截至12月29日收盘，和顺科技收于每股58.34元，全天换手率达8.16%，振幅达18.18%，全天成交3.10亿 元。 近期，商业航天板块利好频出。政策方面，2025年12月26日上交所发布《商业火箭企业适用科创板第五 套上市标准指引》明确规定，允许未盈利但具备核心技术的商业火箭企业上市。此外在资本开支方面， SpaceX计划2026年IPO，估值或达1.5万亿美元，募资300亿—500亿美元用于星舰发射能力提升与星链扩 张，这导致全球商业航天关注度得到大幅提升，相关产业链或收益。因此，商业航天相关产业链也受到 了金融市场的关注。 此举标志着公司碳纤维产业链布局的关键核心环节已落地，为公司在高性能碳纤维领域的持续发展奠定 了坚实基础。公告称，未来，公司将严格按照既定计划，稳步向T1000级、M级等更高性能标准的碳纤 维产品方向有序开展聚合、纺丝等剩余环节的联调联试工作，力争全面达成项目建设目标，为公司长远 发展注入新的增长动力。 在商业航天领域，碳纤维复合材料广泛应用于卫星、火箭等航天装备的核心结构部件，例如卫星的波纹 承力筒、太阳电池阵基板、连接架、支架等关键构件，均需依托碳纤维材料的轻质高强特性实现性能 ...

| 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-12-29 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3965.27 | 13537.09 | 4639.37 | 14549.37 | 3920.98 | 1346.31 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | 0.04 | -0.49 | -0.38 | -0.16 | -0.34 | 0.03 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 9038.19 | 12355.17 | 4826.13 | 4629.60 | 5379.66 | 584.88 | $$\overline{{{\prod_{i\in\mathbb{R}}}}}\frac{\Delta}{\Delta}\pm\overline{{{\prod_{i\in\mathbb{R}}}}}$$ (1998) (200) 宏观与策略 固 定 收 益 快 评 : 可 交 换 私 募 债 跟 踪 - 私 募 EB 每 周 跟 踪 （2025122 ...

商业航天产业的催化效应正全面反映在资本市场。数据显示，截至12月29日，卫星产业ETF(159218)年内价格创下 第31次历史新高。资金面上，该产品年初以来累计净流入超9.6亿元，最新规模突破14亿元，年内份额扩容超过7 倍，稳居全市场同标的ETF规模首位。 政策环境持续优化：年内工信部等部门从应急通信、业务准入、商用试验等多维度出台支持政策，构建了系统性 的产业护航体系。 产业链协同成熟：产业已形成清晰协同格局：商业公司在火箭批量生产与低成本发射上实现创新突破；"国家 队"主导的星网、千帆等星座引领系统构建；地面设备企业加速技术攻关；电信运营商则积极推动手机直连卫星等 大众服务落地。 研究指出，中国在全球卫星通信领域的投资额占比已达21%，显示出强大的发展动能。随着"发射-制造-组网-应 用"全产业链的成熟与共振，卫星通信产业已从技术验证期迈入规模化、商业化发展的快车道。卫星产业 ETF(159218)作为核心投资工具，其资金流向与规模变化，已成为观测这一国家战略性产业景气度的关键指标。 风险提示：基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 资讯所属栏目还有更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 分析指出，资本热潮源于产业基 ...

Group 1 - LeiKe Defense benefits from the market enthusiasm for commercial aerospace and the synergy with the military industry, covering radar systems, satellite applications, and secure storage, aligning with trends in military equipment informatization and commercial aerospace development [1] - Aerospace Development's rise is attributed to multiple factors, including SpaceX's IPO plans and the anticipated launch of Long March 12, alongside national policies supporting commercial aerospace, leading to significant improvements in fundamentals [1] - Goldwind Technology, as a leader in the wind power industry, benefits from favorable policies and increasing installation trends, while also venturing into commercial aerospace through investments in hydrogen and methanol projects [1] Group 2 - Cuiwei Co. benefits from favorable digital currency policies, actively participating in the central bank's digital currency research and aligning with trends in digital currency and mobile payments [1] - Shenjian Co. focuses on new chemical materials and high-end equipment manufacturing, with significant growth in net profit supporting its position in the commercial aerospace sector [2] - China Satellite benefits from dual drivers of satellite internet policy support and industry development, being a core supplier for the StarNet project and holding a strong national background [2] Group 3 - TuoWei Information is deeply integrated with the Huawei ecosystem, focusing on AI server technology and smart transportation projects, attracting significant market attention from institutional investors [2] - Pingtan Development benefits from the upcoming implementation of the Pingtan Comprehensive Experimental Zone's closure policy and national support for cross-strait integration, making it a target for speculative trading [2] - The top ten popular stocks in the A-share market include LeiKe Defense, Aerospace Development, Goldwind Technology, Cuiwei Co., Shenjian Co., China Satellite, TuoWei Information, Pingtan Development, Zhongchao Holdings, and Shengtong Energy [3]

Core Insights - China is set to become the first economy to pay interest on its central bank digital currency, with the new digital yuan framework starting on January 1, 2026, marking a transition from "digital cash" to "digital deposit currency" [10] - The People's Liberation Army has begun military exercises around Taiwan, indicating heightened geopolitical tensions in the region [10] - The State Council has announced a tariff adjustment plan for 2026, which includes temporary lower import tariffs on 935 items to enhance the synergy between domestic and international markets [10] - The automotive market in China is expected to see complex growth dynamics in 2026, influenced by early government subsidies and seasonal factors [11] - Hong Kong's private residential prices have increased for six consecutive months, suggesting a potential end to the downward trend since 2021 [11] - The global memory industry is expected to experience a prolonged "super cycle" due to strong demand for AI servers and enterprise SSDs, lasting at least until 2027 [11] - TSMC has commenced mass production of its 2nm technology, which is anticipated to be the most advanced semiconductor technology in terms of density and energy efficiency [12] Macroeconomic Insights - The A-share market shows mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.04% while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.49% [14] - Industrial profits for large enterprises have shown a decline in growth rate as of November [14] - The central economic work conference emphasized the importance of stabilizing industrial growth and addressing "involution" competition [14][15] Commodity Insights - The steel market is expected to maintain a volatile trend, with iron ore prices under pressure due to weak demand from the real estate sector and slow construction progress [18][19] - The coal and coke prices may experience short-term fluctuations, influenced by production and safety inspections in coal mines [20][21] - The silicon metal market is facing pressure from the establishment of polysilicon platform companies, which may affect future production expectations [30] - The lithium carbonate market is showing signs of weakening demand, with expectations of inventory accumulation in the first quarter of 2026 [29] - The agricultural sector, particularly cotton and sugar, is experiencing mixed signals with supply pressures and seasonal demand fluctuations [33][35] Energy Sector Insights - Crude oil prices are expected to remain under pressure due to oversupply, despite geopolitical tensions in regions like Ukraine and the Middle East [46] - Fuel oil prices are influenced by geopolitical factors and are expected to follow crude oil price trends [47] - The plastic market is facing supply pressures, with expectations of weak demand impacting prices [48]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [7] Core Insights - The computer sector has shown a continuous rebound, with an overall increase of 2.13%, ranking 14th among primary industries in the Yangtze River region, and accounting for 5.77% of the total market turnover [2][4][13] - The report highlights significant advancements in the brain-computer interface (BCI) industry, particularly with the upcoming Shenzhen Brain Expo, which is expected to accelerate the commercialization of BCI technologies [6][49] - The report suggests focusing on three main lines of investment: 1) domestic mapping of invasive BCI technologies from advanced overseas industries; 2) product deployment of non-invasive BCIs in consumer scenarios; 3) downstream applications related to BCIs [6][62] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The computer sector's performance last week was characterized by a strong market rebound, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to 3900 points, closing at 3963.68 points, reflecting an overall increase of 1.88% [4][13] - The computer sector's turnover accounted for 5.77% of the total market, with notable activity in commercial aerospace and space computing-related stocks [2][4] Key Developments - The report emphasizes the recent achievements in quantum error correction by the University of Science and Technology of China, marking a significant milestone for future large-scale fault-tolerant quantum computing [10][22] - The successful launch of the Long March 12 rocket and the support from the Shanghai Stock Exchange for commercial rocket enterprises are highlighted as pivotal developments in the commercial aerospace sector [30][40] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies the BCI industry as a key area for investment, particularly in light of supportive policies and the potential for rapid commercialization [6][62] - The upcoming Shenzhen Brain Expo is expected to showcase advancements and foster investment opportunities in the BCI sector [49][62] - The report also notes the acceleration of IPO processes for commercial aerospace companies, which could enhance capital flow into the industry [40][48]

09:21 港股开盘丨恒生科技指数涨0.38% 09:27 贵金属板块开盘大跌，白银有色触及跌停，豫光金铅、晓程科技、贵研铂业、湖南白银、江西铜 业等纷纷低开。 09:25 A股开盘丨三大指数集体低开 沪指低开0.44%，深成指低开0.52%，创业板指低开0.44% | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | 1m | 3947.87 | -17.41 | -0.44% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | Vh | 13466.30 | -70.79 | -0.52% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | VW | 3208.32 | -14.29 | -0.44% | 盘面上，能源金属全线回调，锂矿方向领跌；黄金、海南自贸区、固态电池、商业航天、光伏题材纷纷 走低。 个股方面，赣锋锂业低开近5%，公司公告，公司于2025年12月29日收到宜春市公安局的移送起诉告知 书，因涉嫌内幕交易罪单位犯罪，案件已移送检察机关审查起诉。 | | 62.25 -3.07 -4.70% ...

截至2025年12月29日收盘，航空航天ETF天弘(159241)盘中交易价格连续3日创新高！换手15.98%，成交1.00亿元，市场交投活 跃。跟踪的国证航天航空行业指数(CN5082)强势上涨1.44%，成分股航天发展(000547)上涨10.01%，中国卫星(600118)上涨 10.00%，航宇科技(688239)上涨8.42%，洪都航空(600316)，中航高科(600862)等个股跟涨。 拉长时间看，截至12月29日，航空航天ETF天弘(159241)最新规模达6.24亿元，创成立以来新高。 【产品亮点】 预计后续资本市场活跃度维持高位，三季度航空航天行业营收净利润均出现爆发式增长，行业景气度更上一层楼，建议关注含 航量最高的航空航天ETF天弘(159241)，把握航空航天板块投资机遇。 【热点事件】 以上内容与数据，与有连云立场无关，不构成投资建议。据此操作，风险自担。 【机构观点】 中信证券认为，2025年12月26日，上交所发布《商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准指引》，标志着商业火箭企业登陆资 本市场的通道正式打通、标准全面明确。在政策对"承担国家任务、参与国家工程项目""可重复使用技术 ...

NO.3中信证券：商业航天景气高企石墨纤维迎来机遇 12月30日，中信证券研报称，受益政策、技术和市场三维驱动，商业航天迎来景气高企。在太空算力需 求拉动下，火箭、卫星结构轻量化以及特殊应用环境对于碳纤维材料提出更高要求，石墨纤维凭借耐高 温、高强高模以及低热膨胀系数等优势，渗透率有望进一步提升。该机构预计伴随着下游需求放量，在 国产化驱动下，布局石墨纤维的相关企业有望充分受益。 NO.2开源证券：BEST订单持续释放，看好板块长期发展前景 12月30日，开源证券指出，可控核聚变装置研发建设稳步推进，BEST、星火一号、先觉聚能、环流四 号项目有望陆续开工，核心部件订单有望持续释放；TMTG并购TAE打造全球首家商业聚变上市公司， 有望提振FRC板块情绪；Helion曾官宣将于2025年内实现发电验证，若FRC技术路线工程可行性得到验 证，国内相关初创公司项目有望加速推进；"十五五"规划建议前瞻布局核聚变能领域；该机构看好板块 长期发展前景，建议关注磁体、主机和电源等核心部件。 ｜2025年12月30日星期二｜ NO.1中信证券：磷酸铁锂行业盈利有望迎来周期性的拐点 12月30日，中信证券研报表示，铁锂行业盈 ...

日度报告——综合晨报 特朗普和平计划遇阻，常州锂源磷酸铁锂部 分产线减产检修 [T报ab告le_日R期an：k] 2025-12-30 宏观策略（外汇期货(美元指数)） 特朗普的和平计划遭遇新阻碍 普京称将改变谈判立场 俄罗斯表示乌克兰袭击普京住所，导致停火计划遇阻。俄乌冲 突出现新变数，美元短期震荡。 宏观策略（股指期货） 沪指放量录得九连阳 综 A 股继续放量，但盘面涨跌分化较大，商业航天等概念涨幅较大， 而创业板则跌幅明显。我们认为流动性扩张过程是近期行情的 主要推动力，短期波动不影响躁动底色。 合 宏观策略（黄金） 晨 CME 上调黄金白银保证金 报 黄金白银大跌，白银逼仓交易暂时告一段落，多头获利了结， 空头被迫平仓，叠加假期前后市场流动性不佳波动放大，交易 所上调保证金也加剧了抛压。国内元旦假期将至也要减仓。 农产品（豆粕） 油厂豆粕库存继续上升 市场继续关注我国采购美豆情况，目前南美产区天气良好、产 量前景乐观。上周油厂豆粕库存再度上升，长时间为历史同期 最高。 黑色金属（铁矿石） Champion Iron 拟收购 Rana Gruber 铁水基本逐步持平叠加钢厂原料库存不高，下游补库情绪或略 ...