Core Viewpoint - The National Energy Administration (NEA) is set to release the "14th Five-Year" energy plan in the first half of 2023, transitioning the development model of renewable energy from isolated efforts to integrated and collaborative development, which will be a key trend in 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Energy Planning and Goals - The "14th Five-Year" energy plan aims to establish a new energy system, with a target for non-fossil energy consumption to reach 25% by 2030 and renewable energy generation capacity to exceed 50% [2][3]. - The NEA plans to enhance the integration of energy planning with national economic and social development, with the finalized plan expected to be released in the first half of 2023 [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Strategies - The NEA will focus on both supply and demand sides to increase the share of non-fossil energy, promoting a balanced development of wind, solar, hydro, and nuclear power, with an annual growth target of 200 million kilowatts [3]. - On the demand side, efforts will be made to improve energy efficiency in key sectors such as industry, construction, and transportation, while expanding the use of green electricity [3][4]. Group 3: Integrated Development of Renewable Energy - The concept of "integrated and collaborative development" will be emphasized, moving away from isolated approaches to a more systemic integration of renewable energy with various industries and energy sources [6][7]. - The NEA aims to create new energy production and consumption models through "Renewable Energy +", promoting diverse applications in buildings, transportation, and rural revitalization [7][8]. Group 4: Challenges and Opportunities - The renewable energy sector faces challenges such as the need for improved real-time balancing and absorption capabilities for large-scale variable energy sources [6]. - There is significant potential for distributed renewable energy solutions, but current projects in green methanol and sustainable aviation fuel are limited due to demand uncertainties and policy instability [9]. Group 5: Future Directions and Innovations - The NEA is expected to drive the development of new energy storage solutions and flexible coal power systems to support the stability of renewable energy [10]. - The focus will also be on expanding the market for green hydrogen, ammonia, and other renewable energy applications, creating new growth opportunities for the industry [8].

Core Viewpoint - The renewable energy indices have experienced significant declines this week, with the China Securities New Energy Index down 6.0%, the China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index down 5.4%, and the National Securities New Energy Battery Index down 3.7%. Despite this, there has been notable net inflow into related ETFs, indicating continued investor interest in the sector [1][3]. Index Performance - This week, the performance of various indices is as follows: - China Securities New Energy Index: -6.0% - National Securities New Energy Battery Index: -3.7% - China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index: -5.4% - China Securities Shanghai Environmental Exchange Carbon Neutral Index: -1.9% [3][4] ETF Inflows - The following ETFs have seen significant net inflows this week: - EasyOne Storage Battery ETF (159566): 330 million CNY - EasyOne Photovoltaic ETF (562970): 130 million CNY [1][3] Industry Outlook - Huatai Securities emphasizes the importance of accelerating the construction of a new energy system as part of the "14th Five-Year Plan," focusing on the development of new energy storage and the enhancement of smart grid infrastructure. The firm remains optimistic about the growth of renewable energy and electrification, particularly benefiting companies in the storage, wind power, and grid sectors [1][4]. Index Valuation - The rolling price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the indices are as follows: - China Securities New Energy Index: 49.3x - National Securities New Energy Battery Index: 29.6x - China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index: 2.7x - China Securities Shanghai Environmental Exchange Carbon Neutral Index: 26.3x [3][4]. ETF Tracking - There are currently multiple ETFs tracking these indices: - 5 ETFs for the China Securities New Energy Index - 2 ETFs for the National Securities New Energy Battery Index - 12 ETFs for the China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index - 8 ETFs for the China Securities Shanghai Environmental Exchange Carbon Neutral Index [5].

Overall Thoughts - The notification aims to improve the capacity pricing mechanism on the generation side to ensure stable power supply, facilitate green development, and optimize resource allocation in the energy sector [4][5]. Classification of Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The capacity pricing mechanism for coal and natural gas power generation will be enhanced, with a recovery ratio of fixed costs for coal power plants increased to no less than 50% [5]. - The pricing mechanism for pumped storage power plants will continue to follow government pricing for plants that commenced construction before the issuance of the relevant guidelines, while new plants will have their capacity prices determined based on average costs [6]. - A new capacity pricing mechanism for independent new energy storage on the grid side will be established, with pricing based on local coal power capacity standards [7]. Establishing Reliable Capacity Compensation Mechanism - A reliable capacity compensation mechanism will be established to compensate power generation units based on their ability to provide stable power during peak demand periods [8]. - The compensation will cover coal, gas, and eligible independent new energy storage units, gradually expanding to include pumped storage [9]. Improving Supporting Policies - The adjustment of coal power long-term market trading prices will be allowed based on supply and demand, with flexibility in contract pricing mechanisms [10][11]. - The capacity fees and compensation will be included in local system operating costs, with specific pricing rules for energy storage facilities based on market conditions [12]. Implementation Organization - Provincial pricing authorities are tasked with coordinating the implementation of capacity pricing policies and establishing reliable capacity compensation mechanisms [13]. - An assessment system for users' economic capacity to bear electricity costs will be established to inform compensation standards [14].

1月30日，国家能源局召开例行新闻发布会，介绍2025年全国能源形势、新型储能发展、全国电力市场 交易及今年迎峰度冬能源保供等情况。 二是产业集成化。统筹推进新能源与传统产业协同优化升级，推动新能源与算力、绿氢等战略性新兴产 业融合互促发展。 三是拓展非电化。积极拓展新能源非电利用，重点推动风光制氢氨醇、风光供热供暖等多元转化和就地 利用。 四是消费协同化。落实可再生能源消费最低比重目标，压实重点用能行业绿色电力消费责任。健全绿证 交易机制，加强电—碳—证市场协同衔接，积极推动绿证国际互认，合理体现绿电环境价值，全面提升 新能源消费水平。 针对如何落实非化石能源消费比重达到25%，邢翼腾向21世纪经济报道记者表示，非化石能源消费比重 是国家自主贡献目标的关键指标，2030年要达到25%、2035年要达到30%以上。 "'十五五'时期，我们将从供需两侧协同发力，推进非化石能源消费比重稳步提升。"邢翼腾进一步介 绍，在供给侧，坚持风光水核多能并举，推动风电、光伏发电平稳发展，保持平均每年2亿千瓦增长节 奏，推动水风光一体化发展，积极安全有序发展核电。 在消费侧，大力推进工业、建筑、交通等重点领域节能降碳，扩大绿电 ...

行业有序发展成效显著。深入推进光伏行业"内卷式"竞争综合整治，2025年底多晶硅、硅片价格分别达 到53.86元/千克、1.329元/片，较年度最低点分别提高52.0%、35.6%。综合施策实现煤炭稳产稳供稳 价，引导现货价格运行在合理区间，2025年底环渤海港口5500大卡动力煤现货价格达到690元/吨，较年 度最低点上升75元/吨。 绿色低碳转型步伐加快。制定出台新能源集成融合发展、促进新能源消纳和调控等一系列政策措施，助 力新能源发展提质增效。全年风电光伏新增装机超过4.3亿千瓦、累计装机规模突破18亿千瓦，可再生 能源发电装机占比超过六成。可再生能源发电量达到约4.0万亿千瓦时，超过欧盟27国用电量之和（约 3.8万亿千瓦时）。 南都讯 记者王玮 发自北京 1月30日，国家能源局举行新闻发布会。国家能源局发展规划司副司长邢翼 腾会上介绍，2025年，我国能源供应保障能力有效提升，供需总体宽松，多项重要政策举措密集出台， 行业健康有序发展，新型能源体系建设基础持续夯实，助力我国经济持续回升向好。 能源安全保障有力有效。2025年是"十四五"以来能源保供成效最好的一年。原煤生产保持稳定，规上工 业原煤产量 ...

Core Viewpoint - The National Energy Administration (NEA) has outlined the energy situation for 2025, emphasizing energy security, green low-carbon transformation, and orderly industry development as key areas of focus for the upcoming years [9][10][12]. Group 1: Energy Supply and Security - By 2025, China's energy supply security will be significantly enhanced, with coal production stable and oil and gas output reaching historical highs, including a 1.5% increase in crude oil production and a 6.2% increase in natural gas production [9][10]. - The electricity supply will remain stable, supported by the commissioning of several ultra-high voltage direct current transmission projects, improving the interconnectivity of the power system [9][10]. Group 2: Green Low-Carbon Transformation - The development of renewable energy will accelerate, with new wind and solar installations exceeding 430 million kilowatts, bringing the total installed capacity to over 1.8 billion kilowatts, and renewable energy generation accounting for over 60% of total power generation [9][10]. - Renewable energy generation is projected to reach approximately 4 trillion kilowatt-hours, surpassing the combined electricity consumption of the 27 EU countries [9][10]. Group 3: Industry Development - The photovoltaic industry will undergo comprehensive regulation, with polysilicon and wafer prices expected to rise by 52% and 35.6%, respectively, by the end of 2025 [10]. - The price of thermal coal at the port is projected to reach 690 yuan per ton, reflecting a 75 yuan increase from the lowest point of the year [10]. Group 4: Winter Energy Supply Assurance - The overall temperature this winter is expected to be close to or slightly warmer than the historical average, but with frequent cold spells, leading to record-breaking electricity loads, including a peak load of 1.433 billion kilowatts on January 21 [12][13]. - The NEA is ensuring stable energy supply through robust monitoring and coordination, with sufficient fuel reserves and optimized electricity supply strategies [13][14]. Group 5: New Energy Storage Development - By the end of 2025, the installed capacity of new energy storage is expected to reach 136 million kilowatts, a growth of 84% compared to the end of 2024, with an average storage duration of 2.58 hours [19][22]. - The North China region will account for the largest share of new energy storage installations, with significant contributions from provinces like Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia [20][21]. Group 6: Electricity Market Development - The total electricity trading volume in 2025 is projected to reach 6.64 trillion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, with market-based transactions accounting for 64% of total electricity consumption [26][27]. - Cross-regional electricity trading is expected to grow significantly, reaching 1.59 trillion kilowatt-hours, marking an 11.6% increase from the previous year [26][27]. Group 7: Green Certificate Market - The green certificate market is anticipated to see a substantial increase, with a total of 930 million certificates traded in 2025, representing a 120% year-on-year growth [40][41]. - The average trading price of green certificates is expected to stabilize and rise, with a projected average price of approximately 4.14 yuan per certificate in the second half of 2025, a 90% increase from the first half [40][41].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the 2025 energy outlook in China, highlighting significant advancements in energy supply security, green low-carbon transformation, and the development of new energy storage systems, which are crucial for supporting economic recovery and ensuring energy supply stability. Energy Supply Security - By 2025, China's energy supply security is expected to improve significantly, with stable coal production and record-high oil and gas outputs. The industrial crude oil production is projected to increase by 1.5% year-on-year, while natural gas production is expected to rise by 6.2% [5][6] - The power supply is anticipated to remain stable, supported by the commissioning of several ultra-high voltage direct current transmission projects, enhancing the interconnectivity of the power system [6] Green Low-Carbon Transformation - The pace of green low-carbon transformation is accelerating, with new policies aimed at integrating and promoting renewable energy consumption. Wind and solar power installations are expected to exceed 430 million kilowatts, with total installed capacity surpassing 1.8 billion kilowatts, accounting for over 60% of renewable energy generation [6][7] - Renewable energy generation is projected to reach approximately 4 trillion kilowatt-hours, exceeding the combined electricity consumption of the 27 EU countries [6] New Energy Storage Development - New energy storage installations are expected to grow by 84% compared to the end of 2024, reaching a total capacity of 136 million kilowatts (351 million kilowatt-hours) by the end of 2025, marking a more than 40-fold increase compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [12][14] - The average storage duration is projected to increase to 2.58 hours, an increase of 0.30 hours from the end of 2024 [12] Electricity Market Transactions - The total electricity market transaction volume is expected to reach a record high of 664 billion kilowatt-hours in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.4%. Market-based transactions are projected to account for 64% of total electricity consumption, an increase of 1.3 percentage points [15][16] - Cross-regional electricity transactions are anticipated to grow to 1.59 trillion kilowatt-hours, a historical high, with a year-on-year increase of 11.6% [16] Investment Trends - National energy investment is expected to maintain rapid growth, with key project investments exceeding 3.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of nearly 11% [21] - Investment in green transition new business formats is accelerating, with significant growth in wind and solar power installations and new energy storage projects [21][27] Regulatory Developments - The article highlights the ongoing reforms in the electricity retail market, with a focus on enhancing the regulatory framework for electricity sales companies to ensure market stability and fair competition [22][23] - The introduction of new rules for long-term electricity market transactions aims to adapt to the evolving energy landscape and support the construction of a unified national electricity market [19][20]

新华财经北京1月30日电（记者安娜） 国家能源局能源节约和科技装备司副司长边广琦30日说，截至 2025年底，全国已建成投运新型储能装机规模达到1.36亿千瓦／3.51亿千瓦时，与"十三五"末相比增长 超40倍，实现跨越式发展。 当日，国家能源局举行新闻发布会。边广琦是在会上作出上述表述的。 党中央、国务院高度重视新型储能发展，党的二十届四中全会明确提出"大力发展新型储能"。"国家能 源局深入贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署，统筹谋划、多措并举，推动新型储能发展取得扎实成效， 为构建新型能源体系和新型电力系统提供有力支撑。"边广琦在会上说。 分地域来看，华北地区装机占比最大。记者从会上了解到，华北地区已投运新型储能装机规模占全国 32.5%，西北地区占28.2%，华东地区占14.4%，南方地区占13.1%，华中地区占11.1%，东北地区占 0.7%。"过去一年里，华北、西北为新型储能主要增长区，新增装机分别为2188万千瓦、1966万千瓦， 分别占全国新增装机的35.2%、31.6%。"边广琦说。 从单站规模来看，10万千瓦以上的大型化发展趋势明显。记者从国家能源局了解到，截至2025年底，我 国10万千瓦及以 ...

2025年我国可再生能源发电量达到约4.0万亿千瓦时，超过欧盟27国用电量之和。 文丨本报记者 王林 国家能源局发展规划司副司长邢翼腾介绍，能源安全保障有力有效。202 5年是"十四五"以来能源保供成效最好的一年。原煤生产保持 稳定，规上工业原煤产量同比增长1.2%。油、气产量双创历史新高，规上工业原油产量同比增长1.5%，规上工业天然气产量同比增长 6.2%。电力供应平稳有序，一批特高压直流输电工程投产送电，电力系统互补互济水平持续提升。 End 欢迎分享给你的朋友！ 出品 | 中国能源报（c ne ne rgy） 责编丨李慧颖 1月3 0日，国家能源局召开新闻发布会，《中国能源报》记者在会上了解到，2025年，我国能源供应保障能力有效提升，供需总体宽 松，多项重要政策举措密集出台，行业健康有序发展，新型能源体系建设基础持续夯实，助力我国经济持续回升向好。 绿色低碳转型步伐加快。 制定出台新能源集成融合发展、促进新能源消纳和调控等一系列政策措施，助力新能源发展提质增效。全年 风电光伏新增装机超过4.3亿千瓦、累计装机规模突破18亿千瓦，可再生能源发电装机占比超过六成。 可再生能源发电量达到约4 .0万 亿千 ...

Core Insights - By the end of 2025, China's new energy storage capacity is expected to grow by 84% compared to the end of 2024, achieving over 40 times the capacity compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan, indicating significant development in the sector [1] - The average energy storage duration has increased by 0.30 hours to 2.58 hours compared to the end of 2024 [1] Group 1: Capacity and Utilization - The equivalent utilization hours of new energy storage nationwide are projected to reach 1195 hours in 2025, an increase of nearly 300 hours from 2024 [2] - The State Grid and Southern Power Grid have equivalent utilization hours of 1175 hours and 1294 hours, respectively [2] Group 2: Regional and Technical Developments - The North China region accounts for the largest share of installed capacity, with 32.5% of the national total, and has seen significant growth in new installations [3] - New installations in North and Northwest China were 21.88 million kW and 19.66 million kW, representing 35.2% and 31.6% of the national total, respectively [3] - Projects with a capacity of over 100,000 kW now account for 72% of total installations, an increase of about 10 percentage points from 2024 [3] - Lithium-ion battery storage remains dominant, comprising 96.1% of installed capacity, while other technologies like compressed air and flow batteries account for 3.9% [3]