不良率

Search documents
【杭州银行(600926.SH)】扩表强度高,盈利增速稳——2025年一季报点评(王一峰/董文欣)
光大证券研究· 2025-04-29 09:23
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 亿、-39亿。25Q1末,对公贷款(含贴现)、零售贷款同比增速分别为18.2%、6.1%,增速较上年末分别下降 1.6、3.1pct,贷款投放保持较高强度。 利息收入贡献季环比提升,盈利增速维持高位 杭州银行25Q1营收、拨备前利润、归母净利润同比增速分别为2.2%、3%、17.3%,较2024年分别下降7.4、 6.5、0.8pct。其中,净利息收入、非息收入同比增速分别为6.8%、-5.4%,较2024年分别变动+2.4、-25.6pct。 拆分盈利同比增速结构,规模扩张、拨备为主要贡献分项,分别拉动业绩增速20、17.4pct;从边际变化看,规 模正贡献小幅下降但仍维持高位,息差负向拖累收窄,对利息收入形成支撑;非息收入由正向拉动 ...
成都银行(601838):向经营要效益,稳健、可持续的ROE更为关键
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-04-29 09:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chengdu Bank [2] Core Views - The bank's revenue for 2024 and Q1 2025 showed year-on-year growth of 5.9% and 3.2%, respectively, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 10.2% and 5.6% [5][7] - The bank's strategy focuses on achieving sustainable growth in return on equity (ROE) above 15%, despite a temporary dip due to convertible bond dilution [7][10] - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains at a low level of 0.66%, with a high provision coverage ratio of 456% [7][10] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 21,702.19 million in 2023 to 23,985.39 million in 2025E, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.37% [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 11,671.12 million in 2023 to 13,617.38 million in 2025E, reflecting a growth rate of 5.90% [6] - The bank's ROE is forecasted to decline from 18.78% in 2023 to 15.66% in 2025E [6] Loan Growth and Composition - The bank's loan growth remains strong, with a 16.9% increase in Q1 2025, driven primarily by corporate loans, which grew approximately 18% [7][11] - Retail loans are gradually improving, with Q1 2025 showing an increase of 23 million, compared to 10 million in the same period last year [7][11] Interest Margin and Cost Management - The net interest margin is projected to decline to 1.58% in Q1 2025, down 15 basis points year-on-year, with a focus on improving funding costs [10][14] - The bank's cost-to-income ratio has improved, contributing positively to profit growth [7][10] Risk Management - The bank maintains a low NPL ratio and a strong provision coverage, indicating effective risk management practices [10][11]
成都银行(601838):2024年度报告暨2025年一季报点评:规模扩张动能强劲,息差降幅同比收窄
EBSCN· 2025-04-29 08:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Chengdu Bank (601838.SH) with a current price of 17.74 CNY [1]. Core Views - Chengdu Bank's revenue for 2024 reached 23 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.9 billion CNY, up 10.2% year-on-year [3]. - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) for 2024 was 1.66%, showing a narrowing decline compared to previous periods, indicating a stabilization in interest income [8]. - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.66% at the end of 2024, maintaining a low level [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Chengdu Bank achieved operating income of 230 billion CNY, a 5.9% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 129 billion CNY, reflecting a 10.2% growth [3]. - For Q1 2025, the bank reported operating income of 58 billion CNY, up 3.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 30 billion CNY, a 5.6% increase [3]. Revenue Composition - The growth rates for net interest income and non-interest income in 2024 were 4.6% and 11.7%, respectively, with a notable decline in non-interest income growth in Q1 2025 [4][9]. - Non-interest income accounted for 17.4% of total revenue in Q1 2025, down 2.3 percentage points from 2024 [9]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio remained stable at 0.66% at the end of 2024, with a coverage ratio of 456% [10][11]. - The bank's credit impairment losses for Q1 2025 were 8.6 billion CNY, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous year [10]. Capital Adequacy - As of Q1 2025, the core tier 1 capital ratio was 8.8%, with a risk-weighted asset (RWA) growth rate of 16.1% [11][33]. - The bank's capital structure has been strengthened through the conversion of convertible bonds, increasing the total share capital [11]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 3.16, 3.27, and 3.35 CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 5.61, 5.42, and 5.30 [12][34].
宁波银行(002142):对公业务增长强劲,净利息收入双位数高增
Huachuang Securities· 2025-04-29 08:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Ningbo Bank with a target price of 29.57 CNY, based on the current price of 24.96 CNY [3][8]. Core Insights - Ningbo Bank reported a Q1 2025 revenue of 18.495 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 5.63%, and a net profit of 7.417 billion CNY, up 5.76% year-on-year. The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.76% [2][3]. - The bank's net interest income grew by 11.59% to 12.835 billion CNY, although this was a decrease from the 17.3% growth seen in 2024. Non-interest income faced pressure, with net commission income slightly declining by 1.32% to 1.417 billion CNY [7][8]. - The bank's total assets reached 3.40 trillion CNY, an 8.67% increase from the beginning of the year, with loans and advances totaling 1.64 trillion CNY, reflecting an 11.12% growth [7][8]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit Growth**: The bank's total revenue for 2024 is projected at 66.631 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.20%. The net profit for 2024 is expected to be 27.127 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 6.20% [8]. - **Loan and Deposit Growth**: By the end of Q1 2025, total deposits reached 21.8 trillion CNY, a significant increase of 18.86% from the start of the year, driven by strong corporate deposit growth [7][8]. - **Asset Quality**: The non-performing loan ratio remained low at 0.76%, with a provision coverage ratio of 370.54%, indicating stable asset quality [7][8]. Future Projections - The report forecasts net profit growth rates of 6.4%, 8.3%, and 7.8% for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively, with a target price corresponding to a price-to-book ratio of 0.90X for 2025 [7][8].
城商行“一哥”变“老三”——北京银行2024年财报分析
数说者· 2025-04-24 23:07
北京银行前身是由原北京 90 家城市信用社于 1996 年初组建而成的北京城市合作银行股份有限公 司, 1998 年更 名为 北京市商业银行股份有限公司 , 2004 年正式更名为北京银行股份有限公司。 2005 年,北京银行引入外资战略投资者 荷兰国际集团 ( ING BANK N.V )成为第一大股东, 2007 年在上交所 上市,股票代码为 601169 。 北京银行经营网络已经覆盖除北京外的,天津、石家庄、济南、青岛、上海、南京、苏州、杭州、宁波、深圳、 南昌、长沙、西安、乌鲁木齐等全国十余个中心城市,在香港特别行政区、荷兰设有代表处。但作为城市商业银行, 北京银行业务仍主要集中在北京及周边地区。 2024 年,京津冀及环渤海地区的营业收入、利润总额分别占全部收入和利润总额的 77.05% 和 85.66% 。 | 地区 | 营业收入 | 利润总额 | 资产总额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 京津冀及环渤海地区 | 53,874 | 24,365 | 3,078,348 | | 长三角地区 | 6,936 | 1,675 | 636,718 | | 其他地区 | 9,10 ...
风险管控任重道远——华夏银行2024年财报分析
数说者· 2025-04-20 13:58
华夏银行由首钢总公司(现更名为 "首钢集团有限公司")于 1992 年独资组建, 1995 年实现股份 制改造,变更为有 33 家法人股东 的股份制商业银行 (首钢总公司仍是第一大股东)。 2003 年在上次 所上市,股票代码为 600015 。 一、传统收益下降,投资补位明显 截至 2024 年末,华夏银行总资产达到 4.38 万亿元 ,增速 2.86% ;当年实现营业收入 971.46 亿元 ,同比增长 4.23% ;实现归母净利润 276.76 亿元 ,同比增长 4.98% 。 2024 年华夏银行 主要规模类指标均保持正增长,整体经营尚可 。 随着商业银行净息差收窄,华夏银行等商业银行均在不断开拓非息收入,在手续费也下降的情况 下,依靠投资兼取价差成为其增收的手段。 从近五年看,利息净收入当然仍是营业收入最主要的组成部分,但 投资收益金额和占比在 2023 年 就超过了手续费和佣金净收入,成为营业收入第二大组成部分 。 二、存款占比较低 + 存款定期化,净息差持续收窄 2024 年华夏银行净息差为 1.59% ,较 2023 年大幅 下降 23 个 BP ,且近五年来基本每年下降均超 过 20 个 B ...
【江苏银行(600919.SH)】规模扩张强度不减,营收盈利增长韧性高——2024年年报点评(王一峰/赵晨阳)
光大证券研究· 2025-04-20 13:17
4月18日,江苏银行发布2024年年报,全年实现营收808亿,同比增长8.8%,归母净利润318亿,同比增长 10.8%。加权平均净资产收益率(ROAE)13.6%,同比下降0.9pct。 点评: 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件: 营收增长提速,业绩表现韧性强 2024年江苏银行营收、拨备前利润、归母净利润同比增速分别为8.8%、7.6%、10.8%,增速较1-3Q24分别 提升2.6、0.5、0.7pct,营收增长提速,盈利保持双位数增长。其中,净利息收入、非息收入增速分别为 6.3%、14.8%,较1-3Q24变动+4.8、-2.3pct。全年成本收入比、信用减值损失/营收分别为24.7%、22.7%, 同比分别提升0.7、0.4pct。拆分盈利增 ...
【建设银行(601939.SH)】盈利增长更进一步,“三大战略”稳步落实——2024年年报点评(王一峰/赵晨阳)
光大证券研究· 2025-03-31 06:59
全年建设银行营收、拨备前利润、归母净利润同比增速分别为-2.5%、-4%、0.9%,增速较1-3Q24分别提 升0.8、0.2、0.8pct。全年净利息收入、非息收入增速分别为-4.4%、5.1%,较前三季度分别变动 +1.5、-1.7pct。全年成本收入比、信用减值损失/营收分别为28.6%、6.3%,同比分别变动+1.3、-0.7pct。 拆分盈利增速结构:规模、拨备为主要贡献分项,拉动业绩增速15.5、4.9pct。从边际变化看,规模扩张提 速、息差负向拖累收窄为提振因素;非息收入增长放缓、拨备正向贡献减弱、营业费用贡献转负为主要拖 累因素。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件: 点评: 营收负增幅度收窄,盈利增长提速 3月28日,建设银行发布202 ...