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iPhone在美售价或大涨250%
互联网金融· 2025-04-09 09:58
特朗普政府试图通过加征关税,使得智能手机等制造业回流到美国。但分析师并不支持这一观点, 他们把特朗普的计划形容为"一厢情愿",这将在未来几十年对科技行业格局产生负面影响。 此次面对成本压力,苹果面临艰难抉择,也可能通过"砍价"降低零部件采购成本,例如要求台积 电、富士康等供应商让利,但这将加剧供应链企业的利润危机。此外,苹果还可以与电信运营商 合作降低换购补贴、缩减以旧换新折扣,或取消部分赠品来隐性涨价。然而,这些策略都可能引 发消费者的不满,影响品牌形象。 总部位于加州洛杉矶的投资银行Wedbush Securities分析师艾夫斯(Dan Ives)在4月8日的报告中 表示,如果iPhone在美国制造,苹果公司就必须复制亚洲地区复杂的制造业生态系统。届时在美 国售卖价格可能会达到约3500美元,而目前约为1000美元。 特朗普政府对全球多国加征"对等关税"的政策引发资本市场和工商业界的轩然大波,苹果成为受 冲击的"重灾区"。据央视新闻报道,苹果制作一部手机成本大约580美元。但在美国宣布对华加征 的所谓"对等关税"后,增加的税额将达到296.86美元。据摩根士丹利预测,这一轮关税成本给苹 果公司带来的损失 ...
探寻生物学“金矿”,有了“指南针”
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2025-04-09 01:25
拆解复杂信息,提取"基元"特征 "如果将生物学课题的真相看成是一座座金矿,那么AQuA2就像是一枚指南针,能为研究人员找到 更快、更短的通往金矿路径的方向。"文章通讯作者、清华大学自动化系长聘教授于国强在接受科技日 报记者采访时说。 近年来,荧光探针、显微技术、动物遗传学改造技术等多项生物技术发展得如火如荼,使神经科 学、细胞生物学、病理学及发育生物学等生物学领域,迎来了海量的、高精度的、高保真的科研数据。 这些数据既包含空间信息,即"在哪个部位",也囊括时间要素,即"在什么时候"。 原标题:探寻生物学"金矿",有了"指南针" 咖啡能提神、四肢被刺痛时会回缩、双手能轻易抓取物品…… 这些平日里司空见惯的事,背后却隐藏着令无数生物学家呕心沥血、穷尽一生都想搞清楚的生命奥 秘:咖啡因如何影响大脑?脊髓如何整合并传导外界刺激信号?抓取东西时涉及哪些脑区,它们又是如 何协同"办公"的? 如今,这些难题或将迎来更准确的解题思路。由我国科学家领衔的研究团队历经十余年攻关,提出 时空统一生命分子信号分析理论,并结合人工智能等技术,成功研发出一套开源智能计算平台 (AQuA2)。该平台能帮助研究人员解析生命体内分子信号的复杂 ...
AMD 困境:在散热需求旺盛的情况下迟迟未进军 AI
美股研究社· 2025-04-03 11:38
Core Viewpoint - AMD is significantly smaller than Nvidia in terms of revenue, with AMD's scale being about one-fifth of Nvidia's. However, there is potential for AMD to capture market share in the expanding AI market, although analysts are skeptical about whether it is too late for AMD to compete effectively [1][10]. Market Dynamics - The AI market is experiencing a noticeable slowdown, with declining demand and increased supply leading to a sharp drop in H100 prices. This trend is causing end customers to prefer spot or on-demand pricing over long-term contracts [1][5]. - The gap between open-source and closed-source AI models is narrowing, reducing the sustainability of high prices for top AI companies. This could lead to a slowdown in the AI race and decrease demand for Nvidia chips [2][5]. Investment Trends - In 2022, AI and machine learning startups accounted for 35.7% of global venture capital transactions, with North America seeing nearly half of all venture capital funding directed towards this vertical. Investment in AI and machine learning startups grew by over 50% to reach $131.5 billion [5][8]. Competitive Landscape - AMD faces challenges as larger players are entering the market, and the demand for powerful GPUs may decrease as specialized startups begin to fail. Additionally, large enterprises are creating custom chips tailored to their workloads, further complicating AMD's position [8][11]. - AMD has a software tool for model migration between Nvidia's CUDA and AMD's ROCm, but optimization remains a significant challenge. The lack of a robust developer community for AMD gives Nvidia a competitive edge [9][10]. Company Performance - AMD has shown steady financial improvement since major acquisitions in the early 2020s, including Xilinx and Pensado, which have provided new revenue sources. However, the anticipated revenue streams are showing signs of weakness due to developer attention delays and the slowdown in the AI market [11].
推理芯片:英伟达第一,AMD第二
半导体行业观察· 2025-04-03 01:23
Core Viewpoint - The latest MLCommons machine learning benchmark results indicate that Nvidia's new Blackwell GPU architecture outperforms all other computers, while AMD's latest Instinct GPU MI325 competes closely with Nvidia's H200 [1][3][10]. Benchmark Testing - MLPerf has introduced three new benchmark tests to better reflect the rapid advancements in machine learning, bringing the total to 11 server benchmarks [1][11]. - The new benchmarks include two large language models (LLMs), with the Llama2 70B being a mature benchmark and the new "Llama2-70B Interactive" requiring computers to generate at least 25 tokens per second and respond within 450 milliseconds [2][12]. Performance Insights - Nvidia continues to dominate MLPerf benchmarks through submissions from itself and 15 partners, with its Blackwell architecture GPU B200 being the fastest, outperforming the previous Hopper architecture [8][14]. - The B200 GPU features 36% more high-bandwidth memory than the H200 and can perform critical machine learning operations with precision as low as 4 bits, enhancing AI computation speed [8][14]. Comparative Performance - In the Llama3.1 405B benchmark, Supermicro's 8-core B200 system achieved nearly four times the token throughput of Cisco's 8-core H200 system [15]. - The fastest system reported in this round of MLPerf is Nvidia's B200 server, delivering 98,443 tokens per second [15]. AMD's Position - AMD's latest Instinct GPU MI325X is positioned to compete with Nvidia's H200, featuring increased high-bandwidth memory and bandwidth [15][17]. - In Llama2 70B tests, the MI325X system's speed is comparable to the H200, with only a 3% to 7% difference [17]. Intel and Other Competitors - Intel's Xeon 6 chips showed significant performance improvements, achieving about 80% better results compared to previous models, although Intel appears to be stepping back from the AI accelerator chip competition [18]. - Google's TPU v6e chips also performed well, achieving a 2.5 times improvement over their predecessors, although their performance is roughly equivalent to Nvidia's H100 in similar configurations [18].
线上研讨会|全球天气展望与美国农民春季播种意向
Refinitiv路孚特· 2025-04-01 09:06
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming webinar focused on the summer weather outlook in the Americas and Asia, and its potential impact on crops, including updates on U.S. spring planting activities and South American late-season progress [1]. Group 1: Webinar Details - The webinar will cover topics such as the South American seasonal review, early outlook for U.S. spring planting weather, U.S. planting and production outlook, ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) and its global impacts, and summer weather in Asia [4]. - The event is scheduled for April 16, 2025, at 09:00 AM Beijing time and will be conducted in English [4]. Group 2: Company Offerings - LSEG provides market insights, data management solutions, and seamless trading execution capabilities to enhance competitiveness in commodity trading [7]. - The company emphasizes the importance of obtaining accurate information at the right time and format for successful commodity trading, utilizing structured data from various sources [9]. - LSEG offers tools, fundamentals, forecasts, alternative data, and the latest news to help clients excel in the competitive landscape of commodity trading [10]. Group 3: Commodity Trading Solutions - LSEG's energy trading solutions cover a global ecosystem of oil, gas, electricity, coal, and carbon assets, supported by exclusive partnerships and redistribution agreements with major research firms [12]. - The company has developed a comprehensive data and analysis framework for metal trading, leveraging machine learning and AI to predict market trends [13]. - LSEG's agricultural trading solutions utilize robust fundamental data, alternative data, weather tracking, and satellite imagery to forecast market price trends [15].
康龙化成(300759):全年收入稳健增长,季度间收入增速逐季加快,24Q4经调整利润恢复增长
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 08:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company, 康龙化成, has maintained a steady growth in revenue and profit throughout the year, with an accelerating revenue growth rate quarter by quarter. The adjusted profit for Q4 2024 is expected to recover [6][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company reported a revenue of 11,538 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 12.4%. The net profit was 1,601 million yuan, reflecting a 16.5% increase year-on-year. For 2024, the revenue is projected to be 12,276 million yuan, a 6.4% increase, and the net profit is expected to reach 1,793 million yuan, up 12.0% year-on-year [5][6]. Business Segment Performance - **Laboratory Services**: Revenue reached 7,047 million yuan in 2024, growing by 5.8% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 44.4%. The segment saw a 15%+ increase in new orders [6]. - **CMC Business**: Generated 2,989 million yuan in revenue, a 10.2% increase, with a gross margin of 33.1%. New orders grew by 35%+ [6]. - **Clinical Research Services**: Revenue was 1,826 million yuan, up 5.1%, with a gross margin of 12.8%. The segment faced some margin pressure due to increased competition [6]. - **Large Molecule and Cell & Gene Therapy Services**: Revenue declined to 408 million yuan, down 4.1%, with a negative gross margin of 50.1% due to construction investments [7]. Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts revenues of 14,098 million yuan in 2025, 16,104 million yuan in 2026, and 18,250 million yuan in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 14.8%, 14.2%, and 13.3% [5][10]. - The expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1,928 million yuan, 2,356 million yuan, and 2,914 million yuan, with growth rates of 7.5%, 22.2%, and 23.7% respectively [10]. Valuation - The report suggests a reasonable valuation range for the company at 32.53 to 37.96 yuan per share, based on a projected PE ratio of 30-35 times for 2025 [10].
中关村论坛周末机器人“总动员”!机器人ETF基金(562360)连续3个交易日获得资金净流入,午后V型大反弹
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-03-31 06:50
国金证券表示,机器人板块的投资价值在于其背后强大的产业趋势和技术革新。随着人工智能、机器学 习等技术的发展,机器人行业正经历着前所未有的变革,尤其是在人形机器人领域。例如,Figure公司 利用强化学习技术实现了人形机器人的高效训练,不仅缩短了开发周期,还提高了机器人的运动能力和 智能化水平。此外,vivo等消费电子巨头的加入,标志着机器人技术正逐渐渗透到日常生活中,预示着 未来市场的巨大潜力。 相关产品:机器人ETF基金(562360) 消息面上,3月27日-3月31日举办的2025中关村论坛年会现场,各式各样的机器人穿梭其间,上演着一 场现实版的 "机器人总动员"。它们有的化身咖啡师制作拉花,有的在舞台上演绎机械太极,有的用流 畅的双语引导外宾。 2025年3月31日,A股市场深V反弹,机器人板块午后临近收盘跳升。机器人指数成份股中,信捷电气、 华辰装备涨超4%,快克智能、科远智慧、燕麦科技、三丰智能涨超1%,其余成份股趋势上行。机器人 ETF基金(562360)实时成交额突破3700万元。 机器人ETF基金(562360)跟踪的中证机器人指数与万得人形机器人指数的成份股重合度为63%,除了 人形机器人以 ...
三峰环境(601827):信用减值影响业绩 海外业务积极拓展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-03-31 00:26
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a provision for bad debts of 92.8 million in 2024, impacting profits, while maintaining strong operational performance in waste incineration and actively expanding international business with sufficient overseas orders. The dividend is gradually increasing [1]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.991 billion, a year-on-year decline of 0.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.168 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.2%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.155 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%. After excluding one-time factors from 2023 and 2024, the revenue growth on a comparable basis was 0.3%, and the net profit growth was 7.1% [3]. - In Q4 2024, the company recorded revenue of 1.473 billion, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.3%, but a net profit decline of 54.0% quarter-on-quarter and 12.7% year-on-year [3]. Operational Highlights - The waste incineration business remains robust, with the company maintaining top industry performance. By the end of 2024, the company will have launched a 42,500-ton holding project, increasing waste processing volume by 7% to 15.08 million tons. The sales volume of steam increased by 18% to 940,000 tons, with 630,000 tons/year of new steam sales contracts signed in 2024 [4]. - The company is actively introducing industrial big data and machine learning technologies to enhance operational efficiency through an AI smart incineration system, leading industry transformation [4]. International Business Development - The company has signed nine contracts for the supply of incinerators and complete equipment with a total design capacity of approximately 6,370 tons/day and a total contract value exceeding 800 million [4]. Capital Expenditure and Dividends - In 2024, the company's net cash flow from operating activities was 2.054 billion, a year-on-year decline of 13.4%, primarily due to a decrease in the amount of national subsidies recovered and reduced cash receipts from construction business [4]. - Capital expenditure in 2024 was 563 million, significantly reduced from 1.8 billion in 2023. The cash dividend rate for 2024 was 35.07%, an increase from 33.79% in 2023 [4]. Investment Outlook - The rating is maintained at "Buy." The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 1.22 billion (previously 1.372 billion), 1.274 billion (previously 1.498 billion), and 1.32 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.73, 0.76, and 0.79. Given the stable operation of the solid waste business and the decline in capital expenditure, free cash flow is expected to improve, leading to a gradual increase in dividends. The target price for 2025 is set at 10.95, based on a 15x PE ratio [2].
专访英国社会科学院院士傅晓岚:具身机器人的训练会反向促进人工智能迭代
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-03-30 03:26
Group 1 - The 2025 Zhongguancun Forum is focused on "New Quality Productivity and Global Technological Cooperation" and will run from March 27 to March 31 [1] - AI is leading a new industrial revolution, transforming production methods and organizational forms, and reshaping global value chains [1] - AI can be utilized for precise valuation and technical due diligence in the financial sector [1] Group 2 - The training of embodied robots can promote the iteration of AI, as advancements in technology are interdependent across various fields [2][3] - Significant breakthroughs in areas such as 5G, cloud computing, big data, AI, robotics, and 3D printing are collectively driving a new industrial revolution [2][3] Group 3 - Machine learning and deep learning are accelerating scientific discoveries in both natural and social sciences, significantly reducing the time required for research tasks [4] - AI technologies are enabling new methods for technology valuation, reducing the time from 2-3 months to just a few minutes, thus lowering costs and improving access for entrepreneurs and small investors [4] Group 4 - Women possess unique traits such as inclusivity and collaboration, which can enhance the development of AI across multiple disciplines [5] - Women can play a crucial role in ensuring that AI development is beneficial to society and helps bridge existing gaps [5] Group 5 - The emotional interaction requirements of humanoid robots may benefit from the involvement of female researchers, as their communication skills and attention to detail are valuable in this context [6] - The integration of female perspectives in research can enhance the interaction capabilities of embodied robots, making them more effective in human-like interactions [6] Group 6 - Education is vital for women to build confidence and capabilities, with a focus on providing opportunities for higher education [7] - The development of resilience and broadening perspectives are essential for women to realize their potential [7]
12家A股上市行晒科技赋能成绩单:有的投入200多亿,有的增长近30%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-03-28 14:11
Core Insights - The banking industry is undergoing a digital transformation driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, big data, and cloud computing, with 12 banks, including major players like Bank of China and China Merchants Bank, having released their 2024 financial reports by March 28 [1] Investment and Talent Development - Major state-owned banks continue to dominate in technology investment, with Bank of China investing CNY 23.809 billion, accounting for 3.76% of its revenue, a year-on-year increase of 0.27 percentage points [2] - Postal Savings Bank's technology investment reached CNY 12.296 billion, a 9.03% increase year-on-year, representing 3.53% of its revenue [2] - In contrast, China Communications Bank's technology investment fell to CNY 11.433 billion, a decrease of 4.94% year-on-year, although it still had the highest revenue ratio at 5.41% among the six major banks [2] - Among joint-stock banks, investments from China Merchants Bank, CITIC Bank, and Industrial Bank were CNY 13.35 billion, CNY 10.945 billion, and CNY 8.377 billion, respectively, with their revenue ratios declining [3] - Smaller banks like Chongqing Bank and Changshu Bank are increasing their technology investments, with Chongqing Bank's investment growing by 20% year-on-year to CNY 0.574 billion [3] Talent Acquisition and Growth - By the end of 2024, Bank of China had 14,940 employees in its technology division, an increase of 2,234, representing 4.78% of total staff [4] - Postal Savings Bank's IT team grew to over 7,200, a 2% increase, making up 3.6% of its total workforce [4] - China Communications Bank leads in technology talent, with 9,041 employees, a 15.70% increase, accounting for 9.44% of total staff [4] - Joint-stock banks like China Merchants Bank and Industrial Bank also showed strong talent density, with China Merchants Bank's R&D staff reaching 10,900, representing 9.3% of total employees [4] Technological Advancements and Applications - Banks are leveraging technology to enhance various business scenarios, with Bank of China adding over 900 new business scenarios through AI and automation [9] - China Communications Bank's mobile banking app reached over 55 million monthly active users, a 630,000 increase year-on-year, with 80% of new loans coming from online channels [9][10] - Postal Savings Bank launched an AI-driven trading assistant that has processed over CNY 1.5 trillion in inquiries, achieving a 94% reduction in transaction time [11] - CITIC Bank developed an AI system with over 1,600 applications across various business areas, while Industrial Bank optimized its AI applications in over 70 scenarios [12] Overall Industry Trends - The banking sector is experiencing a "Matthew Effect" where larger banks benefit more from technology investments, while smaller banks are finding unique paths to digital transformation [3][13] - The industry is entering a new phase of "technology reconstruction," with technology integration becoming pervasive across various operational scenarios [13]