地缘政治动荡
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再创历史新高!国际金价突破5500美元关口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 02:15
国际黄金期货价格和现货价格29日再创新高,盘中突破每盎司5500美元。 三天时间,黄金期货价格上涨300美元,屡创历史纪录。 2026年开年不足一个月,金价涨幅已超20%,银价更是涨超60%。这轮如脱缰野马般价格狂飙的背后, 是"货币贬值交易"的集中爆发。 第三,除了美元资产外,近期日本国债市场也遭遇大规模抛售,显示出投资者对日本政府高额财政支出 和债务货币化的抗拒。日本国债市场的波动与美债吸引力下滑形成呼应,凸显全球资金正在同步撤离主 权债市场,对法定货币体系的信心出现集体动摇。 华尔街一黄金投资策略师表示:"金价是市场信心的反面。"在货币、债务和地缘政治不确定性没有明显 缓解之前,黄金可能将持续受到投资者的青睐。 来源:央视新闻、央视财经 本轮"货币贬值交易"究竟是如何爆发,并成为推动金价大涨的核心推手?分析人士认为,背后主要有三 大关键因素。 第一,地缘政治动荡,关税威胁不断升级。美国总统特朗普近期接连释放强硬贸易政策信号,关税工具 的频繁使用,不仅推升了美国本土的潜在通胀风险,更让市场对全球贸易秩序稳定性和政策可预期性的 信心受挫,黄金作为传统避险资产和风险对冲工具的配置需求随之显著攀升。 第二,市场 ...
德银:黄金6000美元是“合理区间”,白银行情难长期脱离黄金
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-27 09:09
全球地缘政治动荡常态化与政府债务增长预期带来黄金的牛市,白银虽然短期可能受益于投资热情、中国、印度的资金流入继续上涨,但预计金银比终将回 归将限制白银对黄金的长期涨幅。 据追风交易台,德意志银行在1月26日发布的2026年大宗商品展望报告中提到,全球地缘政治动荡常态化与政府债务增长将持续支撑贵金属价格。在美元走 弱背景下,供需的结构性失衡将大概率在今年推升黄金涨至6000美元/盎司。且报告提及,任何10%左右的回撤都应视作加仓机会。 白银方面,德银判断12月以来"白色金属"出现了新增亚洲投资需求,白银绝对价格可能更高;但从历史上看,XAUXAG(金银比)在剧烈波动后通常会均 值回归而非彻底反转,德银的路径假设是到2027年金银比回到65、白银约95美元/盎司。 | USD/oz | 2024 | 03 25 | Q4 25 | 2025 | Q1 26 | Q2 26 | Q3 26 | Q4 26 | 2 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Gold | 2,387 | 3,458 | 4,152 | 3,440 ...
Gold just hit a major milestone. Is silver next?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-26 15:00
On Sunday, the price of gold hit a major milestone: it surpassed the $5,000-per-ounce mark for the first time in history. But while gold’s price rise is a good thing for investors in the precious metal, it may also signal broader investor anxiety about the markets—and the world. Here’s what you need to know about gold’s surge. Most Read from Fast Company Gold trades above $5,000 for the first time ever On Sunday, gold surpassed $5,000 per troy ounce—the first time it has ever done so. The precious yell ...
史上首次!现货黄金突破5000美元/盎司整数大关
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-25 23:47
受益于地缘政治动荡以及对美国降息的预期,共同推动投资者涌入避险资产。 北京时间1月26日亚市早盘,现货黄金价格飙升至历史新高,突破每盎司5000 美元大关,最高逼近5031美元/盎司,延续了此前的历史性涨势。现货白银首次突破106美元/盎司,日内涨近3%。 据格隆汇,此番涨势一方面源于美国总统唐纳德・特朗普的政策对国际关系格局的重塑。美国与北约盟友就格陵兰岛问题不断升级的摩擦,进一步推高了今 年以来的金价,原因是市场预期未来金融和地缘政治的不确定性将进一步加剧。 另一方面则是因为投资者纷纷撤离主权债券与外汇市场。受美国宽松货币政策、各国央行需求以及ETF资金流入创纪录等因素支撑,黄金价格在2025年上涨 逾64%。 此外,疲软的美元进一步提振了市场对贵金属的需求。 来源:读创财经 ...
白银价格突破100美元里程碑;地缘政治动荡和降息预期推动贵金属价格创下新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-24 17:50
Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have surpassed $100 per ounce for the first time, while gold approaches $5,000 per ounce, driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts, leading investors to seek safe-haven assets [1] Group 1: Silver Market Insights - Current spot silver price is above $101 per ounce, indicating strong demand [1] - Philip Newman from Metals Focus suggests that silver will continue to benefit from multiple factors that also support gold investment demand [1] - Concerns over tariffs and tight physical liquidity in the London market are expected to provide additional support for silver [1] Group 2: Gold Market Insights - Spot gold price is at $4,986 per ounce, reflecting its role as a safe haven during times of economic and political uncertainty [1] - Tai Wong, an independent metal trader, notes that the milestone of $100 for silver was achieved through steady trading, and the focus will now be on whether silver can maintain this level [1] - Wong emphasizes that gold's role as a strategic asset in investment portfolios is underscored by the current economic and political climate, indicating a fundamental shift rather than a temporary situation [1]
比特币巨震,超9万人爆仓!发生了什么?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2026-01-24 14:49
(原标题:比特币巨震,超9万人爆仓!发生了什么?) 近日比特币波动加大。1月23日深夜拉升,比特币在站上90000美元后,又于1月24日凌晨跳水再度跌破 90000美元。 截至发稿,加密货币多数小幅反弹,比特币仍在90000美元下方。根据CoinGlass数据统计,最近24小 时,全球共有超9万人爆仓。 消息面上,地缘政治动荡影响,1月23日美股盘中走弱,避险资产黄金、白银则大涨创出新高。 据央视新闻1月24日报道,一名伊朗高级官员表示,伊朗将把任何形式的攻击都视作"对伊朗的全面战 争",并将对此作出最强硬回应。 另据央视新闻报道,古巴外交部副部长德科西奥当地时间23日在社交媒体上表示,美国"对一个不威胁 美国的国家、一个不敌视任何国家的和平民族发动野蛮攻击",这恰恰证明古巴当前的经济困境主要由 美国造成。 美国《政治报》23日发布"独家报道"称,"特朗普政府正在考虑推动古巴政权更迭的新策略,包括全面 封锁古巴石油进口",该计划得到美国国务卿鲁比奥的支持。德科西奥在社交媒体转发这则报道并做出 上述回应。 部分内容综合自央视新闻 这名不愿透露姓名的高级官员说,伊朗方面注意到美国正在向中东地区增派兵力,他表示," ...
三大期指齐跌,市场聚焦特朗普今晚达沃斯演讲
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 13:18
Market Overview - US stock index futures are all down, with Dow futures down 0.27%, S&P 500 futures down 0.20%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.39% [1] - European indices also show declines, with Germany's DAX down 1.09%, UK's FTSE 100 down 0.18%, France's CAC40 down 0.38%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.95% [2][3] Commodity Prices - WTI crude oil increased by 0.27%, priced at $60.52 per barrel, while Brent crude oil rose by 0.17%, priced at $65.03 per barrel [3][4] Corporate News - Netflix (NFLX.US) shares fell over 7% in pre-market trading due to conservative Q1 guidance, despite Q4 earnings exceeding expectations [10] - Interactive Brokers (IBKR.US) reported Q4 earnings that surpassed expectations, driven by strong trading and interest income [11] - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.US) provided a strong earnings outlook for 2026, with Q4 innovative drug sales increasing by 10% [12] - Halliburton (HAL.US) exceeded Q4 earnings expectations, benefiting from stable international market demand [13] - Berkshire Hathaway plans to sell up to 325.4 million shares of Kraft Heinz (KHC.US), leading to a nearly 6% drop in Kraft Heinz shares [13] Economic Events - Key economic data to be released includes the US December adjusted existing home sales index and API crude oil inventory changes [15]
美股前瞻 | 三大期指齐跌,市场聚焦特朗普今晚达沃斯演讲
智通财经网· 2026-01-21 13:15
1. 1月21日(周三)美股盘前,美股三大股指期货齐跌。截至发稿,道指期货跌0.27%,标普500指数期货跌0.20%,纳指期货跌0.39%。 | 를 US 30 | 48,358.40 | 48,615.40 | 48,358.40 | -130.60 | -0.27% | 20:46:29 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 를 US 500 | 6.783.40 | 6,824.40 | 6.783.40 | -13.50 | -0.20% | 20:46:29 | | 트 US Tech 100 | 24,889.20 | 25,101.10 | 24,882.50 | -98.40 | -0.39% | 20:47:29 | 2. 截至发稿,德国DAX指数跌1.09%,英国富时100指数跌0.18%,法国CAC40指数跌0.38%,欧洲斯托克50指数跌0.95%。 | 德国DAX30 | 24,420.82 | 24,683.32 | 24,399.82 | -268.85 | -1.09% | | --- | --- | --- | -- ...
特朗普“地缘炸弹”炸出黄金坑?华尔街高喊:政治动荡只是噪音,盈利增长才是买点
智通财经网· 2026-01-21 12:30
美国正威胁至少发动一场经济战争,以夺取对格陵兰岛的控制权;日本政局的不确定性扰乱了全球债券 市场;此外,美联储的独立性仍面临来自特朗普政府的威胁。 智通财经APP注意到,这种局势显然不是那种让人高喊"买入风险资产"的典型背景,尤其是目前多头势 力明显超过空头,且美股估值处于高位。周二,股市创下自10月以来的最大单日跌幅,但华尔街策略师 表示,尽管动荡困扰市场,但股市进一步上涨的基础依然稳固。 他们的逻辑通常基于这样一个观点:风险资产长期以来一直能看透地缘政治动荡,除非这种混乱导致油 价飙升。尽管原油价格周二攀升,但布伦特原油和西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)的成交价仍远低于长期平 均水平。 "许多投资者担心这会动摇股票市场,但我们对此并不完全认同,"汇丰控股新兴市场及股票策略主管 Alastair Pinder 在1月20日的一份报告中写道。他指出,自1940年以来的36次重大地缘政治事件中,美股 在随后的三个月内有60%的时间是上涨的。"主要的例外出现在地缘政治推动油价大幅上涨时。" 特朗普对格陵兰岛加征关税打破市场平静 还有其他理由支撑看多观点。核心支柱来自企业盈利:预计第四季度利润增长约9%,且2026年每 ...
地缘政治动荡推高恐慌指数 分析师认为还未到火烧眉毛的程度
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-21 03:29
Core Viewpoint - The VIX index, a measure of market volatility, surged to a two-month high of 20.69 points, indicating increased investor anxiety due to geopolitical tensions, although experts suggest that panic is not yet warranted [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - The VIX index closed at 20.09 points, marking the highest closing price since November 24 [1] - Jim Carroll, a senior wealth advisor, noted a significant change in risk indicators since last Friday, reflecting heightened market sensitivity [1] - Alex Morris, CEO of F/m Investments, indicated that the current market behavior is a standard reaction to geopolitical unrest, with investors shifting towards safer assets like gold and cash [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Experts believe that the VIX must rise to 30 for a true panic reaction in the stock market to occur, suggesting that there is still room for further increases in the VIX before extreme fear sets in [1]