新型城镇化
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展望“十五五” | 专访尹艳林:让有钱且愿消费的人顺利消费;个税起征点可提高,最高边际税率可下调,让有关群体少缴税、多收入
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-16 12:35
每经记者|张蕊 每经编辑|陈星 10月28日,《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》(以下简称《建议》)正式发布。 记者注意到,此次《建议》在投资、消费等领域出现多个新提法。这些新提法背后有怎样的深意?在我国经济迈向"十五五"的关键节点,如何破解消费率 偏低、内需动力不足的深层矛盾?面对复杂严峻的国内外环境,深化改革的突破口究竟在哪里? 带着这些关乎经济发展全局的核心问题,近日,《每日经济新闻》记者(以下简称NBD)专访了第十四届全国政协委员尹艳林。 尹艳林深耕宏观经济领域多年,曾长期任职于国家发改委和原中央财经领导小组办公室,曾对中国经济体制改革、供需结构调整等议题有着深刻洞察和独 到见解。 他直言不讳当前面临的一些问题背后是深层次的体制问题,坦言当前改革进入深水区的特征更加明显。他对扩大内需、全国统一大市场等领域的问题,都 提出了具体的改革方向和建议。 新型城镇化仍然是经济增长的重要引擎 NBD:《建议》在"十五五"时期经济社会发展的主要目标中提出,全要素生产率稳步提升,居民消费率明显提高,内需拉动经济增长主动力作用持续增 强。这对今后几年的经济发展会产生哪些影响? 尹艳林:全要素生 ...
“十五五”谋局,中国城镇化下一个五年走向何方?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-16 11:54
每经记者|淡忠奎 每经编辑|杨欢 中国的城镇化,正在悄然换挡。 过去的46年间,中国城镇化率从17.9%迅速提高到67%,城镇常住人口从1.72亿人增加到9.4亿人。在城镇化取得巨大成就的同时,也积累了一些矛盾和问 题。 比如,中小城市在基础设施、公共服务等方面与大城市的差距较大,企业聚集和产业聚集能力薄弱;大城市内部发展不均衡,城市规划与治理的短板限制人 口承载能力进一步提升。 我国城镇化正从快速增长期转向稳定发展期,城市发展正从大规模增量扩张阶段转向存量提质增效为主的阶段——今年中央城市工作会议首次提出"现代化 人民城市"建设目标,也为城镇化的下半场指明航向。 面对即将到来的"十五五",城镇化如何实现高质量发展?中国城市建设还有哪些新机遇新动能?11月13日,"中国新型城镇化理论·政策·实践论坛2025"在清 华大学召开,胡祖才、范恒山、李稻葵、魏后凯等多位权威学者围绕相关话题展开探讨。 如中国国土经济学会首席专家,国家发改委原副秘书长范恒山所说,城市发展首先要自己过硬,把能量搞足,把品质提升,同时,城市的发展不仅仅为了城 市,"如果仅仅为了城市,我们的城镇化将失去意义,要带动区域,特别是带动农村"。 眼 ...
“十五五”发展县域经济,专家建议增发新型城镇化特别国债
第一财经· 2025-11-15 03:46
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of promoting new urbanization as a key strategy to boost domestic demand and economic growth during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, with a focus on enhancing infrastructure and public services in county-level cities [3][4]. Group 1: New Urbanization Strategy - The core task of the "15th Five-Year Plan" is to enhance domestic demand and stabilize employment and income expectations through new urbanization [3]. - The proposal includes issuing "special bonds for new urbanization" to directly support county-level governments in improving infrastructure and public services [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Mechanisms - It is suggested that the central government should issue additional bonds to replace some local government debt, alleviating financial pressure on local governments [5]. - The article highlights the need for a structured approach to assess and implement key performance indicators (KPIs) related to urbanization and public service improvements, integrating these into local government evaluations [5]. Group 3: County-Level Development - The county level is identified as a crucial link for urban-rural integration and should focus on developing a "shortlist of leading industries" to concentrate resources effectively [5]. - Differentiated policies should be implemented based on the unique characteristics of each county, moving away from the traditional "GDP competition" model to address development contradictions [5]. Group 4: Urbanization Forecast - Predictions indicate that the urbanization rate in China during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period may maintain a growth rate of approximately 0.7 percentage points [5].
专家热议:“十五五”时期如何推进新型城镇化?
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-15 03:18
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transition of China's urbanization from rapid growth to stable development, emphasizing the need to align with the new goals of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and to focus on quality improvement and efficiency in urban development [1][4]. Group 1: Urbanization Development Strategies - The current phase of urbanization should be understood within the context of China's modernization and global changes, aiming to meet the growing needs of the population [1]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period should focus on the deep integration of urban areas across seven dimensions: regional, urban-rural, industrial, digital, green, cultural, and safety [1]. - Urbanization is crucial for achieving economic and social development goals, serving as both a primary content and an important support for building a modern socialist society [2]. Group 2: Key Focus Areas for Urbanization - Emphasis on collaborative efforts to optimize urban clusters and metropolitan areas, ensuring infrastructure and public services are interconnected while allowing for distinctive local developments [2][3]. - High-quality urban development should be assessed through three dimensions: development capacity, livability, and safety, with a focus on creating a unique industrial structure and a responsive safety management system [2]. - Promoting rural-urban integration through reforms that facilitate the movement of farmers to cities and the flow of urban resources to rural areas is essential for modernizing agriculture and rural areas [3]. Group 3: Government Role and Challenges - The implementation of new urbanization should stimulate domestic demand by integrating rural populations into the modern economy, with a focus on local government incentives and accountability [3]. - Addressing the debt issues faced by local governments is critical to ensure continued investment in urbanization, household registration reform, and public services [3]. - The predicted urbanization speed during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period is expected to remain around 0.7 percentage points, with a primary focus on improving the quality of urbanization [4].
“十五五”发展县域经济 专家建议增发新型城镇化特别国债
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-15 03:10
Core Viewpoint - The core task of the "15th Five-Year Plan" is to enhance domestic demand and promote economic growth, with new urbanization being a key driver for this initiative [1][2] Group 1: New Urbanization and Economic Growth - The proposal includes issuing "special bonds for new urbanization" to directly support county-level infrastructure and public services [1] - New urbanization is seen as crucial for integrating rural populations into the modern economy, thereby increasing overall economic demand [1] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes a people-centered approach to urbanization, focusing on county-level development and equalization of basic public services [1] Group 2: Local Government Dynamics - There is a need to motivate local and county governments to enhance public service levels while addressing their existing debt burdens [2] - The suggestion includes using national planning goals broken down into quantifiable KPIs to hold local officials accountable, thereby increasing their engagement and responsibility [2] - The development of counties is viewed as essential for urban-rural integration and should focus on establishing a "shortlist of leading industries" to optimize resource allocation [2] Group 3: Urbanization Trends - The urbanization rate in China is expected to maintain a growth rate of approximately 0.7 percentage points during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period [2]
“十五五”发展县域经济,专家建议增发新型城镇化特别国债
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-15 02:57
Group 1 - The core task of the "14th Five-Year Plan" is to enhance domestic demand and promote economic growth, with new urbanization being a key driver for this initiative [1][2] - The proposal includes issuing "special bonds for new urbanization" to support infrastructure and public services in county-level cities, aiming to facilitate the integration of rural populations into modern economic life [1][2] - The plan emphasizes the need for a balanced approach to urbanization, focusing on county-level development and the equalization of basic public services [1][2] Group 2 - Local and county governments face significant debt pressures, which may hinder their investment in urbanization and public services; thus, utilizing national bonds to alleviate this pressure is suggested [2] - The establishment of specific, measurable KPIs for local governments is recommended to enhance accountability and motivate improvements in public service levels [2] - The development of counties is seen as crucial for urban-rural integration, with a focus on identifying and nurturing leading industries within these regions [3] Group 3 - The urbanization rate in China is projected to maintain around 0.7 percentage points during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, driven by the orderly integration of rural populations into urban settings [3]
中国新型城镇化理论·政策·实践论坛2025举办
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-14 23:56
论坛期间,与会嘉宾还为《中国都市圈发展报告2024》新书发布揭幕。 本届城镇化论坛以"共谋'十五五'发展,共话城镇化未来"为主题,围绕准确把握"十五五"时期阶段性要 求、引领城镇化高质量发展、探索中国城市建设新机遇新动能展开深入研讨,旨在深入贯彻党的二十届 四中全会精神,系统研判新型城镇化在新时期的功能定位、重点方向与机遇挑战。近200名来自高校、 科研机构、地方政府部门及企业代表参会。 国务院参事、国家发展改革委原副主任胡祖才,中国社会科学院大学教授、国家数据专家咨询委员会主 任、国务院原副秘书长江小涓,中国国土经济学会首席专家、国家发展改革委原副秘书长范恒山,清华 大学中国经济思想与实践研究院院长李稻葵,中国社会科学院学部委员、农村发展研究所原所长魏后凯 分别发表主旨报告。相关科研机构与企业代表以"多方聚力共绘'十五五'蓝图"为主题开展圆桌对话。 本报北京11月14日电(记者于尚波)13日,由清华大学中国新型城镇化研究院、清华大学国家治理与全 球治理研究院主办的"中国新型城镇化理论·政策·实践论坛2025"成功举办。 ...
“十五五”时期,新型城镇化怎么“走”?
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 13:02
Core Insights - The forum focused on the development of new urbanization during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing the importance of integration across various dimensions such as regional, urban-rural, industrial, digital, green, cultural, and safety aspects [1][2] Urban Agglomeration Construction - Current urban agglomerations and metropolitan areas primarily exist in a physical state, lacking deep economic and social interactions, leading to a dominance of central cities over smaller towns and rural areas [2] - The central government's focus is on promoting integration and collaboration within urban agglomerations rather than mere scale expansion, necessitating a balance between connectivity and differentiation [2][3] Infrastructure and Public Services - Emphasis on improving the connection between new and old infrastructure, addressing issues like "dead-end roads" and ensuring uniform standards across various infrastructures [3] - The importance of enhancing the connectivity of basic public services is highlighted, with a focus on collaborative efforts to share quality resources among cities [3] Urban-Rural Integration - The central government prioritizes urban-rural integration, recognizing the need for cities to support rural development, as rural areas remain the weakest link in modernization efforts [5][6] - Key reforms are needed to facilitate the two-way flow of resources between urban and rural areas, including household registration and land system reforms [6] Population Trends and Predictions - Predictions indicate a continuous decline in rural population, with estimates suggesting a drop from 465 million to 398 million by 2030, and further to 353 million by 2035 [7] - The number of administrative villages is expected to decrease significantly, leading to challenges such as village vacancy and inefficient land use [7] Quality of Urbanization - The relationship between speed and quality in urbanization is crucial, with a focus on improving urbanization quality as a primary goal [7] - Despite a slowdown, urbanization in China is projected to continue, with urbanization rates expected to reach 71.5% by 2030 and 74.6% by 2035 [7]
江山欧派涨2.00%,成交额3723.62万元,主力资金净流入153.87万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 06:13
Core Viewpoint - Jiangshan Oupai's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a recent increase of 2.00% to 15.27 CNY per share, despite a year-to-date decline of 16.14% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 14, Jiangshan Oupai's stock price is 15.27 CNY, with a trading volume of 37.24 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.39%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 2.705 billion CNY [1] - The stock has experienced a 3.46% increase over the last five trading days, a 6.04% increase over the last 20 days, and a 3.88% increase over the last 60 days [1] - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" twice this year, with the most recent instance on July 22, where it recorded a net buy of -33.79 million CNY [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jiangshan Oupai reported a revenue of 1.284 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 43.11%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -41.49 million CNY, a decline of 125.37% [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the company's A-share listing amount to 1.034 billion CNY, with 617 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Jiangshan Oupai has 12,200 shareholders, an increase of 10.16% from the previous period, with an average of 14,529 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 9.23% [2] - Notable new shareholders include Noan Multi-Strategy Mixed A and Huaxia Zhuoxin One-Year Open Debt Initiated Fund, which rank as the fifth and eighth largest circulating shareholders, respectively [3]
苏州高新涨2.12%,成交额1.02亿元,主力资金净流出324.48万元
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-11-14 05:20
Core Viewpoint - Suzhou High-tech's stock price has shown a positive trend recently, with a notable increase in trading volume and market capitalization, despite a decrease in revenue for the first nine months of 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Suzhou High-tech reported operating revenue of 4.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27.42% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 278 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.52% [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of November 14, Suzhou High-tech's stock price rose by 2.12% to 6.25 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 102 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.45%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 7.196 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has increased by 0.94% year-to-date, with a 4.69% rise over the last five trading days, 9.27% over the last 20 days, and 12.01% over the last 60 days [1]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Suzhou High-tech was 59,000, a decrease of 8.24% from the previous period, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 8.98% to 19,502 shares [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.527 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 106 million yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Major Shareholders - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the fourth largest circulating shareholder, holding 9.8459 million shares, an increase of 2.453 million shares from the previous period [3]. - The Southern CSI Real Estate ETF Linked A (004642) was the fifth largest circulating shareholder, holding 8.7341 million shares, a decrease of 74,900 shares from the previous period [3].