Group 1 - The Eurozone's economic sentiment index and industrial sentiment index for June are set to be released shortly [1]

Economic Data and Events - Japan's unemployment rate for May will be released at 07:30 [1] - France's preliminary CPI for June will be announced at 14:45 [1] - Eurozone's industrial and economic sentiment indices for June will be published at 17:00 [1] - Federal Reserve's Williams will host a meeting at 19:30 [1] - The U.S. will report May's core PCE price index year-on-year, personal spending month-on-month, and core PCE price index month-on-month at 20:30, along with Canada's April GDP month-on-month [1] - Federal Reserve's Harker and Governor Cook will participate in an event at 21:15 [1] - The final consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan for June and the one-year inflation expectations will be released at 22:00 [1] - The total number of oil rigs in the U.S. for the week ending June 27 will be reported at 01:00 the next day [1]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: European Central Bank President Lagarde will deliver a speech at 02:30 [1] - Key Point 2: Japan's unemployment rate for May will be released at 07:30 [1] - Key Point 3: France's preliminary CPI for June will be announced at 14:45 [1] Group 2 - Key Point 1: Eurozone's industrial confidence index for June will be published at 17:00 [1] - Key Point 2: Eurozone's economic confidence index for June will also be released at 17:00 [1] - Key Point 3: Federal Reserve's Williams will host a meeting at 19:30 [1] Group 3 - Key Point 1: Canada's GDP monthly rate for April will be reported at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 2: U.S. core PCE price index year-on-year for May will be released at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 3: U.S. personal spending monthly rate for May will be announced at 20:30 [1] Group 4 - Key Point 1: U.S. core PCE price index monthly rate for May will be published at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 2: Federal Reserve's Harker and Governor Cook will attend an event at 21:15 [1] - Key Point 3: U.S. University of Michigan consumer confidence index final value for June will be released at 22:00 [1] Group 5 - Key Point 1: U.S. one-year inflation expectations final value for June will be announced at 22:00 [1] - Key Point 2: Total U.S. oil rig count for the week ending June 27 will be reported at 01:00 the next day [1]

Global Asset Performance - Global stock markets mostly declined last week, while commodity prices generally increased. The Nikkei 225 rose by 1.50%, emerging market stock index increased by 0.05%, S&P 500 fell by 0.15%, developed market stock index decreased by 0.30%, Shanghai Composite Index dropped by 0.51%, and Hang Seng Index fell by 1.52% [1][3] - Commodity prices saw significant increases, with IPE Brent crude futures up by 2.85%, S&P-Goldman Commodity Index rising by 2.30%, South China Commodity Index increasing by 2.29%, and COMEX copper up by 1.74%. However, London gold spot price decreased by 1.91% [1][3] - In the bond market, domestic 10Y government bond futures prices rose by 0.30%, and the total price index of China bonds increased by 0.16%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 3 basis points to 4.38% [1][3] Economic Indicators in the U.S. - U.S. industrial output fell both year-on-year and month-on-month in May 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of -0.13% compared to 0.55% in the previous month, and a month-on-month growth rate of -0.21% compared to -0.10% [6][10] - The industrial capacity utilization rate in the U.S. decreased to 77.43%, while the manufacturing capacity utilization rate slightly increased to 76.73% [6] - The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for June remained unchanged at -4.0, showing improvement from April's -26.4 [8] - New private housing starts in the U.S. fell by 4.56% year-on-year in May, and retail and food service sales also declined by 3.29% year-on-year [10] Inflation and Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve maintained its interest rate target range at 4.25%-4.5% during the June meeting, marking the fourth consecutive meeting without a change. However, inflation expectations have increased, with the Fed lowering its economic growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 [24] - The European Central Bank (ECB) indicated that its anti-inflation measures are nearly complete, with a cautious stance on future rate cuts, although market expectations suggest a potential rate cut later in the year [25] - The Bank of Japan decided to keep its policy rate unchanged at around 0.5% and will slow the pace of bond purchase reductions starting in the fiscal year 2026 [26]

Group 1 - Domestic refined oil prices are set to enter a new round of adjustment window [1] - The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision [1] - The Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will hold a press conference at 14:30 [1] Group 2 - The IEA will release its monthly oil market report at 16:00 [1] - Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index for June will be published at 17:00 [1] - The Eurozone's ZEW economic sentiment index for June will also be released at 17:00 [1] Group 3 - The U.S. will report May retail sales month-on-month and May import price index month-on-month at 20:30 [1] - U.S. industrial production month-on-month for May will be reported at 21:15 [1] - The NAHB housing market index for June and April business inventories month-on-month will be released at 22:00 [1] Group 4 - The Bank of Canada will publish the minutes of its monetary policy meeting the next day [1] - The U.S. API crude oil inventory for the week ending June 13 will be reported at 04:30 the next day [1]

Group 1 - The US President Trump has decided to abandon the threat of imposing a 50% tariff on EU imports starting next month, which led to a temporary drop in gold prices to around $3323, but buying support and geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine helped gold prices recover, closing at $3337.93 per ounce on Monday [1] - On Tuesday morning, spot gold showed slight gains, trading around $3340.70 per ounce [2] - The US dollar index fell to 98.55 on Monday, marking a new low since April 29, which also provided support for gold prices [4] Group 2 - The trade negotiation window between the US and EU is set to last until July 9, with EU Commission President von der Leyen indicating a willingness to act swiftly and decisively in negotiations, contingent on Trump returning to the original 90-day negotiation period [6] - ECB President Lagarde stated that Trump's erratic policies present a unique opportunity to strengthen the euro's international status, suggesting that European decision-makers are looking to leverage the situation to enhance the euro's position [7] - A recent study by the German Economic Institute indicates that Trump's proposed tariffs could lead to a cumulative loss of €200 billion for the German economy from 2025 to 2028, potentially increasing to €250 billion if the EU implements reciprocal measures [8]

Group 1 - The Eurozone's economic sentiment index for May is reported at 94.8, exceeding the expected value of 94 [1] - The industrial sentiment index for May stands at -10.3, slightly better than the forecasted -10.5 [1]

Core Insights - The Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index for May is reported at 94.8, surpassing the expected value of 94 and the previous value of 93.6 [1] Economic Indicators - The current index of 94.8 indicates a positive shift in economic sentiment compared to the previous month [1] - The increase from 93.6 to 94.8 represents a growth of 1.2 points, reflecting improved economic conditions in the Eurozone [1]

Group 1 - The Eurozone economic sentiment index and industrial sentiment index for May are set to be released shortly [1]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: The U.S. President Trump is scheduled to visit Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE, which may impact geopolitical relations and economic ties in the region [2] - Key Point 2: The Bank of Japan will release the summary of opinions from its April monetary policy meeting, which could provide insights into future monetary policy directions [2] - Key Point 3: The UK will report on the ILO unemployment rate for March, the unemployment rate for April, and the number of unemployment benefit claims for April, which are critical indicators of the labor market [2] Group 2 - Key Point 1: Germany and the Eurozone will release the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for May, which is a key indicator of economic expectations [2] - Key Point 2: The U.S. will publish the NFIB Small Business Confidence Index for April, along with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April, including both unadjusted and seasonally adjusted figures [2] - Key Point 3: The Bank of England Governor Bailey is scheduled to give a speech, which may provide insights into the central bank's outlook and policy stance [2]