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【环时深度】美国为何反复回归“孤岛心态”?
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-08-26 23:20
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing isolation of the United States due to its trade policies, humanitarian aid cuts, and immigration restrictions, raising concerns about the potential decline of free trade and the U.S.'s global influence [1][8]. Group 1: U.S. Isolation and Global Impact - The U.S. is perceived as increasingly isolated, with its actions leading to a deterioration of its international image and a weakening of its dominant position in the global economy [1][3][9]. - The U.S. government's withdrawal from international organizations and its restrictive immigration policies are contributing to a decline in its attractiveness as a destination for foreign talent and investment [3][9]. - The U.S. is projected to be the only country experiencing a decline in foreign tourist spending this year, with international visitor numbers only reaching 80% of 2019 levels [4][9]. Group 2: Historical Context of U.S. Isolationism - The article traces the roots of American isolationism back to its geographical advantages and historical policies, such as Washington's farewell address and the Monroe Doctrine, which emphasized non-interference in foreign affairs [5][6]. - Public sentiment in the U.S. has historically leaned towards isolationism, especially during periods of international conflict, with significant events like World War I and II shaping this perspective [6][7]. Group 3: Shifts in Global Trade Dynamics - The U.S.'s trade wars and isolationist policies are prompting other countries to seek new partnerships, leading to tighter cooperation between Canada and Europe, and a shift in trade dynamics away from U.S. involvement [8][9]. - The article notes that since 2017, the share of global trade involving the U.S. has declined, with other regions, particularly Asia and Europe, increasing their trade shares [8][9]. Group 4: Declining U.S. Influence - The U.S. is losing its status as a key player in the global economy, with its isolationist policies undermining its previous role as a leading economic power and diminishing the dollar's status as a reserve currency [9][10]. - The article highlights that the U.S.'s complex cultural understanding and selective policy enforcement are eroding its soft power and international credibility [9][10].
打破惯例的访问:李在明用心准备,特朗普另有盘算
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-26 06:30
Group 1: US-Korea Relations - The meeting between US President Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae-myung focused on US-Korea alliance, the situation on the Korean Peninsula, and manufacturing cooperation [1][3] - Trump expressed intentions to request ownership of land for US military bases in South Korea, which currently are provided for free by the Korean government [2] - Lee Jae-myung emphasized the importance of US-Korea-Japan cooperation and mentioned his recent visit to Japan to address historical issues between Korea and Japan [9][11] Group 2: Economic Cooperation - Trump mentioned that South Korea is interested in renegotiating the trade agreement reached in July, indicating a willingness to discuss economic relations [5] - South Korea's Korean Air announced plans to purchase over 100 Boeing aircraft, marking the largest deal in Korean aviation history, with a total value of approximately $50 billion [8] - Trump indicated plans for the US to procure ships from South Korea and expressed interest in local labor production in the US shipbuilding sector [6] Group 3: Future Engagements - Trump expressed a desire to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un again, indicating optimism about North Korea's potential [3] - Trump plans to visit South Korea soon for a trade meeting, likely related to the upcoming APEC summit [6]
美媒:“美网”给美国外交上了一课
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-08-25 23:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the balance between national pride and global cooperation, using the U.S. Open as a metaphor for how the U.S. can pursue its interests while also engaging fairly with the international community [1][2]. Group 1: National Pride and Global Engagement - The U.S. audience desires success for American athletes while also recognizing the value of foreign competitors, indicating a duality in national pride and global cooperation [1][2]. - The competitive spirit in sports can reflect a broader desire for national success in various fields, including research, industry, and arts, suggesting that Americans prefer to be part of a successful "team" [1][2]. Group 2: Fair Competition and Trust - The integrity of sports, such as the U.S. Open, relies on fair competition; any manipulation of rankings would undermine trust and diminish the quality of the event [2]. - The article emphasizes that national identity is not fixed, and the "us vs. them" mentality should have clear boundaries, as many athletes share cross-cultural backgrounds [2]. Group 3: Diplomatic Strategy - The U.S. could adopt a diplomatic strategy that leverages national pride while promoting a fair global competitive environment, benefiting both the country and the world [2]. - It is possible for U.S. leaders to prioritize national interests while contributing to the international community, provided that principles of fair competition are upheld [2].
热点问答|韩国总统访日 双方谈了什么
Xin Hua She· 2025-08-24 13:23
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the significance of South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol's visit to Japan, marking a shift in diplomatic relations between the two countries after a long period of tension [1][2] - The meeting between Yoon and Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Fumio resulted in a joint statement, emphasizing the commitment to steadily advance bilateral relations and address historical issues [1][3] - Yoon's visit is seen as a strategic move to strengthen ties with Japan before meeting with U.S. President Trump, reflecting a pragmatic approach to foreign policy [2][3] Group 2 - Yoon's change in attitude towards Japan is notable, as he previously held a "anti-Japan" stance during his time in opposition, but now recognizes the importance of cooperation [4][5] - Analysts suggest that historical issues remain a significant uncertainty in the development of South Korea-Japan relations, potentially hindering long-term progress [5][6] - The rise of right-wing nationalism in Japan poses challenges for future diplomatic engagements, particularly regarding historical grievances [6]
48小时内三连击!特朗普“强人神话”开始坍塌,中国只需静候其变
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 16:47
Group 1 - The article discusses the recent setbacks faced by Trump, highlighting a shift in the trade war dynamics and the collapse of his "America First" narrative [3][22] - OPEC+ announced an increase in oil production by 548,000 barrels per day starting in September, undermining Trump's energy strategy [4][5] - Trump's approval ratings have plummeted, with only 37% of Americans supporting his economic policies, marking a new low in his presidency [8][9] Group 2 - The article notes that 62% of Americans oppose Trump's tariff policies, and 55% believe his overall economic strategy has failed [9][10] - Small businesses are struggling with rising production costs, leading to layoffs and halted expansion plans [9][10] - The U.S. job growth in July was reported as the worst since the pandemic, prompting Trump to fire the head of the Labor Department's statistics office [10][11] Group 3 - Trump's recent comments indicate a sudden softening of his stance towards China, suggesting a potential shift in strategy as he faces internal pressures [16][17] - The global response to Trump's new tariffs has been muted, with many countries observing China's next moves closely [20][21] - The article emphasizes that the internal contradictions of Trump's policies are leading to his decline, as he struggles to maintain domestic support [22][24]
“赢麻了”!特朗普透露“美乌矿产细节”,美国收益远超3500亿!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 15:14
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Trump's claims regarding a mineral agreement with Ukraine, suggesting that the potential revenue for the U.S. could exceed $350 billion, significantly more than the $350 billion previously provided by Biden in aid to Ukraine [1][3]. Group 1: Mineral Agreement and Financial Implications - Trump asserts that the value of the rare earth minerals obtained through the agreement far surpasses the $350 billion previously sent by Biden [3]. - The article highlights that the $350 billion is approximately one-thirteenth of the U.S. annual fiscal revenue and equivalent to Ukraine's two-year GDP [3]. - The U.S. has reportedly provided around $67 billion in military equipment and $31.5 billion in direct financial support to Ukraine over three years, suggesting that the actual U.S. expenditure is closer to $100 billion [3]. Group 2: Trump's Approach and Strategy - Trump's negotiation style is characterized as shrewd and focused on maximizing U.S. benefits, with a clear "America First" strategy [11]. - The article notes that Trump is unwilling to provide any military support to Ukraine without compensation, contrasting with Biden's approach [8][14]. - Trump's lack of sympathy for Ukraine's plight is emphasized, as he prioritizes U.S. financial interests over humanitarian concerns [14]. Group 3: Challenges in Implementation - The article points out that the mineral agreement does not guarantee immediate cash flow, as it relies on future development and investment in Ukraine's mineral industry [16]. - Several challenges are identified, including the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, which complicates the development process [17]. - The efficiency of mineral processing is questioned, particularly regarding the U.S.'s technological capabilities compared to those of China [18]. - The timeline for successful development during Trump's remaining term is uncertain, with potential changes in U.S. administration affecting the agreement's viability [20][21].
特朗普有3个失误,鲁比奥也承认犯错!美国在贸易战上输给了中国
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 05:44
Group 1 - Trump's underestimation of China's resilience and the miscalculation of the U.S. economy's ability to withstand high tariffs led to significant economic consequences for the U.S. [3][4][18] - The trade war initiated by Trump resulted in rising costs for American businesses and increased prices for consumers, impacting the agricultural sector severely [4][18] - Despite the negative media portrayal, Trump's support base remains strong due to his policies that resonate with conservative voters, particularly regarding immigration and economic nationalism [6][9] Group 2 - The global landscape shifted towards a multipolar world as Trump's "America First" policy forced countries to navigate between U.S. and Chinese interests, leading to increased cooperation with China [13][15] - China's domestic market has become a significant pillar of its economy, contributing 79.1% to its growth by 2025, showcasing its ability to adapt and thrive despite U.S. tariffs [15] - The misjudgment of allies' support for the U.S. strategy against China revealed a lack of understanding of global economic dynamics, as many countries continued to engage with China despite public alignment with U.S. policies [15][18]
在特朗普的带领下,美国已不再值得信任,多个盟友叫停采购F-35计划
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 01:24
Core Points - The recent cancellation of a $10 billion F-35 order by Spain and similar actions from Switzerland and India indicate a growing discontent among U.S. allies regarding American trade policies and military sales [1][2] - The imposition of a 39% tariff on steel and aluminum by the Trump administration has significantly impacted U.S. defense contractors, leading to increased costs for allies and a potential loss of trust in the U.S. as a reliable partner [1][2] Group 1 - Spain's shift to the French Rafale fighter jet highlights the need for "reliable partners," suggesting a loss of confidence in U.S. military support [1] - Switzerland's F-35 procurement costs are projected to rise by an additional $1.6 billion due to inflation and material costs linked to U.S. tariffs, further straining their defense budget [1] - The ongoing trade tensions and tariffs have eroded the patience of U.S. allies, culminating in the F-35 order crisis as a significant turning point in military sales relationships [2] Group 2 - The cumulative effects of U.S. policies since 2018, including tariffs and the withdrawal from Afghanistan, have led to a deterioration of trust among allies [2] - The F-35 order crisis serves as a clear indication that even the strongest military sales relationships cannot withstand the pressures of "America First" policies [2]
美方开出300%芯片关税!特朗普:必须在美国建厂,否则免谈?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 15:05
Core Viewpoint - The article critiques the transactional nature of Trump's foreign policy, portraying him as a businessman prioritizing profit over alliances and ethical considerations [1][3][10] Group 1: Trump's Foreign Policy Approach - Trump's foreign policy is characterized by a lack of genuine alliances, viewing relationships as transactional and based solely on economic benefits [3][5] - He uses military aid and trade tariffs as leverage to extract concessions from countries, treating allies as "paying members" [5][10] - The approach leads to a perception of the U.S. as a self-serving entity, undermining its credibility and long-term relationships with allies [10] Group 2: Specific Incidents and Reactions - Trump's fluctuating stance on Ukraine and Russia illustrates his opportunistic strategy, where he initially supports Ukraine but later uses military aid as a bargaining chip [1][6] - His interactions with global leaders, such as the leniency shown towards China regarding oil purchases, highlight his willingness to adapt based on economic calculations [6][10] - The imposition of high tariffs on companies not manufacturing in the U.S. reflects his aggressive economic strategy aimed at forcing companies to relocate [7][10] Group 3: Broader Implications - The article suggests that Trump's "transactional diplomacy" may yield short-term gains but risks long-term damage to U.S. credibility and international standing [10] - The dual standards in U.S. human rights advocacy are criticized, emphasizing the disconnect between rhetoric and domestic issues [8][10]
特朗普对全球亮出底牌,中方躲过一劫?美前财长:中国成唯一赢家
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 11:02
Group 1 - The Trump administration has introduced a significant tax increase list that impacts various countries globally, including traditional allies and emerging nations like Brazil and India, demonstrating a clear "America First" approach [1][3] - Notably, China is absent from this tax list, raising questions about the strategic reasoning behind this omission, especially given Trump's previous threats against China during his campaign [3][6] - Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers stated that this move inadvertently positions China as the "only winner" in this scenario, highlighting the complexities of the trade dynamics at play [5][12] Group 2 - The underlying strategy of Trump's tariffs is to revitalize the U.S. manufacturing sector and address domestic economic issues, but the decision to spare China suggests a recognition of the potential backlash from a full-scale trade war [6][8] - The absence of tariffs on China may be a tactical choice to avoid severe repercussions on the U.S. economy, as China is a critical player in global manufacturing and a significant market for U.S. goods [8][9] - Trump's isolationist policies have inadvertently provided opportunities for China to strengthen its global partnerships and advance its economic strategies, such as the Belt and Road Initiative and RCEP [10][14] Group 3 - The long-term implications of Trump's tariff strategy could harm the U.S. economy and its international reputation, as rising prices from tariffs directly affect American consumers [8][9] - The approach taken by the Trump administration may lead to a shift in global economic dynamics, with countries increasingly seeking self-reliance and forming new alliances outside of U.S. influence [12][14] - The evolving landscape suggests a move towards a multipolar world, where countries that resist U.S. pressure, like Brazil and India, may emerge as significant players in a redefined global order [12][14]