Group 1: Fundamental Analysis of Spot Gold - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, with differing opinions on potential rate cuts within the year, which could enhance gold's value preservation demand [2] - Strong U.S. employment data may raise inflation concerns, supporting gold prices; however, March core PCE data showed a slowdown in inflation, leading to a more cautious monetary policy from the Fed [2] - Economic data from major economies like China will also impact physical demand for gold and global capital flows [2] Group 2: Geopolitical and Market Sentiment - Escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and tensions in the Middle East have heightened market risk aversion, driving funds into gold and supporting its price [3] - Fluctuations in global financial markets and unpredictable trade policies have led investors to seek refuge in gold, pushing prices higher [3] - The interplay of Fed monetary policy, economic data, geopolitical tensions, and market sentiment collectively influences gold prices, with a potential short-term target of $3,500 per ounce if dovish Fed statements and worsening geopolitical situations persist [3] Group 3: Technical Analysis of Spot Gold - The spot gold market initially broke through the key resistance level of $3,399, reaching an intraday peak of $3,414.79, but subsequently reversed direction [4] - After a brief consolidation, gold prices fell to the target level of $3,322, achieving a notable profit margin of $42 [4] - Current technical indicators suggest a dominant bearish trend, with short-term moving averages suppressing long-term averages, indicating a high likelihood of continued downward movement [4] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Spot Silver - The spot silver market showed expected behavior, rebounding to $33.750 before retreating to a low of $32.295, where signs of stabilization emerged [6] - The short-term chart indicates a prevailing bearish trend, with short-term moving averages consistently crossing below long-term averages [6] - Suggested trading strategy includes waiting for silver prices to rebound to the resistance level of $32.660 for a short position, with a stop-loss set at $32.960 and a profit target at $32.240 [6]

美银全球研究全球大宗商品研究团队在其报告中，就黄金价格走势给出了更为细致的研判。基于其专业 的供需模型分析，该团队认为，从理论层面而言，黄金价格具备轻松突破 3000 美元 / 盎司关口的潜 力。模型数据显示，在当前全球经济环境下，黄金的供需关系正逐渐向供不应求倾斜，这为金价上涨提 供了基本面支撑。一方面，随着全球央行纷纷采取宽松货币政策，货币供应量增加，纸币贬值预期增 强，使得黄金作为硬通货的吸引力进一步提升;另一方面，黄金矿产资源的开采难度不断加大，新增供 给有限，而工业需求与投资需求却在稳步增长，供需缺口的扩大为金价上行提供了动力。 但该团队同时指出，即便金价具备上行潜力，在当前市场环境下，短期内也难以突破 3500 美元 / 盎司 的高位，尤其是在贸易争端出现实质性缓解的情况下。贸易局势缓和会促使全球经济增长预期改善，投 资者风险偏好回升，资金将从避险资产流向风险资产，黄金价格的上涨动能会因此减弱。此外，黄金价 美联储的警告并非空穴来风。关税政策的实施与变动，严重干扰了全球供应链的稳定运行，增加了企业 生产成本与经营风险，进而对宏观经济增长前景蒙上阴影。在这种充满不确定性的环境下，投资者纷纷 将目光转 ...

金十访谈间美联储硬刚到底，美元会强势反攻吗？黄金多头重回主场，今年能涨到4500美元？Sasa联手 嘉盛资深分析师Jerry实时分析中，点击观看直播>>> 相关链接 ...

亚盘重挫超90美元，欧盘震荡反弹修复，美盘会否进一步失守3200美元大关？金十研究员高阳正在直播 分析，点击进入直播间 相关链接 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices has sparked intense discussions about future price movements, with predictions ranging from a rise of 2000 RMB per gram to a drop of 500 RMB per gram [1] Group 1: International Gold Market Trends - The long-term trend of international gold prices has been upward, driven by global economic uncertainties that make gold a preferred safe-haven asset [3] - Central banks have been significant players in the gold market, with record-high purchases aimed at enhancing financial stability and responding to global economic conditions [3][5] Group 2: Domestic Gold Price Predictions - Some analysts predict that by early 2026, gold prices could reach 4500 USD per ounce, translating to approximately 2500 RMB per gram in the domestic market [5][9] - Current domestic gold prices hover around 1000 RMB per gram, indicating a substantial gap from the predicted target of 2000 RMB per gram [5][11] Group 3: Market Sensitivity and Influencing Factors - Short-term fluctuations in gold prices are highly sensitive to market sentiment and policy changes, which can lead to significant price volatility [7] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertain U.S. economic policies continue to bolster gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [7][9] Group 4: Long-term Price Stability - Predictions suggest that by 2026, domestic gold prices will likely stabilize around 1500 RMB per gram, reflecting moderate adjustments in line with international gold prices [11] - The trend of de-dollarization and sustained central bank demand for gold are expected to support long-term price stability [9][11]

Group 1 - Gold stocks continue to rise, with Lingbao Gold up 3.98% to HKD 9.41, Chifeng Gold up 2.62% to HKD 29.35, Shandong Gold up 1.24% to HKD 24.55, and Zhaojin Mining up 0.31% to HKD 19.32 [1] - As of April, China's gold reserves reached 73.77 million ounces, an increase of 70,000 ounces from the previous month, marking six consecutive months of gold accumulation by the People's Bank of China [1] - Spot gold prices have returned to the USD 3,400 per ounce level as of May 8 [1] Group 2 - China Galaxy Securities reports that gold price breakthroughs may depend on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts or a surge in physical gold demand, with a current trading range for gold set between USD 3,150 and USD 3,550 [1] - If the U.S. economy experiences stagflation without interest rate cuts, gold is likely to trend upwards; however, in a recession, gold may decline alongside other commodities until the Fed cuts rates [1] - The demand for gold is expected to rise due to the ongoing increase in gold reserves by the People's Bank of China, driven by changes in the global political and economic landscape following the new U.S. government [2]

【华通白银网5月6日讯】•黄金上涨2%，美元指数下跌，尽管ISM服务业PMI显示美国经济有弹性。 •特朗普宣布对外国电影征收100%关税，称鲍威尔不会被提前撤职，但敦促降息。 •市场为美联储周三决定做好准备；市场关注鲍威尔新闻发布会政策信号。 周一，由于美元受到重创，黄金价格涨幅逾2%，上涨70多美元，尽管来自美国的积极经济数据表明经济仍然稳固。黄金从日低点3,237美 元反弹后，报3,321美元。 美国供应管理协会（ISM）的一份报告称，服务提供商重申了美国经济的稳健，随后市场情绪有所改善。数据暗示，由于特朗普的关税 政策，价格正在上涨 上周末，特朗普宣布对外国电影征收100%的关税，并表示美联储应该降低利率。他称，在2026年5月任期结束前，他不会撤换美联储主 席鲍威尔。 特朗普称，美国正在与包括中国在内的许多国家会晤，他的主要任务是与中国达成协议。 与此同时，交易员正在为美联储周三的货币政策会议做准备。市场已经完全消化了美联储将维持利率不变的预期，尽管他们将关注美联 储主席鲍威尔的新闻发布会。决策者在6月份的会议之前不会更新他们的预测，这可能会提供一些有关货币政策的暗示。 每日市场动向：黄金价格未受美国 ...

Group 1 - International gold prices have seen a significant drop, with spot gold falling over $50 to a low of $3234 per ounce, a decline of more than 1.6% on May 1 [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also decreased, with the latest price for Lao Miao gold jewelry at 995 RMB per gram, marking the first time in 20 days that prices have fallen below 1000 RMB [1] - The World Gold Council reported a 1% year-on-year increase in global gold demand for Q1 2025, reaching 1206 tons, the strongest first-quarter demand since 2016 [1] Group 2 - The average gold price in Q1 2025 was $2860 per ounce (approximately 20791 RMB), reflecting a 38% year-on-year increase [1] - There is a notable increase in consumer interest in gold, with many looking to purchase at lower prices or sell high-value gold items [3] - Gold bar sales have surged, with reports of some stores selling up to 10 kilograms in a single day, indicating strong demand for gold bars [3][4] Group 3 - The gold recycling business is also experiencing a significant uptick, with a reported increase of over 70% in the total weight of gold recycled in April compared to the previous month [4] - Turnover for gold recycling has seen a notable rise, with the maximum single recycling weight reaching 2600 grams [4]

四川黄金股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-001 | | □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | | □媒体采访 ☑业绩说明会 | | 投资者关系活动类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他（请文字说明其他活动内容） | | 活动参与人员 | 副董事长、总经理吴安东先生，独立董事刘云平先生，副 | | | 总经理、董事会秘书周立先生，财务总监汤敏女士 | | 时间 | 年 月 日下午 2025 4 29 3:00~4:00 | | 地点 | 在全景网"投资者关系互动平台"（https://ir.p5w.net） | | 形式 | 网络文字互动方式 | | | 1、2025 年重大资本开支转固的项目有哪些？ | | | 尊敬的投资者，您好！2025 年固定资产投资情况请 | | | 参见公司定期报告。感谢您的关注，谢谢！ | | | 2、吴总：公司的毛利率是所有黄金矿公司中最佳的， | | | 关键还是产能需要提高，希望公司能增加产能与销售来回 | | | 报所有股东的投资 | | | 您好，感谢您的建议，公司会认真考虑。感谢您对 ...

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