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稳定币能否稳定仍待观察
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-07-27 21:56
Core Points - The U.S. has enacted the first federal legislation on stablecoins, known as the "Genius Act," which establishes a regulatory framework for the issuance, asset backing, and enforcement of payment stablecoins, attracting global market attention [1] - The market for fiat-backed stablecoins has seen explosive growth, with total market capitalization increasing from $527 million in early 2019 to $23.1667 billion by Q1 2025, a nearly 440-fold increase [2] - The U.S. aims to solidify the dominance of the dollar through stablecoins, positioning them as a bridge between traditional finance and the digital world, potentially creating a "new Bretton Woods system" [3] Market Dynamics - The dollar stablecoin dominates the market, accounting for 99.75% of the total market cap, while euro stablecoins represent only 0.20% [2] - Stablecoins are increasingly penetrating the real economy, particularly in cross-border payments and as a hedge against inflation in countries with high inflation rates, such as Argentina [2] Regulatory Environment - The "Genius Act" mandates that the reserves backing dollar stablecoins must be invested in cash and short-term U.S. Treasury securities, which is expected to increase demand for U.S. debt by $2 trillion in the coming years [3] - Despite the establishment of a regulatory framework, there are concerns regarding the adequacy of compliance measures, particularly in areas like anti-money laundering and customer due diligence [4] Stability Concerns - The stability of fiat-backed stablecoins is contingent on their reserve mechanisms, with current estimates placing the market size of fiat-backed stablecoins at approximately $25.08 billion [4] - Historical incidents, such as the trust crisis faced by USDT and the liquidity issues of USDC due to its exposure to Silicon Valley Bank, highlight the vulnerabilities in the stablecoin market [5] Future Outlook - The evolution of stablecoins will depend on their ability to integrate with the next generation of financial infrastructure and the regulatory landscape surrounding crypto assets [6] - The ongoing development of regulations and standards for crypto exchanges, public chains, and token issuance will be critical for the future viability of stablecoins in the digital economy [6]
深扒贾跃亭进军RWA,老演员背后的新导演是谁?
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-25 08:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Faraday Future's (FF) strategic pivot towards integrating Web3 technologies and Real World Assets (RWA) into its business model, led by CEO Jia Yueting, amidst ongoing challenges in vehicle production and delivery [1][18]. Group 1: Strategic Partnerships and Innovations - FF announced a strategic partnership with HabitTrade, aiming to combine EAI mobility with Web3, blockchain, and stablecoins to create a "value fusion monster" [1][10]. - The concept of RWA involves transferring real-world valuable assets onto the blockchain for trading and circulation, requiring legal ownership and clear revenue pathways [2][10]. Group 2: Asset Utilization and Financial Structuring - FF's potential RWA story hinges on over 10,000 pre-orders, which, while not legally enforceable receivables, represent a form of future cash flow [3][5]. - The plan involves packaging these pre-orders into a "future revenue rights asset pool," allowing for the creation of structured token products through RWA Group and sale via HabitTrade [5][10]. Group 3: Role of HabitTrade and RWA Group - HabitTrade functions as a multi-market broker that facilitates transactions between stablecoins and traditional assets, enhancing liquidity for users [6][7]. - RWA Group, previously known as NFT China, specializes in asset tokenization and structuring, focusing on creating a narrative and ensuring compliance without needing FF to deliver a specific number of vehicles [9][10]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Speculative Nature - The proposed RWA model creates a closed-loop logic where FF exchanges future vehicle sales promises for current financing, appealing to speculative investors [11][12]. - The model relies on the existence of pre-orders and the ability to package them as future cash flow assets, potentially activating market sentiment through the combination of a public company, pre-orders, and anticipated token distributions [13][14]. Group 5: Regulatory Considerations and Risks - FF's public company status subjects it to scrutiny from regulatory bodies like the SEC, especially given its past financial disclosure issues [16][18]. - The article raises concerns about the legality and sustainability of using pre-orders as a basis for RWA, suggesting it may lead to speculative behavior rather than genuine asset investment [15][18]. Group 6: Conclusion and Future Outlook - The success of FF's RWA initiative may hinge on its ability to deliver vehicles and convert promises into tangible results, with the potential for both short-term gains and long-term regulatory challenges [18][19]. - The narrative surrounding FF's efforts reflects a broader trend in financial innovation, where trust and delivery capabilities are critical for sustaining investor interest [19][20].
新力量NewForce总第4823期
First Shanghai Securities· 2025-07-25 07:10
Group 1: Netflix (NFLX) Insights - Netflix's advertising revenue is expected to double by 2025, potentially reaching $2.5 to $3 billion, contributing significantly to profits[7] - The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.2% in revenue from 2024 to 2027, with operating profit margins projected at 30.0%, 32.3%, and 34.6% respectively[7] - For Q2 2025, Netflix reported a revenue increase of 16% year-over-year to $11.079 billion, exceeding guidance, with an operating profit of $3.775 billion and an operating margin of 34.1%[8] - The target price for Netflix is set at $1,397.00, indicating an upside potential of 18.7% from the current price[11] Group 2: Sands China (1928) Insights - Sands China's performance improved in May and June, with expectations for future EBITDA to reach $2.7 billion[18] - The company reported a net profit of $214 million for Q2 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 13.0% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 5.9%[15] - The target price for Sands China is set at HKD 25.31, representing a potential upside of 36.1% from the current price of HKD 18.60[20]
上海新金融研究院刘晓春:稳定币不能脱离应用场景谈发行,支付工具要服务真实需求
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 00:14
近日,美国总统特朗普在白宫正式签署《指导与建立美国稳定币国家创新法案》(简称《天 才法案》),标志着美国首次正式确立稳定币监管框架。与此同时,香港也在加快监管落 地。8月1日,《稳定币条例》将正式生效。 有数据显示,自2023年以来,稳定币的种类已经拥有170多种,全球稳定币的总市值已达到 约2550亿美元。 在这场变革中,专家如何看待稳定币的实际价值?稳定币是否具备进入主流社会生活的可 能? 在与新浪金融研究院对谈时,上海新金融研究院副院长、上海交通大学上海高级金融学院兼 聘教授刘晓春指出,稳定币说到底是代表"钱"的一种工具。加密资产交易之所以能越做越 大,很大程度上是因为有了锚定法币的稳定币的介入。立法之后,会在稳定币领域划出一条 清晰的界线:哪些属于合规范畴,哪些明确不被允许。 他指出,技术的价值不光体现在"能不能用",还体现在"能不能被规范地用"。稳定币未来应 用可能是更多的还是在链上支付,或者说在一些特殊场景内的支付。 稳定币并非终点,而是数字金融的一块拼图 新浪金融研究院:8月1日香港稳定币条例就要生效了,一些机构人士觉得港府跟进得非常迅 速且坚决,您怎么看待香港的速度? 刘晓春:我认为这反映了香 ...
美股行情聚焦大而美法案细节,XBIT持续迭代技术栈应对政策
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-23 02:39
Core Viewpoint - The recent passage of the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" by the U.S. Congress has led to structural market adjustments, impacting both the stock and cryptocurrency markets, with significant implications for capital allocation and investor sentiment [1][2][5]. Economic Impact - The bill is expected to provide long-term benefits for corporate capital expenditures, potentially supporting GDP growth by 0.7% to 1.2%, but will increase federal deficits by approximately $2.8 to $5 trillion in the short term, raising concerns about public debt sustainability [2][6]. - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that cuts to health programs could result in over 11 million people losing health insurance, highlighting potential market risks [2]. Market Reactions - Following the bill's announcement, major U.S. stock indices experienced initial gains before entering a period of volatility, with the S&P 500 briefly rising by nearly 0.3% before retreating [1]. - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to around 4.3%, reflecting increased borrowing costs and impacting growth stocks, while financial, industrial, and defense stocks saw a rotation in investor interest [1][5]. Cryptocurrency Market Dynamics - The cryptocurrency market has seen a notable increase in activity, with XBIT decentralized exchange reporting a more than 60% rise in trading volume within two hours of the bill's announcement, driven by a shift towards risk-averse assets and multi-chain arbitrage opportunities [2][5]. - XBIT's daily active addresses increased by approximately 25%, and asset reallocation ratios rose by 30%, indicating heightened demand for multi-chain combinations [5][8]. Structural Changes in Investment Strategies - The market is shifting from technology growth stocks to value stocks and financial cyclicals, with traditional financial institutions warning of potential real estate bubble risks and increased debt levels due to the bill [5][6]. - The evolving landscape of fiscal, monetary, energy, and technological policies in the U.S. is prompting investors to reassess their strategies, with cryptocurrencies being viewed as alternative hedging tools [6][8]. Future Outlook - The focus will be on the specific implementation details of the bill, such as capital expenditure deductions and tax adjustments for small businesses, as well as the Federal Reserve's future policy direction [6]. - If the pressure on the U.S. dollar continues, the cryptocurrency market may see a rebalancing opportunity, with decentralized platforms like XBIT becoming increasingly relevant in mainstream asset allocation [6][8].
传小摩(JPM.US)正探索以客户加密货币为抵押发放贷款
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 06:25
Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan Chase is exploring the possibility of issuing loans backed by clients' cryptocurrency holdings, indicating a significant shift towards integrating crypto assets into mainstream finance amid a more lenient regulatory environment under the Trump administration [1] Group 1: Company Position and Leadership - This potential policy change would represent a major turnaround for CEO Jamie Dimon, who previously labeled Bitcoin a "scam" and expressed strong opposition to cryptocurrencies [1] - Despite the rising valuation of Bitcoin, Dimon has maintained his critical stance, referring to it as a "pet rock" and emphasizing its association with criminal activities [1] Group 2: Market Implications - The move by JPMorgan Chase is seen as a notable step towards mainstream investment in Bitcoin, especially considering Dimon's long-standing criticism of digital currencies [1] - Dimon has acknowledged the right of individuals to purchase Bitcoin, despite his personal disapproval, highlighting a nuanced approach to the evolving crypto landscape [1]
摩根大通探索以客户加密货币作为抵押来发放贷款
news flash· 2025-07-22 04:18
金十数据7月22日讯,据英国金融时报报道,摩根大通正在探索以客户的加密货币资产作为抵押发放贷 款的可能性,这是美国最大银行之一正在推动加密资产进入主流金融体系的又一迹象。这项政策若最终 落实,将标志着摩根大通CEO戴蒙立场的重大转变。八年前,戴蒙曾称比特币是"一场骗局",声称 它"最终会崩盘",只对毒贩和杀人犯有用。知情人士透露,摩根大通最早可能于明年开始接受比特币和 以太币等加密资产作为抵押直接发放贷款,但计划仍可能变动。摩根大通对此拒绝置评。 比特币/美元 摩根大通探索以客户加密货币作为抵押来发放贷款 ...
X @0xLIZ
0xLIZ· 2025-07-22 03:35
MSTR买BTC,SBET买ETH,WINT买BNB…上市公司正在成为加密资产进入传统金融的“触手”但这只是开始想一下,当“持币”成为上市公司的标配,就像现在家家都有官网一样,这招还怎么吸引投资者?当所有人都这么做时,这个故事就讲不通了这时候要绑定币圈的情绪和估值,光“拿着”远远不够,必须“深度参与”未来,SBET可能要围绕它的ETH资产,搭一条自己的链,开发一系列自己的DeFi应用,它们需要构建自己的护城河而这,正是 Caldera ( $ERA ) 发挥作用的地方。从零开发一条链,对传统公司是非常麻烦的事。但Caldera提供了一个“一键发链”的工具箱,它让这些公司能以极低的成本,快速部署自己的专属Rollup链。模块化设计,就像乐高积木,可以灵活定制;同时支持BSC和ETH,保证了这些新建的链还能互相操作,形成一个互联互通的网络从“买币的公司”进化到“发链的公司”,这才是币股联动想象力的真正升华。Caldera铺设的,正是通往这个终局的底层高速公路而且 $ERA 上所大满贯也是完全配得上优质的融资背景了,现在就像CZ说的Hold and become rich,这一波BNB holder们不仅享受到了B ...
加密总市值首破4万亿美元,稳定币立法与主流币涨势共推里程碑
智通财经网· 2025-07-18 09:25
Group 1 - The cryptocurrency market has reached a historic milestone, surpassing a total market value of $4 trillion, driven by the acceleration of cryptocurrency legislation in the U.S., particularly the passage of the "Genius Act" [1] - The "Genius Act," supported by the Republican Party and former President Trump, aims to establish a comprehensive regulatory framework for stablecoins pegged to the U.S. dollar, ensuring their legality and compliance [1] - The act mandates that only licensed stablecoin issuers can operate in the U.S., subjecting them to strict regulations, including reserve asset requirements and anti-money laundering systems, enhancing consumer protection and the overall legitimacy of the cryptocurrency industry [1] Group 2 - The cryptocurrency ETF market in the U.S. has seen strong inflows, with Bitcoin ETFs attracting $5.5 billion in net inflows since July, and Ethereum ETFs drawing $2.9 billion during the same period, indicating institutional investors' optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency market [2] - The stablecoin market is projected to experience significant growth, with Citibank's research predicting a total circulation supply of stablecoins could reach $1.6 trillion by 2030, potentially rising to $3.7 trillion in an optimistic scenario, with U.S. dollar-denominated stablecoins expected to dominate [2] - Non-U.S. countries are also accelerating the development of their central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), which may impact the stablecoin market dynamics [2]
英国金融行为监管局(FCA):查获七台加密货币自动取款机,并逮捕两人,涉嫌运营非法加密资产交易所。
news flash· 2025-07-17 10:22
Group 1 - The UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has seized seven cryptocurrency ATMs and arrested two individuals for allegedly operating an illegal cryptocurrency exchange [1] - This action highlights the ongoing regulatory scrutiny and enforcement actions against unregulated cryptocurrency activities in the UK [1] - The FCA's efforts aim to protect consumers and ensure compliance with financial regulations in the rapidly evolving cryptocurrency sector [1]