Core Insights - The article discusses the bullish signals in the futures market, particularly focusing on the influx of safe-haven buying in gold, which may lead to a potential breakthrough of the $3,400 price level this week [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Technical indicators are showing bullish signals for gold, suggesting a positive outlook for prices in the near term [1] - There is a continuous influx of safe-haven buying, indicating increased investor interest in gold as a protective asset [1] Group 2: Price Levels - The key price level to watch is $3,400, with speculation on whether it will be breached within the week [1]

Fundamental Analysis - Gold prices continued to rise, reaching a high of $3304.06 per ounce due to reports of Israel preparing to attack Iranian nuclear facilities, which provided safe-haven buying support [1] - The outlook for the global economy has worsened, contributing to the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset since Monday [1] - Despite a rebound in U.S. Treasury yields and the reduction of tariffs between the U.S. and China, ongoing changes in global trade dynamics and persistent policy uncertainty continue to support gold prices [1] - Upcoming votes in the U.S. House of Representatives regarding President Trump's tax reform and changing expectations around Federal Reserve policies are expected to play a crucial role in shaping short-term gold price movements [1] Technical Analysis - Gold has shown strong performance recently, breaking through the $3300 mark and reaching $3304.06, with a need to surpass the key resistance level of $3350 to open further upside potential [2] - A solid support level has formed at $3150, and if geopolitical tensions or economic data change, gold prices could challenge the $3400 mark [2] - The current environment is favorable for gold due to geopolitical risks, a weakening dollar, and technical breakouts [2] - Gold is viewed not only as a safe-haven asset but also as a strategic asset against inflation and policy uncertainty [2] Market Data - As of the latest reports, spot gold is priced around $3295 per ounce, while spot silver is at $33.10 per ounce [3] - The U.S. dollar index is currently experiencing a volatile rebound, with a key resistance level at 100.00 [3] Trend Analysis - The current trend for gold is upward, with strategies suggesting support for long positions and resistance for short positions [7] - The dollar index is showing a downward trend, with attention on the resistance level at 100.00 [7] - Technical indicators suggest that gold prices are consolidating near support levels, with a strong buyer interest around $3200 [3][7]

Group 1 - Gold prices increased by over 1% to $3,299 due to uncertainty in U.S. tariff policies leading to a weaker dollar and a decline in U.S. stocks, alongside ongoing tensions between Russia and Ukraine attracting safe-haven buying [1] - On May 21, gold continued to rise, reaching a one-week high of $3,314.36, driven by reports of Israel preparing to attack Iranian nuclear facilities, further supporting safe-haven demand for gold [1] - Investors are primarily focused on U.S. tax reform news, geopolitical developments, and speeches from Federal Reserve officials, as well as changes in international trade dynamics [1] Group 2 - In the previous trading day, gold prices dipped to $3,204 before rebounding, with recommendations to buy between $3,206 and $3,209, resulting in significant profits as gold prices surged during the European session [3] - The daily chart shows two consecutive bullish candles, with the 5-day moving average trending upwards, and KDJ indicators transitioning from overbought to a bullish crossover, while MACD indicators show a reduction in bearish momentum [3] - The hourly chart indicates a high of $3,314.3 before a pullback, currently trading around $3,294, with KDJ indicators showing a bearish crossover and MACD indicators indicating a consolidation above the zero line, suggesting a short-term bearish trend [3] Group 3 - Recommendations for trading include buying gold around $3,261 to $3,264 with a stop loss at $3,255 and a take profit target of $3,290 to $3,300 [5] - Additionally, a recommendation to sell gold around $3,317 to $3,320 with a stop loss at $3,325 and a take profit target of $3,290 is provided [5]

黄金反弹后延续震荡！后市避险买盘会否再度发力？订单流给出什么信号？阿汤哥正在实时分析，点击 观看 相关链接 实时黄金订单流分析 ...

Group 1 - The international gold price decreased to $3227.09 per ounce, with a decline of 0.39% as of the report time on May 16 [1][3] - The gold price opened at $3238.66 per ounce, reached a high of $3251.82 per ounce, and a low of $3214.70 per ounce during the day [1][3] - On May 15, the gold price closed at $3239.66 per ounce, up by 1.99%, supported by a slight decline in the US dollar and weak US economic data [4] Group 2 - The gold market experienced fluctuations, initially dropping from $3192 to $3120, then rebounding to a high of $3240, closing at $3239 [5] - Technical analysis indicates that the bullish target is to break the peak of $3257 per ounce from May 14, which could lead to testing $3300 per ounce [6] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that momentum may favor further declines in gold prices, indicating that any sustained rebound could be a correction of the ongoing downtrend [6]

5月15日，国际金价盘中巨震。 当日亚洲交易时段，在避险情绪减弱和获利了结等近期利空因素影响下，国际金价大幅下探，期现货黄 金价格一度直逼3100美元／盎司关口。但午盘，美国经济数据疲软、美元回落，以及美联储主席鲍威尔 的讲话，共同推动金价低位回升，终盘涨近2%。 截至当天收盘时，纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的2025年6月黄金期价较前一交易日收盘上 涨63.2美元，收于每盎司3243.9美元，涨幅为1.99%。相较当日早盘触及的3123.3美元低点，金价半日回 升约120美元，全日振幅约4%。 分析来看，美国4月PPI意外下降、且零售销售几乎没有增长，经济数据的疲软强化了市场对美联储尽早 重启降息的押注，这构成了金价盘中止跌转涨的主要动因之一。 美国劳工部发布的数据显示，美国4月份生产者价格指数环比下降0.5%，而市场预期为增加0.2%。扣除 食品和能源，4月份美国核心生产者价格指数环比下降0.4%，而市场预期为环比增加0.3%。 对此，Zaner Metals副总裁兼高级金属策略师点评说，日内公布的数据为美联储降息创造了更大的空 间，市场形成了更加鸽派的预期。同时，经济数据的疲软也带来了一些避险买 ...

Group 1 - Gold prices experienced a slight increase, supported by a weaker dollar and poor U.S. economic data, alongside safe-haven buying due to President Putin's absence from peace talks [1][2] - Spot gold rose by 1.18% to $3215.87 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures increased by 0.91% to $3217.4 per ounce [1] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.17%, making gold cheaper for overseas holders [2] Group 2 - U.S. April PPI year-on-year recorded a decline to 2.4%, marking the third consecutive month of decrease and the lowest since September of the previous year [2] - April PPI month-on-month recorded a drop of 0.5%, the lowest since April 2020, significantly below the market expectation of 0.2% [2] - Analysts suggest that the recent data creates more room for potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with increasing market expectations for looser monetary policy [2] Group 3 - Analysts noted that despite a temporary 90-day tariff agreement between China and the U.S., investors remain cautious due to ongoing global trade tensions [2] - The absence of President Putin from peace negotiations has lowered expectations for progress on a peace agreement, contributing to the support for gold prices [2][3] - Gold's recent weakness has been linked to a shift in risk appetite, but the market's reaction to geopolitical events suggests a complex relationship between gold and equity markets [3]

Group 1 - German and UK government bonds outperform US Treasuries amid risk-off buying following the EU's plan for reciprocal tariffs against the US [1] - The money market maintains expectations for a 23 basis point rate cut by the European Central Bank in June, with increased bets for an additional 2 basis points of easing [1] - Swap trades indicate a total expected rate cut of 64 basis points by the end of the year [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates in the range of 4.25% to 4.5% [1] - Traders and economists anticipate the Bank of England will lower rates by 25 basis points to 4.25% on Thursday [1] - Swap trades suggest a total expected rate cut of 96 basis points by the end of the year for the Bank of England [1]

Fundamental Analysis - The silver market is experiencing a narrow range of fluctuations around 33.11, with the U.S. services sector showing a rebound in April, while inflationary pressures from tariffs are increasing [1] - The ISM survey indicates that the non-manufacturing PMI rose from 50.8 in March to 51.6 in April, contrary to economists' expectations of a drop to 50.2, suggesting preemptive purchasing by businesses and households ahead of tariff implementations [1] - The new orders index in the ISM survey increased from 50.4 in March to 52.3 in April, indicating stronger demand [1] Market Sentiment - The market is cautious with gold prices holding gains, suggesting strong support from safe-haven buying and dip buying, while investors should be wary of potential further increases in gold prices [1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates, but uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policies casts a shadow over economic prospects [2] - Gold has seen a significant increase of over 26% this year, often performing well in low-interest-rate environments [2] Technical Analysis - The silver market is currently in a price consolidation phase, with support levels around 32.05 and resistance at 33.00 [6] - The MACD indicator shows a downward trend, indicating a cautious trading environment with reduced market activity [6] - Suggested trading strategy includes entering short positions near 32.70 with a stop loss at 33.00 and a take profit target between 32.00 and 31.00 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the volatility of gold prices and provides strategies for investors who experience price declines after purchasing gold, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a calm and informed approach to investment decisions [4][5]. Group 1: Reasons for Gold Price Fluctuations - Gold prices have been influenced by geopolitical events, such as Trump's comments on the Federal Reserve and interest rate policies, leading to significant price swings [4]. - The recent price drop of gold, which fell sharply after reaching a historical high of 830 yuan per gram, illustrates the sensitivity of gold prices to market sentiment and political statements [4]. Group 2: Strategies for Investors - Investors are advised to remain calm and avoid hasty decisions to sell when prices drop, as short-term fluctuations do not necessarily indicate long-term trends [7]. - It is crucial for investors to assess their investment goals and risk tolerance, as those investing for the long term may not need to react to short-term price changes [8]. - The option to average down by purchasing more gold at lower prices is discussed, but investors should be cautious and ensure that the price drop is temporary before committing additional funds [9]. - Diversifying investments across different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, and real estate, can help mitigate risks associated with gold price declines [12]. - Staying informed about market dynamics, including global economic conditions and central bank policies, is essential for making informed investment decisions regarding gold [13]. Group 3: Specific Considerations for Gold Jewelry - For those who purchased gold jewelry, the article notes that the value is not solely based on the gold price, as it also includes craftsmanship and brand premiums, making it less sensitive to gold price fluctuations [16].