The move extends an effort to prevent a recent slowdown in hiring from turning into something more serious. ...

Last Updated: 4 hours ago Fed Cuts Rates by a Quarter Point, as Expected By Megan Leonhardt The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by another quarter of a percentage point on Wednesday, a move that hedges against a weakening labor market. At the conclusion of a two-day policy meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to lower its target for the federal-funds rate to 3.75%- to 4.00%, as investors expected. Ahead of the decision, the interest-rate futures market had the odds locked in at 100% that ...

live. It is now time for the big picture. Let's welcome in Kathy Jones, chief fixed income strategist, Schwab, center for financial research, and Joe Maza, head trading and derivatives strategist over at Charles Schwab.Thank you so much for both both joining me on this very busy day. Kathy, let's just start with you. As far as I suppose the uh positioning ahead of the FOMC decision, uh we have got the two-year at about a smidge below three and a half percent, the 10 year just below that 4%.So it seems like ...

The increasingly fraught relationship between President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is back in focus as the Federal Open Market Committee is set to announce its next move on interest rates on Wednesday. At stake is the direction of U.S. monetary policy and Trump’s renewed pressure on the central bank to deliver rate cuts he says are needed to keep the economy growing.Powell, however, has slowly moved on those calls, maintaining a cautious, data-dependent approach to managing infl ...

10月29日，加拿大央行下调隔夜利率目标25个基点至2.25%，银行利率相应调整至2.5%，存款利率降至 2.20%。 ...

本文由 AI 算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 【10月29日消息，英国央行11月或维持利率不变并可能12月降息】潘森宏观学家报告称，11月6日英国 央行大概率投票维持利率不变，此次决定可能势均力敌，或6 - 3投票比例赞成维持利率在4.0%。随着英 国通胀放缓，央行或发出12月降息信号。市场预期11月降息可能性为39%，12月为74%。 ...

Core Insights - The report by Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Pfister suggests that if the Bank of Canada decides to maintain interest rates tonight, the Canadian dollar may appreciate in the short term [1] - LSEG data indicates an 80% probability that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by 25 basis points again [1] - Pfister expresses skepticism about the market's certainty, noting that recent Canadian inflation has exceeded expectations, the labor market is volatile, and there is uncertainty regarding U.S. tariffs [1] - He suggests that it may be more appropriate to consider a rate cut in December instead [1]

Market Performance - US stocks ended higher on October 28, supported by upbeat corporate earnings and improved investor sentiment amid easing trade tensions [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.34%, or 161 points, to 47,706, hitting a new record close [1] - The broader S&P 500 gained 0.23%, or 15 points, to 6,890, also ending at a record high after surpassing 6,900 earlier in the session [2] - The Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.80%, or 190 points, to 23,827, witnessing a record close as well, boosted by a 4.98% jump in Nvidia shares to $201.03 [3] Company Performance - Wall Street was boosted by a jump in shares of United Parcel Service (UPS) by 8% to $96.36, Wayfair by 23.22% to $106.52, and PayPal by 3.92% to $73 after these companies reported better-than-expected financial results [4]

·美联储本轮宽松周期降息幅度或低于预期 ·Vanguard Europe的Shaan Raithatha在一份报告中表示，预计欧洲央行将在2025年剩余时间和2026年保持 利率不变。然而，这位资深经济学家表示，风险倾向于进一步宽松。他表示，大多数欧洲央行政策制定 者重申，欧洲央行仍处于"良好状态"，通胀前景面临的风险是"双面的"。 ·美国银行预计，日本央行将在10月会议上维持其谨慎的政策立场，但将在明年1月宣布下一次加息，因 政策制定者将权衡居高不下的通胀与脆弱的内需复苏。该行表示，预计日本央行本周将维持利率不变， 同时采取鹰派措辞，以此表明其有信心认为潜在通胀仍高于目标水平。这将是一次"鹰派"的按兵不动， 为明年初可能的加息铺路。目前的基本情景预测是，央行在2026年1月将加息25个基点，理由是工资增 长和服务业通胀逐步改善。尽管若日本央行释放更强的紧缩信号，日元可能在年内后期再度走强，但美 银指出，短期动态——包括美日利差及峰会相关的政治气氛——均支持美元持续保持韧性。 ·安联：日本央行可能会避免留下无限期维持利率的印象 ·日元期权成交量触及月内低位投资者等待日本央行给出信号 ·西太平洋银行：澳洲联储的 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The Australian dollar (AUD) surged to a three-week high against the US dollar (USD) at 0.6600, driven by strong consumer price index (CPI) data, which reduced expectations for an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) [1][2] - The third quarter CPI in Australia rose by 1.3% quarter-on-quarter, compared to a 0.7% increase in the second quarter, and the year-on-year CPI climbed to 3.2%, up from 2.1%, exceeding market expectations [1][2] - The RBA's Governor, Philip Lowe, indicated that despite a surprising rise in unemployment, the labor market remains somewhat tight, leading investors to focus on upcoming inflation data for insights into future interest rate movements [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the CPI report, the probability of a rate cut at the RBA's November meeting dropped significantly from 40% to 8%, and the December cut probability fell from 70% to 28%, with full pricing of a cut pushed to June next year [2] - The market is reacting to inflation risks, particularly in construction costs and service pressures, which have led to a reassessment of monetary policy expectations [2] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical analysis of the AUD/USD pair indicates a bullish shift if it breaks above the descending channel, with immediate resistance at the psychological level of 0.6600 [3] - A breakthrough at 0.6600 could lead the AUD/USD to explore the 12-month high of 0.6707 reached on September 17 [3] - Key support levels are identified at the 50-day moving average of 0.6546 and the 9-day moving average of 0.6545; a drop below these levels could reignite bearish sentiment [3]