Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market experienced wide fluctuations and a slight decline on September 23, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3821.83 points, down 0.18%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13119.82 points, down 0.29% [1][4][8] - Among the 30 CITIC first-level industries, 5 sectors saw an increase, with banking, coal, and electric equipment & new energy leading the gains, while consumer services, comprehensive finance, and retail experienced significant declines [1][4][8] Overseas Market Overview - On the same day, all three major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.19%, S&P 500 down 0.55%, and Nasdaq down 0.95%. Amazon fell over 3%, and Nvidia dropped nearly 3%, leading the declines [2][4] Key News Highlights - The first batch of pilot platforms in Shanghai was announced, covering new energy storage and humanoid robots, indicating a push towards innovation in these sectors [3][13][14] - In August, the total electricity consumption in China grew by 5% year-on-year, with the first and second industries maintaining rapid growth, while the third industry and residential electricity consumption saw a decline [15][16] Driving Factors - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized the need to cultivate emerging industries and accelerate the development of new pillar industries, including humanoid robots and quantum information [9] - A total of 1108 stocks rose while 4266 fell in the A-share market, reflecting a mixed sentiment among investors [9]

金 融 期 货 研 究 2025 年 9 月 24 日 | | | 毛磊 | | | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0011222 | | maolei@gtht.com | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 【期指期现数据跟踪】 | | | | | | | | | | 期指数据 | | | | | | | | | | | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅% | 基 差 | 成交额-亿 | 成交量 | 变 动 | 持仓量 | 变 动 | | 沪深300 | 4519.78 | ↓0.06 | | 6805.1 | | | | | | IF2510 | 4510.2 | ↑0.28 | -9.58 | 696.3 | 51761 | ↑18056 | 64601 | ↑7486 | | IF2511 | 4495.4 | ↑0.30 | -24.38 | 51.8 | 3869 | ↑1824 | 2866 | ↑948 | | IF2512 | 4483.8 | ↑0.25 | -35.98 | 1355.5 | 101402 | ↑35468 ...

2、国家能源局数据显示，8月份全社会用电量10154亿千瓦时，同比增长5.0%，其中工业用电量占比近6成，制造业用电量 同比增长5.5%。 3、从工信部获悉，最新数据显示，2025年1至7月份，我国具备组合驾驶辅助系统的乘用车新车销量为776万辆，渗透率为 62.6%，较2021年同期增加570万辆、40个百分点。 4、工信部部长李乐成23日在第25届中国国际工业博览会开幕式上致辞表示，"十五五"时期，要开辟人形机器人、脑机接 口、元宇宙、量子信息等新赛道，创建一批未来产业先导区。 5、央行行长潘功胜23日会见来访的桥水基金创始人瑞·达利欧。双方就国际经济形势及金融市场动态等交换了看法。会 后，达利欧就债务周期等话题与中国人民银行、国家外汇管理局工作人员进行了交流。 9月24日消息，三大指数集体低开，创指低开0.79%，F5G概念跌幅居前。截至今日开盘，沪指报3804.48点，跌0.45%；深 成指报13037.08点，跌0.63%；创指报3089.90点，跌0.79%。 消息面： 1、外交部长王毅23日在北京会见来华访问的美国国会众议员代表团史密斯一行。双方就进一步加强沟通交流、推动中美 关系稳定健康可持续 ...

Group 1: US-China Relations - Wang Yi's meeting with the US congressional delegation is seen as a "ice-breaking" visit, marking the first such visit since 2019, which may help stabilize US-China relations[2] - Continued high-level exchanges between the two countries are encouraged to explore cooperation and address differences[2] Group 2: Market Trends - Tianhong's Yu'ebao money market fund has reduced its custody fee from 0.08% to 0.07%, marking the first fee reduction in over 10 years, amidst a broader trend of fee reductions in money market funds[2] - The overall market sentiment is expected to improve as capital market reforms continue to release benefits for investors[2] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The National Energy Administration reported that total electricity consumption reached 1,015.4 billion kWh in August, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, indicating strong domestic electricity demand[4] - The 10-year government bond yield is currently at 1.877%, with a change of 1.44 basis points, while the DR007 rate is at 1.475%, down by 1.34 basis points[5] Group 4: Stock Market Performance - The A-share market's trading volume over the past six months is reported at 25,185 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 4.75%[14] - The top three performing sectors are banking, coal, and electric equipment, indicating sector-specific investment opportunities[20]

Key Points Summary Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing recovery in various sectors, particularly in the automotive and semiconductor industries, driven by supportive government policies and increasing consumer demand [5][19][33]. Domestic Market Performance - The A-share market has shown a wide fluctuation, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,821.83, down 0.18%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13,119.82, down 0.29% [3]. - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext are 15.61 and 49.58, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [9][13]. Economic Indicators - In August, the national industrial added value increased by 5.2% year-on-year, while retail sales rose by 3.4% [10][11]. - The fixed asset investment saw a slight increase of 0.5%, but real estate development investment dropped by 12.9% [10]. Industry Analysis - The automotive industry is experiencing a resurgence, with production and sales in August reaching 2.81 million and 2.86 million units, respectively, marking year-on-year increases of 12.96% and 16.44% [17][18]. - The semiconductor sector has shown robust growth, with the industry revenue for Q2 2025 reaching 188.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.87% [33]. Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "stronger than the market" rating for the automotive sector, emphasizing the positive impact of government policies and the ongoing transition to electric vehicles [19][32]. - For the semiconductor industry, the report suggests focusing on domestic AI computing chip manufacturers, which are expected to gain market share due to increasing demand and supportive policies [36][37]. Sector-Specific Developments - The communication industry index outperformed the broader market, with an increase of 33.78% in August, driven by growth in 5G services and digital transformation initiatives [26][29]. - The lithium battery sector is also highlighted, with a significant year-on-year sales increase of 26.82% in August, supported by favorable policies and improved product competitiveness [32][20].

【智通财经9月24日早间新闻精选】 1、外交部长王毅23日在北京会见来华访问的美国国会众议员代表 团史密斯一行。双方就进一步加强沟通交流、推动中美关系稳定健康可持续发展坦诚、深入交换了意 见。 2、国家能源局数据显示，8月份全社会用电量10154亿千瓦时，同比增长5.0%，其中工业用电量占 比近6成，制造业用电量同比增长5.5%。 3、从工信部获悉，最新数据显示，2025年1至7月份，我国具 备组合驾驶辅助系统的乘用车新车销量为776万辆，渗透率为62.6%，较2021年同期增加570万辆、40个 百分点。 4、工信部部长李乐成23日在第25届中国国际工业博览会开幕式上致辞表示，"十五五"时期， 要开辟人形机器人、脑机接口、元宇宙、量子信息等新赛道，创建一批未来产业先导区。 5、央行行长 潘功胜23日会见来访的桥水基金创始人瑞·达利欧。双方就国际经济形势及金融市场动态等交换了看 法。会后，达利欧就债务周期等话题与中国人民银行、国家外汇管理局工作人员进行了交流。 6、网信 部门依法查处UC平台、今日头条平台破坏网络生态案件，对平台采取约谈、责令限期改正、警告、从 严处理责任人等处置处罚措施。市场监管总局约谈货拉 ...

1、央行行长潘功胜会见来访的桥水基金创始人瑞·达利欧。双方就国际经济形势及金融市场动态等交换了看法。会后，达利欧就债务周期等话题 与央行、外汇局工作人员进行了交流。 2、国新办23日举行新闻发布会，教育部负责人介绍，中国已经建成规模最大且高质量的教育体系，今年学前一年免费政策已惠及1200多万儿童。 建成世界上规模最大的职业教育体系，供给了现代产业70%以上的新增高素质高技能人才。高等教育毛入学率已达到60.8%，进入普及化阶段。 3、国内成品油调价年内第六次搁浅。9月23日24时新一轮成品油调价窗口开启，据国家发改委价格监测中心监测，本轮调价周期内，调价金额每 吨不足50元，本次汽、柴油价格不作调整。 4、工信部："十五五"时期，要加快打造一批新兴支柱产业；建立未来产业投入增长机制，加强前沿技术研发和应用推广，开辟人形机器人、脑机 接口、元宇宙、量子信息等新赛道，创建一批未来产业先导区。 （原标题：鲍威尔透露降息关键原因；台风"桦加沙"今日将登陆广东｜南财早新闻） 今日关注 根据省气象台此前预测，24日起，随着台风逼近，广东全域都将被台风8级风圈覆盖，南部沿海甚至有超14级大风。24日，珠三角和粤西市县风力 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3821.83, down 0.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.29% to 13119.82. The ChiNext Index increased by 0.21% to 3114.55, and the STAR Market 50 Index decreased by 0.10% to 1407.30. The CSI 300 Index also saw a slight decline of 0.06%, closing at 4519.78 [1][7]. Industry Dynamics - In August 2025, China's domestic gaming market revenue was 29.263 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.01%. The decline was attributed to the high revenue base from the previous year due to the success of the game "Black Myth: Wukong" [5][23]. - OpenAI and NVIDIA announced a strategic partnership to build and deploy AI data centers with a capacity of at least 10 gigawatts, with NVIDIA planning to invest up to 100 billion USD to support this initiative [5][24]. - In August 2025, China's engineering machinery exports increased by 15.4% year-on-year, with total exports amounting to 5.115 billion USD. The total trade volume for engineering machinery in the first eight months of 2025 reached 40.398 billion USD, reflecting an 11% year-on-year growth [5][26]. Company Updates - Bairen Medical (688198.SH) has entered the special review process for its radiofrequency ablation system, which is designed for treating atrial fibrillation [5][28]. - Xiangcai Co., Ltd. (600095.SH) announced that the audit and due diligence related to its major asset restructuring have been largely completed, with further steps to be taken in accordance with legal regulations [5][31].

证券研究报告 2025 年 9 月 24 日 星期三 【A 股市场大势研判】 市场全天探底回升，创业板尾盘快速翻红 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3821.83 | -0.18% | -6.74 | | | 深证成指 | 13119.82 | -0.29% | -38.16 | | | 沪深 300 | 4519.78 | -0.06% | -2.83 | | | 创业板 | 3114.55 | 0.21% | 6.67 | | | 科创 50 | 1407.30 | -0.10% | -1.34 | | | 北证 50 | 1547.45 | -2.63% | -41.74 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万一级涨幅前五 | | | 申万一级跌幅前五 | 热点板块 n | 涨幅前五 | 热点板块跌幅前五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 银行 | 1.52% ...

Industry Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced plans to develop new industries such as humanoid robots, brain-computer interfaces, the metaverse, and quantum information during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] - The Ministry of Transport is set to implement the "Artificial Intelligence + Transportation" initiative, focusing on large-scale innovation applications in the transportation sector [2] Regulatory Actions - The State Administration for Market Regulation has urged Huo La La to comply with antitrust laws and ensure fair market competition [2] - The National Internet Information Office has taken measures against platforms like Toutiao and UC for failing to manage harmful content effectively [3] Company News - Tianpu Co. announced a stock suspension due to a significant price increase of 317.72% over 15 trading days, indicating a disconnection from its fundamentals [4] - Upwind New Materials completed a share transfer involving 1.21 million shares, changing its controlling shareholder [4] - Wolong Nuclear Materials plans to invest up to 1 billion yuan in a new materials project in Jiangsu [5] - Dongshan Precision is preparing for an overseas H-share issuance to enhance its international presence [5] - Jinpu Titanium Industry has terminated its major asset restructuring plans due to market uncertainties [6] - Hualing Cable intends to acquire control of Anhui San Bamboo Intelligent Technology for up to 270 million yuan [6] - Initial Information reported abnormal stock trading due to significant price fluctuations [7] - ST Jinggu announced a donation of 51% equity in Bodata Technology to enhance its asset base [7] Research Insights - China Galaxy Securities remains optimistic about the computing power sector, particularly in PCB, domestic computing, IP licensing, and chip inductors [8] - CITIC Construction Investment forecasts a global upturn in power equipment demand, with investments exceeding 400 billion dollars by 2025 [8]