《上海卫星互联网产业报告（2025）》统计数据显示，近10年来我国卫星发射年复合增长率超过27%。 随着千帆星座、星网星座、鸿鹄星座等主要项目的常态化发射，未来将加速增长。 中金公司（601995）表示，当前全球商业航天正呈现出蓬勃发展的良好局面，这一趋势正强力牵引着火 箭发射需求不断攀升。建议密切关注全球商业航天发展动态以及国内复用火箭的研发进展，把握其中蕴 含的投资机会，提前布局相关优质标的，分享商业航天发展带来的红利。 本周，A股小幅震荡上扬，上证指数收复3900点，深证成指也回到13000点之上，并创半个月来新高， 北证50则再度站上1400点。周成交进一步降低至8.48万亿元，创近5个月来新低（完整周）。 融资客本周再度加仓99.89亿元，其中电子行业获得逾29亿元融资净买入，机械设备、有色金属等行业 均获得逾27亿元净买入，国防军工、汽车、食品饮料等行业也都获得超10亿元净买入。公用事业行业则 被融资净卖出9.9亿元，电力设备、基础化工、计算机、传媒等行业也被净卖出超亿元。 数据统计显示，电子行业全周获得逾313亿元主力资金净流入，机械设备行业获得逾296亿元净流入，通 信行业获得逾218亿元净流 ...

中经记者 顾梦轩 李正豪 广州 北京报道 航天板块近日备受资本市场关注。12月1日，商业航天板块表现强势，超七成概念股股价飘红，天润科 技（920564.BJ）、航宇微（300053.SZ）、航天环宇（688523.SH）等个股涨逾10%。Wind数据显示， 截至12月4日，申万航天装备8只概念股年内涨幅可观。其中涨幅最大的是航天环宇，涨幅为112.55%。 另外，其余7只概念股年内涨幅均为正。 具体而言，苏商银行特约研究员张思远表示，一是要构建"军转民、民参军、军民协同"的产业生态，开 放国家科研项目与设施，促进技术成果转化；二是培育规模化市场，通过政府采购、星座组网需求拉动 火箭发射、卫星制造等产业链环节升级；三是提升国际竞争力，在低轨卫星互联网、商业发射服务等领 域形成与国际头部企业抗衡的能力。 "政府希望商业航天不再是少数科研机构专属，而成为产业、经济增长的新引擎。"济安研究院研究员万 力指出，有关部门通过制度与政策支持，协助行业解决长期存在的结构性瓶颈，如高成本、长周期、回 报不确定、资源配置分散、产业链不完备等问题；同时，鼓励技术创新与产业化转化，推动包括可重复 使用火箭、卫星制造、卫星服务与应用 ...

近期，商业航天领域迎来政策支持与技术突破等多重利好，板块热度攀升，多家公司受到关注。 万联证券投资顾问屈放表示，国内商业航天近年来实现跨越式增长，成为尖端科技领域的创新"新引 擎"，以及推动高端制造、数字经济协同发展的关键力量。2025年行业迈入规模化提速期，可回收火箭 迭代、卫星量产突破以及高密度发射常态化，正为全产业链上下游企业带来巨大发展机遇。 政策红利持续释放 相关企业迎来发展机遇 政策红利的持续释放是商业航天产业驶入发展快车道的关键。2024年《政府工作报告》提出"积极打造 生物制造、商业航天、低空经济等新增长引擎"。2025年《政府工作报告》再次提出，"推动商业航天、 低空经济、深海科技等新兴产业安全健康发展"。 今年11月25日发布的《国家航天局推进商业航天高质量安全发展行动计划(2025—2027年)》，在商业航 天领域部署五项重点举措。国家航天局于近期设立商业航天司，相关业务正在逐步开展。 "一系列政策表明，商业航天已被全面纳入国家航天发展（000547）总体布局，同时也向业界释放出我 国商业航天产业正由快速扩张转向提质发展的关键信号。"中国城市专家智库委员会常务副秘书长林先 平在接受《证券 ...

- The report introduces a quantitative model based on the "250-day new high distance" to track market trends and identify investment hotspots. The calculation formula is: $ 250\text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ where $\text{Close}_{t}$ represents the latest closing price, and $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days. If the latest closing price hits a new high, the distance is 0; otherwise, it is a positive value indicating the degree of fallback [11][19][26] - The model evaluates the effectiveness of momentum and trend-following strategies, referencing studies by George (2004), William O'Neil's CANSLIM framework, and Mark Minervini's "Stock Market Wizard," which emphasize the importance of stocks near their 52-week highs as potential leaders in market uptrends [11][18][21] - A screening method for "stable new high stocks" is introduced, focusing on factors such as analyst attention, relative stock strength, price path smoothness, and sustained new highs. Key metrics include: - Analyst attention: At least 5 buy or overweight ratings in the past 3 months - Relative stock strength: Top 20% in 250-day returns - Price path smoothness: Evaluated using metrics like price displacement ratio - Sustained new highs: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 120 days - Trend continuation: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 5 days [26][28][29] - The report identifies 41 "stable new high stocks" based on the above criteria, with the majority belonging to cyclical and manufacturing sectors. Notable industries include non-ferrous metals and machinery [29][30][32] - Backtesting results show that cyclical and manufacturing sectors have the highest number of stocks achieving new highs, with cyclical stocks leading in non-ferrous metals and manufacturing stocks excelling in machinery [19][20][29]

Core Insights - The successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket marks significant technological breakthroughs in China's commercial space sector, including the first domestic application of a nine-engine parallel liquid oxygen-methane propulsion system and a new reusable rocket design [1] - The establishment of a dedicated Commercial Space Administration by the National Space Administration aims to enhance regulatory efficiency and promote the standardized development of the commercial space industry [1] - China's commercial space market is projected to exceed 2.3 trillion yuan by 2024 and approach 10 trillion yuan by 2030, with an annual growth rate exceeding 22% from 2018 to 2023 [2] Industry Growth and Investment - The commercial space industry in China is experiencing rapid growth, with over 52 financing events in 2024, totaling more than 15 billion yuan, involving over 40 companies [2] - The satellite operation sector has the largest financing scale, accounting for approximately 43% of total financing, followed by rocket manufacturing and satellite manufacturing at 30% and 16%, respectively [4] - The stock market has reacted positively to developments in the commercial space sector, with over 20 companies experiencing significant stock price increases following the Zhuque-3 launch [4] Regional Development - Key provinces such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong, Shandong, Hainan, and Hubei are actively developing commercial space industry clusters, focusing on the entire value chain from research and development to manufacturing and application [6] - Beijing has emerged as a leading hub for commercial space, housing over 70% of the country's commercial rocket companies and possessing the most comprehensive rocket development supply chain [7] - Guangdong is becoming a potential leader in the application of commercial space, with the highest number of related enterprises in the country, totaling 10,400, which represents 11.5% of the national total [7]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index recovering above 3900 points and the Shenzhen Component Index surpassing 13000 points, reaching a new high in half a month [2] - Weekly trading volume shrank to 8.48 trillion yuan, marking a new low in nearly five months [2] Financing Activities - Margin traders increased their positions by 9.989 billion yuan this week, with the electronics sector receiving over 2.9 billion yuan in net buying [4] - Other sectors such as machinery, non-ferrous metals, defense, automotive, and food and beverage also saw net buying exceeding 1 billion yuan [4] - Public utilities faced a net sell-off of 990 million yuan, with sectors like power equipment, basic chemicals, computers, and media also experiencing net outflows exceeding 100 million yuan [4] Sector Performance - The electronics sector attracted over 31.3 billion yuan in net inflow from major funds, while machinery and communications sectors received over 29.6 billion yuan and 21.8 billion yuan, respectively [4] - The defense and military industry has shown a trend of strengthening after over three months of consolidation, particularly in the commercial aerospace sector, which saw its index break historical highs [4] - Notable stocks in the aerospace sector include Hangtian Development, which achieved 10 consecutive limit-up days, and Shunhao Co., which rose for six days, with five days hitting the limit [4] Industry Events - The "2025 Satellite Internet Industry Ecosystem Conference" will be held in Shanghai on December 4-5, where Shanghai Yanjin Satellite and Airbus signed a market cooperation agreement [5] - The "Shanghai Satellite Internet Industry Report (2025)" indicates that China's satellite launch compound annual growth rate has exceeded 27% over the past decade, with major projects like Qianfan Constellation and Honghu Constellation accelerating growth [6] Investment Opportunities - CICC suggests closely monitoring global commercial aerospace developments and domestic reusable rocket R&D progress to seize investment opportunities [6] - The recent listing of Moer Thread, a leading domestic full-function GPU company, was highly anticipated, with its share price soaring over 425% on the first day of trading, setting multiple A-share records [6] Market Outlook - Guolian Minsheng anticipates that the spring market rally typically starts from late December to mid-January, with the median starting point being 11 trading days before the holiday [7] - Recommendations include focusing on sectors with low inventory stabilization, optimized capacity structure, and sustained improvement in prosperity, particularly in high-end manufacturing like defense and power equipment [7]

Core Insights - The satellite internet and commercial aerospace sectors are experiencing a rebound, with the China Satellite Industry Index rising by 1.3% as of 11:00 AM, driven by significant gains in stocks such as Platinum (up over 10%), Guangku Technology (up over 7%), and Aopu Optoelectronics (up over 5%) [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The China Satellite Industry Index has shown a positive trend, indicating strong market interest and investment potential in the satellite sector [1] - Key stocks within the index have demonstrated substantial price increases, reflecting investor confidence and market momentum [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - The "Thousand Sails Constellation" communication project has successfully met its expected performance metrics, with international application testing underway, including successful demonstrations in Kazakhstan [1] - The commercial rocket launch market in China has significant growth potential compared to global standards, with increasing demand driven by the expansion of large satellite constellations [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The China Satellite Industry Index includes 50 companies across satellite manufacturing, launching, and application sectors, providing comprehensive coverage of the industry chain [1] - The E Fund Satellite ETF (563530) tracks this index, offering investors a streamlined way to capitalize on opportunities within the satellite industry [1]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods Model Name: 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The model is based on the concept that stocks nearing their 52-week high tend to outperform those further away from their highs, as supported by prior research and methodologies like CANSLIM and momentum strategies[11][18] - **Model Construction Process**: The 250-day new high distance is calculated as follows: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Closet}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ - **Closet**: The latest closing price - **ts\_max(Close, 250)**: The maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days If the latest closing price reaches a new high, the distance is 0. If the price has fallen from the high, the distance is a positive value representing the degree of decline[11] - **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively identifies stocks and indices that are leading the market trends, serving as a useful tool for tracking momentum and market hotspots[11][18] Model Name: Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model focuses on identifying stocks with smooth price paths and consistent momentum, as smoother momentum stocks tend to outperform those with jumpy price paths[26] - **Model Construction Process**: Stocks are selected from those that have reached a 250-day new high in the past 20 trading days, based on the following criteria: 1. **Analyst Attention**: At least 5 "Buy" or "Overweight" ratings in the past 3 months 2. **Relative Strength**: Top 20% in 250-day price performance 3. **Price Stability**: - **Price Path Smoothness**: Measured by the ratio of price displacement to total price movement - **Sustained New Highs**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 120 days 4. **Trend Continuity**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 5 days, with the top 50 stocks selected based on rankings[26][28] - **Model Evaluation**: The model emphasizes smooth momentum and sustained trends, which are less likely to attract excessive attention, potentially leading to stronger momentum effects[26] --- Model Backtesting Results 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distances**: - Shanghai Composite: 3.14% - Shenzhen Component: 4.21% - CSI 300: 3.44% - CSI 500: 5.98% - CSI 1000: 4.00% - CSI 2000: 2.50% - ChiNext Index: 6.47% - STAR 50 Index: 13.84%[12][33] Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Selected Stocks**: 41 stocks were identified as stable new high stocks, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Guangku Technology, and Yaxiang Jicheng[29][34] - **Sector Distribution**: - Cyclical Sector: 17 stocks, with the majority in the non-ferrous metals industry - Manufacturing Sector: 13 stocks, with the majority in the machinery industry[29][34] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods Factor Name: 250-Day New High Distance - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the relative position of a stock's latest closing price compared to its 250-day high, capturing momentum and trend-following characteristics[11] - **Factor Construction Process**: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Closet}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ - **Closet**: The latest closing price - **ts\_max(Close, 250)**: The maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days[11] Factor Name: Price Path Smoothness - **Factor Construction Idea**: Quantifies the smoothness of a stock's price movement, as smoother paths are associated with stronger momentum effects[26] - **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculated as the ratio of price displacement to the total price movement over a given period[26] Factor Name: Sustained New Highs - **Factor Construction Idea**: Tracks the consistency of a stock's ability to maintain new highs over time, reflecting sustained momentum[26] - **Factor Construction Process**: - Average 250-day new high distance over the past 120 days[28] Factor Name: Trend Continuity - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the short-term continuation of a stock's trend, emphasizing recent momentum[26] - **Factor Construction Process**: - Average 250-day new high distance over the past 5 days, with stocks ranked and selected based on this metric[28] --- Factor Backtesting Results 250-Day New High Distance Factor - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distances**: - Shanghai Composite: 3.14% - Shenzhen Component: 4.21% - CSI 300: 3.44% - CSI 500: 5.98% - CSI 1000: 4.00% - CSI 2000: 2.50% - ChiNext Index: 6.47% - STAR 50 Index: 13.84%[12][33] Price Path Smoothness Factor - **Selected Stocks**: 41 stocks were identified, with the majority belonging to the cyclical and manufacturing sectors[29][34] Sustained New Highs Factor - **Selected Stocks**: Stocks with consistent new highs over the past 120 days were prioritized, with examples including Zhongji Xuchuang and Guangku Technology[29][34] Trend Continuity Factor - **Selected Stocks**: Stocks with the highest rankings in 5-day trend continuity were included, emphasizing short-term momentum[28][29]

报 告 摘 要 乘势而起：市场新高趋势追踪 触及新高的个股、行业和板块可被视为市场的风向标。越来越多的研究表明动量、趋势跟踪策略的有效性。本报告旨在定期跟踪市场中创新高的个股及其 分布，以追踪市场趋势、把握市场热点。 截至2025年12月5日，上证指数、深证成指、沪深300、中证500、中证1000、中证2000、创业板指、科创50指数250日新高距离分别为3.14%、 4.21%、3.44%、5.98%、4.00%、2.50%、6.47%、13.84%。中信一级行业指数中家电、轻工制造、有色金属、通信、建材行业指数距离250日新高 较近，食品饮料、综合金融、银行、医药、商贸零售行业指数距离250日新高较远。概念指数中，卫星互联网、卫星导航、家用电器、家居用品、林木、黄 金、家用电器等概念指数距离250日新高较近。 见微知著：利用创新高个股进行市场监测 截至2025年12月5日，共965只股票在过去20个交易日间创出250日新高。其中创新高个股数量最多的是基础化工、电力设备及新能源、机械行业，创新 高个股数量占比最高的是煤炭、纺织服装、石油石化行业。按照板块分布来看，本周周期、制造板块创新高股票数量最多；按照 ...

Market Performance - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations in the morning, followed by a collective rise in the afternoon, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.7% at 3902 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.08%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.36% [1] - The total market turnover reached 1.74 trillion yuan, an increase of 177.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with nearly 4400 stocks rising [1] Index Summary - Shanghai Composite Index: 3902.81 (+27.01, +0.70%) [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: 13147.68 (+140.96, +1.08%) [2] - ChiNext Index: 3109.30 (+41.81, +1.36%) [2] - CSI 300: 7097.84 (+37.97, +0.84%) [2] - CSI 500: 5513.75 (+85.03, +1.21%) [2] - CSI 1000: 7342.49 (+93.84, +1.29%) [2] Sector Performance - The insurance sector saw significant gains, with China Ping An (601318) being added to a key focus list by Morgan Stanley, leading to a nearly 6% increase in its stock price, while China Pacific Insurance (601601) rose nearly 7% [3] - The commercial aerospace sector also performed well following the successful launch of Blue Arrow Aerospace's Zhuque-3, with stocks like Aerospace Development (000547) and Aerospace Science and Technology hitting the daily limit [3] - The superconducting concept stocks surged, with Yongding Co. (600105) reaching the daily limit [3] - The controllable nuclear fusion sector strengthened, with stocks like Changguang Huaxin also hitting the daily limit [3] - Other sectors that performed well included precious metals, non-ferrous metals, satellite internet, and those related to Fujian [3] - Conversely, bank stocks declined, with Chongqing Bank leading the losses, and the public utilities sector weakened, with Lianmei Holdings (600167) nearing the daily limit down [3] - The tourism, hotel, and traditional Chinese medicine sectors experienced notable declines [3]