Market Performance - Government bond futures closed lower across the board, with the 30-year main contract down 0.46% at 119.970 yuan, the 10-year main contract down 0.05% at 108.760 yuan, the 5-year main contract down 0.05% at 105.955 yuan, and the 2-year main contract down 0.01% at 102.420 yuan [1] - As of 17:00, the yield on the 30-year government bond "25 Super Long Special Government Bond 02" rose by 1.4 basis points to 1.887%, the yield on the 10-year government development bond "25 National Development 10" rose by 1.05 basis points to 1.7525%, and the yield on the 10-year government bond "25 Coupon Government Bond 11" rose by 0.95 basis points to 1.6735% [1] Funding Conditions - The central bank announced a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 170.7 billion yuan at a fixed rate, with a bidding amount of 170.7 billion yuan and a successful bid amount of 170.7 billion yuan [2] - On the same day, 226.2 billion yuan in reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 55.5 billion yuan [2] - The overnight repurchase weighted rate (DR001) fell by nearly 10 basis points to around 1.35%, indicating a gradual return to a balanced but slightly loose liquidity environment post-tax period [2] News Developments - On July 19, the groundbreaking ceremony for the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project was held in Linzhi City, Tibet, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan for the construction of five tiered power stations [3] - The project primarily focuses on power transmission and consumption outside Tibet while also addressing local demand [3] - The stock market opened high and continued to trend upward, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.72%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising 0.86%, and the ChiNext Index rising 0.87% [3] - A total trading volume of 1.73 trillion yuan was recorded, up from 1.59 trillion yuan the previous day, with 4,000 stocks gaining and the number of stocks hitting the daily limit reaching a two-month high [3] Operational Suggestions - Recent policies against excessive competition and the commencement of large infrastructure projects have boosted the commodity and equity markets, leading to a recovery in risk appetite that may suppress the bond market [4] - Current fundamental data shows a supply-demand divergence, with production continuing to rise, positively impacting quarterly GDP performance, but nominal growth is hindered by low inflation, affecting corporate profits and real economic sentiment [4] - The period of July to August may see a new round of stable real estate policies, government investment expansion, and tariff negotiations, indicating a complex macroeconomic outlook [4] - The bond market is expected to remain in a range-bound phase due to the lack of a clear main trend, with the T2509 contract focusing on support around 108.6 [4] - A cautious approach is recommended in the short term, monitoring funding conditions and incremental policy developments, while considering a potential shift towards a looser funding environment [4]

金十数据7月22日讯，据知情人士透露，马来西亚政府正寻求将美国总统特朗普拟加征的关税税率降至 约20%，但拒绝在电动汽车政策及外资持股限制等关键领域作出让步。知情人士称，马来西亚总理安瓦 尔的谈判团队正努力将关税从8月1日起实施的25%降至更低水平，目标是与印尼、越南等区域邻国的税 率看齐。目前马来西亚已在解决美国关注的高性能半导体走私问题上取得进展，但拒绝了其三项核心要 求：延长美国电动汽车税收优惠、放宽电力及金融等敏感行业的外资持股上限、削减对本土渔民的补 贴。 马来西亚力争将美国关税降至20% 拒绝核心领域让步 ...

中方刚调整出口规则，美方就计划对中国石墨加征反倾销税,加拿大也趁势出手，目标瞄准中国进口钢材。那么，在新修订的《禁止出口限制出口技术目 录》中，中方都做出了哪些调整？中美关税谈判关键阶段，加拿大又是如何对华出手的？ 当地时间7月17日，美国商务部以存在不公平补贴为由，宣布对原产自中国的阳极级石墨加征93.5%的初级反倾销税。彭博社报道称，由于新关税将在原有 税率基础上进行叠加，因此，中国输美石墨的实际关税税率，已经达到了160%。 作为生产电动汽车电池的关键材料，石墨被美方列入加税名单并不让人意外。毕竟从拜登政府开始，美国对于中国电动汽车的污蔑和打压就没停过。再加上 美国商务部发布关税新规前，中方刚调整发布了《禁止出口限制出口技术目录》，加强了对电池正极材料制备技术、有色金属冶金技术等方面的出口管控。 在这种情况下，不排除美方出于报复心理，对电动汽车电池的原材料动手。 这一点，从中方调整出口规则后，多家美国媒体的评论中也能得到印证。《华尔街日报》报道称，中方正试图提高外国公司获得中国先进技术的门槛； CNN则宣称，中方此举旨在巩固其在电动汽车电池领域的主导地位，将电池生产的上游工艺牢牢掌握在自己手中。 不过， ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a bullish trend, supported by national empowerment, the enhancement of its international financial center status, and an influx of incremental capital, with expectations for continued strength in the second half of the year [1] - The market is anticipated to remain volatile in the third quarter, but pressure factors are expected to be lower than anticipated, potentially leading to an earlier market rally [1] - The long-term macro factors supporting the Hong Kong stock market's liquidity have not changed, although there may be marginal tightening pressures in the third quarter due to various factors [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong stock market is currently at a relatively low absolute valuation level, with historical valuation percentiles in the upper middle range [2] - The market has shown strong performance in the first half of the year, driven by a resonance between fundamentals and capital flows, with both domestic and foreign investors forming a bullish consensus on Chinese assets [2] - There is a positive sentiment in the Hong Kong stock market, with continuous inflows of southbound capital and no significant outflows observed so far this year [2]

Global Market Performance - The global stock market showed mixed results last week, with the US indices displaying divergence; the Nasdaq and S&P 500 rose while the Dow Jones experienced a slight pullback [3] - In Europe, the FTSE 100 and DAX indices increased, whereas the CAC40 index saw a minor decline [3] - The Asia-Pacific region also had mixed results, with the SENSEX30 index in India retreating [3] Economic Indicators - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a moderate increase, with a month-on-month rise of 0.3% and a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, marking a four-month high [3] - Core CPI rose by 0.23% month-on-month, with a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, slightly below expectations [3] - The impact of tariffs on specific product categories is becoming more pronounced, indicating ongoing inflationary pressures [3] Stablecoin Legislation - On July 17, the US Congress passed three significant bills regarding stablecoin regulation, which were signed into law by President Trump [4] - The GENIUS Act mandates that stablecoin issuers must hold reserves in a 1:1 ratio with US dollars, enhancing the security of funds held by users [4] - The CLARITY Act delineates the regulatory responsibilities between the SEC and CFTC, establishing a framework for digital assets linked to blockchain technology [6] - The Anti-CBDC Surveillance Act prohibits the Federal Reserve from issuing retail central bank digital currency without explicit Congressional authorization, ensuring that the future of digital dollars remains in the private sector [7] Market Implications of Legislation - The passage of these bills is expected to create a new dominance in the digital finance sector, reinforcing the US's position in the global cryptocurrency market [8] - By binding stablecoins closely to the US dollar, the legislation aims to strengthen the dollar's role in the international monetary system [8] - The demand for US Treasury bonds may diversify as stablecoin issuers are likely to purchase them, alleviating selling pressure and potentially lowering government borrowing costs [8] Market Strategy - Following recent highs in the US stock market, caution is advised due to potential volatility stemming from ongoing tariff negotiations and changing interest rate expectations [3] - The report suggests focusing on high-certainty interest rate trades and sectors with strong growth potential, such as nuclear power and semiconductors, as a strategy to navigate increased market fluctuations [3]

德国政府发言人：（关于欧盟与美国的关税谈判）德国总理目前不认为欧盟采取反制措施是合适的。 ...

韩国产业通商资源部部长：与美国的关税谈判形势严峻，将尽一切努力顺利完成关税谈判。 ...

韩国工业部长：承诺将全力以赴推动与美国的关税谈判顺利完成。 ...

韩国工业部长：与美国的关税谈判局势严峻。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba emphasizes the importance of not abandoning the negotiation foundation established through tariff discussions with the United States [1] Group 1 - The statement reflects Japan's commitment to maintaining a strong negotiation stance in trade relations with the U.S. [1]