Report Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating Core Viewpoints - The plastic market is expected to have limited upside in the near term due to limited improvement in the supply - demand pattern, despite a warm macro - atmosphere [1] - The L - PP spread is expected to decline as there are new plastic production capacities coming on stream, the plastic operating rate is higher than that of PP, and the peak season for agricultural films is gradually ending [1] Summary by Directory Market Analysis - On January 14th, the restart of maintenance devices such as Fujian United's full - density line 2 increased the plastic operating rate to around 86%, which is at a neutral level [1][4] - As of the week of January 9th, after the New Year's Day holiday, the downstream operating rate of PE increased by 0.06 percentage points to 41.21% on a month - on - month basis. Agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, with orders continuing to decline and raw material inventory also decreasing. Packaging film orders increased slightly, but the overall downstream operating rate of PE is still at a relatively low level in recent years [1][4] - The inventory build - up during New Year's Day this year was not significant, and the petrochemical inventory is currently at a neutral level in recent years [1][4] - Due to the ongoing escalation of riots in Iran, Trump's threat to interfere, the lack of progress in Russia - Ukraine negotiations, and the passage of a sanctions bill against Russia, the crude oil price rebounded slightly [1] - New production capacities of 500,000 tons/year of ExxonMobil (Huizhou) LDPE, 700,000 tons/year of PetroChina Guangxi Petrochemical, and 500,000 tons/year of BASF (Guangdong) have been put into production recently [1] - As the temperature drops, terminal construction slows down, and demand in the north decreases. The production of northern greenhouse films has basically stopped, and the price of agricultural films has stabilized after a decline. Some industries are entering the off - season, and the downstream operating rate is expected to decline. Pre - holiday stocking is limited due to the approaching Spring Festival [1] - In December, China's manufacturing PMI, non - manufacturing business activity index, and composite PMI output index all rose to the expansion range. The Ministry of Finance has pre - allocated the quotas for trade - in and "two important" projects in 2026, creating a warm macro - atmosphere that boosts market sentiment [1] Futures and Spot Market Conditions - The plastic 2605 contract reduced positions and fluctuated upward, with a minimum price of 6,786 yuan/ton, a maximum price of 6,866 yuan/ton, and a final closing price of 6,820 yuan/ton, above the 60 - day moving average, with a gain of 1.26%. The position decreased by 10,862 lots to 466,526 lots [2] - Most of the PE spot market prices rose, with price changes ranging from - 0 to + 150 yuan/ton. LLDPE was reported at 6,720 - 6,920 yuan/ton, LDPE at 9,100 - 9,360 yuan/ton, and HDPE at 6,870 - 8,440 yuan/ton [3] Fundamental Tracking - The plastic operating rate rose to around 86% due to the restart of maintenance devices, which is at a neutral level [4] - The downstream operating rate of PE increased by 0.06 percentage points to 41.21% on a month - on - month basis. Agricultural film orders continued to decline and were at a neutral level in recent years, while packaging film orders increased slightly. The overall downstream operating rate of PE was still at a relatively low level in recent years [4] - The petrochemical early inventory on Wednesday decreased by 30,000 tons to 560,000 tons compared to the previous day, which is the same as the same period last year [4] - The Brent crude oil 03 contract rose to $65/barrel, and the ethylene prices in Northeast Asia and Southeast Asia remained flat at $725/ton and $745/ton respectively [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core Viewpoints - The plastic supply has new capacity put into production, the recent plastic upward space is limited, and the L - PP spread is expected to fall [1] - The plastic supply - demand pattern has limited improvement, and the macro - atmosphere is warm but has limited effect on plastic [1] Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - On January 13, the addition of maintenance devices such as the old full - density line 1 of Dushanzi Petrochemical changed little, and the plastic operating rate dropped to about 85%, at a neutral level [1][4] - As of the week of January 9, after the New Year's Day holiday, the PE downstream operating rate increased by 0.06 percentage points to 41.21% week - on - week. The agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, and the overall PE downstream operating rate is still at a low level in recent years [1][4] - The inventory accumulation amplitude during the New Year's Day this year is not large, and the current petrochemical inventory is at a neutral level in recent years [1][4] - The crude oil price has a small rebound. The plastic has new capacity put into production recently, and the operating rate is higher than that of PP. The agricultural film peak season is gradually ending, and the L - PP spread is expected to fall [1] - China's manufacturing PMI and other indexes in December 2025 rose to the expansion range, and the macro - atmosphere is warm, but the plastic supply - demand pattern improvement is limited [1] Futures and Spot Market Conditions Futures - The plastic 2605 contract reduced positions and fluctuated. The lowest price was 6673 yuan/ton, the highest was 6787 yuan/ton, and it closed at 6766 yuan/ton, above the 60 - day moving average, with a gain of 1.42%. The position decreased by 13392 lots to 477388 lots [2] Spot - The PE spot market mostly rose, with the price change range between - 0 and + 200 yuan/ton. LLDPE was reported at 6700 - 6820 yuan/ton, LDPE at 8950 - 9360 yuan/ton, and HDPE at 6830 - 8440 yuan/ton [3] Fundamental Tracking - Supply: On January 13, the addition of maintenance devices such as the old full - density line 1 of Dushanzi Petrochemical changed little, and the plastic operating rate dropped to about 85%, at a neutral level [4] - Demand: As of the week of January 9, after the New Year's Day holiday, the PE downstream operating rate increased by 0.06 percentage points to 41.21% week - on - week. The agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, and the overall PE downstream operating rate is still at a low level in recent years [4] - Inventory: The petrochemical early inventory on Tuesday decreased by 10000 tons to 590000 tons week - on - week, 10000 tons higher than the same period last year. The current petrochemical inventory is at a neutral level in recent years [4] - Raw materials: The Brent crude oil 03 contract rose to 64 US dollars/barrel, and the Northeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at 725 US dollars/ton week - on - week, and the Southeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at 745 US dollars/ton week - on - week [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2. Core Viewpoints - On January 8, new maintenance devices were added, causing the plastic operating rate to drop to around 87%, currently at a neutral level. The overall PE downstream operating rate remains at a relatively low level compared to the same period in recent years. Although the macro - atmosphere is warm, the improvement in the plastic supply - demand pattern is limited, so the recent upward space for plastics is expected to be limited. Due to new production capacity coming on - stream and the gradual exit of the agricultural film peak season, the L - PP spread is expected to decline [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Analysis - New maintenance devices were added on January 8, and the plastic operating rate decreased to around 87%. As of the week ending January 2, the PE downstream operating rate dropped 0.68 percentage points to 41.15% week - on - week. The agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, with orders continuing to decline. The overall PE downstream operating rate is at a relatively low level in recent years. The new year's inventory accumulation was not significant, and the petrochemical inventory is at a neutral level. Crude oil prices are still weak. There are new plastic production capacities coming on - stream, the downstream operating rate is expected to decline, and downstream enterprises have low purchasing willingness. Although the macro - atmosphere is warm, the plastic supply - demand pattern improvement is limited, and the L - PP spread is expected to fall [1]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Market Conditions 3.2.1 Futures - The plastic 2605 contract decreased in positions and fluctuated. The lowest price was 6605 yuan/ton, the highest was 6720 yuan/ton, and it finally closed at 6628 yuan/ton, below the 60 - day moving average, with a gain of 0.05%. The position volume decreased by 379 lots to 505,299 lots [2]. 3.2.2 Spot - The PE spot market was mostly stable, with price fluctuations between - 100 and + 100 yuan/ton. LLDPE was reported at 6400 - 6670 yuan/ton, LDPE at 8550 - 9010 yuan/ton, and HDPE at 6700 - 8290 yuan/ton [3]. 3.3 Fundamental Tracking 3.3.1 Supply - On January 8, new maintenance devices were added, and the plastic operating rate dropped to around 87%, currently at a neutral level [1][4]. 3.3.2 Demand - As of the week ending January 2, the PE downstream operating rate dropped 0.68 percentage points to 41.15% week - on - week. The agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, with orders continuing to decline. The packaging film orders increased slightly, and the overall PE downstream operating rate is at a relatively low level in recent years [1][4]. 3.3.3 Inventory - On Thursday, the petrochemical early - morning inventory decreased by 3.5 tons to 57.5 tons week - on - week, the same as the same period last year. The new year's inventory accumulation was not significant, and the petrochemical inventory is at a neutral level in recent years [1][4]. 3.3.4 Raw Materials - The Brent crude oil 03 contract dropped to $60/barrel. The Northeast Asian ethylene price remained flat week - on - week at $725/ton, and the Southeast Asian ethylene price also remained flat at $745/ton [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The plastic supply and demand pattern has limited improvement, and the recent upside space of plastic is expected to be limited [1]. - Due to the new plastic production capacity put into operation recently and the gradual exit of the agricultural film peak - season, the L - PP spread is expected to decline [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Analysis - On January 7, there were little changes in maintenance devices, and the plastic operating rate remained at around 88%, at a neutral level [1][4]. - As of the week ending January 2, the PE downstream operating rate decreased by 0.68 percentage points to 41.15% week - on - week. The agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, and its orders continue to decline. The overall PE downstream operating rate is still at a relatively low level in the same period in recent years [1][4]. - The inventory accumulation during the New Year's Day this year is not large, and the current petrochemical inventory is at a neutral level in the same period in recent years [1][4]. - Under the oversupply of crude oil, the US military's raid on Venezuela has caused geopolitical concerns, but the key oil facilities in the country are not damaged. Trump said Venezuela will transfer 30 - 50 million barrels of oil to the US, and the crude oil price remains weak [1]. - New production capacities have been put into operation, and the recent plastic operating rate has slightly decreased. The demand in the north has decreased, and downstream enterprises have insufficient procurement willingness. Although the macro - environment is warm, the plastic supply - demand pattern improvement is limited [1]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Market Conditions - Futures: The plastic 2605 contract decreased in positions and fluctuated upward, with the lowest price of 6581 yuan/ton, the highest price of 6666 yuan/ton, and finally closing at 6642 yuan/ton, below the 60 - day moving average, with a gain of 1.84%. The position volume decreased by 2207 lots to 505678 lots [2]. - Spot: Most of the PE spot market rose, with the price change range between - 0 and + 150 yuan/ton. LLDPE was reported at 6400 - 6670 yuan/ton, LDPE at 8550 - 9010 yuan/ton, and HDPE at 6700 - 8290 yuan/ton [3]. 3.3 Fundamental Tracking - Supply: On January 7, there were little changes in maintenance devices, and the plastic operating rate remained at around 88%, at a neutral level [4]. - Demand: As of the week ending January 2, the PE downstream operating rate decreased by 0.68 percentage points to 41.15% week - on - week. The agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, and its orders continue to decline. The overall PE downstream operating rate is still at a relatively low level in the same period in recent years [4]. - Inventory: The petrochemical early - morning inventory on Wednesday decreased by 50,000 tons to 610,000 tons week - on - week, 30,000 tons higher than the same period last year. The inventory accumulation during the New Year's Day this year is not large, and the current petrochemical inventory is at a neutral level in the same period in recent years [4]. - Raw materials: The Brent crude oil 03 contract fell to $60/barrel. The Northeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at $725/ton week - on - week, and the Southeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at $745/ton week - on - week [4].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - On December 31, 2025, the restart of maintenance devices at Maoming Petrochemical led to an increase in the plastics operating rate to around 87%, currently at a neutral level. The downstream operating rate of PE decreased, and the overall plastics supply - demand pattern remained unchanged. It is expected that the upward space for plastics in the near term is limited, and the L - PP spread is expected to decline [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - The restart of Maoming Petrochemical's LDPE and other maintenance devices on December 31 increased the plastics operating rate to around 87%, at a neutral level. The downstream operating rate of PE decreased, with the agricultural film gradually exiting the peak season, orders declining, and the overall downstream operating rate at a relatively low level in recent years. The petrochemical inventory is at a relatively high level, and the cost - end crude oil price has limited rebound. New plastic production capacity has been put into operation, and it is expected that the downstream operating rate will further decline. The overall plastics supply - demand pattern remains unchanged, and the upward space is limited. The L - PP spread is expected to fall [1]. Futures and Spot Market Conditions - Futures: The plastics 2605 contract showed a position - reducing and oscillating operation, closing at 6472 yuan/ton with a gain of 0.23%. The position decreased by 11,359 lots to 501,425 lots [2]. - Spot: The PE spot market showed mixed price movements, with price changes ranging from - 100 to + 100 yuan/ton. LLDPE was reported at 6200 - 6370 yuan/ton, LDPE at 7700 - 8530 yuan/ton, and HDPE at 6550 - 7850 yuan/ton [3]. Fundamental Tracking - Supply: On December 31, the restart of maintenance devices at Maoming Petrochemical increased the plastics operating rate to around 87%, at a neutral level. - Demand: As of the week ending December 26, the downstream operating rate of PE decreased by 0.62 percentage points to 41.83% on a month - on - month basis. The agricultural film gradually exited the peak season, orders continued to decline, and the overall downstream operating rate was at a relatively low level in recent years. - Inventory: The petrochemical early - morning inventory on Wednesday increased by 30,000 tons to 630,000 tons compared to the previous day, 110,000 tons higher than the same period last year, at a relatively high level in recent years. - Raw Materials: The Brent crude oil 03 contract fell below $62 per barrel, and the ethylene prices in Northeast Asia and Southeast Asia remained flat [4].

Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report Group 2: Core Viewpoints - On December 30, new maintenance devices such as Zhanjiang BASF's full - density were added, and the plastic operating rate dropped to about 86.5%. The overall supply and demand pattern of plastics remains unchanged, and the upward space for plastics in the near future is expected to be limited. Due to new plastic production capacity coming on - stream recently and the gradual end of the peak season for agricultural films, the L - PP spread is expected to decline [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Analysis - On December 30, new maintenance devices led to a decline in the plastic operating rate to a neutral level. As of the week of December 26, the PE downstream operating rate was at a relatively low level in recent years. The overall supply of plastics increased with new production capacity coming on - stream, and downstream demand decreased as the agricultural film season ended and terminal construction slowed. The cost - end crude oil price rebounded limitedly, and the overall supply - demand pattern of plastics remained unchanged, with limited upward space [1] 2. Futures and Spot Market Conditions - **Futures**: The plastic 2605 contract increased positions and fluctuated. The lowest price was 6436 yuan/ton, the highest was 6486 yuan/ton, and it closed at 6461 yuan/ton, down 0.09% below the 60 - day moving average. The position increased by 3545 lots to 512784 lots [2] - **Spot**: The PE spot market showed mixed trends, with price changes ranging from - 100 to + 100 yuan/ton. LLDPE was reported at 6200 - 6370 yuan/ton, LDPE at 7700 - 8530 yuan/ton, and HDPE at 6550 - 7850 yuan/ton [3] 3. Fundamental Tracking - **Supply**: On December 30, new maintenance devices were added, and the plastic operating rate dropped to about 86.5%, at a neutral level [4] - **Demand**: As of the week of December 26, the PE downstream operating rate decreased by 0.62 percentage points to 41.83% week - on - week. The agricultural film was gradually exiting the peak season, with orders and raw material inventory decreasing. The packaging film orders also slightly decreased, and the overall PE downstream operating rate was at a relatively low level in recent years [4] - **Inventory**: The petrochemical early - morning inventory on Tuesday increased by 20,000 tons to 600,000 tons week - on - week, 50,000 tons higher than the same period last year, at a relatively high level in recent years [4] - **Raw Materials**: The Brent crude oil 03 contract fluctuated around 62 US dollars/barrel. The Northeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at 725 US dollars/ton week - on - week, and the Southeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at 745 US dollars/ton week - on - week [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - On December 26, 2025, the plastic market showed a pattern of oscillating upward, but the overall supply - demand situation remained unchanged, and the recent upward space of plastic is expected to be limited. Due to new plastic production capacity coming on - stream and the gradual exit of the agricultural film peak season, the L - PP spread is expected to decline [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - On December 26, the change in maintenance devices was small, and the plastic operating rate remained at about 87.5%, at a neutral level. The PE downstream operating rate decreased by 0.62 percentage points week - on - week to 41.83%. The agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, with orders and raw material inventories decreasing. Packaging film orders also slightly decreased. The overall PE downstream operating rate is at a relatively low level in the same period in recent years. Near the end of the month, petrochemical de - stocking accelerated, but the petrochemical inventory is still at a relatively high level in the same period in recent years. With an oversupply of crude oil and escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and Venezuela, the rebound of crude oil prices is limited. New plastic production capacity has been put into operation recently. With the slowdown of terminal construction and reduced demand in the north, downstream enterprises have insufficient purchasing willingness, mainly for rigid demand. Some industries have entered the off - season, and traders are cautious about the future market and are actively reducing prices to sell goods [1]. Futures and Spot Market Conditions - **Futures**: The plastic 2605 contract oscillated upward with reduced positions, with a minimum price of 6323 yuan/ton, a maximum price of 6476 yuan/ton, and finally closed at 6465 yuan/ton, below the 60 - day moving average, with a gain of 0.89%. The trading volume decreased by 15,696 lots to 526,703 lots [2]. - **Spot**: The PE spot market showed mixed trends, with price changes ranging from - 100 to + 100 yuan/ton. LLDPE was reported at 6200 - 6370 yuan/ton, LDPE at 7700 - 8530 yuan/ton, and HDPE at 6550 - 7850 yuan/ton [3]. Fundamental Tracking - **Supply**: On December 26, the change in maintenance devices was small, and the plastic operating rate remained at about 87.5%, at a neutral level [1][4]. - **Demand**: As of the week of December 26, the PE downstream operating rate decreased by 0.62 percentage points week - on - week to 41.83%. The agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, with orders and raw material inventories decreasing. Packaging film orders also slightly decreased, and the overall PE downstream operating rate is at a relatively low level in the same period in recent years [1][4]. - **Inventory**: On Friday, the petrochemical early - morning inventory decreased by 50,000 tons week - on - week to 560,000 tons, 20,000 tons higher than the same period last year. Near the end of the month, petrochemical de - stocking accelerated, but the petrochemical inventory is still at a relatively high level in the same period in recent years [4]. - **Raw Materials**: The Brent crude oil 03 contract rose to 62 US dollars/barrel. The Northeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at 725 US dollars/ton week - on - week, and the Southeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at 745 US dollars/ton week - on - week [4].

Group 1 - Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2 - Core Viewpoints - The overall supply - demand pattern of plastics remains unchanged, with limited upside potential for plastics in the near term due to new capacity additions and the exit of the agricultural film peak season. The L - PP spread is expected to decline [1]. Group 3 - Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - On December 25, the restart of maintenance devices at Yangzi Petrochemical increased the plastics operating rate to about 87.5%, at a neutral level. As of the week ending December 19, the downstream PE operating rate dropped 0.55 percentage points to 42.45%, with agricultural film orders and raw material inventory decreasing. The overall downstream PE operating rate is at a relatively low level in recent years. Petrochemical de - stocking has accelerated, but inventory is still at a relatively high level in recent years. With an oversupply of crude oil and geopolitical tensions, the rebound of crude oil prices is limited. New plastic production capacity has been put into operation recently. The overall sentiment of bulk commodities has improved, but the supply - demand pattern of plastics remains unchanged, and some spot prices are weak [1]. Futures and Spot Market Conditions - Futures: The plastics 2605 contract increased in positions and fluctuated. The lowest price was 6356 yuan/ton, the highest was 6446 yuan/ton, and it closed at 6390 yuan/ton, below the 60 - day moving average, with a gain of 0.63%. The position increased by 2047 lots to 542399 lots [2]. - Spot: The PE spot market was mostly stable, with price changes between - 50 and + 50 yuan/ton. LLDPE was reported at 6200 - 6370 yuan/ton, LDPE at 7700 - 8530 yuan/ton, and HDPE at 6550 - 7790 yuan/ton [3]. Fundamental Tracking - Supply: On December 25, the restart of maintenance devices at Yangzi Petrochemical increased the plastics operating rate to about 87.5%, at a neutral level [4]. - Demand: As of the week ending December 19, the downstream PE operating rate dropped 0.55 percentage points to 42.45%. Agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, with orders and raw material inventory decreasing. Packaging film orders also decreased slightly. The overall downstream PE operating rate is at a relatively low level in recent years [4]. - Inventory: Petrochemical early - morning inventory on Thursday decreased by 80,000 tons to 610,000 tons, 70,000 tons higher than the same period last year. Petrochemical de - stocking has accelerated, but inventory is still at a relatively high level in recent years [4]. - Raw Materials: The Brent crude oil 03 contract rose to $62/barrel. The Northeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at $725/ton, and the Southeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at $745/ton [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall supply - demand pattern of plastics remains unchanged. Although the sentiment of bulk commodities has been boosted, the upward space of plastics in the near future is expected to be limited. Due to the recent new plastic production capacity coming on - stream and the gradual exit of the agricultural film peak season, the L - PP spread is expected to decline [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Analysis - On December 24, the number of plastic maintenance devices changed little, with the plastic operating rate remaining at around 86.5%, which is at a neutral level. The downstream operating rate of PE decreased by 0.55 percentage points to 42.45% week - on - week as of the week ending December 19. The agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, with orders and raw material inventory continuing to decline. Packaging film orders also decreased slightly. The overall PE downstream operating rate is still at a relatively low level in the same period in recent years. Petrochemical inventory is at a relatively high level in the same period in recent years, and the destocking is slow. With an oversupply of crude oil and the escalation of the geopolitical situation between the US and Venezuela, the rebound of crude oil prices is limited. New production capacity has been put into operation, and the plastic operating rate has increased slightly. The downstream construction has slowed down, demand in the north has decreased, and downstream enterprises' purchasing willingness is insufficient. [1][4] 3.2 Futures and Spot Market Conditions Futures - The plastic 2605 contract reduced positions and fluctuated upward, with a minimum price of 6284 yuan/ton, a maximum price of 6418 yuan/ton, and finally closed at 6408 yuan/ton, below the 60 - day moving average, with a gain of 1.99%. The position decreased by 41,207 lots to 540,352 lots [2]. Spot - Most of the PE spot market declined, with the price change ranging from - 150 to + 0 yuan/ton. LLDPE was reported at 6150 - 6370 yuan/ton, LDPE at 7700 - 8530 yuan/ton, and HDPE at 6550 - 7740 yuan/ton [3]. 3.3 Fundamental Tracking - Supply: On December 24, the number of maintenance devices changed little, and the plastic operating rate remained at around 86.5%, at a neutral level [1][4]. - Demand: As of the week ending December 19, the PE downstream operating rate decreased by 0.55 percentage points to 42.45% week - on - week. The agricultural film is gradually exiting the peak season, with orders and raw material inventory continuing to decline. Packaging film orders also decreased slightly. The overall PE downstream operating rate is still at a relatively low level in the same period in recent years [1][4]. - Inventory: On Wednesday, the petrochemical early - morning inventory decreased by 20,000 tons to 690,000 tons week - on - week, 100,000 tons higher than the same period last year. Recently, petrochemical destocking has been slow, and the current petrochemical inventory is at a relatively high level in the same period in recent years [4]. - Raw materials: The Brent crude oil 03 contract rose to 62 US dollars/barrel. The Northeast Asian ethylene price remained flat week - on - week at 725 US dollars/ton, and the Southeast Asian ethylene price remained flat week - on - week at 745 US dollars/ton [4].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - On December 23, 2025, the restart of maintenance devices such as Tianjin Petrochemical's LLDPE led to an increase in the plastics operating rate to around 86.5%, which is at a neutral level The PE downstream operating rate decreased to 42.45%, and the overall is at a relatively low level compared to the same period in recent years The petrochemical inventory is at a relatively high level compared to the same period in recent years The plastics supply has increased due to new capacity, while the downstream demand is weak The plastics supply - demand pattern remains unchanged, and the spot price is still falling, so it is expected that the plastics will fluctuate weakly in the near future Also, the L - PP spread is expected to decline [1] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - On December 23, Tianjin Petrochemical's LLDPE and other maintenance devices restarted, increasing the plastics operating rate to 86.5%, and the operating rate is at a neutral level As of the week of December 19, the PE downstream operating rate decreased by 0.55 percentage points to 42.45%, with the agricultural film gradually exiting the peak season, orders decreasing, and the overall downstream operating rate at a relatively low level compared to the same period in recent years Petrochemical de - stocking is slow, and the inventory is at a relatively high level compared to the same period in recent years Due to oversupply of crude oil and geopolitical tensions, the rebound of crude oil prices is limited New production capacities have been put into operation, and the plastics operating rate has increased slightly The agricultural film is out of the peak season, and the downstream operating rate is expected to decline The downstream enterprises' purchasing willingness is insufficient, and traders are cautious about the future market, so it is expected that the plastics will fluctuate weakly and the L - PP spread will decline [1] Futures and Spot Market Quotes - Futures: The plastics 2605 contract decreased in positions and fluctuated, closing at 6296 yuan/ton with a gain of 0.06% The trading volume decreased by 24483 lots to 581559 lots [2] - Spot: Most PE spot prices in the market declined, with a range of - 100 to + 0 yuan/ton LLDPE was reported at 6150 - 6420 yuan/ton, LDPE at 7750 - 8530 yuan/ton, and HDPE at 6550 - 7900 yuan/ton [3] Fundamental Tracking - Supply: On December 23, the restart of Tianjin Petrochemical's LLDPE and other maintenance devices increased the plastics operating rate to around 86.5%, which is at a neutral level [4] - Demand: As of the week of December 19, the PE downstream operating rate decreased by 0.55 percentage points to 42.45%, with the agricultural film gradually exiting the peak season, orders and raw material inventory decreasing, and the overall downstream operating rate at a relatively low level compared to the same period in recent years [4] - Inventory: On Tuesday, the petrochemical early - morning inventory decreased by 10,000 tons to 710,000 tons, which is 100,000 tons higher than the same period last year Petrochemical de - stocking is slow, and the inventory is at a relatively high level compared to the same period in recent years [4] - Raw Materials: The Brent crude oil 03 contract rose above $61/barrel, and the Northeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at $725/ton week - on - week, and the Southeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at $745/ton week - on - week [4]