创新药板块频出牛股，在北证表现如何？ 从板块/题材的角度悉数复盘上半年的行情，北研君发现不论北证还是沪深，创新药主题持续得到资金 热捧，当前处于第一波大行情暂歇、盘整期，又时值7月这个全年相对看重企业基本面的窗口，我们将 北交所创新药概念股盘点汇总如下。本文仅做梳理，不作为投资方向的建议，请各位粉丝前往小号翻 阅。 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月08日 医药生物周报（25 年第 26 周） 优于大市 先通医药招股书梳理，关注放射性配体疗法的发展 本周医药板块表现弱于整体市场，医疗服务板块领涨。本周全部 A 股上涨 1.34%（总市值加权平均），沪深 300 上涨 1.54%，中小板指上涨 1.83%， 创业板指上涨 1.50%，生物医药板块整体上涨 3.64%，生物医药板块表 现强于整体市场。分子板块来看，化学制药上涨 5.03%，生物制品上涨 4.40%，医疗服务上涨 4.47%，医疗器械上涨 2.16%，医药商业上涨 2.47%， 中药上涨 1.27%。医药生物市盈率（TTM）35.12x，处于近 5 年历史估值 的 73.1%分位数。 放射性配体在靶向治疗及诊疗合一领域具有独特优势，先通医药有望成为港 股 18A"核药第一股"。放射性配体药物透过辐射靶向杀伤细胞的独特 机制有助克服其他治疗方式常见的耐药性，并允许诊断性（释放γ射线） 与治疗性（释放α/β射线）放射性核素互换使用，从而实现从诊断到精准 治疗的无缝衔接及治疗效果实时监测。核药领域已出现如 Pluvicto 的"重 磅炸弹"级别药物，行业正处于快速增 ...

Group 1: Market Sentiment on Pharmaceutical Stocks - There is a significant divergence among fund managers regarding pharmaceutical stocks, particularly in valuation and performance realization, innovation drug development risks and returns, market sentiment and capital flow, policy impacts, and short-term volatility [2][10] - Some fund managers are opting for swing trading in the pharmaceutical sector, with specific examples like Dongfang Biological, which saw a 5.56% increase in Q2 [4][10] - Notable fund managers have either increased or decreased their holdings in specific pharmaceutical companies, such as Wan Minyuan increasing his stake in Dongfang Biological while others like Wu Yuanyi reduced their holdings [5][6][8] Group 2: Military Industry Focus - There has been an increased interest from public funds in the military sector, with notable fund managers like Li Xiaoxing and Chen Yunzhong increasing their positions in companies like Jingpin Special Equipment [11][12] - The military sector has seen a surge in trading activity, with a record weekly trading volume of 4,298.88 billion yuan, indicating heightened market interest [15][16] - The military industry is expected to remain a focal point for market participants, presenting structural opportunities despite potential short-term volatility risks [16] Group 3: Investment Strategies and Future Outlook - Fund managers are focusing on sectors such as dividends, technology growth, and innovative pharmaceuticals for the upcoming quarter, with expectations of a resilient market and structural opportunities [18][19] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is viewed as having the greatest potential, with opportunities arising from potential corrections in leading innovative pharmaceutical companies [19][20] - The banking sector is also highlighted as a core direction for high dividends, with many A-share banks offering dividend yields above 4.5% [20]

对于近期市场热议的中国创新药价值重估，黄一民认为，中国创新药领域的发展仍处于早期阶段，对外 授权的模式为这些企业打开了未来利润率的想象空间。同时，这种授权方式也为企业规避部分关税战所 带来的影响。不过他也强调，该领域投资具有较高的知识门槛，投资者可以采用ETF以把握投资机会。 21世纪经济报道记者 张伟泽 香港报道 7月8日，未来资产环球投资及Global X ETFs(香港)ETF研究分析师黄一民在媒体分享会上表示，中国高 端科技发展为投资者带来投资机会。未来资产看好中国创新科技股，尤其是能够在海外市场获利的中资 企业。 "我们看到的是中国高端科技和高端制造业的结构性崛起。在人才储备、完善产业链以及规模优势的支 撑下，中国正在实现制造业高端化转型。在此过程中，私企扮演越来越重要的角色，为投资者带来机 遇。"黄一民表示。 黄一民指出，过去两个季度，中国科技龙头企业的盈利状况持续改善。同时，相较于全球其他市场， MSCI中国指数11倍的前瞻市盈率也显现出估值优势。这些因素为中国科技企业股价反弹奠定了基础。 近期，在多重利好因素支撑下，中国资产表现坚挺。然而，鉴于宏观经济和全球贸易的不确定性犹存， 预计下半年市场 ...

Core Insights - The biopharmaceutical industry is undergoing a significant transformation, with traditional therapies like monoclonal antibodies and vaccines growing at a steady rate of 8% to 16%, while emerging therapies such as cell and gene therapy (CGT), bispecific antibodies, and antibody-drug conjugates (ADC) are experiencing explosive growth rates of 30% to 71% [1][3][4] - The success of biopharmaceutical companies hinges on their ability to identify and invest in the few high-potential drug candidates among thousands of targets, emphasizing the importance of speed and precision in drug development [2][4] - The global biopharmaceutical market is projected to grow from $297.9 billion in 2020 to $530.1 billion by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.2%, surpassing the growth of traditional chemical drugs [3][4] Industry Trends - The CGT market is expected to surge from $2.08 billion in 2020 to $30.54 billion by 2025, reflecting a staggering CAGR of 71%, with China's market projected to grow from 2.38 million RMB to 17.885 billion RMB, a 276% increase [3][4] - The demand for innovative therapies is driven by a growing patient base and clear medical needs, particularly in the weight management sector, which is projected to become a nearly trillion-yuan industry in China [5][6] - The competition in the GLP-1 market is intensifying, with domestic companies entering the field, but challenges remain due to the strong market presence of established players like Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly [5][6] Innovation and Globalization - Chinese pharmaceutical companies are increasingly focusing on "license-out" strategies to expand their global presence, with significant growth in overseas licensing deals, totaling over $50 billion in 2024 [7][8] - Recent policy measures from the National Healthcare Security Administration aim to enhance the accessibility of innovative drugs and support the development of the pharmaceutical industry, providing a more favorable environment for growth [8][9] - The industry is witnessing a shift from imitation to original innovation, with Chinese companies making strides in developing cutting-edge therapies such as dual-target agonists and ADCs, positioning themselves as competitive players in the global market [9][10] Future Outlook - The biopharmaceutical sector is entering a new era characterized by rapid innovation and increased competition, with the potential for significant breakthroughs in drug development [10][11] - The next decade is expected to see a continued evolution of the industry, with Chinese companies transitioning from followers to leaders in the global biopharmaceutical landscape, driven by technological advancements and policy support [11]

投资理财，有温度，有深度，有态度。 上半年市场很热闹。AI热潮的袭来和褪去同样迅猛，港股从"坑里"爬出来打了 个翻身仗，主题行情与黄金叙事此起彼伏，过程中还有存款利率走低的焦虑。 2025上半年已收官，市场都有哪些亮点？我们将用5组数字盘点市场，再聊聊 如何把握2025的下半场机会。我们也采访了两位嘉宾——一位是兴证全球基金 基金经理余明强，另一位是兴证全球基金上海分公司杨鑫，他们将分别带来投 研视角的专业分析和来自一线的观察。 42.51% 从引爆国产AI叙事的DeepSeek开始，上半年，AI是一个绕不开的话题。当然，创新药和新消费板块的 势头也不弱。Deepseek指数累计上涨42.51%，创新药指数涨幅21.84% （数据来源：Choice，2025/1/1-2025/6/30） 。这些板块目前的涨幅是否具有支撑？后续又看好哪些机会？ 余明强： AI是一个比较长远的故事。年初国内出现DeepSeek，近期海外开始出现算力、硬件、应用的不断 迭代，我们可以再往后看看国内何时发生新的AI叙事。 我感觉国内和海外在AI方面像是拉力赛，不断的往 前面拉、接，它反映的是未来AI不断向前发展的情况。 这会带动比较 ...

证券代码：002007 证券简称：华兰生物 公告编号：2025-030 华兰生物工程股份有限公司 （1）成立日期：2013年6月25日 （2）注册地址：新乡市平原新区黄河大道中段1号楼568室（新乡市平原示范区黄 河路甲1-1号） （3）法定代表人：安康 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、关联交易概述 华兰基因工程有限公司（以下简称"基因公司"）为本公司参股公司,目前注册 资本 20,000 万元人民币，其中本公司出资 8,000 万元，占注册资本的 40％；本公 司实际控制人安康先生出资 12,000 万元，占注册资本的 60％。根据生产经营需要， 基因公司拟增资 50,000 万元，其中 10,000 万元用于增加注册资本，40,000 万元用 于增加资本公积，为此原有股东按照原出资比例对基因公司进行增资，其中，本公 司拟按照 40%的比例以货币增资人民币 20,000 万元，认购基因公司新增的 4,000 万 元注册资本；安康先生按照 60％的比例以货币增资人民币 30,000 万元，认购基因 公司新增的 6,000 万元注册资本。增资 ...

Core Viewpoint - Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd. reported a solid performance in Q1 2025, with operating revenue and net profit showing year-on-year growth, while facing challenges in cash flow from operating activities and certain segments like aesthetic medicine [4][10][12]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 10.736 billion yuan, a 3.12% increase year-on-year [4][10]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 914.7 million yuan, marking a 6.06% year-on-year increase [4][10]. - After deducting non-recurring gains/losses, net profit was 897.3 million yuan, reflecting a 7.04% year-on-year increase [4][10]. - Net cash flows from operating activities were -832.7 million yuan, a decline of 71.87% compared to the previous year [4][10]. Segment Performance - The pharmaceutical business segment generated 6.934 billion yuan in revenue, up 3.23% year-on-year, with a net profit of 115 million yuan, up 7.33% year-on-year [12]. - The aesthetic medicine segment faced challenges, with revenue of approximately 238 million yuan, down 12.29% year-on-year, but up 24.37% quarter-on-quarter [13]. - The industrial microbiology segment saw significant growth, with revenue increasing by 29.98% year-on-year [15]. R&D and Product Development - The company invested 880 million yuan in pharmaceutical R&D, a 49.60% increase year-on-year, with direct R&D expenditure reaching 600 million yuan [15]. - Key products like CAR-T Zevorcabtagene Autoleucel Injection and Sailexin® are driving sales growth, with the former covered by over 70 insurance plans [10][11]. - The company is advancing multiple clinical trials for innovative medicines, including HDM1002 and HDM1005, targeting various indications [20][21][24]. Shareholder Information - The total number of common shareholders at the end of the reporting period was 75,847, with China Grand Enterprises holding 41.67% of shares [7][8]. - The company has no preferred shareholders with restored voting rights [7]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focused on enhancing treatment accessibility and expanding market presence, particularly for its innovative medicines [10][11]. - Following the acquisition of Guizhou Hengba Pharmaceutical, the company established a dedicated team to boost market penetration of its products [11]. Market Outlook - The company anticipates sustained growth in its innovative medicine segment, supported by expanding insurance coverage and positive clinical feedback [10][11]. - The aesthetic medicine segment is expected to recover as new products are launched and market strategies are refined [13][14].

2025年时间已然过半，对大多数"基民"而言，手中握着的ETF赚到钱了吗？这个问题的答案不仅关乎着 自身账户的盈亏，更是其观察当下乃至未来一段时期，国内宏观经济环境、行业发展及A股投资生态的 一个窗口。 特别值得一提的是，今年以来，信用债ETF迎来快速发展期。数据显示，上半年，全市场信用债ETF年 内资金净流入规模达1090.85亿元，总规模达1931.55亿元，占债券型ETF总规模的一半。其中，今年初 集中上市的首批8只基准做市信用债ETF成为规模扩张的重要推手。 "在当前市场利率震荡的环境下，中等期限的高评级信用债具有一定的票息收益，且信用风险较低，投 资性价比优势明显。"易方达基金债券指数投资部总经理李一硕表示。 此外，6月初，多家公募基金旗下基准做市信用债（公司债）ETF正式展业。博时信用债ETF基金经理 张磊认为，这不仅有助于投资者增厚收益，还能进一步提升产品流动性。从实际效果看，各家公募机构 旗下信用债ETF在纳入回购质押库后，规模都出现了显著增长。 港股创新药ETF收益领跑 据统计，全市场1040只ETF（不包含成立不满半年的）上半年平均回报为6.08%。其中，港股ETF业绩 表现普遍亮眼，在全 ...

2025 年 7 月 8 日 招银国际环球市场 | 睿智投资 | 行业研究 中国医药 理性看待创新药估值，寻找优秀公司的买点 MSCI中国医疗指数 2025年初至今累计上涨 41.4%，跑赢 MSCI 中国指数 25.2%。 短期来看，由于市场对于出海交易的频次和交易规模预期较高，创新药的估值持续 攀升，需理性看待股价上升空间。创新药属于高风险、长周期、高回报的行业。中 国创新药的研发实力具备全球竞争力，创新药出海趋势将长期持续。然而，由于创 新药的长周期特征，导致出海交易的达成往往需要较长时间的研发积累。 估值表 | | | | 市值 | 目标价 | 上行/ | P/E (x) | | P/B (x) | | ROE (%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 公司名称 | 股份代码 | 评级 | (百万美元) | | | | (LC) 下行空间 FY25E FY26E FY25E FY26E FY25E FY26E | | | | | | 三生制药 | 1530 HK | 买入 | ...