证券研究报告·公司点评报告·医疗器械 联影医疗（688271） 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评：25Q1 季报 迎来拐点，期待逐季改善 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 11,411 | 10,300 | 11,599 | 13,892 | 16,493 | | 同比（%） | 23.52 | (9.73) | 12.61 | 19.77 | 18.72 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,974 | 1,262 | 1,587 | 2,139 | 2,654 | | 同比（%） | 19.21 | (36.08) | 25.75 | 34.82 | 24.07 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 2.40 | 1.53 | 1.93 | 2.60 | 3.22 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 55.48 | 86.80 | 69.03 | 51.20 | 41.27 | [T ...

[Table_StockNameRptType] 今世缘（603369） 联系人：郑少轩 公司点评 | . | 4 | . | | --- | --- | --- | | HUAAN SECURITIES | | | | 延续增长趋势 | | --- | ——今世缘 24 年报&25Q1 点评 [Table_Rank] 投资评级：买入（维持） 报告日期： 2025-04-30 [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） 47.40 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） 58.45/35.35 总股本（百万股） 1,247 流通股本（百万股） 1,247 流通股比例（%） 100.00 总市值（亿元） 591 流通市值（亿元） 591 [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -47% -28% -10% 9% 28% 4/24 7/24 10/24 1/25 今世缘 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：邓欣 执业证书号：S0010524010001 邮箱：dengxin@hazq.com 执业证书号：S0010124040001 主要观点： ⚫ 利润：费效比提升对冲毛利率影响 ...

风险提示：经济下行压力增大；市场股基成交活跃度大幅下降；居民资金入市进程放缓。 经营杠杆环比略增、金融投资资产规模稳定，单季度投资收益率同环比提升。1Q25 末公司经营杠杆 4.09x/yoy-0.41x/qoq+0.02x，期末投资杠杆2.72x/yoy-0.48x/qoq-0.04x，金融投资规模为3862 亿元/yoy- 9.1%/qoq-0.1%；从母公司口径看，1Q25 末公司自营权益类证券及其衍生品规模为293 亿元/较年 初-3.4%，自营非权益类证券及其衍生品规模为3336 亿元/qoq+3.9%。投资业务方面，1Q25 公司净投资 收入31.6 亿元/yoy+94.0%/qoq+14.8%，测算1Q 年化投资收益率3.27%/yoy+1.61pct/qoq+0.48pct。 经纪业务表现优于行业，两融市占率略增。经纪业务方面，1Q25 公司经纪业务收入19.2 亿/yoy+53.1%/qoq-23.0%（1Q25 市场股基日均成交额yoy+72%、佣金率延续下滑趋势，上市券商1Q25 经纪收入yoy+48%）；信用业务方面：1Q25 末公司融出资金规模1054 亿元/较年初+3.8%，两融市 ...

经纪、自营收入高增，管理费率压降助推净利润表现优于营收。1Q25 公司证券主营收入72.6 亿/yoy+29.1%。1）主营收拆分看：1Q25 公司经纪、投行、资管、净利息、净投资、长股投收入分别为 19.4、5.4、4.2、9.6、25.8、7.5 亿元，收入占比26.7%、7.5%、5.8%、13.3%、35.5%、10.3%；分别同 比+42.6%、-5.9%、-61.7%、+319%、+39.7%、+240%。2）成本管控良好：1Q25 公司管理费用31.4 亿/yoy-11.6%，管理费率（管理费用/证券主营收入）为43.2%/yoy-19.9pct，推动公司净利润表现优于营 收。 投资杠杆环比扩张、边际增配权益OCI，投资收益率同比提升。1Q25 末公司经营杠杆3.27x/yoy- 0.69x/qoq-0.01x，期末投资杠杆1.97x/ yoy-0.54x/qoq+0.04x，金融投资规模为3855 亿元/yoy- 15.6%/qoq+4.2%，其中其他权益工具投资规模19.6 亿（年初仅1.3 亿）。投资业务方面，1Q25 公司净投 资收入25.8 亿元/yoy+39.7%/qoq-24.1% ...

Core Viewpoint - The financial performance of Caitong Securities in 2024 showed a decline in revenue but an increase in net profit, while the first quarter of 2025 experienced significant profit drop due to pressure on proprietary trading business. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, Caitong Securities achieved operating revenue of 6.29 billion, a year-over-year (yoy) decrease of 3.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.34 billion, a yoy increase of 3.9% [1] - For Q1 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 290 million, reflecting a yoy decrease of 36.5% and a quarter-over-quarter (qoq) decrease of 66.6% [1] - The main revenue sources in 2024 included brokerage, investment banking, asset management, net interest, net investment, and long equity investment, with respective revenues of 1.41 billion, 520 million, 1.55 billion, 610 million, 1.50 billion, and 520 million [1] Group 2: Cost Management - In 2024, the company maintained good cost control with management expenses of 3.46 billion, a yoy decrease of 8.5%, resulting in a management fee ratio of 56.1%, down 3.0 percentage points yoy [2] Group 3: Investment and Assets - By the end of 2024, the total assets of the company were 144.6 billion, a yoy increase of 8.1%, while net assets were 36.4 billion, a yoy increase of 5.2% [3] - The investment income for 2024 was 1.5 billion, a yoy decrease of 14.6%, with an annualized investment return rate of 2.21%, down 0.39 percentage points yoy [3] - As of Q1 2025, total assets decreased to 138.9 billion, a decline of 3.9% from the beginning of the year, while net assets slightly increased to 36.6 billion, up 0.6% [3] Group 4: Brokerage and Asset Management - The brokerage business showed strong performance with a net income market share increase of 5.1%, achieving net income from agency trading of 1.22 billion, a yoy increase of 21.0% [4] - In asset management, the revenue for 2024 was 1.55 billion, a yoy decrease of 0.3%, while the AUM for Caitong Fund was 53.6 billion, down 37.0% from the beginning of the year [5] - For Q1 2025, asset management revenue was 260 million, a yoy decrease of 17.5%, while long equity investment revenue was 80 million, a yoy increase of 42.5% [5] Group 5: Future Projections - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is estimated to be 2.22 billion, 2.40 billion, and 2.57 billion, reflecting yoy changes of -5%, +8%, and +7% respectively [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Recommended" [1][10] Core Views - The company has shown continuous improvement in gross margin and is actively engaging in dividend distribution and share buybacks to reward the market [1][10] - The company reported a revenue of 6.83 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 14.0%, but managed to turn a profit with a net profit of 0.4 billion yuan [5][10] - The gross margin improved by 0.6 percentage points to 21.8% in 2024, attributed to stable sales prices and reduced operating costs through technological innovation [8][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 68.3 billion yuan, down 14.0% year-on-year, while the net profit was 0.4 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [5][10] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue decline of 0.6% to 16.9 billion yuan, with a net profit of -0.8 billion yuan [5] - For Q1 2025, revenue decreased by 6.1% to 14.0 billion yuan, and net profit fell by 23.2% to 0.4 billion yuan [5] Margin and Cost Management - The gross margin for 2024 was 21.8%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points, due to stable sales prices and reduced costs [8][10] - The company has focused on transforming retail channels and expanding engineering channels amidst a declining demand in the waterproofing industry [8][10] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - The company generated a net cash flow from operating activities of 3.2 billion yuan in 2024, an increase from 1.9 billion yuan in the previous year [9] - A total of 7.8 billion yuan is planned for dividends and share buybacks in 2024, with a cash dividend of 3 yuan per 10 shares [9][10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see a recovery in net profit, with projections of 2.0 billion yuan in 2025 and 3.3 billion yuan in 2026 [10] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve further, supported by a decline in raw material costs due to falling oil prices [8][10]

如果您希望可以时常见面，欢迎标星收藏哦~ 参考链接 来源：内容 来自中时新闻网 ，谢谢。 川普上任后想废除拜登政府推动的527亿美元《芯片法案》补助，他抱怨该项计划浪费纳税人的 钱，建议把资金转用在减轻美国债务压力，但美国财经媒体撰文指出，如果《芯片法案》补助被撤 销，美国芯片市占率恐缩减至8%。 总部位于华府的「半导体行业协会」2024年估计，美国预计在2032年，将其所有类型芯片的制造 能力都提高至2倍，在全球芯片市占率可望从10%升至14%，但如果没有《芯片法案》，美国的芯 片市占率可能会缩减至8%。 分析《芯片法案》对美国半导体业的影响，若从纳税人角度来看，该法案代表一笔很大的支出，但 对半导体产业来说，这笔支出并不算大，主因在于，1家半导体公司1年的开支就足以消耗掉相当 多的资金，像台积电今年的资本支出预计将达380~420亿美元。 《芯片法案》是美国最大产业政策法条之一，目前逾85%的拨款，是在川普就任前敲定，包括将补 贴台厂台积电66亿美元。 报导认为，《芯片法案》为制造业项目提供25%的税收减免，对大多数企业来说，是最大的激励措 施，这些政策将使在美国建厂变得像在亚洲一样具有成本效益。 至于川 ...