距离8月12日24时的油价调整窗口还剩8天，本周期油价统计工作已完成40%，还剩6个工作日。截至目 前，周期油价已连续4个工作日涨幅高于上调线，暂时处于上调状态。 编辑：赵文琪主编：王潇 监制：闫继伟 上周五国际油价大跌近3%，从今日早盘国际油价走势判断，明天国际油价周期涨幅大概率会继续大幅 收窄。若国际油价单日跌幅超5%，存在周期均价跌破上调红线的可能，但这种情况发生概率极低。综 合来看，本轮油价上调可能性极大，但国际油价短期回调会限制涨幅。 来源：今日油价查看 8月4日，周期统计第4个工作日，预计汽柴油上调幅度为185元/吨，折算后每升油价上涨0.14至0.16元。 以50升油箱为例，加满一箱油要多花7至8元，本次油价调整时间为8月12日24时（下周二晚12点）。 ...

距离8月12日24时的油价调整窗口仅剩6天，目前本周期油价统计工作已完成60%。受国际油价下跌影响，虽然近期周期油价涨幅不断收窄，但目前涨幅仍 高于上调线，油价调整暂处上调状态。 8月6日，周期统计进入第6天，预计汽柴油上调幅度为110元/吨，较昨日涨幅又缩水35元/吨，折合每升油价上涨0.08-0.10元。本次油价调整时间为8月12日 24时（下周二晚12点）。 距离调价还有4个统计日，当前国际油价仍低于周期原油均价。若今天国际油价不上涨，预计明天（8月7日）周期第7天，油价涨幅将收窄至100元/吨以 内。若国际油价延续当前跌势，预计周五国内油价涨幅将收窄至60元/吨左右，最终涨幅可能缩至50元/吨以内至调价搁浅。反之，若国际油价小幅反弹， 本周期油价调整最终或迎来小幅上涨。 来源：石家庄日报 综合：今日油价查看、大众日报、石家庄交通广播 ...

时光荏苒，今天是2025年8月2日，农历闰六月初八，距离8月12日新周期调价还有10天时间，截至本周，新周期完成30%，油价统计上涨225元/吨，处于大 涨范畴！但是，随着原油市场冲高回落，最近2个交易日，原油价格逆势连跌，且，隔夜市场，原油猛跌2.8%，新周期，油价涨幅或将收窄，下周涨幅或降 下来，此次油价今年"第7涨"能否兑现，悬念再起！ 据悉，截至目前，2025年前7个月，汽柴油调价完毕，最近2个月，油价呈现趋势上涨的走势！据悉，2025年6-7月份，汽柴油共计进行5次调价，其中，3次 上涨，1次下跌，1次搁浅，阶段性，汽油上涨430元/吨，换算升价，各种油品上涨0.35元/升左右！ 按照油价形成机制，目前，全国各地加油站，92/95号汽油以及0号柴油，油价仍维持7月15日24时，今年第14次调价，汽柴油下降130元以及125元/吨后的水 平，以北京为例，92号汽油报价在7.26元/升，山东报价在7.22元/升，相比5月末的低值，累计上涨幅度达0.35元/升！ 目前，按照汽柴油10个工作日调价的机制，2025年第16次调价，本周，计价周期完成前3个工作日，基于8月2日周末调价休市，本轮计价周期按照周五第 ...

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that there will be no adjustment to domestic refined oil prices as of July 29, 2025, due to minimal fluctuations in international oil prices, with the adjustment amount being less than 50 yuan per ton [1] Group 1: Price Adjustment Overview - Domestic refined oil prices have undergone fifteen rounds of adjustments, resulting in a pattern of "six increases, six decreases, and three stabilities" [1] - After accounting for the increases and decreases, the overall prices of gasoline and diesel have decreased by 225 yuan/ton and 215 yuan/ton respectively compared to the end of 2024 [1] Group 2: Future Price Expectations - The next price adjustment window will open on August 12, 2025, at 24:00 [1] - Analysts from Longzhong Information predict a higher probability of price increases in the next round due to potential supply risks from new U.S. sanctions on Russia and ongoing traditional fuel consumption peaks in the U.S. [1] - Analyst Wang Xueqin from Zhaocai Information also anticipates a bullish trend in oil prices, with an expected initial increase of 55 yuan/ton based on current international oil price levels [1]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming oil price adjustment on July 29, 2025, is expected to result in a price freeze, with the current trend indicating that the price reduction will not meet the standard threshold of 50 yuan per ton [1][5][7]. Price Adjustment History - In the previous adjustment (the 14th of 2025), gasoline and diesel prices decreased by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton, respectively, leading to a price drop of 0.1-0.12 yuan per liter [3]. - The last four price adjustments have shown a pattern of "3 increases and 1 decrease," with significant price increases observed from early June to early July, where gasoline and diesel prices rose by 560 yuan and 540 yuan per ton [3][5]. Current Market Analysis - As of July 25, 2025, the average price of crude oil is at 67.75 USD per barrel, with a change rate of -0.73%, indicating a decrease of 25 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel [5][7]. - Recent trends in the crude oil market show a slight increase, with WTI crude oil rising by 1.2% to 66.03 USD per barrel and Brent crude oil increasing by 0.98% to 69.18 USD per barrel [5][7]. Future Predictions - The oil price adjustment mechanism suggests that the upcoming adjustment may not exceed a reduction of 50 yuan per ton, with the likelihood of a price freeze being high [5][7]. - The market remains cautious about the potential for further increases in crude oil prices, which could limit the extent of any price reductions in the upcoming adjustment [7].

Group 1 - Domestic oil prices have stopped rising after a significant increase of 560 yuan/ton for gasoline, with the latest adjustment resulting in a decrease of 130 yuan/ton for gasoline and 125 yuan/ton for diesel [2][4] - The current pricing cycle for oil runs from July 16 to July 29, with the first two days showing a decrease of 45 yuan/ton, but the decline has since reduced to 25 yuan/ton due to rising international oil prices [2][4] - As of July 18, international oil prices have increased, with WTI crude at 68.74 USD/barrel and Brent crude at 70.57 USD/barrel, raising concerns about potential price increases for domestic gasoline and diesel in the upcoming adjustment [4] Group 2 - The latest price adjustments for gasoline and diesel across various regions show a decrease of 130 yuan/ton, with specific prices for 92 gasoline in Beijing at 7.26 yuan/liter [5] - The price variations across different provinces indicate a range of prices for gasoline and diesel, reflecting regional market conditions [5]

Core Viewpoint - Domestic fuel prices in China have been reduced after three consecutive increases, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton, respectively, effective from July 15, 2025 [2][3] Price Adjustment Details - The National Development and Reform Commission announced the price adjustments based on recent international oil price fluctuations, with the average reference crude oil price at 68.25 USD per barrel and a change rate of -3.34% [3] - Specific price reductions include a decrease of 0.1 yuan per liter for 89 and 92 octane gasoline, 0.11 yuan per liter for 95 octane gasoline, and 0.11 yuan per liter for diesel [3][4] - This adjustment marks the 14th price change in 2025, with a pattern of "six increases, six decreases, and two pauses" observed so far this year [3] Impact on Consumers - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92 octane gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan [4] - For a small private car with a monthly mileage of 2000 km and fuel consumption of 8L per 100 km, the cost savings will be around 7 yuan at the next price adjustment [4] - In the logistics sector, a heavy truck running 10,000 km monthly with a fuel consumption of 38L per 100 km will see a reduction in fuel costs by about 195 yuan [4] International Oil Price Trends - The international oil price has experienced fluctuations due to various factors, including high travel demand during the U.S. Independence Day holiday and geopolitical tensions affecting energy transport security [5][6] - OPEC+ has announced a significant increase in oil production by 548,000 barrels per day starting in August, which may exert downward pressure on oil prices [6] Future Price Adjustment Outlook - There are differing opinions among industry analysts regarding the next round of domestic fuel price adjustments, with some predicting a likelihood of price stabilization while others foresee potential increases [8] - Analysts note that the ongoing U.S. fuel consumption peak and the impact of OPEC+ production increases will play crucial roles in determining future price movements [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The retail price of refined oil in China is expected to decrease due to fluctuations in international oil prices and domestic supply-demand dynamics [2][3] Group 1: Price Adjustments - The retail price of gasoline and diesel is predicted to be lowered by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton respectively, translating to a decrease of 0.10 yuan for 92-octane gasoline, 0.11 yuan for 95-octane gasoline, and 0.11 yuan for 0-octane diesel [2] - After this adjustment, the national standard price for 92-octane gasoline in Zibo will drop to approximately 7.23 yuan per liter, while 95-octane gasoline will decrease to around 7.75 yuan per liter [3] Group 2: Year-to-Date Adjustments - Following this price change, the year-to-date adjustments for refined oil will reflect a pattern of "6 increases, 6 decreases, and 2 stasis," with cumulative reductions of 225 yuan per ton for gasoline and 215 yuan per ton for diesel [3] Group 3: Cost Savings for Consumers - For a household car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92-octane gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan, while a small private car running 2,000 kilometers monthly will see a reduction of about 7 yuan in fuel costs before the next price adjustment [3] - A heavy-duty truck running 10,000 kilometers monthly will experience a decrease of around 195 yuan in fuel costs before the next price adjustment [3] Group 4: Market Outlook - Analysts indicate that while OPEC+ is likely to maintain significant production increases in August and September, potential supply risks may arise from new U.S. sanctions on Russia [4] - The traditional peak season for fuel demand in the U.S. continues, supporting the market, although there are uncertainties regarding the next price adjustment due to fluctuating oil prices [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a reduction in domestic fuel prices in China, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton, respectively, effective from July 15, 2025 [2]. Price Adjustment Summary - The price adjustments translate to a decrease of 0.10 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 0.11 yuan per liter for 95 gasoline, and 0.11 yuan per liter for 0 diesel. Filling a 50-liter tank with 92 gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan [5]. - For a small private car with a monthly distance of 2000 kilometers and a fuel consumption of 8 liters per 100 kilometers, the cost savings will be around 7 yuan before the next price adjustment window on July 29 [5]. - In the logistics sector, a heavy truck running 10,000 kilometers monthly with a fuel consumption of 38 liters per 100 kilometers will see a reduction of about 195 yuan in fuel costs before the next adjustment [5]. - Year-to-date, there have been 14 rounds of price adjustments, resulting in a net decrease of 225 yuan per ton for gasoline and 215 yuan per ton for diesel compared to the beginning of the year [5]. International Oil Market Insights - The international oil market has experienced volatility, with overall trends showing a potential rebound. The U.S. Independence Day holiday saw record numbers of travelers, raising optimistic expectations for energy demand during peak seasons [7]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Red Sea region due to attacks by Houthi forces, have increased uncertainty in energy supply, providing some support for oil prices [7]. - OPEC has revised its global oil demand forecasts downward for 2025 and 2026, which may impact oil price trends [7]. - Goldman Sachs has indicated that rising recession risks and increased OPEC+ oil supply may lead to declining oil prices by the end of this year and into next year, with projected Brent crude prices around $59 per barrel in Q4 of this year and $56 per barrel in 2026 [8].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the announcement of a new round of fuel price adjustments in China, effective from July 15, 2023, at 24:00 [1] - The price of gasoline and diesel will be reduced by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton, respectively [1] - The average price reduction for 92-octane gasoline is 0.10 yuan per liter, while 95-octane gasoline and 0-diesel will see a reduction of 0.11 yuan per liter [1] Group 2 - Consumers filling a 50-liter tank with 92-octane gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan [1]