3]

Group 1: Market Performance - BYD surpassed Tesla in electric vehicle sales in Europe for the first time in April, registering 7,231 new battery-electric vehicles (BEVs), a 169% increase year-over-year [1] - Tesla experienced a 49% drop in sales, while the overall EV market in Europe grew by 28% [2] - BYD's total sales in Europe surged 359% year-over-year when including plug-in hybrids [2] Group 2: Strategic Shifts - Initially, BYD focused on fully electric cars to meet European emissions targets, but shifted strategy after the EU raised tariffs on Chinese EVs, leading to increased sales of plug-in hybrids [3] Group 3: Product Expansion - BYD plans to introduce the Dolphin Surf, an affordable electric hatchback priced under €23,000, with a standard version selling for €19,990 in Germany until the end of June [4] - The Dolphin Surf includes high-end features and is positioned to compete with models like Renault's R5 and Stellantis Citroën's ë-C3 [4]

Group 1 - Renault Group is leveraging its Chinese R&D center to design new models for markets outside Europe while aiming to reduce production costs and accelerate development by learning from the Chinese market [1][3] - The Shanghai R&D center, established in 2024, focuses on developing electric vehicles for the Ampere and Renault brands, targeting markets outside Europe [3] - Renault has achieved a significant reduction in vehicle development time, creating a budget-friendly electric vehicle, Twingo, in just 21 months, with a projected price of under €20,000 (approximately 163,000 RMB) [5] Group 2 - The Shanghai R&D center aims to reduce the cost of Renault's next-generation electric vehicles by 40% by 2028, with plans to double electric vehicle sales growth rates in 2025 and 2026 [7] - Renault is engaging with several Chinese component suppliers to establish factories in Europe, promoting a "market for technology" approach [7] - The global electric vehicle market saw over 17 million units sold last year, with China accounting for over 60% of the total, highlighting the country's dominance in the sector [8]

Group 1: Global Trade and Economic Environment - The 2025 Global Trade and Investment Promotion Summit emphasized the importance of building an inclusive and open international economic environment to address challenges and seize opportunities [1][2] - The President of the New Development Bank highlighted the rapid development of technology, particularly in AI, big data, biotechnology, quantum computing, and electric vehicles, which are reshaping industries and creating new opportunities [2] - The need for enhanced international cooperation, especially among developing countries, was stressed to promote innovation and technology sharing [2] Group 2: Digital Trade and SMEs - The International Council for Small Enterprises called for the establishment of an inclusive digital trade ecosystem to support the sustainable development of SMEs, particularly from developing countries [3] - The importance of cross-border free movement of people, goods, and investments was highlighted, with a focus on the necessity of international cooperation for countries lacking comparative advantages [3] Group 3: AI and Supply Chain Resilience - AI is playing a significant role in international trade, optimizing every stage from product design to delivery, and enabling SMEs to overcome geographical limitations [4] - The integration of digital and intelligent technologies into supply chain planning and operations is crucial for maintaining economic stability and resilience in the face of global challenges [4] Group 4: Opportunities in the Chinese Market - The rapid development of AI technology in China presents vast opportunities for global cooperation, with foreign companies sharing their localized innovation experiences [7] - The bilateral trade between China and Mexico is projected to exceed $130 billion in 2024, highlighting the importance of multilateralism and cooperation [7] - The U.S. Soybean Export Council emphasized the new opportunities for U.S.-China soybean industry cooperation, particularly in the context of China's high-quality economic development [7] Group 5: Localized Innovation and Collaboration - Companies like Honeywell and Westinghouse Transportation Group have emphasized their commitment to the Chinese market, focusing on local innovation and supply chain integration [8][9] - The establishment of local R&D centers, such as Suzano's in Shanghai, demonstrates the trend of foreign companies deepening their investment and collaboration within China [9]

Core Viewpoint - The company, United Chemical, has announced significant stock price fluctuations and potential risks associated with its new joint venture, Qichen Semiconductor, which is still in the early stages of development and market entry [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of May 23, United Chemical's stock price increased by 15.22%, closing at 124.15 yuan, marking a historical high [2]. - Over the past year, the company's stock price has surged by 394.82%, while the CSI 300 index has only risen by 6.60% during the same period [2]. - The stock has shown a significant deviation in price, with a 202.59% deviation over 27 consecutive trading days, indicating severe abnormal trading fluctuations [2]. Group 2: Valuation Comparison - The company's rolling price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 176.00, which is significantly higher than the industry average P/E ratio of 23.28 for the chemical raw materials and products manufacturing sector [3]. - This discrepancy raises concerns about the stock's valuation relative to its peers, prompting the company to advise investors to be cautious in their trading decisions [3]. Group 3: Joint Venture and Market Strategy - United Chemical has established a joint venture, Qichen Semiconductor, in collaboration with Shanghai Panwo Fine Chemical Co., Ltd. and Beijing Shanggu Lianheng Chemical Technology Co., Ltd., focusing on the development and production of various semiconductor-related chemicals [3][4]. - The company aims to leverage its experience in fine chemical synthesis and surface treatment to enter the electronic chemicals market, which is characterized by high technical barriers and significant profit margins [4]. - The initial production capacity for the project is designed to be 200 tons per year, with plans for increased R&D investment and technical personnel to enhance capabilities [4]. Group 4: Financial Performance - For the year 2024, United Chemical projects a revenue of 53,461.73 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5,643.21 million yuan, up 66.81% [4]. - In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 13,006.19 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.52%, but the net profit decreased by 17.97% to 1,654.22 million yuan [4].

Core Viewpoint - The global economy is under significant pressure due to the United States' large-scale trade protectionism policies, which exacerbate global economic vulnerabilities and limit the development and technological access of various countries [1][3]. Group 1: Impact of U.S. Trade Policies - The U.S. has been using tariffs as a tool to exert pressure on other countries, leading to great uncertainty in the global economy [3]. - The "beggar-thy-neighbor" policy initiated by the U.S. is disrupting normal international trade order [3]. - The consequences of the trade war are evident, with significant fluctuations in financial markets, sharp declines in stock indices, and a notable drop in the U.S. dollar index, indicating deeper systemic changes [3]. Group 2: Technological Cooperation and Innovation - China is actively promoting global technological progress and deepening cooperation with developing countries, which is praised by the president of the New Development Bank [5]. - There is a call to strengthen international cooperation and oppose the establishment of technological barriers that hinder developing countries from accessing new technologies [5][6]. - The initiatives such as the BRICS cooperation mechanism and the Belt and Road Initiative play a crucial role in expanding access to capital, technology, and infrastructure for many developing countries [5][6].

Domestic News - Tianjin will increase the number of car license plate lottery indicators by 80,000, with 30,000 additional indicators allocated annually and 50,000 for a separate tiered lottery for citizens who have participated 25 times without winning [6] - A new standard for all-solid-state batteries has been established, defining the technology and testing methods, which will help in the development and commercialization of safer and more efficient batteries [7] - Deep Blue Automotive aims to achieve global sales of 2 million vehicles by 2030, with 35% of sales coming from overseas markets and plans to launch 30 new products [8] - Changan Automobile plans to introduce 35 new smart vehicles over the next three years, with a total battery capacity of 75GWh by 2026 [9] - Xiaomi's first SUV, the YU7, is set to launch in July, featuring advanced technology including a Snapdragon 8 chip and a comprehensive control module [10] - Xingqu Technology has released the world's first mass-produced magnesium-aluminum alloy shell dual-motor assembly, enhancing the power system for electric vehicles [11] - Junsheng Electronics has launched its first child presence detection product, enhancing child safety in vehicles [12] - Funeng Technology plans to deliver small batches of its 60Ah sulfide all-solid-state batteries by the end of 2025 [13] International News - India has allocated over €200 million for electric vehicle charging infrastructure, aiming to deploy approximately 72,000 public charging stations across the country [15] - Mercedes-Benz announced the establishment of its North American headquarters in Atlanta, consolidating key functions and investing millions in a new R&D facility [16] - Hyundai is investing in its first factory in the Middle East, marking a significant step in its strategy to penetrate the region [17] - Subaru is reassessing its electrification strategy in response to global trade uncertainties and declining sales [19] Commercial Vehicles - Qingling Group unveiled the world's first megawatt-level supercharged heavy truck at the China Western International Investment and Trade Fair, showcasing advancements in green logistics [20] - Weidu Technology will invest €175 million in France to establish a production base for long-range electric trucks, aiming for an annual capacity of 12,000 units [21] - Yuanmeng Technology's self-developed Xuanwu battery has passed the new national safety standards for electric vehicle batteries, indicating its leading safety performance [22] - CATL and Sinopec have signed an agreement to establish a heavy truck battery swap station in Fuzhou, with plans to build at least 500 stations by the end of the year [24]

Core Points - The U.S. Senate voted to overturn California's plan to ban gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035, sending the bill to President Trump for his signature [1] - The vote result was 51 to 44, reversing a waiver from the Biden administration's EPA that allowed California to set stricter emissions standards than federal requirements [1] - The House of Representatives passed this measure earlier in the month, and Trump has previously criticized electric vehicles, claiming they are ineffective and harm American auto workers [1]