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和讯投顾李望军:白银LOF净值下调31%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 01:25
2月2日晚间,国投瑞银白银期货基金价格出现大幅下调,跌幅达31%,创下近期基金市场最大单日跌幅 纪录。值得注意的是,当日国内白银期货价格并未出现同等幅度的下跌,此种背离现象引发市场广泛关 注,其核心原因与国内外白银期货市场的交易机制差异密切相关。国内白银期货交易设有明确的涨跌幅 限制(上海期货交易所规定白银期货涨跌停板幅度为上一交易日结算价±3%),而国投瑞银白银期货基 金需与国际白银期货价格进行对标,国际市场白银价格的大幅波动最终会传导至基金净值层面。从市场 背景来看,2月2日当晚,纽约商品交易所(COMEX)白银主连合约一度暴跌近36%,尾盘虽有反弹, 但跌幅仍达25.50%,史诗级的外盘跌势对国内相关基金形成了强烈冲击。 结合市场走势及自身判断,预计星期三(2月4日)白银期货价格将实现止跌企稳,后续大概率会出现一 定幅度的反弹,且相对而言反弹力度有望达到较大水平。但需明确的是,白银、黄金期货价格重新站回 前期高点的概率极低,核心原因在于后续反弹过程中,上方抛压将逐步加大——当前仍有大量投资者未 及时离场,部分投资者持仓已接近期货穿仓线。对于此类投资者而言,若能坚守持仓未发生穿仓,后续 有望借助反弹收回部 ...
投资者对有色行情需保持理性
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2026-02-02 12:12
不少有色金属品种在前期大幅上涨之后,近期出现明显回落,证券市场相关股票价格也随之出现较 大波动。笔者认为,投资者进行股票投资,防范风险始终是永恒主题。 大宗商品价格受宏观经济、货币政策、全球供需格局、地缘政治等多重因素影响,有色金属自然也 不例外,其价格走势本身具有显著的波动性。持续单边上涨往往更多体现的是市场短期的非理性因素, 而非长期常态。回顾资本市场历史,有色金属板块多次上演"涨时轰轰烈烈、跌时猝不及防"的行情,价 格在短期冲高后往往伴随深度回调,而盲目追高的投资者,往往成为"接盘者"。 "股市有风险,投资需谨慎"绝非套话、空话,投资者在市场中停留得越久,越能体会这句话的深刻 含义。有色金属价格的波动只是资本市场的一个缩影,无论市场行情如何变化,风险控制始终是投资的 重中之重。投资者唯有摒弃投机心态,树立理性认知,遵守操作纪律,才能在市场的潮起潮落中行稳致 远。(作者系财经评论员) 对于普通投资者而言,面对有色金属板块的剧烈行情波动以及资本市场中各类看似诱人的投资机 会,唯有建立较为完善的风险防控体系,树立常态化的风险意识,才能在市场中站稳脚跟、走得更远。 这需要投资者从认知、选股、操作等多个层面下足功 ...
贵金属价格波动剧烈,中国工商银行提示:理性投资,避免盲目追涨杀跌
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2026-02-01 07:58
2月1日,中国工商银行股份有限公司发布《关于进一步做好贵金属市场风险防范的提示》: 尊敬的客户: 近期国内外贵金属价格波动剧烈,市场不确定性显著增强。建议您在审慎评估自身风险承受能力的基础 上,保持理性投资心态,避免盲目追涨杀跌。建议从中长期视角考虑,坚持分批分散、适度均衡的原则 进行投资配置。请密切关注行情变化,合理控制持仓规模,有效防范市场波动风险。 感谢您的支持! 中国工商银行股份有限公司 2026年2月1日 ...
工商银行:投资者应密切关注贵金属行情变化,合理控制持仓规模
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-01 02:20
北京商报讯(记者 孟凡霞 周义力)2月1日,据工银金行家公众号消息,工商银行提示,近期国内外贵 金属价格波动剧烈,市场不确定性显著增强。建议投资者在审慎评估自身风险承受能力的基础上,保持 理性投资心态,避免盲目追涨杀跌。建议从中长期视角考虑,坚持分批分散、适度均衡的原则进行投资 配置。请投资者密切关注行情变化,合理控制持仓规模,有效防范市场波动风险。 ...
中国奢侈品市场现回暖迹象,年轻人称“还是不如买黄金”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 11:27
Core Insights - Luxury goods are becoming an important part of asset allocation for the new generation of consumers, with young people seeking balance between luxury items and traditional investments like gold [1] - The shift from "emotional consumption" to "rational investment" in the luxury goods market is highlighted, with consumers focusing more on the investment value and cost-effectiveness of luxury products [3] Group 1: Market Trends - The 2025 China Personal Luxury Goods Report indicates a significant change in the luxury market, with a noticeable easing of the decline in the personal luxury goods market in mainland China compared to 2024, showing early signs of recovery since Q3 of the previous year [3] - The report suggests that 2025 will be a year of adjustment for the Chinese luxury market, with consumers seeking a balance between quality, uniqueness, and practicality in high-cost performance products [3] - The high-value customer (VIC) group remains a core driver of the luxury market, but younger potential consumers are cautiously entering the luxury market [3] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - The new generation of young consumers is increasingly valuing the investment potential and sustainability of luxury goods, driving a recovery in the jewelry category and rapid growth in the second-hand luxury market [3] - There is a growing acceptance of second-hand luxury goods among consumers, particularly among younger and price-sensitive demographics, indicating a shift in consumer perception [4] - The second-hand luxury market in China is projected to grow by 15% to 20% in 2025, driven by increased supply, higher consumer acceptance, and the popularity of live-streaming platforms [4] Group 3: Jewelry Market Dynamics - The jewelry market in China is showing signs of improvement due to the rising gold prices, although it has not fully reversed the previous decline, with the drop in jewelry sales narrowing to less than 5% [6] - Young consumers express that while jewelry holds emotional value, they prefer gold as a more practical investment, reflecting a shift in asset allocation preferences [6] Group 4: Purchasing Trends - The proportion of Chinese consumers purchasing luxury goods overseas has significantly decreased, with an estimated 65% of luxury consumption occurring in mainland China and 35% abroad, indicating a trend of consumption returning to the domestic market [7] - The combination of China's visa-free policies and flexible tax refund systems is attracting some foreign consumers to purchase luxury goods in mainland China, although their contribution remains relatively small compared to the overall market [7] - Looking ahead to 2026, China is expected to remain a cornerstone for global luxury growth, with strong market recovery trends anticipated starting in the second half of 2025 [7]
理性投资、管控风险,中国金币集团提示风险
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 08:56
1月29日,中国金币集团发布公告,近期贵金属原材料价格持续大幅攀升,特提醒广大贵金属纪念币集藏爱好者,理性参与投资,注意管控风险。 来源:中国金币 ...
我国公募基金总规模达37.7万亿元,营造“长钱长投”市场生态
Huan Qiu Wang· 2026-01-29 01:26
Group 1 - The total scale of public funds in China reached 37.7 trillion yuan by the end of December 2025, marking a record high with a quarter-on-quarter increase of nearly 700 billion yuan [1] - Bond funds saw a monthly increase of over 410 billion yuan, while stock funds grew by over 250 billion yuan; mixed funds, FOF, and QDII experienced slight growth, whereas money market funds decreased by 153.6 billion yuan [1] - In 2025, amidst international turmoil, the three major A-share indices showed strong performance with cumulative annual increases of 18.41% for the Shanghai Composite Index, 29.87% for the Shenzhen Component Index, and 49.57% for the ChiNext Index [1] Group 2 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasized the need to deepen public fund reforms and broaden channels for long-term capital sources, promoting products and risk management tools suitable for long-term investment [3] - The CSRC aims to enhance the quality of service for high-quality development, improve regulatory effectiveness, and promote the growth and governance of listed companies, while also advancing the opening of capital markets to a deeper and higher level [3] - Initiatives include strengthening technology-enabled regulation and expediting the release of regulations for listed companies, as well as fully implementing the newly revised corporate governance standards [3]
富格林:突围交易欺诈顺畅出金
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 01:47
严格筛选合规交易平台。投资者应选择如香港黄金交易所A1类会员,这类受权威机构监管、资质公开 可查的平台,仔细核实其牌照编号与监管状态,避免落入虚假平台的圈套。交易过程中,务必坚守风险 控制原则。无论行情多么炽热,都应理性设定止损止盈,避免重仓追逐行情,尤其是价格创历史新高 时。 警惕非正规渠道的内幕。任何投资决策都应当建立在自主分析或专业合规建议之上,不可将账户委托他 人操作。若出金环节遇阻碍,应直接与合规交易平台客服进行沟通解决。黄金市场机遇虽多,但守护本 金安全永远为首。 警惕不合理的收益承诺的诱惑。许多欺诈平台常以0风险为饵,诱导投资者最终导致亏损。理性投资应 基于自身风险承受能力,设定合理的比例,并采用分批建仓、严格止损等策略。例如在黄金波动加大 时,可采取轻仓试探,结合技术面与基本面分析,避免情绪化交易。 香港黄金交易所A1类行员富格林认为,近期地缘局势风险叠加美联储政策不确定性等多重因素持续推 动市场避险情绪,黄金价格屡创新高,吸引众多投资者布局黄金资产。作为具备双向交易、灵活交易等 优势的投资选项,现货黄金成为许多人的首选。然而,市场热度之下,交易欺诈陷阱也悄然滋生,甚至 阻断盈利出金之路。突围 ...
以差异化披露推动“龙虎榜”高质量发展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 19:00
完善龙虎榜制度,可以更好地为中小投资者提供有价值的补充性投资信息参考,也能更好地发挥对涉嫌违法、违 规炒作行为的辅助监管作用。笔者认为,具体优化路径可多管齐下: 首先,龙虎榜可分不同对象做差异化披露。对于普通投资者,交易所可考虑将龙虎榜披露的"营业部或交易单 元"调整为"证券公司层面",不再具体到单个营业部,从根源上切断游资通过知名营业部席位造势的渠道;同时尝 试增加披露资金性质分类(如区分机构、普通投资者、陆股通等)以及汇总的账户数量等信息。对于监管部门, 交易所披露的龙虎榜信息则可具体到单个投资者,允许监管部门对营业部交易数据拥有穿透式监控权限。 其次,建立并强化"披露即监管"的联动机制。龙虎榜的核心价值在于辅助监管,若仅披露信息而不跟进核查,其 基础作用将大打折扣。要让每一张龙虎榜的背后,都伴随着监管的"电子眼"与"分析仪",大幅提高违法违规的成本 与风险。为此交易所与证券监管部门应建立高效的线索筛查与联动响应流程,对于龙虎榜中出现的连续多日异常 上榜、拉抬打压、反向交易等情况,要及时开展穿透式核查,查清背后的实际资金主体、账户组以及交易目的, 对确认存在市场操纵等违法违规行为的,依法从严处罚。同时,应 ...
上期所出台多项风控措施 引导贵金属与有色理性投资
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-26 17:43
1月26日,上海期货交易所(下称"上期所")连续发布公告,针对贵金属、有色金属市场出台了多项风控 措施。 当天收盘之后,上期所再发两则通知:一是调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额;二是调整铜等期货相 关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例。 国信期货首席分析师顾冯达指出,近日贵金属及有色金属市场情绪高涨,价格持续快速飙升,多个品种 创出历史新高,市场交易活跃度显著提升。在行情如火如荼的同时,市场参与者更应保持一份冷静与理 性,警惕其中蕴含的剧烈波动风险。 "金银铜等品种的上涨背后,虽有宏观叙事与长期逻辑支撑,但短期涨幅过大、速度过快,极易引发非 理性追涨和资金'博傻'行为。近期交易所通过调整保证金、涨跌停板幅度以及强化实际控制关系管理等 一系列组合拳,目的正是为了平抑非理性波动,引导市场回归理性,防止个别违规行为扭曲价格、侵害 投资者合法权益。"顾冯达称,展望后市,在强监管、防风险的总体考量下,不排除监管层将继续推出 一系列针对性措施。各市场参与主体尤其是个人投资者应深入理解并严格遵守交易所各项规则,根据自 身风险承受能力审慎参与,避免高杠杆下的非理性投机。 当日中午,上期所公告称,发现3组16名客户在锡、白银期货 ...