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重庆将重塑空间格局,打造两大城市副中心
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 00:42
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and strategies for optimizing the spatial layout and productivity distribution in Chongqing, highlighting the need for a coordinated development approach to address the "one city dominates" issue prevalent in the region [1][2]. Group 1: Spatial and Economic Structure - Chongqing's main urban area is projected to account for 78.2% of the city's GDP and 68.4% of its population by 2024, with the central urban area alone contributing 41.7% to GDP and 33.2% to the population [2]. - The "Fifteen Five" planning proposal aims to create a complementary urban system that integrates the central urban area, urban sub-centers, district cities, and central towns to promote coordinated development [2][3]. Group 2: Development Strategies - The proposal emphasizes enhancing the central urban area's attractiveness and influence, similar to the "strong provincial capital" strategy adopted by other provinces [3]. - Specific initiatives include strengthening the core functions of the Liangjiang New Area, developing Wanzhou and Yongchuan as important urban sub-centers, and establishing Qianjiang as a regional center city to drive high-quality development in surrounding areas [3][4]. Group 3: Regional Integration - The construction of urban sub-centers is seen as a strategy to stimulate development in surrounding regions, with a focus on granting these areas specific functions and powers to enhance their growth potential [5]. - The establishment of provincial sub-centers has become a new strategic direction for western provinces, with 20 such centers already formed, aimed at decentralizing administrative powers and facilitating regional development [4].
山东“十五五”规划建议发布:鼓励经济大市挑大梁,大力实施“强省会”战略
12月8日,《中共山东省委关于制定山东省国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》发布。其中 提出,增强省内区域发展协调性。加快城市群一体化和都市圈同城化,鼓励经济大市挑大梁,促进区域 协同共进、联动发展。提升济南、青岛都市圈辐射带动能力,滚动实施同城化标志性工程,不断增强产 业集聚、创新策源、开放聚合、区域带动功能。健全"双圈"协同联动发展机制,引导科创资源共享、产 业体系互补,推动社会保障有序接轨和教育、医疗、文旅等公共服务融合发展,合力打造区域协调发展 的高水平样板。 增强核心城市发展引领力,大力实施"强省会"战略,推进济南新旧动能转换起步区加快成势,支持济南 建设黄河流域重要的中心城市;深入实施"强龙头"战略,推动青岛西海岸新区提级发展,支持青岛经济 总量加速迈上2万亿、建设现代化国际大都市;支持烟台加强与环渤海城市协同联动,建设绿色低碳高 质量发展示范城市。加快构建多极支撑体系,推动潍坊新晋万亿城市、临沂和济宁加快迈向万亿城市, 建设区域副中心城市。接续实施突破菏泽鲁西崛起行动,加快沂蒙革命老区振兴发展,支持淄博、枣庄 等老工业基地和资源枯竭型城市加快转型发展,推动省级新区做优做强、适时扩容,培育高 ...
首次明确!西北第一城,有对手了?
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-07 22:37
作为"西北第一省"的陕西,区域发展战略迎来重大调整。 日前,陕西通过的"十五五"规划建设中,一个与区域经济布局相关的新表述,引发多方关注。 其中提出,实施"双极带动、多点支撑、三区协同"战略,强化西安、榆林两大增长极对全省发展的带动作用,持续提升其他城市支撑能力,实现关中、陕 北、陕南三大区域协同升级。 这意味着,能源重镇榆林在陕西的地位,至少一定维度上已被提升至与省会西安并列的"增长极"地位。 尽管近年来,不少省份都明确在省会城市之外打造"副中心",但把作为普通地级市的非省会城市与省会城市并列作为"双极"提出的,还是颇为罕见。 这是否预示着,西安在陕西将不再"一城独大"?"西北第一城"的地位,遭遇挑战了吗? 01 在分析这个问题前,首先要看看此前陕西的区域发展逻辑到底是怎样的。 公开信息显示,在"十四五"规划中,榆林的地位其实就非常高。 在"打造区域高质量发展动力源"一章中,位列第一位的西安,任务是提升国家中心城市发展能级,而紧接着的就是明确"建设榆林高质量发展重要增长 极"。 并且,围绕榆林打造重要增长极,有一系列的非常瞩目的战略倾斜: 支持榆阳—神木一体化发展,提升城市综合承载能力和发展品质,进一步吸引 ...
“一城独大”的时代要过去了?
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-04 08:29
01 省会"一城独大"的另一面 要解决这个问题,可不是发个文件那么简单,毕竟"冰冻三尺,非一日之寒",其中盘根错节的症结,都是长年累月积攒下来的,要改变也绝非易事。 正如研究区域经济发展的学者张耀军曾指出的,改革开放这四十多年来来,"强省会"一直是中国区域发展的普遍特点,除了东部沿海少数省份外,绝大部 分地区都得靠强省会为龙头来拉动经济发展。 在那些经济发达省份,城市经济格局都是"双核驱动"的,政治中心与经济中心分离,典型的如:广东的广州和深圳、江苏的南京和苏州、浙江的杭州与宁 波、山东的济南与青岛,再加上辽宁的沈阳与大连,福建更是"三核驱动"(福州、泉州、厦门并驾齐驱)。这使省内的资源分布更为均衡,也带动不同区 域协同发展,走向共同富裕。事实上,在所有省份中,福建和浙江的省内各地人均GDP差距是最小的。 然而,在中西部省份却是另一番模样:首位度最高的银川、长春都贡献了本省区一半以上的经济重量,吸纳了省内大部分资源,呈现出一骑绝尘的绝对优 势地位。这种"举全省之力发展省会"的强省会战略,本意是想让省会辐射带动全省发展,但在现实中,却往往是省会"一城独大",使省会与其它地方的差 距进一步拉开,区域发展因此失衡。 ...
为了“更大的成都”,四川新建一个超级工程
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-24 02:52
一个非比寻常的信号。 为了"强省会"战略,四川省开建了一个投资额高达575亿元的超级引水工程,叫做"引大济岷",该工程的主要目的就是给成都平原引水。 575亿元是什么概念,比深中通道还高了100多亿,将其视为四川版的"深中通道"毫不为过。 分析认为,引水成功之后,成都继续做大做强,就没有后顾之忧了。 图片来自"智谷趋势" 四川为什么要新建这个引水工程? 这里涉及到一个冷知识,那就是:成都缺水。 岷江是成都主要的水源地,但同时经常给成都带来水患。战国时期,秦国派蜀郡太守李冰父子修建都江堰,用"鱼嘴分流"的方式将喜怒无常的岷江分成两 条河,一条河走灌溉用水(内江),一条河用来泄洪(外江)。 后来的事情大家都知道了,都江堰建成之后,成都平原变身一个"水旱从人、不知饥馑"的风水宝地。 然而,经过两千多年的发展,成都平原的人口和经济规模,远超战国时期,仅都江堰一个水源地是不够的。 01. 四川要花575亿,为成都引水 11月7日,一个叫做"引大济岷"的工程建设动员大会在四川雅安天全县举行。该工程工期8年,投资额超过575亿元,是四川有史以来投资最大、线路最长 的引水工程,堪称新时代的"都江堰"。 "引大济岷"是什么意思 ...
昆明对云南经济增长贡献率5年翻番 “逐步摆脱了房地产依赖”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-10 09:32
Core Viewpoint - The "Strong Provincial Capital" strategy has significantly enhanced Kunming's role in driving Yunnan's economic growth, with its contribution rate rising from 13.3% in 2020 to 31.9% in 2024 [1][2]. Economic Growth and Industrial Development - Since the implementation of the "Strong Provincial Capital" strategy in 2022, Kunming's economic total has consistently surpassed 700 billion and 800 billion yuan, with growth rates improving from lagging behind the province by 3.6 percentage points in 2021 to surpassing it by 0.7 percentage points in 2024 [2]. - The industrial investment ratio in Kunming reached 39.5% in 2024, doubling from 16.2% in 2020, with industrial investment at its highest level in 25 years at 26.3% [2]. - The city's industrial added value grew by 7%, contributing 59.4% to the province's industrial output, an increase of nearly 50 percentage points since 2020 [2]. Economic Quality and Structural Changes - Kunming's economic development has not only accelerated but also improved in quality, with the industrial sector contributing 32.6% to the city's economic growth in 2024, and emerging industries accounting for 95% of industrial growth [3][4]. - The city's industrial added value as a percentage of GDP increased from 19.7% in 2020 to 22.2% in 2024, reflecting a structural shift away from reliance on real estate [4]. Challenges and Future Goals - Despite structural adjustments, Kunming's economic growth has been slower than expected due to the real estate market downturn and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, with a GDP target of over 1 trillion yuan by 2025 [5]. - The city's GDP was 827.52 billion yuan in 2024, with a slight decrease in its share of the provincial GDP from 26.61% in 2021 to 26.24% in 2024 [5]. Strategic Development and Regional Integration - Kunming is transitioning from a peripheral to a central role in regional development, supported by the China-Laos Railway and the establishment of an international port city model [6]. - The total import and export volume at the Mohan Port increased by 107.7% from 2020 to 2024, with the value rising by 186.1% during the same period [6]. Digital Economy and Infrastructure - The city is enhancing its digital economy, with significant investments from major tech companies and a focus on cross-border digital services, positioning itself as a hub for digital industries [7]. - The international communication business has been established, providing opportunities for the development of cross-border digital finance and logistics [7][8].
省会强则全省强!多省份启动“强省会”战略
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-28 02:32
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the "strong provincial capital" strategy being implemented in various provinces in China, particularly focusing on Gansu, Sichuan, and Shandong, to enhance the economic performance of their respective provincial capitals and drive overall provincial growth [2][4][6][7]. Group 1: Gansu Province - Gansu's government has initiated a "strong provincial capital action" meeting, emphasizing the need for Lanzhou to lead and promote coordinated development across the province [2]. - Gansu's economic total is projected to be 1.3 trillion, ranking 27th nationally, while Lanzhou's economy is only 374.2 billion, also ranking low nationally [4]. Group 2: Sichuan Province - Sichuan has issued a policy to support Chengdu in enhancing its core functions and accelerating high-quality development, aiming for Chengdu's GDP to exceed 3.2 trillion by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [6]. - Chengdu's GDP is expected to reach 2.35 trillion in 2024, maintaining its position as the seventh largest city in the country, and is recognized for its commercial vitality and cultural tourism [6]. Group 3: Shandong Province - Shandong has been promoting the "strong provincial capital" strategy since 2021, with Jinan's GDP surpassing 1.3 trillion in 2024, yet its economic strength is seen as insufficient compared to the province's overall economic scale [7]. - Jinan's economic dominance, defined as its share of the provincial GDP, ranks second to last among provincial capitals in China, indicating a need for stronger provincial capital development [7]. Group 4: Economic Dominance and Rankings - A ranking of provincial capitals by their economic dominance shows that Yinchuan and Changchun have the highest ratios, with Yinchuan's GDP accounting for 53.4% of its province [8][9]. - The article highlights that eight provincial capitals have GDPs exceeding one-third of their provincial totals, while Jinan and Nanjing rank at the bottom with ratios of 13.7% and 13.5%, respectively [9].
强省会,卷土重来?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-16 04:43
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the resurgence of the "strong provincial capital" strategy in China, emphasizing its importance in driving regional development and economic growth, particularly in the context of cities like Lanzhou and Chengdu [2][12][24]. Group 1: Strong Provincial Capital Strategy - The recent meeting in Gansu highlighted the need for provincial capitals to lead provincial development, echoing the sentiment that a strong provincial capital equates to a strong province [2][12]. - The strategy is not merely a choice between strong provincial capitals and multiple centers; rather, it is about integrating both approaches for comprehensive regional development [4][8]. Group 2: Economic Data and Rankings - A table lists various cities along with their projected GDP for 2024, showcasing the economic primacy of cities like Chengdu and Xi'an within their respective provinces [6][7]. - Chengdu is projected to have a GDP of 23,511 million, representing 36.3% of Sichuan's total GDP, indicating its significant economic role [6]. Group 3: Multi-Center Development - The article notes that some regions are moving away from the "strong provincial capital" mindset to embrace a multi-center model, with cities like Mianyang and Yibin in Sichuan being designated as sub-centers [8][9]. - This shift reflects a broader trend where cities are encouraged to develop their unique strengths while contributing to the overall provincial economy [25][32]. Group 4: Future Directions and Strategic Positioning - The article emphasizes that the logic behind the "strong provincial capital" strategy has evolved, focusing on enhancing core functions rather than merely expanding city size [15][18]. - Cities like Chengdu are being positioned as key economic and innovation centers in the western region, with a focus on international connectivity and advanced manufacturing [21][24]. Group 5: Regional Economic Dynamics - The article argues that the suitability of a strong provincial capital versus a multi-center approach depends on the economic strength and regional layout of the province [32][33]. - Strong provinces tend to adopt multi-center models, while weaker provinces may rely on a strong provincial capital to drive development [36][37].
南方人口减少第一省,东北化了!
商业洞察· 2025-10-05 09:24
Group 1 - The article discusses the talent recruitment initiative in Hunan Province aimed at retaining local talent and attracting external talent to boost innovation and entrepreneurship [4][7][8] - The initiative includes collaboration among the government, schools, and enterprises, with nearly 300,000 job positions available across various sectors [9][10] - Hunan is facing a significant population decline, being the first southern province to experience such a trend, with a total population decrease of over 1 million in the past four years [13][22][23] Group 2 - Hunan's population decline is characterized by three main factors: natural population decrease, net outflow of people, and the siphoning effect from Guangdong [36][44][51] - The natural population decrease in Hunan accounts for a significant portion of the overall decline, with 20.3 million in 2023 and 11.1 million in 2024 [38][39] - The net outflow of population is calculated at 15.7 million in 2023 and 17.9 million in 2024, indicating a trend of people leaving the province [44][45] Group 3 - The article highlights the industrial strength of neighboring provinces, particularly Anhui, which has seen significant growth in industrial revenue, contrasting with Hunan's slower industrial development [66][79] - Hunan's industrial revenue is notably lower than Anhui's by 1.35 trillion yuan, despite having a higher GDP [79] - The article emphasizes the importance of strengthening the provincial capital, Changsha, to mitigate the population decline and retain talent [81][88]
中国三分之二的省,正在面临集体失血
36氪· 2025-07-15 00:11
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant reshaping of China's population distribution, highlighting a decline in population in many provinces and a concentration of growth in economically vibrant regions like Guangdong and Zhejiang [5][9][10]. Population Trends - In 2021, China's total population peaked at 1.4126 billion, but in 2022, the number of deaths exceeded births for the first time, marking a shift from natural population growth to decline [5]. - By 2024, 20 out of 31 provincial-level regions experienced a decrease in permanent resident population, with only 8 regions showing growth [9][10]. - Guangdong, Zhejiang, and Fujian are leading in population growth, while provinces like Shandong, Henan, and Hunan are seeing significant declines [10][14][16]. Regional Population Changes - Shandong's population decreased by 430,000 in 2024, marking the largest decline in the country, continuing a trend of population loss for three consecutive years [14]. - The article notes that from 2001 to 2021, Shandong's population grew by 11.72 million, making it one of the largest provinces by population [15]. - The trend of population decline has accelerated since 2020, affecting more regions, including traditionally populous provinces like Henan and Hunan [19][20]. Urban vs. Rural Dynamics - The article emphasizes that while people are still moving, they are less likely to migrate long distances, with a significant portion of the population now moving within their provinces [21]. - In economically active provinces, population growth is distributed across multiple cities, while in shrinking regions, provincial capitals are becoming the primary destinations for migrants [24][39]. Economic Factors Influencing Migration - Zhejiang is highlighted as a model where all 11 prefecture-level cities saw population growth from 2020 to 2024, driven by a robust economy [25]. - In contrast, Hunan's population growth is concentrated in Changsha, with other cities experiencing significant declines [27][31]. - The article discusses how provinces like Anhui and Guizhou are reversing population trends through industrial development, particularly in the automotive and data center sectors [41][46]. Challenges in Retaining Talent - Despite attracting talent through economic opportunities, many provinces face challenges in retaining workers due to limited job options and growth potential [50]. - The software industry in Guizhou, while growing, has seen a decline in employment numbers after reaching a peak, indicating difficulties in sustaining workforce growth [49].