Core Viewpoint - The recent issuance of the "Notice" by the Ministry of Finance aims to enhance the long-term assessment of state-owned insurance companies, promoting stable and sustainable investment of insurance funds in the capital market [1][4][8]. Group 1: Long-term Assessment Mechanism - The "Notice" adjusts the evaluation of net asset return rates from "annual indicator + three-year indicator" to include a five-year indicator, with respective weights of 30%, 50%, and 20% [5][9]. - The capital preservation and appreciation rate will also be evaluated similarly, aiming to reduce the impact of market volatility on annual performance evaluations [5][9]. - The long-term assessment mechanism is expected to encourage insurance companies to focus on long-term returns and mitigate short-term behaviors, thus facilitating high-quality development [5][8]. Group 2: Investment Management and Operational Improvement - The "Notice" requires state-owned insurance companies to enhance asset-liability management, ensuring better matching in terms of structure, cost, and cash flow [7][10]. - It emphasizes the importance of prudent operations and the need for improved investment management capabilities, including strict adherence to internal investment management systems and risk assessment processes [7][10]. - The focus on long-term investment is anticipated to strengthen the role of insurance funds as stable capital in the market, supporting the high-quality development of the real economy [10][11]. Group 3: Market Impact and Future Outlook - As of the end of 2024, the total investment balance of commercial insurance funds is projected to reach approximately 33 trillion yuan, with only about 11% allocated to A-shares, indicating significant room for growth [3][9]. - The adjustment in the assessment mechanism is expected to enhance the willingness of insurance funds to enter the market, potentially bringing in an additional 350 billion yuan if a 1% increase in stock allocation occurs [9]. - The long-term assessment is likely to improve the efficiency of market price discovery and resource allocation, as evidenced by the successful practices of social security funds [9].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance issued a notification to enhance long-term assessments for state-owned commercial insurance companies, emphasizing the importance of long-term investment strategies and aiming to improve the quality of capital market development [1][3][11]. Group 1: Long-term Assessment Mechanism - The notification increases the weight of long-term assessments for key indicators such as net asset return rate and capital preservation and appreciation rate to 70%, with specific weights of 30% for the current year, 50% for three years, and 20% for five years [3][11]. - This adjustment aims to encourage state-owned insurance companies to focus on long-term returns and mitigate short-term performance pressures, thereby promoting high-quality development [3][11]. Group 2: Management and Investment Capabilities - The notification requires state-owned insurance companies to enhance asset-liability management, focusing on matching the structure, cost, and cash flow of assets and liabilities to achieve stable growth of owners' equity [5]. - It emphasizes prudent operations and the need for improved internal assessment mechanisms, investment portfolio management, and the identification of quality investment targets to ensure stable long-term returns [5][6]. - The notification also calls for strengthening investment management capabilities, including adherence to internal investment management systems and enhancing decision-making and risk assessment processes [5][6]. Group 3: Market Impact and Future Outlook - The establishment of a long-term assessment mechanism is expected to increase the proportion of insurance funds invested in A-shares, which currently stands at approximately 11%, with a significant gap to the 25% policy ceiling [10]. - The long-term investment approach is anticipated to stabilize market fluctuations and enhance the overall investment environment, thereby attracting more capital into the market [6][10]. - The notification is seen as a continuation of previous policies aimed at promoting the entry of insurance funds into the market, providing a regulatory framework for long-term investment strategies [11][12].

【导读】 财政部印发 《通知》，推动国有保险公司全面建立三年以上长周期考核机制 中国基金报记者 李树超 33万亿 元险资 市场 ，又迎来 重要制度性突破 ！ 近日，财政部印发《关于引导保险资金长期稳健投资 进一步加强国有商业保险公司长周期考 核的通知》 （ 以下简称《通知》 ）， 要求进一步加强长周期考核，不断提升经营管理能 力， 进一步拉长 国有保险公司"净资产收益率""资本保值增值率"等 关键 指标 的长周期考 核 ，将三年、五年的长周期考核权重提升至70% 。 业内人士表示， 《通知》 将 推动 险资 更加注重长期收益， 加大A股投资力度，更好 发挥 长期机构投资者 的 作用，并将 进一步推动资本市场高质量发展。 将三年、五年长周期考核权重提升至70% 《通知》 主要内容如下： 1、 进一步加强长周期考核。 王立新 认为， 商业保险资金来源稳定、偿付周期长，是典型的 " 长钱 " 。长周期考核机制 建立后，保险资金将不惧市场短期波动，敢于加大A股投资比例，并保持相对稳定，能通过长 期投资获取可观回报。同时，保险资金投资行为的稳定，也将有效提高资本市场内在稳定 性，降低市场波动，大幅优化资本市场投资生态， ...

指数重新站上3 5 00点。 银行股涨疯了， 工行、建行等四大行股价再创历史新高 ，工行2.9万亿，建行2.6万亿，农行2. 2万亿，中行1.9万亿，共计市值突破了9 万亿。 但是一些题材股，却在启动时的首板或二板时，就放出了历史天量。这种情况以前是比较少见的，而近期观察到，这基本上是常态了。 还有很多散户的账户却在经历温水煮青蛙般的煎熬。 01 下一轮超级机会 再来看一个指标：储蓄率是股市的反向指标 最近有个数据需要引起我们重视： 据统计， 202 2- 2024年间居民存款增量分别达17. 8万亿、16.7万亿、14.2万亿元，三年累计新增存款规模突破48.8万亿元 。可同时房 价缩水却蒸发了120万亿。 今年6月份有个统计，说今年前五个月，居民存款减少了2.4 6万亿，相当于每天有160亿从银行账户里拿出去。 今年年初，六部委联合出台《中长期资金入市方案》，明确要求大型保险公司每年新增保费的30%必须投A股， 社保基金也要提高股票 配置比例。 更直接的是， 银行自己也在降息，六大行带头，中小银行跟进，5月份一年期存款利率正式跌破1%。 这就相当于很明确的告诉你，别存钱了，去投资吧。 其次，市场在也在引导 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the positive performance of Hong Kong stocks, particularly in the construction materials, steel, banking, and non-bank sectors, driven by significant inflows of southbound capital [1] - From July 7 to July 9, southbound capital net inflows into the Hong Kong stock market reached nearly 20 billion RMB, improving liquidity and boosting valuation recovery expectations for Hong Kong banks and energy sectors [1] - There has been a noticeable shift in trading style of southbound capital from aggressive to defensive, favoring high-certainty dividend assets amid reduced market risk appetite and declining risk-free interest rates [1] Group 2 - The policy framework established at the beginning of the year aims to expand the proportion of equity funds and guide long-term capital into the capital market, favoring low-volatility assets with stable dividend characteristics [1] - The Hong Kong central enterprise dividend ETF tracks an index with a dividend yield that remains 4.5% higher than the 10-year government bond yield, indicating that undervalued, high-certainty assets will continue to attract capital inflows in the long term [2] - Despite short-term profit-taking actions, the core logic for the continuation of the market trend remains intact, supported by the dual attributes of central enterprise background and high dividend returns [2]

Group 1 - The core index, the CSI 500 Quality Growth Index, has shown a slight increase of 0.06% as of July 10, 2025, with notable stock performances from companies like Giant Technology and Yunda Express, which rose by 8.44% and 5.32% respectively [1] - The CSI 500 Quality Growth ETF has experienced a significant growth in scale, increasing by 769.89 million yuan over the past three months, ranking it in the top third among comparable funds [2] - The index's valuation is currently at a historical low, with a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 1.89, which is lower than 89.68% of the time over the past three years, indicating a strong value proposition [2] Group 2 - The CSI 500 Quality Growth Index is composed of 100 high-profitability companies selected from the CSI 500 Index, focusing on sustainable earnings and strong cash flow, providing diverse investment options [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 500 Quality Growth Index account for 20.42% of the index, with companies like Dongwu Securities and Kaiying Network being the most significant contributors [3] - The ETF closely tracks the CSI 500 Quality Growth Index, which is designed to reflect the performance of high-quality growth companies in the market [3]

Core Insights - The bank wealth management market demonstrated resilience amid increased yield volatility, with the market size reaching 30.97 trillion yuan by the end of June, an increase of 1.3 trillion yuan in the first half of the year [2][3] - The average annualized yield of wealth management products was 2.65%, significantly higher than the declining deposit rates, which fell below 1% for one-year fixed deposits [2][3] - There was a notable divergence in yields among different types of wealth management products, with cash management products yielding an average of 1.54%, while fixed income products yielded 2.98% and "fixed income plus" products yielded 2.71% [2][4] Market Size and Trends - As of the end of June, the wealth management market surpassed 30 trillion yuan, showing a "down-up" trend in the first half of the year, with a decline in the first quarter followed by recovery in the second quarter [3] - The proportion of cash management products decreased to 22.1%, marking a continuous decline for three years, while fixed income products increased to 75.6% [3][4] - In the first half of the year, 93.3% of newly issued products were fixed income products, while cash management products accounted for only 4.3% of new issuances [3] Yield Dynamics - Cash management products, primarily invested in deposits, saw their yields decline due to falling deposit rates, with an average annualized yield of 1.54% [4] - Fixed income products benefited from rising bond prices as interest rates fell, resulting in an average annualized yield of 2.79% in the first half of the year [5] - Equity-related products experienced significant yield fluctuations, with average annualized yields ranging from -2.01% to 8.72% during the first half of the year [7] Performance Expectations - The average performance benchmark for newly issued open-ended and closed-end wealth management products fell to 1.97% and 2.54%, respectively, indicating a downward trend in performance expectations [9][11] - Many wealth management companies are adjusting their performance targets in response to declining yields and increased volatility [9][11] Investment Strategies - To address yield pressures, wealth management companies are diversifying their asset allocations, incorporating equity and derivative products to enhance returns [11] - The average annualized yield for "fixed income plus" products was 2.72%, which did not show a significant advantage over pure fixed income products [11][12]

其 他 报 告 2025年07月10日 晨会纪要 | 国内市场 | | 涨跌幅（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 上证综合指数 | 3493 | -0.13 | 1.40 | | 深证成份指数 | 10582 | -0.06 | 1.25 | | 沪深300指数 | 3991 | -0.18 | 1.54 | | 创业板指数 | 2185 | 0.16 | 1.50 | | 上证国债指数 | 226 | 0.00 | 0.16 | | 上证基金指数 | 6945 | -0.04 | 0.16 | | | | 资料来源:同花顺iFinD | | | 海外市场 | | 涨跌幅（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 中国香港恒生指数 | 23892 | -1.06 | -1.52 | | 中国香港国企指数 | 8597 | -1.28 | -1.75 | | 中国台湾加权指数 | 22527 | 0.74 | -0.14 | | 道琼斯指数 | 44241 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the timely entry of bank wealth management products into equity investments, highlighting their potential as "patient capital" to support the long-term development of capital markets [4][5]. Group 1: Bank Wealth Management Transformation - Bank wealth management is transitioning from a "deposit-like" manager to a long-term institutional investor, supported by new policies such as the "National Nine Articles" and the "Implementation Plan for Promoting Medium and Long-term Funds into the Market" [4]. - The current scale of bank wealth management has returned to over 30 trillion yuan, comparable to public funds, indicating a significant capacity to provide continuous capital to the market [4]. Group 2: Advantages of Long-term Capital - The long-term advantages of bank wealth management are characterized by three aspects: extended product operation periods, diversified asset allocation strategies, and an increasingly favorable policy environment [5]. - Bank wealth management funds are now positioned alongside insurance and pension funds as key players in long-term capital, with more direct investment channels in areas like REITs and private placements [5]. Group 3: Challenges in Equity Investment - Despite the potential, bank wealth management faces challenges in aligning client risk preferences, as most clients prefer low-risk products, making it difficult to sell equity products [6]. - There is a mismatch between the short duration of bank wealth management products and the long lock-in periods required for investments in projects like public REITs and private placements [7]. - The industry lacks a mature equity research system, which hinders the ability of bank wealth management to transition from fixed income to diversified investment strategies [8]. Group 4: Mechanisms for Improvement - To enhance the role of bank wealth management as long-term investors, it is essential to improve the sales channels and exit mechanisms for investment products [9]. - Recommendations include allowing internet platforms and brokerages to participate in product sales, simplifying the purchase process for higher-risk products, and establishing a share transfer platform for better liquidity [9][10]. - A shift in performance evaluation metrics is necessary, focusing on long-term returns and risk-adjusted performance rather than short-term net asset value fluctuations [10].

证券研究报告 月酝知风之银行业 ——股息仍具吸引力，关注长期资金入市 银行行业 强于大市（维持） 证券分析师 袁喆奇 投资咨询资格编号：S1060520080003 许淼 投资咨询资格编号：S1060525020001 研究助理 李灵琇 一般从业资格编号：S1060124070021 2025年7月9日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 核心摘要 2 行业核心观点：资金结构深刻变化，顺势而为重配置轻交易。资金流向的变化是推动板块估值修复中不可忽视的力量，一方面被动指数的持续扩容带来了稳定的资金流入，板块 高权重的特征仍将持续推动资金的流入，一方面银行板块低波高红利的特征更易获得险资等中长期资金的青睐，目前板块平均股息率达到3.86%，结合监管一系列引导中长期资金 入市的措施，预计板块的股息配置价值吸引力仍将持续。个股维度，我们结合股息和潜在增量中长期资金流入空间看好A股股份行板块以及部分优质区域行（成都、北京、江苏、 上海、苏州、长沙），同时关注更具股息优势的港股大行配置机会。 行业热点跟踪：中长期资金趋势性流入，高股息价值投资持续。险资持续增配银行板块。24年以来险资增配速度略有提升，新会计准则运用之后保险资金为了 ...