| 零售 分时 最新: 2157.181 | | --- | | 2154 | | 2150 | | 2147 | | 2143 | | 2140 | | 2136 | | 2132 | | 2129 | | 2125 | | 2121 | | 2117 | | 2114 | | 2110 | | 2106 里: 521112 J 8994 128994 | | 87071 | | 43535 | | X10 | 盘面上，摩尔线程、CPO、存储器、锂矿、算力、消费电子、半导体概念跌幅靠前。 09:34 零售板块直线拉升，百大集团涨停，茂业商业、东百集团、赫美集团、爱婴室、永辉超市等纷纷走高。 09:30 存储芯片板块多股低开，香农芯创跌超8%，江波龙跌超6%，迈为股份、德明利等跟跌。 | | 761.00 -53.88 -6.61% | | | 警不线程-U① 立即 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 688795 交易 | | | | | SSE CNY 9:25:02 交易中 查看L2全景 | | | 疑似减持受限 成 融 ...

最具象征意义的事件来自市场：英伟达跃升为全球首个市值5万亿美元的公司。这不仅是估值的突破，更是世界对未来生产范式的投票——算力正成为一种 新的战略资产，取代移动互联网时代的流量与终端。 "透视图"栏目在年终特别策划了"36氪年度总结"系列，用数据透视2025全年趋势，以图片呈现今年商业世界中不可错过的要点。 作者丨范亮 2025年的AI进程呈现出一种罕见的清晰度：它不再是一项技术，不再是一条赛道，而是一种力量迁移，就像当初的互联网、移动互联网时代一样。资本、 计算与需求的方向同时发生偏转，这种一致性通常只在全球经济结构重排的时期出现。 36氪制图 36氪制图 使用侧同样出现了罕见加速度。全球Token消耗在两年内增长近十倍；在中国，百度AI搜索月活达到3.82亿，首条结果的富媒体覆盖率已经达到70%。这意 味着信息入口的主权开始从人转向模型，从输入式交互转向委托式代理。 36氪制图 尽管外界对于"AI泡沫"的讨论仍在继续，但从技术扩散规律看，争议本身就是新周期的一部分，而非趋势的反证。价格可能波动，但资本开支、供给能力与 用户行为的变化更具决定性。 AI基建正迎来史无前例的高潮。微软、亚马逊、谷歌两年投入20 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent Pre-A round financing of "昉擎科技" (Fangqing Technology), a developer of AI chips and system architecture, highlighting the significant interest from both industrial and financial investors, and the innovative technology direction proposed by the new CEO, Liang Jun [2][3][5]. Financing and Investment - Fangqing Technology recently completed its Pre-A round financing, with over 500 million RMB raised, aimed at core technology development, productization, and market expansion [3][5]. - The company has attracted a prestigious lineup of investors, including major internet firms and top venture capital institutions, indicating strong market confidence [5][6]. Company Background and Leadership - Founded in late 2022 and based in Shanghai's free trade zone, Fangqing Technology appointed Liang Jun, a veteran in the chip industry, as CEO in August 2024 [3][4]. - Liang Jun's extensive experience in chip design, particularly with Huawei's Kirin SoC and Cambricon, positions him as a key asset for the company's strategic vision [4][5]. Technological Innovation - Fangqing Technology proposes a novel "context-aware" and "context-free" decoupled distributed computing architecture, which separates feed-forward networks and attention mechanisms to enhance computational efficiency [3][5][6]. - This architecture aims to liberate computing capabilities from a single SoC, allowing edge devices like smart glasses and headphones to function as independent processing nodes [6][17]. Market Context and Future Outlook - The article emphasizes the urgency for innovative solutions in AI computing, especially as 2025 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for AI applications [5][6]. - The shift from traditional transformer architectures to more efficient designs is seen as crucial, with Fangqing Technology's approach potentially redefining the AI hardware landscape [5][12]. Competitive Landscape - Liang Jun discusses the challenges faced by Chinese companies in the GPU market, particularly regarding supply chain constraints and the need for innovative designs that can compete globally [8][10]. - Fangqing's separation architecture is positioned as a unique solution that contrasts with existing models, aiming to enhance system scalability and reduce development costs [12][16]. Strategic Vision - The company aims to redefine the AI hardware system landscape, moving beyond being just a chip design firm to potentially becoming a platform for the next generation of AI hardware systems [6][19]. - Liang Jun's vision includes fostering a culture of innovation and technical excellence within the company, aiming for long-term success in the competitive tech market [20][21].

Core Insights - Liu Yuanhai, the Chief Investment Officer of Dongwu Fund, has demonstrated impressive long-term performance in managing the Dongwu Mobile Internet Mixed Fund, with returns of 93.89%, 241.82%, and 335.16% over the past year, three years, and five years respectively, ranking 1 out of 1488 in its category [2] - Despite recent volatility in the technology sector, Liu remains optimistic about the technology market in 2026, viewing current market fluctuations as an opportunity for long-term investors [2][6] Investment Strategy - Liu's investment approach involves a dynamic strategy characterized by focusing on current market trends, monitoring underappreciated sectors, and preparing for future opportunities, ensuring the portfolio remains active and capable of upward movement [5] - The decision-making process within the Dongwu Fund emphasizes collective intelligence, with regular strategy meetings and discussions among team members to minimize individual biases and enhance investment accuracy [10][11] Market Analysis - Liu identifies the recent volatility in the technology sector as primarily driven by trading behaviors rather than fundamental issues, noting that high concentration in tech holdings among public funds does not necessarily indicate a market peak [6][7] - He conducted a thorough analysis of the "AI bubble" debate, concluding that current indicators do not suggest a typical bubble, as capital expenditure, revenue growth, and valuation levels remain healthy [7] Sector Focus - Liu continues to favor the computing power sector, particularly in light of increasing demand for AI applications, and anticipates a new market cycle driven by advancements in AI technology [8] - The smart automotive sector is also highlighted as a significant investment opportunity, with expectations for rapid growth in intelligent vehicle systems by 2026, despite short-term challenges [9] Team Dynamics - The Dongwu Fund's investment team, consisting of over 20 members, fosters a collaborative environment that encourages knowledge sharing and collective decision-making, contributing to the fund's strong performance [10][11] - The team has seen multiple high-performing equity products, with a significant number of funds ranking in the top 25% of their categories over the past year and two years, attributed to their effective research and investment strategies [11]

Core Viewpoint - Liu Yuanhai, the Chief Investment Officer of Dongwu Fund, remains optimistic about the technology sector in 2026 despite recent market volatility, viewing current fluctuations as a buying opportunity for long-term investors [1][6]. Investment Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the Dongwu Mobile Internet Mixed A fund managed by Liu achieved returns of 93.89% over the past year, 241.82% over three years, and 335.16% over five years, ranking 1 out of 1488 in its category for the past five years [1]. Market Analysis - Liu emphasizes that the current adjustment in the technology sector is a normal phenomenon, driven by profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing as the year-end approaches [3][4]. - The concentration of holdings in the technology sector, particularly in the electronics industry, has reached a historical high of 25%, raising concerns among investors; however, Liu argues that this does not necessarily indicate a downturn, as certain segments are expected to maintain high growth [4]. AI Bubble Discussion - Liu systematically analyzes the "AI bubble" from five dimensions: capital expenditure as a percentage of GDP, input-output ratio, revenue growth, valuation levels, and financing structure. He concludes that the current indicators do not suggest a typical bubble, with most metrics indicating a healthy state [5]. Future Outlook - Liu forecasts that the first quarter of 2026 may see an early spring rally, with significant investment opportunities in computing power and edge AI, particularly in areas like AR glasses and AI smartphones [6][7]. - The intelligent automotive sector is also highlighted as a promising investment area, with expectations of rapid development in smart vehicle technology by 2026 [7]. Team Dynamics - Dongwu Fund's investment team, consisting of over 20 members, emphasizes a collaborative approach to research and decision-making, which enhances the accuracy of investment strategies [8][9]. - The team conducts regular strategy meetings and discussions to ensure a collective understanding of market trends, which helps mitigate individual biases in investment decisions [8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that over 50 funds have doubled their net value this year, with the leading fund achieving a return of 218%, primarily driven by heavy investments in artificial intelligence (AI) concept stocks [1][2] - As of December 12, among over 4,500 active equity funds, less than 100 failed to achieve positive returns, while 2,800 funds saw net value increases exceeding 20%, and over 1,100 funds had gains above 40% [2] - The top-performing funds are heavily invested in AI-related stocks, particularly those linked to computing power, which have shown remarkable performance this year [3] Group 2 - Individual stock performance is becoming a critical factor for fund rankings as many funds have similar holdings, making market style less impactful [4] - Notable net value increases were observed in several funds from December 5 to December 12, with the leading fund, Yongying Technology, rising by 6.01% and Huashang Balanced Growth increasing by 14.39% [4] - The stock price of Dekoli, heavily held by multiple funds, surged over 40% during the same period, indicating significant market interest [4][5] Group 3 - The stock price of Shijia Photon, another stock held by Huashang Balanced Growth, also saw a strong increase of over 35% from December 5 to December 12 [5] - There has been a notable shift in fund holdings, with increased allocations in sectors such as oil and gas, electronics, real estate, building materials, electric equipment, and new energy, while positions in pharmaceuticals and banking have decreased [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rising market value of Moole Thread, often referred to as the "Chinese version of Nvidia," which reached 383 billion yuan, a sixfold increase from its issuance price, amidst the growing interest in AI and computing power [1][13] - The article discusses the complex relationship between tech giants and the cryptocurrency market, illustrating how figures like Elon Musk and Sam Altman have engaged with virtual currencies, reflecting a broader trend of capital intertwining with AI and blockchain technologies [2][3] - The narrative emphasizes the dual strategies of tech leaders like Musk, who leverage their influence to manipulate cryptocurrency markets while maintaining significant holdings in Bitcoin, showcasing a blend of short-term trading and long-term investment approaches [5][6] Group 2 - The article outlines the motivations behind tech leaders' involvement in cryptocurrencies, suggesting that their engagement goes beyond mere profit, as seen in Musk's and Altman's ventures into the crypto space [3][4] - It highlights the energy-intensive nature of both AI and cryptocurrency mining, indicating that the infrastructure supporting these industries is closely linked, leading to a flow of capital and entrepreneurs across both sectors [9][11] - The piece notes the competitive landscape of the computing power sector, driven by the rapid evolution of technology and the need for differentiation, which may lead to a "Matthew effect" where larger players dominate the market [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the optical communication sector, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication [5][10]. Core Insights - The optical isolator is a critical passive device in optical communication systems, relying on the combination of polarizers and Faraday plates. There is a significant technological dependency and supply gap in the upstream manufacturing of these core components, particularly in high-end Faraday magnetic optical materials, which has become a bottleneck for industry development [1][19]. - The report highlights the low domestic production rate of core materials for polarizers, which are monopolized by Japanese and Korean suppliers, indicating a need for increased localization [3][21]. - The global shortage of Faraday plates is a critical issue, as their complex material growth and precision processing are dominated by a few companies in the US and Japan, leading to supply constraints that hinder the expansion of isolators and high-speed optical modules [4][22][23]. Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on the upstream gaps in isolators, particularly polarizers and Faraday plates, and recommends companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication for investment [8][24]. Market Review - The communication sector has seen an increase, with optical communication performing particularly well, as indicated by various indices showing significant growth [15][18]. Supply Chain Dynamics - In 2024, China's production capacity for polarizers is expected to account for approximately 73% of the global market, yet the localization rate of core materials remains below 10%, posing challenges to supply chain stability [6][7][24]. Key Companies to Watch - The report identifies several key companies to monitor within the optical communication and related sectors, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, and others involved in the supply chain [8][9][24].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the rising market value of Moole Thread, often referred to as the "Chinese version of Nvidia," which reached 383 billion yuan, a sixfold increase from its initial offering price, amidst the growing interest in AI and computing power [1] - The article discusses the complex relationship between tech giants and the cryptocurrency market, noting that figures like Elon Musk and Sam Altman have engaged with cryptocurrencies, reflecting a broader trend among tech leaders [1][2] - The narrative suggests a metaphorical connection between AI, computing power, and cryptocurrencies, indicating a shared capital link that drives investment and innovation in these sectors [1] Group 2 - Musk's influence in the cryptocurrency space is emphasized, showcasing his ability to manipulate market movements through social media, particularly with Dogecoin and Bitcoin, revealing a dual strategy of leveraging personal influence while maintaining significant cryptocurrency holdings [2] - Altman's involvement in the WorldCoin project illustrates a vision of creating a new cryptocurrency that aims to distribute wealth equitably, highlighting the intersection of AI and cryptocurrency in societal experiments [3] - Nvidia's business model is described as primarily focused on selling hardware for cryptocurrency mining without direct involvement in mining itself, raising questions about the company's transparency regarding the impact of mining on its revenue [4] Group 3 - The article notes that both AI and cryptocurrencies are energy-intensive industries, with a significant demand for computing power and electricity, leading to a convergence of interests among investors and entrepreneurs in these fields [5] - The shift of mining companies towards providing computing power services reflects a strategic pivot in response to market conditions, with companies like CoreWeave and TeraWulf capitalizing on their existing infrastructure [6] - The regulatory environment in the U.S. favors cryptocurrency mining companies due to their established power contracts, allowing them to bypass lengthy approval processes for new AI data centers, thus positioning them as attractive partners for AI firms [7] Group 4 - The article discusses the competitive landscape of the computing power market, highlighting the rapid growth and valuation of companies like Nvidia and Moole Thread, driven by the AI investment boom and domestic strategic needs [8] - The emergence of domestic computing power firms is linked to geopolitical factors, particularly U.S. technology export controls, which have spurred the growth of local companies in response to national strategic demands [8] - The article concludes by noting the uncertainty surrounding policy changes, particularly regarding chip exports to China, which could impact the dynamics of the computing power and cryptocurrency markets [9]

Group 1 - The article highlights that 11 listed companies, including Jie Rui Co., Zhongke Shuguang, and Haiguang Information, have received over 90 institutional visits in the past month, indicating strong investor interest [1] - Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang both had 341 institutional visits, drawing attention due to the termination of their merger plan, yet they plan to maintain independent operations while collaborating on core areas [1][2] - Zhongke Shuguang focuses on CPU and DCU chips, establishing a leading position in domestic core chips, while Haiguang Information emphasizes integrated computing infrastructure and high-end chip design [2] Group 2 - Weichuang Electric, Fule New Materials, and Changan Automobile have also attracted significant institutional interest, with visit counts of 141, 135, and 125 respectively, all linked to their developments in robotics [1][2] - Weichuang Electric is advancing in the robotics field with a comprehensive layout, recently launching various new products including micro motors and intelligent components for mobile robots [3] - Fule New Materials has redefined TPU architecture for robotics, focusing on integrating computing capabilities into electronic skin, enhancing interaction and safety [4] Group 3 - Changan Automobile is strategically developing its robotics business with a "1+N+X" approach, focusing on humanoid robots and various applications across different scenarios [4] - The company aims to integrate the robotics industry supply chain, covering components, software services, and infrastructure, to enhance its smart mobility and automotive robotics offerings [4]