Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided 2. Core View The stock index reached a new high during intraday trading today, but pulled back in the afternoon. The overall upward trend of the stock index remains unchanged. The afternoon pullback is a way to prevent overheating of market sentiment. After consecutive sharp rises, the index may experience a short - term consolidation. It is recommended to hold long positions [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Review - The stock index showed mixed performance today, with large - cap indices rising and small and medium - cap indices falling. The trading volume of the two markets decreased by 284.39 billion yuan. Among stock index futures, IH rose with shrinking volume, while the rest rose with increasing volume [4]. Important Information - At the end of the second quarter, the balance of RMB real estate loans was 53.33 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.4%, 0.6 percentage points higher than at the end of last year, with an increase of 416.6 billion yuan in the first half of the year [5]. - Trump's stance on "firing Powell" has softened, and he and Bessent are pressuring the Fed to cut interest rates [5]. Strategy Recommendation - Hold long positions and wait and see [7]. Futures Market Observation | | IF | IH | IC | IM | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Main contract intraday change (%) | 0.31 | 0.48 | 0.13 | 0.06 | | Trading volume (10,000 lots) | 13.1109 | 6.6876 | 10.5221 | 21.174 | | Trading volume change (10,000 lots) | 1.3706 | 0.7078 | 1.2645 | 1.9443 | | Open interest (10,000 lots) | 26.9057 | 10.0756 | 22.8236 | 33.8278 | | Open interest change (10,000 lots) | 0.151 | - 0.1022 | 0.291 | 0.9947 | [7] Spot Market Observation | Name | Value | | --- | --- | | Shanghai Composite Index change (%) | 0.01 | | Shenzhen Component Index change (%) | - 0.37 | | Ratio of rising to falling stocks | 0.32 | | Trading volume of the two markets (billion yuan) | 18646.00 | | Trading volume change (billion yuan) | - 284.39 | [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core View of the Report - In the second quarter of 2025, Central Huijin bought large - scale exchange - traded funds (ETFs), with the total purchase amount exceeding 200 billion yuan. The LPR remained unchanged in July. A - share major indices mostly declined, and the trading volume decreased slightly. The real estate market still drags down fixed - asset investment growth, and the support of trade - in programs for social retail sales has weakened. However, financial data shows that the loose monetary policy has achieved some results, which may be reflected in subsequent economic indicators. With the approaching of the Politburo meeting at the end of July, market bulls may make early arrangements. Central Huijin's ETF purchases also boost market confidence, and stock indices still have long - term upward potential. The strategy is to buy on dips with a light position [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Prices and Spreads - IF main contract (2509) price is 4109.2, up 12.6; IH main contract (2509) price is 2802.8, up 13.4. IC main contract (2509) price is 6120.0, up 8.2; IM main contract (2509) price is 6500.0, up 4.2. Most spreads between different contracts decreased, while the differences between quarterly and current contracts of most varieties increased [2] 3.2 Futures Position - IF top 20 net positions are - 27,906.00, up 240.0; IH top 20 net positions are - 15,788.00, up 674.0; IC top 20 net positions are - 12,752.00, up 932.0; IM top 20 net positions are - 38,839.00, down 691.0 [2] 3.3 Spot Prices and Basis - The Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 index is 4119.77, up 0.8; the Shanghai 50 index is 2801.20, up 9.0; the CSI 500 index is 6196.76, down 16.7; the CSI 1000 index is 6607.22, down 29.9. The basis of most futures contracts has different changes [2] 3.4 Market Sentiment - A - share trading volume is 18,983.71 billion yuan, down 302.74 billion yuan; margin trading balance is 19,332.73 billion yuan, up 153.54 billion yuan. North - bound trading volume is 2414.97 billion yuan, up 328.02 billion yuan. The proportion of rising stocks is 23.44%, down 23.46 percentage points [2] 3.5 Wind Market Strength - Weakness Analysis - The overall A - share index is 3.40, down 2.30; the technical index is 2.30, down 2.30; the capital index is 4.50, down 2.30 [2] 3.6 Industry News - In the second quarter of 2025, Central Huijin bought large - scale ETFs. On July 21, the 1 - year LPR was 3.0%, and the 5 - year LPR was 3.5%, both unchanged from the previous month [2] 3.7 Key Events to Watch - July 24: France, Germany, Eurozone, UK July SPGI manufacturing PMI preliminary value; European Central Bank interest rate decision; US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 19 and July SPGI manufacturing PMI preliminary value. July 27: China's industrial enterprise profits above designated size in June [3]

Index Trends - On July 22, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.62% to close at 3581.86 points, with a trading volume of 840.573 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.84% to close at 11099.83 points, with a trading volume of 1052.465 billion yuan [1]. - The CSI 1000 Index rose 0.38%, with a trading volume of 395.915 billion yuan, opening at 6607.83, closing at 6637.1, with a daily high of 6642.24 and a low of 6597.05 [1]. - The CSI 500 Index rose 0.85%, with a trading volume of 313.662 billion yuan, opening at 6166.62, closing at 6213.41, with a daily high of 6215.41 and a low of 6152.81 [1]. - The SSE 50 Index rose 0.72%, with a trading volume of 129.395 billion yuan, opening at 2773.4, closing at 2792.18, with a daily high of 2795.49 and a low of 2760.31 [1]. - The SSE 300 Index rose 0.82%, with a trading volume of 450.874 billion yuan, opening at 4087.34, closing at 4118.96, with a daily high of 4119.2 and a low of 4068.34 [1]. Impact of Sector Movements on Indexes - The CSI 1000 rose 24.84 points from the previous close. Sectors such as basic chemicals, power equipment, and non - ferrous metals significantly pulled the index up, while sectors like electronics and computers pulled it down [2]. - The CSI 500 rose 52.1 points from the previous close. Sectors such as non - ferrous metals, coal, and power equipment significantly pulled the index up [2]. - The SSE 300 rose 33.35 points from the previous close. Sectors such as power equipment, food and beverage, and coal significantly pulled the index up, while the banking sector pulled it down [2]. - The SSE 50 rose 19.94 points from the previous close. Sectors such as food and beverage, machinery, and coal significantly pulled the index up, while non - bank finance and banking sectors pulled it down [2]. Stock Index Futures Basis and Annualized Opening Costs - IM00 average daily basis was - 62.26, IM01 was - 136.19, IM02 was - 321.36, and IM03 was - 483.19 [12]. - IC00 average daily basis was - 43.55, IC01 was - 95.98, IC02 was - 223.44, and IC03 was - 341.34 [12]. - IF00 average daily basis was - 7.04, IF01 was - 17.08, IF02 was - 49.26, and IF03 was - 76.95 [12]. - IH00 average daily basis was 0.75, IH01 was 1.12, IH02 was 3.73, and IH03 was 5.42 [12]. Stock Index Futures Roll - over Point Differences and Annualized Costs - Data on roll - over point differences and annualized costs for IM, IC, IF, and IH futures contracts at different time intervals are provided, including various combinations such as 00 - 01, 00 - 02, etc. [22][27][28]

Group 1 - The main contract of the CSI 500 stock index futures (IC) experienced an intraday increase of 1.00% [1] - The current index level is reported at 6173.0 points [1]

Group 1: Core Concepts of Stock Index Futures - Understanding the basic concepts of stock index futures is essential, including contract subjects, contract elements, and trading rules [1] - Familiarity with margin systems and leverage effects is crucial, where a 10% margin implies a 10x leverage, and a 1% index fluctuation can lead to a 10% gain or loss on the principal [1] - Key factors influencing stock index futures prices include macroeconomic data, monetary policy, and international market trends [1] Group 2: Trading Software Proficiency - Mastery of mainstream trading software functionalities is necessary, including real-time index tracking and technical indicators for market analysis [2] - Understanding the difference between market orders and limit orders is important for effective trading [2] - Practicing with simulation trading software for 1-2 weeks is recommended to avoid operational errors in real trading [2] Group 3: Selection of Futures Products - Choosing stock index futures should align with individual risk tolerance and capital scale, with the CSI 300 index futures being the most liquid and suitable for beginners [4] - The contract multiplier for CSI 300 is 300 CNY/point, with a margin requirement of approximately 120,000 CNY at 4,000 points [4] - The CSI 500 and CSI 1000 index futures have lower capital requirements but come with varying levels of liquidity and risk [4] Group 4: Trading Strategies by Time Period - The morning session is characterized by high volatility influenced by overnight news, making it suitable for trend-following strategies [5] - The midday session often sees consolidation, which is ideal for range trading strategies [5] - The afternoon session may indicate short-term trend continuations, but caution is advised regarding overnight positions due to external market risks [5]

Report Information - Report Title: Stock Index Futures Panoramic Daily Report 2025/7/22 [1] - Researcher: Liao Hongbin [3] - Futures Practitioner Qualification Number: F30825507 [3] - Futures Investment Consulting Practitioner Certificate Number: Z0020723 [3] Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - A total of 1,540 A-share listed companies disclosed their semi-annual performance forecasts for 2025 as of July 18, 2025, with 674 companies expecting good news, a pre - happy ratio of about 43.77% [2] - On July 21, the 1 - year and 5 - year - plus loan prime rates (LPR) remained unchanged from the previous month [2] - A - share major indices rose collectively, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.62%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.84%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.61%. The trading volume of the two markets increased for four consecutive trading days [2] - The real estate market still drags down fixed - asset investment growth, and the support of trade - in for social retail sales has weakened, but the loose monetary policy has shown results in financial data, which may be reflected in subsequent economic indicators [2] - As the Politburo meeting at the end of July approaches, market bulls may make early arrangements, and stock indices still have long - term upward potential. It is recommended to buy on dips with a light position [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Contract Data - IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts' main and sub - main contracts all showed upward trends in price changes compared to the previous period [2] - The spreads between different contracts such as IC - IF, IF - IH, etc. also had corresponding changes, with some increasing and some decreasing [2] - The net positions of the top 20 in futures contracts mostly decreased, such as IH with a decrease of 1,666.0 and IF with a decrease of 518.0 [2] Basis and Market Sentiment Data - The basis of the main contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM all increased compared to the previous period [2] - The margin trading balance increased by 1,338.16 billion yuan, and the A - share trading volume increased by 155.82 billion yuan [2] - The reverse repurchase operation volume increased by 140.75 billion yuan, and the north - bound trading volume increased by 2,148.0 [2] - The MLF net injection decreased by 465.57 billion yuan [2] Option and Volatility Data - The closing price of the IO at - the - money call option (2508) increased by 18.40, and its implied volatility increased by 0.26% [2] - The closing price of the IO at - the - money put option (2508) decreased by 19.20, and its implied volatility increased by 0.26% [2] - The 20 - day volatility of the CSI 300 index decreased by 0.42%, and the trading volume PCR increased by 1.67% [2] - The position PCR increased by 5.72% [2] Technical and Market Analysis Data - The Wind market strength of all A - shares decreased by 1.50, and the technical aspect decreased by 2.60 [2] - The capital aspect decreased by 0.30 [2] Key Events to Watch - On July 24, 15:15 - 16:30, the preliminary SPGI manufacturing PMI values for France, Germany, the Eurozone, and the UK in July will be released [3] - On July 24, 20:15, the European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision [3] - On July 24, 20:30, the number of initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending July 19 will be released, and at 21:45, the preliminary SPGI manufacturing PMI value for the US in July will be released [3] - On July 27, 9:30, China's industrial enterprise profits above designated size for June will be released [3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - A-share major indexes rose collectively, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.72%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.86%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.87%. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets rebounded significantly, and over 4,000 stocks rose. Industry sectors generally increased, with building materials, building decoration, and steel sectors strengthening significantly while bank stocks fell against the market [2]. - In the domestic economic fundamentals, the Q2 GDP grew 5.2% year-on-year, meeting market expectations. However, the growth rates of social retail sales and fixed - asset investment declined significantly, and the real estate market continued to decline. Exports improved due to the easing of Sino - US trade relations. In financial data, the year - on - year growth rates of M1 and M2 in June accelerated compared to May, with the M1 growth rate rising significantly and the M2 - M1 gap narrowing, indicating improved investment and consumption willingness of residents and enterprises [2]. - The LPR quotes in July remained unchanged. The Q2 GDP meeting expectations alleviated the urgency of LPR cuts. The profit performance of listed companies that have announced semi - annual performance forecasts is differentiated. Overall, the real estate market still drags down fixed - asset investment growth, and the support of the trade - in policy for social retail sales has weakened. However, the effectiveness of loose monetary policies has emerged, which may be reflected in subsequent economic indicators. As the Politburo meeting approaches at the end of July, market bulls may pre - arrange, and stock indexes still have long - term upward potential. It is recommended to buy on dips with a light position [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Disk - **Contract Prices**: IF (2509) was at 4064.8 (+29.6), IH (2509) at 2771.2 (+8.0), IC (2509) at 6055.6 (+62.4), and IM (2509) at 6463.2 (+59.4). The prices of secondary contracts also increased [2]. - **Contract Spreads**: The spreads between different contracts had various changes, such as the IF - IH spread up 17.8, the IC - IF spread up 32.0, etc. [2]. - **Quarter - to - Month Spreads**: The spreads between quarterly and monthly contracts of different varieties had different trends, with some rising and some falling [2]. 3.2 Futures Positions - The net positions of the top 20 in IF decreased by 130.0 to - 28,974.00, while those in IH increased by 1811.0 to - 15,786.00. The net positions of the top 20 in IC and IM also increased [2]. 3.3 Spot Prices - The spot prices of the CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 all rose, and the basis of corresponding futures contracts changed, mostly decreasing [2]. 3.4 Market Sentiment - A - share trading volume was 17,271.35 billion yuan, up 1338.16 billion yuan. Margin trading balance decreased by 20.66 billion yuan to 19,023.36 billion yuan. Northbound trading volume increased by 99.31 billion yuan to 1946.21 billion yuan [2]. - The proportion of rising stocks was 73.92%, up 25.91 percentage points. Shibor was 1.366%, down 0.096 percentage points. The closing prices and implied volatilities of call and put options changed, and the 20 - day volatility of the CSI 300 index increased [2]. 3.5 Wind Market Strength and Weakness Analysis - All A - shares, technical, and capital indicators in the Wind analysis showed upward trends, with increases of 1.50, 2.60, and 0.50 respectively [2]. 3.6 Industry News - As of July 18, 1540 A - share listed companies announced 2025 semi - annual performance forecasts, with 674 pre - optimistic, a pre - optimistic ratio of about 43.77% [2]. - On July 21, the 1 - year and 5 - year - plus LPR remained unchanged at 3.0% and 3.5% respectively [2]. 3.7 Key Points of Attention - Key economic data and events to watch include the July SPGI manufacturing PMI preliminary values of France, Germany, the Eurozone, and the UK on July 24, the European Central Bank interest rate decision, US initial jobless claims, and the US July SPGI manufacturing PMI preliminary value, as well as China's June industrial enterprise profits on July 27 [3].

Group 1 - The main contracts for stock index futures showed positive performance with the CSI 300 index futures (IF) rising by 0.35% [1] - The SSE 50 index futures (IH) increased by 0.09%, indicating a slight upward trend [1] - The CSI 500 index futures (IC) and CSI 1000 index futures (IM) experienced more significant gains, rising by 0.96% and 0.99% respectively [1]

Group 1 - The main contracts for stock index futures showed positive performance in early trading, with the CSI 300 index futures (IF) rising by 0.52% [1] - The SSE 50 index futures (IH) increased by 0.35%, indicating a favorable market sentiment [1] - The CSI 500 index futures (IC) and CSI 1000 index futures (IM) also experienced gains, rising by 0.65% and 0.60% respectively [1]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The market continued to rise last week, with the growth style leading. The core driver of the rise lies in the lack of negative disturbances, keeping the market risk appetite on the bullish side, and the structural market continued [1]. - In the short - term, A - share risk appetite is positive. Without significant negative factors, the stock index will show a volatile and strong pattern. In the medium - term, the economic outlook is moderately recovering, the confidence in the capital market is improving, and external geopolitical disturbances are not likely to cause a long - term negative trend, maintaining a bullish market pattern [1][2]. - Attention should be paid to the formulation and implementation of anti - involution and anti - deflation policies, as well as the expected Fed policies [3]. 3. Summary by Sections Market Review and Outlook - **Global Index Performance**: Last week, global stock indices showed mixed performance. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.07%, the S&P 500 rose 0.59%, and the Nasdaq rose 1.51%. In the European market, the UK FTSE 100 rose 0.57%, the German DAX rose 0.14%, and the French CAC40 fell 0.08%. In the Asia - Pacific market, the Nikkei 225 rose 0.63%, and the Hang Seng Index rose 2.84% [8]. - **Domestic Index Performance**: All major domestic indices rose last week. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.69%. Since 2025, various major indices have also shown an upward trend [8]. - **Industry Performance**: In the spot market, most industries in the CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices rose last week. The communication, pharmaceutical, and automotive sectors were among the top gainers, while the media, real estate, and public utilities sectors were among the top losers [1][10]. - **Index Futures Performance**: Among the index futures main contracts last week, IM had the largest increase and the largest amplitude. The trading volume of index futures rebounded, while the open interest declined [12][15]. - **Index Valuation**: As of July 18, the P/E ratio (TTM) of the Shanghai Composite Index was 15.38 times, that of the CSI 300 Index was 13.38 times, and that of the SSE 50 Index was 11.38 times [19]. - **Market Capital Flow**: The number of new investors in the two markets and the share of newly established equity - biased funds are presented in the report. The capital interest rate price rebounded last week, and the central bank had a net injection [22]. Strategy Suggestions - **Short - term Strategy**: For intraday trading, refer to the 1 - minute and 5 - minute K - line charts. Set the stop - loss and take - profit levels for IF, IH, IC, and IM at 76/95 points, 58/31 points, 66/121 points, and 84/142 points respectively [4]. - **Trend Strategy**: Adopt a bullish approach. The expected core operating ranges for the main contracts of IF2508, IH2508, IC2508, and IM2508 are 3932 - 4135 points, 2699 - 2824 points, 5872 - 6266 points, and 6263 - 6685 points respectively [4]. - **Cross - variety Strategy**: Cautiously participate in the strategy of shorting IF (or IH) and going long on IC (or IM) [5].