5月7日，人民银行公布最新官方储备资产情况。数据显示，4月末，我国外汇储备规模为3.28万亿元，连续第三个月增长；4月末，黄金储备规模为7377万盎 司，连续六个月增长。 黄金储备方面，2025年4月末官方黄金储备连续第六个月增加，符合市场预期。东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青认为，在国际金价大幅上行、屡创历史新高的 背景下，近期人民银行持续增持黄金，主要原因是美国新政府上台后，全球政治、经济形势出现新变化，国际金价有可能在相当长一段时间内易涨难跌。这 意味着从控制成本角度出发暂停增持黄金的必要性下降，而从优化国际储备结构角度增持黄金的需求上升。 此外，黄金独有的避险功能也可能是近期央行持续增持黄金的一个考量。从优化国际储备结构、稳慎扎实推进人民币国际化等角度出发，未来人民银行增持 黄金仍是大方向。 图片来源：视觉中国 来源：北京日报客户端 记者：潘福达 根据国家外汇局统计数据，截至2025年4月末，我国外汇储备规模为32817亿美元，较3月末上升410亿美元，升幅为1.27%。外汇局称，2025年4月，受主要 经济体宏观政策、经济增长预期等因素影响，美元指数下跌，全球金融资产价格涨跌互现。汇率折算和资产价格变化等 ...

Group 1: Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators - The market perceives a decrease in the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in June, dropping from 73.7% four weeks ago to 30.2% last week [1] - U.S. non-farm payroll data for April exceeded expectations, leading to a rebound in gold prices [1] - If a recession occurs in the U.S. in the second half of the year (excluding stagflation), gold prices may be negatively impacted [1] Group 2: Investment Strategies - Recommended strategies include shorting base metals and U.S. stocks, going long on silver, holding gold, and maintaining cash positions during market stabilization or rebound [1] - The risk of interest rate cuts hinges on persistent inflation in April and May, which may force the Federal Reserve to prioritize the dollar over economic and employment concerns [1] Group 3: Global Gold Demand and Supply - Global gold demand increased by 1% year-on-year to 1,206 tons in Q1, with central bank demand at 244 tons, remaining at the three-year quarterly average [2] - Investment demand for gold, including ETFs, surged by 170% year-on-year to 552 tons [2] - Despite a 38% increase in gold prices over the past 12 months, global mine supply only rose by 0.3% or 2.3 tons, indicating a lag in supply response to high prices [2] Group 4: Geopolitical Risks and Economic Policies - The geopolitical risks are expected to escalate significantly over the next two years [3] - Trump's strategy of increasing tariffs aims to influence consumer behavior while simultaneously seeking interest rate cuts to alleviate public financial burdens [3] - The relationship between tariffs and inflation is complex, as tariffs increase costs without directly correlating to currency depreciation [3]

印度央行：截至2025年3月底，黄金在外汇储备中的比重从2024年9月底的9.32%上升至11.7%。 ...

Group 1 - The importance of gold as a non-debt monetary asset and a cornerstone for economic security is emphasized, with most countries maintaining gold reserves [1] - Historical context shows that during the 1997 Asian financial crisis, South Korea relied on gold donations from citizens to repay foreign debts and stabilize the economy [3] Group 2 - As of April 2025, the United States holds over 8,133 tons of gold, accounting for approximately 20% of global official reserves, attributed to historical wealth accumulation and the Bretton Woods system [5][9] - The U.S. gained a significant amount of gold during the World Wars, establishing a dominant position in global gold reserves [7] - The Bretton Woods system linked the dollar to gold, further solidifying the U.S. as a global gold repository, which continues to influence international finance [9][11] Group 3 - Russia's gold reserves are approximately 2,350 tons as of 2023, with a total of $6,558 billion in gold and foreign exchange by April 2025, driven by rich mineral resources and increased mining investments [13][15] - The geopolitical landscape, particularly sanctions from the U.S. during the Ukraine conflict, has made gold reserves crucial for Russia's economic resilience [15][17] Group 4 - China's official gold reserves stand at about 2,292.33 tons, representing around 5.7% of global reserves, with growth supported by domestic production and strategic market participation [19][21] - Increasing gold reserves is seen as a means for China to enhance financial stability and assert greater influence in the global financial system [21][23] Group 5 - The competition for gold reserves among countries is expected to intensify due to the economic downturn, highlighting gold's role as a strategic resource for economic security and financial stability [23]

美股的史诗级上涨，只是昙花一现。 当地时间4月10日，美股三大指数集体回调，道琼斯指数跌超2%，标普500指数跌超3%，纳斯达克指数 跌超4%，大型科技股出现集体下挫，芯片股走低。而中概股尽管整体走低，但包括理想汽车、小鹏汽 车在内的汽车股出现上涨。 此外，现货黄金一度突破3190美元/盎司，上涨超0.4%，创下历史新高。欧洲股市创下了2022年3月以来 的最大涨幅，美国总统特朗普宣布对部分国家实施90天的关税暂停措施，让欧洲市场有了喘息空间。 亚太早盘下跌，日经225指数开盘跌1.9%，截至发稿跌幅超过5%，韩国KOSPI指数跌1.8%。澳大利亚 S&P/ASX 200指数盘初跌幅扩大至2%。 中信证券研报表示，未来特朗普政府关税政策出现反复的可能性依然较大。从美国企业进出口的维度来 看，信息技术、原材料、医疗保健、可选消费及工业行业预计将受到关税政策的较大影响。 美联储表态称不会"预防性降息" 据美国劳工统计局发布的数据，美国3月CPI同比增长2.4%，增幅低于预期值2.5%，3月核心CPI同比增 长2.8%，增幅低于预期值3%。其中，美国3月CPI环比下降0.1%，为近五年来首次下降。 不过美联储在3月 ...

Group 1: Foreign Exchange Reserves - In March, China's official foreign exchange reserves reached $32,406.65 billion, an increase of $13.441 billion month-on-month, primarily driven by exchange rate factors[1] - The positive contribution from exchange rates was significant, with the dollar index declining by 3.13% from the end of February, impacting reserves positively by approximately $60.625 billion[2] - The valuation effect negatively impacted reserves by about $4.73 billion due to falling European bond prices, leading to a net effect of approximately $55.901 billion on reserves[2] Group 2: Trade Environment and Currency Fluctuations - The short-term trade environment is identified as a core factor influencing exchange rates, with expectations of increased two-way volatility[3] - If trade tensions escalate with other major countries, they may devalue their currencies against the dollar, which could lead to a passive appreciation of the RMB[3] - Conversely, if major countries make concessions in trade negotiations, external pressures on China may increase, expanding the depreciation space for the RMB[3] Group 3: Gold Reserves - As of the end of March, gold reserves stood at 7.37 million ounces, marking the fifth consecutive month of increases[4] - Gold reserves now account for 6.4% of total foreign exchange reserves, with expectations for further increases in this ratio[4] - Short-term outlook suggests a potential slight decline in gold prices due to unmet U.S. gold tariff expectations, but a long-term forecast predicts new highs by 2025 driven by central bank purchases[4]

作 者丨 唐婧 编 辑丨肖嘉 4月7日，国家外汇管理局统计数据显示，截至2 0 2 5年3月末，我国外汇储备规模为3 2 4 0 7亿美元，较2月末上升1 3 4亿美元，升幅为0 . 4 2%。这 是我国外汇储备连续1 6个月站上3 . 2万亿美元大关，也是连续3个月出现环比回升。 国家外汇局表示，2 0 2 5年3月，受主要经济体宏观经济数据、财政货币政策及预期等因素影响，美元指数下跌，全球金融资产价格总体下跌。 汇率折算和资产价格变化等因素综合作用，当月外汇储备规模上升。我国经济运行总体平稳、稳中有进，一揽子存量政策和增量政策继续发力 显效，高质量发展扎实推进，为外汇储备规模保持基本稳定提供支撑。 多名受访专家告诉2 1世纪经济报道记者，在外部环境复杂多变的情况下，外汇储备充分发挥了国家经济金融安全的"稳定器"和"压舱石"作用， 已经帮助我国成功经受住了多轮外部冲击的考验，这一次也不会例外。 例如，汇管研究院副院长、对外经贸大学金融学院兼职教授、国际金融专家赵庆明告诉记者，我国外汇储备长期以来稳定在3万亿美元之上， 是全球第一大外汇储备国，远超排在第二的国家。如此雄厚的外汇储备资产，将继续维护我国经济和金 ...