Market Performance - On the last trading day of July, all three major A-share indices fell by over 1%, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing below 3600 points at 3573.21, down 1.18% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index dropped 1.73% to 11009.77, while the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.66% to 2328.31 [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.96 trillion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The sectors that saw gains included liquid cooling IDC, assisted reproduction, Google, biopharmaceuticals, chemical pharmaceuticals, and computers [1] - Conversely, sectors that experienced declines included aquaculture, PTA, iron ore, energy metals, steel, and minor metals [1] Notable Stocks - The AI sector showed strong fluctuations, with Yidian Tianxia (301171) hitting the 20% daily limit up [1] - The liquid cooling server sector performed well, with Sihua New Materials (301489) also reaching the 20% limit up, alongside Yingweike (002837) and Chunz中科技 (603516) [1] - The assisted reproduction sector continued to strengthen, with Gongtong Pharmaceutical (300966) and Anke Biotechnology (300009) both hitting the 20% limit up, while Hanshang Group (600774) also reached the limit [1] - The steel sector faced adjustments, with Baogang Co. (600010) dropping over 8% [1] - The coal sector declined across the board, with Antai Group (600408) falling over 7% [1] Market Outlook - According to Jifeng Investment Advisory, the A-share market is expected to continue a structural trend in August, supported by the intensive disclosure of mid-term performance and ongoing policy efforts, favoring industries with high earnings certainty [1] - Dongfang Securities noted that the current A-share market is in a sustained upward trend with ample trading volume, attracting new capital, and maintaining a cautiously optimistic sentiment without immediate risk of reversal [2]

Market Overview - A-shares opened mixed on July 31, with the three major indices showing volatility during the morning session [1] - In the afternoon, all three indices declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3600 points [1] - By the end of the trading day, the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index closed down by 1.18%, 1.73%, and 1.66%, respectively, at 3573.21 points, 11009.77 points, and 2328.31 points [1] Sector Performance - Sectors such as liquid cooling, assisted reproduction, and hepatitis concepts saw the largest gains [1] - Conversely, sectors including low-carbon metallurgy, energy metals, and the steel industry experienced the most significant declines [1] Stock Performance - A total of 1061 A-shares rose, with 49 stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] - In contrast, 4287 A-shares fell, with 6 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] Trading Volume - The trading volume in the Shanghai market reached 845.89 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen market saw a trading volume of 1.09 trillion yuan, totaling 1.94 trillion yuan across both markets [1]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's performance relative to the benchmark index [5]. Core Insights - The lithium business, particularly the Greenbushes lithium mine, showed a production volume of 340,000 tons in Q2 2025, reflecting a 2% year-on-year increase, while sales volume decreased by 22% to 412,000 tons [1][3]. - The average realized price for lithium concentrate was $725 per ton, down 8% from the previous quarter [1]. - The Kwinana lithium hydroxide plant produced 2,126 tons in Q2 2025, a 36% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 60% increase year-on-year, although sales volume decreased by 25% [4][6]. - The nickel business at the Nova project reported a production of 5,107 tons in Q2 2025, a 22% increase quarter-on-quarter, but a 20% decrease year-on-year [8]. Summary by Sections Lithium Business - Greenbushes lithium mine produced 340,000 tons in Q2 2025, with a cash production cost of A$366 per ton, up 8% year-on-year [1][3]. - Kwinana hydroxide plant's production was 2,126 tons, with a conversion cost of A$17,215 per ton, down 20% from the previous quarter [4][7]. Nickel Business - Nova project achieved a nickel production of 5,107 tons in Q2 2025, with a cash cost of A$3.97 per pound, down 23% quarter-on-quarter [8]. - The average realized price for nickel decreased to A$23,261 per ton, a 7% decline from the previous quarter [8]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for Q2 2025 was A$126.9 million, a 15% increase quarter-on-quarter but a 46% decrease year-on-year [10]. - The underlying EBITDA for Q2 2025 was A$62.3 million, compared to A$34 million in the same quarter last year [11]. Production Guidance - For FY25, the Greenbushes lithium production guidance is set at 1,350,000 to 1,550,000 tons, with a cash cost guidance of A$320 to A$380 per ton [19]. - The Kwinana refinery's production guidance for FY25 is 7,000 to 8,000 tons of lithium hydroxide [19].

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all three major indices reach new highs for the year, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.65% to surpass 3600 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.21%, and the ChiNext Index climbing by 1.5% [1] - The total market turnover was approximately 1.87 trillion yuan, a decrease of 24.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 4300 stocks rising [1] Sector Performance - The Hainan sector led the gains, with concepts related to the Hainan Free Trade Zone, horse racing, and duty-free shops showing significant increases [3] - The energy metals, minor metals, and new metal materials sectors ranked among the top three in terms of growth, with stocks like Shengxin Lithium Energy, Tibet Mining, and Zhongtung High-tech hitting the daily limit [3][13] Commodity Futures - Most domestic commodity futures closed higher, with coking coal futures hitting the daily limit, lithium carbonate rising over 7%, glass increasing over 6%, polysilicon up more than 5%, and soda ash rising over 4% [4] Company Highlights - Zhongshe Co., Ltd. (002883) experienced a rapid increase, hitting the daily limit within 9 minutes at the end of trading, marking its fourth consecutive day of limit-up [5][8] - Industrial Fulian saw its stock price rise by over 8% during the day, reaching a historical high, and closing up 7.04% with a total market capitalization of 565 billion yuan [6] Industry Insights - Zhongshe Co., Ltd. focuses on providing comprehensive engineering design consulting and general contracting services across four major business areas: transportation, municipal, construction, and environment [10] - According to Guosen Securities, the infrastructure sector is expected to see new development opportunities driven by policy support and market demand, particularly in major projects that optimize energy structure and enhance regional coordinated development [11] Film and Entertainment Sector - The film and cinema sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Happiness Blue Sea hitting the daily limit, and China Film and Golden Screen Films also seeing significant gains [18] - Recent initiatives, such as the issuance of movie vouchers in multiple regions, are expected to boost cinema attendance and revenue, with Beijing planning to invest 10 million yuan in subsidies for moviegoers [20] - The total box office for the summer season has already surpassed 4.4 billion yuan, with major films leading the box office [21] - Analysts predict a significant year-on-year improvement in box office performance due to a recovery in supply and an increase in the number of films released [22]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the energy metal sector is experiencing a strong performance, particularly in the context of the "anti-involution" market trend, with significant representation from the new energy vehicle industry index [1] - As of July 24, 2025, the China Securities New Energy Vehicle Industry Index (930997) has risen by 1.51%, with notable increases in stocks such as Defu Technology (301511) up 6.76%, Huayou Cobalt (603799) up 6.23%, and Tianqi Lithium (002466) also seeing gains [1] - The New Energy Vehicle ETF (515700) has increased by 1.54%, with a recent price of 1.78 yuan, and has shown a cumulative increase of 4.67% over the past week, ranking in the top half among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities New Energy Vehicle Industry Index (930997) include CATL (300750), Huichuan Technology (300124), BYD (002594), and others, collectively accounting for 55.74% of the index [2] - The New Energy Vehicle ETF (515700) has various off-market connections, including Ping An's New Energy Vehicle ETF Connect A (012698), C (012699), and E (024504) [2]

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations on July 14, with mixed performance across the three major indices. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.11% and 0.45%, respectively [2] - Over 3,100 stocks in the market saw gains, with total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reaching 1.46 trillion yuan, a decrease of 253.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] Sector Performance - The sectors that performed well included precious metals, electricity, humanoid robots, and power grid equipment, while multi-financial, gaming, real estate, and securities sectors saw declines [2] - The banking sector's recovery was noted, with a positive impact on the Shanghai Composite Index, indicating that the upward trend for both banking stocks and the index remains intact [2][10] Index and Stock Performance - The micro-cap stock index and dividend index showed strength, indicating a diverse performance across different market segments [4] - Notable performance metrics included: - Micro-cap stock index up by 1.38% year-to-date at 50.04% - Shanghai Composite Index up by 5.01% year-to-date [5] Specific Sector Insights 1. **Energy Metals** - Lithium carbonate futures saw significant gains, attributed to reduced production signals from Australian mines, indicating a potential recovery in the lithium sector [14] - The sector is in a post-capacity clearing phase, with operators taking cost-cutting measures [15] 2. **Electricity** - High temperatures across China have led to record electricity demand, with the maximum load reaching 1.465 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of nearly 150 million kilowatts [16] - The urgency for demand-side management is highlighted, with investment opportunities emerging in load aggregation [16] 3. **Humanoid Robots** - Recent large orders in the humanoid robot sector have brought renewed attention, with expectations for rapid production and expansion supported by capital market dynamics [17] - The presence of key industry figures at upcoming events suggests a focus on promoting entrepreneurial spirit in the sector [17]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index saw an increase of 1% in early trading, indicating a positive market sentiment [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index and ChiNext Index expanded their gains to 1% in early trading [1] - Sectors such as rare earth permanent magnets, brokerage firms, shipbuilding, and energy metals showed significant increases [1]

Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment score is 86, indicating an "overheated" market condition [6][10][22] - Historical trends show that when sentiment is below or close to 30, the market tends to find support, while above 90, it faces resistance [10] Hot Themes Tracking - **Storage Theme**: Major manufacturers are phasing out DDR4, with a reported 53% price increase in May, the highest since 2017. Related stocks include Jiangbolong (301308) and Zhaoyi Innovation (603586) [7] - **Energy Metals Theme**: The Democratic Republic of Congo has extended a temporary ban on cobalt exports due to high inventory levels. Related stocks include Huayou Cobalt (603799) and Tianqi Lithium (002466) [7] - **Stablecoin Theme**: The People's Bank of China discussed the transformation of monetary policy and the rise of digital currencies at the Lujiazui Forum. Related stocks include Sifang Jingchuang (300468) and Jingbeifang (002987) [7] Capital Flow Analysis - The top ten stocks with the highest net inflow include Chengfei Integration (69,333.71 million), Dongxin Peace (54,023.33 million), and Rongfa Nuclear Power (51,283.10 million) [11] - The top ten stocks with the highest net outflow include Hengbao Co. (-77,375.44 million), Dongfang Fortune (-56,211.82 million), and BYD (-53,577.85 million) [13] - The top ten industries with the highest net inflow include Defense Industry (172,656 million) and Media (121,159 million) [17] - The top ten industries with the highest net outflow include Social Services (-21,650 million) and Environmental Protection (-27,401 million) [18]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the current market sentiment score is 85, categorizing it as "overheated," suggesting a strong upward trend in the market supported by recent improvements in sentiment and policy [6][10]. - Key themes identified include storage, energy metals, and stablecoins, with specific companies highlighted for potential investment opportunities [7]. Market Sentiment - The market sentiment temperature indicator shows a score of 85, indicating an "overheated" market, which typically suggests caution for investors as high sentiment can lead to market corrections [10][21]. - Historical sentiment trends indicate that when the sentiment score is below or near 30, the market tends to find support, while scores above 90 may present resistance [10]. Hot Themes Tracking - **Storage Theme**: Major manufacturers are phasing out DDR4 production, leading to a significant price increase of 53% in May, the highest since 2017. Relevant companies include Jiangbolong (301308) and Zhaoyi Innovation (603586) [7]. - **Energy Metals Theme**: The Democratic Republic of Congo has extended a temporary ban on cobalt exports due to high inventory levels, impacting companies like Huayou Cobalt (603799) and Tianqi Lithium (002466) [7]. - **Stablecoin Theme**: The People's Bank of China discussed the transformation of monetary policy and the rise of digital currencies at the Lujiazui Forum, highlighting companies such as Sifang Jingchuang (300468) and Jingbeifang (002987) as relevant players [7]. Capital Flow Analysis - The report lists the top ten stocks with significant net inflows, with Dongfang Caifu (300059) leading at approximately 1.31 billion, followed by Dongxin Heping (002017) and Guoxuan High-Tech (002074) [11]. - Conversely, the top ten stocks with net outflows include Sifang Jingchuang (300468) with a net outflow of approximately -879.77 million, indicating investor caution towards these stocks [13]. Industry Insights - The report highlights the top industries by net inflow, with the electric equipment sector leading at approximately 250.86 million, followed by the automotive and non-bank financial sectors [17]. - The report also notes industries with significant net outflows, including defense and military, indicating potential investor concerns in these sectors [22].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH) with a target price of 9.46 RMB, corresponding to a PE of 43 times and a predicted market value of 2005.94 billion RMB [2][21]. Core Viewpoints - Luoyang Molybdenum is positioned as a world-class resource leader, leveraging strategic acquisitions and a diversified, international approach to enhance its growth in the energy metals sector [1][2]. - The company has successfully completed a cost reduction plan, achieving savings of 500 million USD ahead of schedule, which is expected to accelerate profit release [2][18]. - The intrinsic value of the company's mineral rights is estimated at 1925.47 billion RMB, while its current market capitalization is around 1400 billion RMB, indicating potential for value re-evaluation [2][18]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum has transformed from a regional mining company to a global leader through strategic acquisitions, including the purchase of NPM copper-gold mine and TFM copper-cobalt mine, among others [1][24]. - The company is now one of the largest producers of tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and molybdenum globally, with a diversified portfolio that includes significant assets in various countries [1][24]. Growth Strategy - The company focuses on both internal growth and external expansion, particularly in the energy metals sector, which is expected to drive long-term growth [20][22]. - The TFM project is projected to significantly increase copper and cobalt production, with future capacity reaching 40-50 million tons of copper and 3-4 million tons of cobalt annually [18][20]. Financial Performance - The report forecasts revenue growth from 68.68 billion RMB in 2019 to 134.30 billion RMB in 2023, with net profit expected to rise from 1.86 billion RMB to 8.49 billion RMB during the same period [4][2]. - The company's EPS is projected to increase from 0.09 RMB in 2019 to 0.39 RMB in 2023, reflecting strong earnings growth [4][2]. Market Position - Luoyang Molybdenum's strategic partnerships, such as with CATL for resource development, enhance its competitive position in the energy metals market [1][20]. - The company has established a global marketing network across five continents, which is expected to strengthen its influence in the resource industry [29][24].