Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the CSI 300 index by 10% or more over the next six months [8] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in domestic sales of excavators and loaders, with excavator sales in June 2025 reaching 18,804 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%, and loader sales reaching 12,014 units, a year-on-year increase of 11.3% [5][7] - The domestic excavator market shows a strong recovery, with a 22.9% year-on-year increase in sales during the first half of 2025, driven by ongoing infrastructure investments and government policies supporting equipment upgrades [7] - Export growth is notable, with excavator exports in June 2025 increasing by 19.3%, reflecting a recovery in the external trade environment and expanding into emerging markets [7] Summary by Sections Excavator Sales - In June 2025, a total of 18,804 excavators were sold, with domestic sales of 8,136 units (up 6.2%) and exports of 10,668 units (up 19.3%) [7] - For the first half of 2025, total excavator sales reached 120,520 units, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, with domestic sales growing by 22.9% [7] Loader Sales - In June 2025, loader sales totaled 12,014 units, with domestic sales of 6,015 units (up 13.6%) and exports of 5,999 units (up 9.11%) [5] - The first half of 2025 saw total loader sales of 64,769 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.6% [5] Market Trends - The report notes a strong recovery in domestic demand for excavators, supported by ongoing infrastructure investments and government policies aimed at replacing old equipment [7] - The trend towards electric loaders is evident, with 3,049 electric loaders sold in June 2025, achieving an electric penetration rate of 25.38% [7] Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with strong brand recognition, comprehensive product matrices, efficient cost management, and robust R&D capabilities, such as Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, Shantui, and Hengli Hydraulic [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the acquisition of Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co., Ltd. by He Xin Ting Tao and Cheng Lian Shuang Ying, highlighting the strategic implications for the company and the hydraulic industry as a whole [1][2]. Company Overview - Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co., Ltd. was established in December 2006 and listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in March 2021, with stock code 605389. The company specializes in hydraulic components, precision castings, and reduction gears, serving various industries including construction machinery, energy extraction, and automotive manufacturing [2]. - The company is recognized as a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" enterprise and has multiple production and R&D bases. It holds over a hundred effective patents and has developed several proprietary products [2]. Acquisition Details - He Xin Ting Tao and Cheng Lian Shuang Ying plan to acquire a total of 43,211,714 shares of Changling Hydraulic, representing 29.99% of the company's total shares. Additionally, a public tender offer for 17,290,448 shares (12.00% of total shares) will be made at a price of 36.24 yuan per share, with total funding not exceeding 626,605,835.52 yuan [1]. - Upon completion of the acquisition, the acquirers and their concerted parties will hold up to 60,502,162 shares, accounting for 41.99% of the total shares, leading to a change in the actual controller of the company to Hu Kangqiao [1]. Industry Context - The hydraulic industry is experiencing a potential recovery, with signs of improvement in the construction machinery sector. The article notes a significant increase in excavator exports, which rose over 70% this year, despite a 13-month decline in domestic sales [3]. - The industry is transitioning to the "National IV" emission standards starting December 1, indicating regulatory changes that may impact production and sales dynamics [3]. Market Dynamics - The article highlights a positive outlook for the engineering machinery industry, with improved operating rates in February and expectations of a "warm" market environment. The increase in credit in January also suggests a potential recovery in domestic demand [6]. - Major players in the industry, such as Caterpillar, are approaching cyclical turning points, which may influence market sentiment and investment strategies [3].

Core Viewpoint - The excavator sales in China showed significant growth in the first half of the year, exceeding expectations, with a total of 120,520 units sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.8% [1] Sales Performance - In the first half of the year, domestic sales reached 65,637 units, up 22.9%, while exports totaled 54,883 units, marking a 10.2% increase [1] - In June alone, excavator sales reached 18,804 units, a 13.3% year-on-year increase, with domestic sales at 8,136 units (up 6.2%) and exports at 10,668 units (up 19.3%) [3] Market Trends - After a brief decline in May, domestic excavator sales rebounded in June, supported by accelerating second-hand machine exports and policy-driven demand [2] - The construction machinery industry is experiencing a recovery, with the real estate sector's negative impact on excavator sales diminishing and infrastructure investment remaining resilient [3] Export Dynamics - The export value of China's construction machinery in May was 36.168 billion yuan, a 10.1% increase year-on-year, with a total export value of 165.91 billion yuan from January to May, also up 10.2% [4] - Emerging markets in the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Africa are driving demand, with Chinese equipment's cost-performance advantage facilitating market expansion [4] Industry Outlook - Major construction machinery companies are optimistic about the market recovery, with expectations of stable growth in domestic and overseas markets [5][7] - The industry is anticipated to continue its upward trajectory, driven by infrastructure investments, new urbanization, and the increasing penetration of renewable energy products [9]

Group 1 - The total sales of excavators in China reached 120,500 units in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.8% [1] - The domestic demand for earthmoving equipment is expected to maintain steady positive growth in the second half of the year, driven by mining, water conservancy projects, and equipment renewal policies, with an annual growth rate likely to remain above double digits [1] - The overall overseas demand is expected to decline, but there are regional differences in demand trends [1] Group 2 - The recovery trend in the industry has begun to transmit from excavators to non-excavator segments, with domestic sales expected to enter a growth track under the macro background of strengthening domestic demand [1] - The mining segment's production capacity has tripled compared to the beginning of the year, and the company is optimistic about the growth potential in emerging industries such as agricultural machinery and mining machinery in overseas markets [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" for the machinery equipment sector, specifically for construction machinery [5][28]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a recovery in excavator sales in June 2025, with total sales reaching 18,800 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%. Domestic sales were 8,136 units, down 3% month-on-month but up 6% year-on-year, while exports were 10,700 units, up 19% year-on-year [1][2]. - The growth in second-hand excavator exports is expected to drive domestic replacement demand, with a notable increase in the market share of domestic brands overseas [1][4]. - The report highlights that domestic infrastructure investment has shown slight improvement, with a 5.6% year-on-year increase in completed investment in the first five months of 2025 [2]. Summary by Sections Excavator Sales and Market Trends - In June 2025, excavator sales showed a recovery, with a total of 18,800 units sold, marking a 13.3% increase year-on-year. The domestic market saw sales of 8,136 units, while exports reached 10,700 units, reflecting a 19% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The report emphasizes the role of second-hand excavator exports in supporting domestic demand, with May exports showing a 52% year-on-year increase [3]. Domestic Demand and Infrastructure Investment - The report notes a slight improvement in domestic demand, with new housing starts down 22.8% year-on-year in the first five months, a slight narrowing from a 23.8% decline in the previous period. Infrastructure investment, excluding electricity, increased by 5.6% year-on-year [2]. - The report anticipates that improved project funding will gradually translate into construction and equipment usage [2]. Recommendations for Key Companies - The report recommends key companies in the industry, including SANY Heavy Industry (600031 CH) with a target price of 23.10, LiuGong (000528 CH) with a target price of 14.55, and Hengli Hydraulic (601100 CH) with a target price of 82.00, all rated as "Buy" [6][10].

Core Viewpoint - The excavator market is showing signs of recovery with significant year-on-year growth in sales, both domestically and internationally, indicating a positive trend for the industry moving forward [1][2][4]. Sales Data Summary - In June 2025, a total of 18,804 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.3%. Domestic sales accounted for 8,136 units (up 6.2%), while exports reached 10,668 units (up 19.3%) [1]. - From January to June 2025, a total of 120,520 excavators were sold, marking a year-on-year growth of 16.8%. Domestic sales were 65,637 units (up 22.9%), and exports were 54,883 units (up 10.2%) [2]. - In June 2025, 27 electric excavators were sold, categorized by weight: 11 units under 6 tons, 4 units between 10 to 18.5 tons, and 12 units between 18.5 to 28.5 tons [3]. Monthly Sales Trends - Domestic excavator sales in May 2025 were 8,392 units, a decrease of 1.48% year-on-year. In April, sales were 12,547 units, up 16.4%, and in March, sales reached 19,517 units, up 28.5% [6]. - The sales figures for the first half of 2025 show fluctuations, with January sales at 5,405 units (down 0.3%) and February sales at 11,640 units (up 99.4%) [6]. Historical Context - The data from previous years indicates a volatile market, with significant declines in 2023, where domestic sales saw a drop of up to 60.1% in December compared to the previous year [9]. - The recovery in 2025 follows a challenging period for the industry, suggesting a potential turnaround in market conditions [10].

Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a decline in average working hours and operating rates, indicating potential challenges ahead for the sector [1][6]. Group 1: Working Hours and Operating Rates - In June 2025, the average working hours for major engineering machinery products was 77.2 hours, a year-on-year decrease of 9.11% and a month-on-month decrease of 8.56% [1]. - Specific working hours for various machinery in June 2025 included: excavators at 64.2 hours, loaders at 92.7 hours, and concrete pump trucks at 42.7 hours [1]. - The operating rate for major engineering machinery products in June 2025 was 56.9%, down 7.55 percentage points year-on-year and 2.65 percentage points month-on-month [1]. - Operating rates for specific machinery included: excavators at 58.2%, loaders at 59.5%, and concrete pump trucks at 37.7% [1]. Group 2: Historical Data Review - In May 2025, the average working hours were 84.5 hours, showing a year-on-year decline of 3.86% [6]. - In April 2025, the average working hours were 90.1 hours, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.20% [6]. - The average working hours in February 2025 were significantly higher at 46.4 hours, with a year-on-year increase of 70.3% [6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The engineering machinery industry is expected to see improvements in operating rates, with February showing signs of recovery [9]. - January 2025 experienced a strong credit opening, reinforcing expectations for a rebound in domestic demand within the engineering machinery sector [9].

Core Viewpoint - The excavator industry serves as a key indicator for infrastructure construction and fixed asset investment in China, with recent data showing a continuous increase in the workload of construction machinery across multiple provinces, indicating ongoing progress in major projects such as roads and bridges [1]. Summary by Sections National Overview - In May, the national construction machinery operating rate was 47.34%, with the top ten provinces being Anhui, Beijing, Zhejiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Hainan, Hebei, Qinghai, Jiangxi, and Ningxia. Qinghai saw the highest month-on-month growth rate of 3.14% [2]. - Sixteen provinces experienced a month-on-month increase in workload, with eight provinces, including Heilongjiang, Qinghai, Jilin, Tibet, Beijing, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and Ningxia, showing growth rates exceeding 10% [3]. Equipment Performance - The operating rate for road construction equipment was 29.83% in May, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1.72% and a year-on-year increase of 1.87%. Notably, the operating rate of pavers increased by 4.22%, with a workload growth of 14.65% [4]. - The Northeast region led with an operating rate of 60.39%, showing a month-on-month increase of 17.01%. Excavation equipment in this region had an operating rate of 65.82%, the highest in the country [6]. Regional Highlights - The Northeast region's workload increased by 3.58% year-on-year, with significant month-on-month growth of 17.01%. The region's operating rates for various equipment types, including excavators and crawler cranes, were the highest nationally [6]. - The Western region's operating rate was 53.77%, ranking second nationally. Notably, the workload for crawler cranes in Ningxia surged by 249.03% year-on-year, indicating strong growth driven by favorable policies in infrastructure and international trade [7][8]. - The Eastern region's operating rate was 46.4%, with concrete equipment leading at an operating rate of 47.05%. Various concrete-related equipment also ranked first nationally in their respective categories [9].

Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry in China is experiencing a recovery, with significant growth in export values despite a decline in import values in recent months [7][8]. Trade Data Summary - In May 2025, China's engineering machinery import and export trade amounted to $5.238 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, with imports at $214 million (down 0.74%) and exports at $5.024 billion (up 8.51%) [1]. - In April 2025, the trade total was $5.377 billion, a 12% increase year-on-year, with imports at $226 million (down 2.2%) and exports at $5.152 billion (up 12.7%) [2]. - For March 2025, the trade value was $5.167 billion, reflecting a 7.53% year-on-year growth, with imports at $255 million (down 5.85%) and exports at $4.912 billion (up 8.33%) [2]. - The cumulative trade from January to May 2025 reached $24.185 billion, an 8.49% increase year-on-year, with imports totaling $1.09 billion (down 0.86%) and exports at $23.095 billion (up 8.98%) [3]. - From January to April 2025, the trade value was $18.947 billion, an 8.51% increase year-on-year, with imports at $877 million (down 0.86%) and exports at $18.07 billion (up 9.01%) [4]. Export Performance - In April 2025, the export value was 36.966 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.6%, while the cumulative export from January to April was 129.738 billion yuan, up 10.3% [5]. - In March 2025, the export value was 35.231 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.51% year-on-year increase, with the first quarter's total exports at 92.787 billion yuan, up 8.99% [6]. - The export value for January 2025 was 34.001 billion yuan, a 16.8% increase year-on-year, while February saw a decline to 23.558 billion yuan, down 1.27% [6]. Market Dynamics - The engineering machinery industry is expected to see improved conditions, with a notable increase in demand and a positive outlook for the coming months [9][10].

Group 1 - In May 2025, a total of 18,202 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.12%. Domestic sales were 8,392 units, down 1.48%, while exports reached 9,810 units, up 5.42% [1] - From January to May 2025, a total of 101,716 excavators were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 17.4%. Domestic sales were 57,501 units, up 25.7%, and exports were 44,215 units, up 8.2% [2] - In May 2025, 36 electric excavators were sold, with various weight categories contributing to the total [3] Group 2 - In May 2025, a total of 10,535 loaders were sold, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.24%. Domestic sales were 6,037 units, up 16.7%, while exports were 4,498 units, down 3.31% [4][5] - From January to May 2025, a total of 52,755 loaders were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.1%. Domestic sales were 29,607 units, up 25.4%, and exports were 23,148 units, up 2.39% [5] Group 3 - In May 2025, 649 graders were sold, down 3.28% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 112 units, up 31.8%, while exports were 537 units, down 8.36% [7] - From January to May 2025, a total of 3,580 graders were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.9%. Domestic sales were 677 units, up 40.7%, and exports were 2,903 units, up 10.1% [7] Group 4 - In May 2025, 1,748 truck cranes were sold, down 8.1% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 978 units, down 3.36%, while exports were 770 units, down 13.5% [7] - From January to May 2025, a total of 9,103 truck cranes were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8.94%. Domestic sales were 5,181 units, down 13.8%, and exports were 3,922 units, down 1.61% [8] Group 5 - In May 2025, 261 crawler cranes were sold, up 31.8% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 56 units, down 3.45%, while exports were 205 units, up 46.4% [10] - From January to May 2025, a total of 1,282 crawler cranes were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.25%. Domestic sales were 402 units, down 1.23%, and exports were 880 units, up 8.51% [11] Group 6 - In May 2025, 1,681 truck-mounted cranes were sold, down 20.3% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 1,286 units, down 27.5%, while exports were 395 units, up 18.6% [13] - From January to May 2025, a total of 10,695 truck-mounted cranes were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.85%. Domestic sales were 8,535 units, down 6.71%, and exports were 2,160 units, up 9.42% [14] Group 7 - In May 2025, 538 tower cranes were sold, down 28.4% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 292 units, down 51.7%, while exports were 246 units, up 67.3% [15] - From January to May 2025, a total of 2,334 tower cranes were sold, marking a year-on-year decrease of 36.6%. Domestic sales were 1,278 units, down 57.1%, and exports were 1,056 units, up 51.1% [16] Group 8 - In May 2025, 123,472 forklifts were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.8%. Domestic sales were 79,129 units, up 9.25%, while exports were 44,343 units, up 16.6% [17] - From January to May 2025, a total of 601,764 forklifts were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.33%. Domestic sales were 392,490 units, up 6.66%, and exports were 209,274 units, up 14.7% [18] Group 9 - In May 2025, 1,589 rollers were sold, up 17% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 577 units, up 6.07%, while exports were 1,012 units, up 24.3% [19] - From January to May 2025, a total of 7,772 rollers were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 23.7%. Domestic sales were 2,905 units, up 10.8%, and exports were 4,867 units, up 32.9% [20] Group 10 - In May 2025, 149 pavers were sold, up 30.7% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 107 units, up 33.8%, while exports were 42 units, up 23.5% [21] - From January to May 2025, a total of 708 pavers were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.4%. Domestic sales were 521 units, up 32.2%, and exports were 187 units, up 29% [22] Group 11 - In May 2025, 15,653 aerial work platforms were sold, down 26.2% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 5,284 units, down 48.1%, while exports were 10,369 units, down 5.8% [25] - From January to May 2025, a total of 74,533 aerial work platforms were sold, marking a year-on-year decrease of 33.5%. Domestic sales were 29,191 units, down 48.3%, and exports were 45,342 units, down 18.4% [26] Group 12 - In May 2025, 296 high-altitude work vehicles were sold, down 33.3% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 286 units, down 34.1%, while exports remained flat at 10 units [26] - From January to May 2025, a total of 1,906 high-altitude work vehicles were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.2%. Domestic sales were 1,803 units, up 9.74%, and exports were 103 units, up 87.3% [27]