Group 1 - The Bank of England indicates that UK GDP growth appears to remain weak, with signs of a more pronounced softening over time [1] - The labor market continues to loosen, contributing to the observed economic trends [1] - Wage growth indicators continue to slow down, with the committee expecting a significant deceleration for the remainder of the year [1]

Core Insights - The Swiss National Bank is prepared to intervene in the foreign exchange market if necessary [1] - GDP growth is projected to be between 1% and 1.5% for both 2025 and 2026 [1] - The unemployment rate may continue to rise slightly [1]

美联储主席鲍威尔顶住特朗普施压，维持基准利率在4.25%-4.50%不变。之后鲍威尔发言让人浮想联 翩，热议今年降息的可能性。 6月议息会议后维持利率不变——这已是其自去年12月以来连续第四次按兵不动，具体如下表所示。 联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）在声明中指出：尽管净出口的波动对数据产生了影响，但近期指标显 示，经济活动继续以稳健的步伐扩张，失业率维持在较低水平，劳动力市场状况依然稳固，通胀仍处于 略高水平。 值得留意的是，这次的声明措辞上有所改变：5月时的版本指经济前景的不确定性"进一步增加"，但6月 声明的措辞已变更为"对经济前景的不确定性已有所减弱，但仍处于较高水平"。 为实现其最大就业和将核心通胀控制在2%的目标，委员会决定将联邦基金利率的目标区间维持在4.25% 至4.50%水平。在考虑对联邦基金利率目标区间进行额外调整的幅度和时机时，其将仔细评估新发布的 数据、不断演变的前景以及风险平衡，并会继续减持美国国债、机构债券和机构抵押贷款支持证券。 在评估货币政策的适当立场时，FOMC将继续监测新信息对经济前景的影响。若出现可能阻碍其实现目 标的风险，美联储将准备酌情调整货币政策立场。FOMC的评估将 ...

金十数据6月19日讯，分析师R.Burns Mckinney表示，投资者知道利率不会改变，但他们关注的是美联 储从现在到年底降息的预测。之前的点阵图预测降息2次，投资者担心这一预测将被下调至1次。然而， 美联储将预计的降息幅度维持在2次，总的来说，投资者喜欢看到这一点。然而，鲍威尔的评论也表 明，FOMC提高了对年底通胀的估计，并降低了对全年GDP增长的指导。GDP增长放缓可能是央行维持 先前预期的原因；然而，投资者担心，更高的通胀前景意味着未来降息的次数会减少。 市场分析：投资者喜欢今年降息次数的预测 ...

印尼财政部官员表示，政府正努力保持2025年国内生产总值(GDP)增长在约5%左右。 ...

分析人士指出，"以旧换新"等政策支持与"618"购物节的提前启动形成合力，共同推动了5月社零的快速增长。国家统计局数据显示，5月限额以上 单位家用电器和音像器材类、通讯器材类、文化办公用品类、家具类商品零售额分别增长53.0%、33.0%、30.5%、25.6%。 东吴证券分析师芦哲表示，社零超预期，一部分原因在于提前启动的"618 购物节"和"国补"叠加，另一部分原因可能在于"抢国补"。"5-6月诸多地 区传出国补暂停的说法，尽管很多省份进行辟谣，但可能还是有不少消费者在此期间抢时间购买以旧换新产品。"芦哲在研报中写道。 记者 王珍 5月中国经济运行总体平稳，虽然投资继续放缓，但消费零售表现亮眼，工业生产也较有韧性。分析人士预计，二季度GDP同比增速有望继续达到 5%以上。 但他们同时指出，国内需求扩大内生动能尚需增强，叠加下半年外贸环境不确定性仍在，稳增长政策进一步发力的概率相对上升。监管层或在三 季度推出新一轮增量政策，以进一步激发市场活力。 5月份一系列数据中，社零表现尤为亮眼。当月社会消费品零售总额同比增长6.4%，比上月加快1.3个百分点，创2024年初以来的最高水平。 国家统计局数据显示，1-5 ...

Economic Growth Indicators - In May, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 6.4% year-on-year, marking a recovery in growth[2] - Industrial added value growth in May fell to 5.8%, while the service sector's growth rose to 6.2%[6] - Fixed asset investment growth in May dropped to 2.9%, indicating weakened economic support[6] Demand and Production Concerns - Export delivery value growth remained below 1% in May, reflecting weak production related to exports[6] - The production-sales ratio fell to 95.9%, the lowest level for the same period since 2001[6] - High growth in consumption carries risks of overextension, with infrastructure investment growth continuing to decline[6] Price and Inflation Trends - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 3.3% year-on-year in May, the lowest since August 2023[6] - The average price of second-hand homes in 70 cities fell by 0.5% month-on-month, the weakest since November 2024[6] Future Economic Outlook - Q2 GDP growth is expected to stabilize above 5%, better than market expectations of 4.9%[6] - The interaction between policy measures and economic growth will determine market risk appetite moving forward[6]

斯里兰卡第一季度GDP同比增长4.8%。 ...

智通财经6月16日电，斯里兰卡第一季度GDP同比增长4.8%。 ...

Core Insights - Israel's exports increased by 1.5% in the first quarter [1] - Private consumption decreased by 4.7% in the first quarter [1] - Investment grew by 6.1% in the first quarter [1] - Government spending saw a slight decline of 0.1% [1] - Per capita GDP experienced an annualized growth of 2.4% in the first quarter [1] - Annualized GDP growth (excluding net taxes on imports) was reported at 5.7% in the first quarter [1]