回顾一季度"东升西落"的叙事，对冲基金资金流向大转向，疯狂减持"科技七巨头"并加仓中国ADR。 中国科技股估值优势明显，美股空头兴趣创新高 一季度的转变凸显了中国科技股日益增长的吸引力。随着中国在开发新技术方面的影响力上升，中国科 技股对外国投资者变得更具吸引力。今年早些时候，中国AI初创公司DeepSeek的进步震动了全球市 场，导致"七巨头"股价暴跌，成为全球投资者看待中国科技行业的转折点。 中国科技公司的额外吸引力在于它们通常以低于美国同行的估值进行交易，阿里巴巴的预期市盈率约为 13倍，而拼多多的市盈率不到10倍。在美股"七巨头"中，只有谷歌母公司Alphabet的市盈率低于20倍。 同时，美股空头仓位飙升已将对冲基金的总杠杆率推升至创纪录水平。报告指出，标普500指数成分股 的空头仓位占流通股本的比例约为2.3%，高于去年12月的1.8%，这是自2021年以来空头仓位首次超过 历史平均水平。尽管净卖出，亚马逊、Meta、微软、英伟达和Alphabet等"科技七巨头"仍然是对冲基金 最受欢迎的多头头寸之一。 风险提示及免责条款 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has outperformed the US stock market, with a strong bullish sentiment towards Chinese assets, indicating a shift in investment focus from the West to the East [1][2]. Market Performance - Since April 8, notable gains have been observed in major Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong, including Xiaomi Group (up 50%), Tencent Holdings (up 20%), Hong Kong Exchanges (up 32%), and BYD (up 40%) [1]. - The Hang Seng Index is approaching the 25,000 mark, rewarding investors who bought on dips [1]. - The "new consumption trio" in Hong Kong, consisting of Mixue Group, Pop Mart, and Laopuhuangjin, has seen their market capitalizations exceed HKD 1 billion, with significant year-to-date stock price increases of over 100% [3]. Investment Trends - The ongoing trend of "East Rising, West Falling" suggests that Chinese assets are becoming more attractive compared to US assets, with a potential for both markets to rise, but with Chinese assets expected to yield higher returns [1][2]. - The successful IPO of CATL has boosted market confidence and is expected to enhance liquidity in the Hong Kong market [2]. Market Sentiment - There is a notable divergence in sentiment between retail and institutional investors, with retail investors in the US reportedly buying on dips while institutions in Hong Kong are accumulating shares [3]. - The short-selling pressure in the Hong Kong market is significant, indicating a potential for a short squeeze as major Chinese stocks recover [2][3]. Company-Specific Insights - Tesla's sales data from China is under scrutiny, with a significant drop in global deliveries and concerns about brand image affecting investor sentiment [4][5]. - Nvidia's recent announcements at Computex indicate a clear path to growth in the second half of the year, with a focus on AI communication infrastructure [6][7].

Group 1: Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a downturn, particularly in the tech sector, leading to concerns about a potential crash, while the Hong Kong market shows resilience despite recent adjustments [1] - The Hong Kong market's recent performance indicates weakness in short positions, as it has not seen significant declines despite bearish sentiment [1] Group 2: Earnings Reports and Institutional Activity - Tencent and Alibaba reported stable earnings, but their capital expenditures have increased significantly for long-term AI strategies, leading to a misinterpretation of their financial results [2] - Institutional investors, including Bridgewater, have significantly increased their holdings in Chinese assets, with Bridgewater's stake in Alibaba rising by 5.4 million shares, a 21-fold increase, indicating a bullish outlook on Chinese stocks [2] - Major investment firms like Hillhouse and Highfields have also increased their investments in Chinese stocks, reflecting optimism about the Chinese market [5] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - Goldman Sachs has adjusted its ratings on Chinese gaming stocks, highlighting a divide in performance between major players like Tencent and NetEase versus smaller firms facing market consolidation [6] - The gaming industry is seeing a shift in consumer demand towards high-quality and casual games, with opportunities for significant revenue generation in differentiated game offerings [6][7] - The overseas market remains a significant opportunity for Chinese game developers, with increasing capabilities in development and innovation [7] Group 4: Index Adjustments - The Hang Seng Index is set to announce its quarterly review, with companies like Pop Mart and BeiGene being potential candidates for inclusion, reflecting their strong performance and low short positions [4] - The index aims to expand its constituent stocks to better represent market dynamics, although the total number of constituents has remained unchanged in recent reviews [4]

今天港股大跌，短线机构是获利回吐了，猫哥认为这是正常的调整，恒指昨天可是大涨3%，今天回撤 了1.5%左右，整体上还是涨了1.5%。涨多了，自然就会有健康调整，而这往往都是为牛市打下了坚实 的基础。 【行情推演】 反过来看美股，最后的诱多行情已经完成了，机构通过炒作关税利好，让美股进入了技术性牛市，但这 往往却是出货的时机。猫哥唱空美股以来，美股确实往上涨了5%，但5%的涨幅在熊市里面，一天就可 以跌回去，猫哥从来不会恐慌的，况且猫哥的港股持仓始终还是盈利。 恒指的回踩，更多还是为了补昨天的跳涨缺口，这是一个好现象，猫哥相信这是逢低买入的好时机。机 构在中概股龙头即将发财报的前几天砸盘，很明显是为了把不坚定的散户洗出去。对猫哥来说，这其实 是不错的机会。 【走势复盘】 港股今天走弱的原因主要有以下几方面： 1、昨天涨幅太大，今天迎来健康调整，股市里面有缺口，往往都是要补上的。恒指自底部迎来20%以 上的大涨，很多人看到利好落地，其实都有获利止盈的想法，这是人之常情。 2、特朗普对中小包裹还是加征了125%的关税，这个消息也被市场解读成了利空，猫哥认为这是特朗普 滑跪之后，在国内遭到了比较大的心理压力，他需要在 ...

将投中网设为"星标⭐"，第一时间收获最新推送 在硬科技、生物科技、新能源/绿色科技这三大投资赛道上，港投公司展现出了前瞻性布局眼光。 作者丨 高雅 编辑丨 冯迪凡 来源丨 第一财经 在全球经济格局充满不确定性的当下，投资机构如何在波动中寻找机遇？ 作为中国香港特区政府重点打造的战略投资平台，香港投资管理有限公司（以下简称"港投公司"）正 以其独特的定位和清晰的战略给出答案。 这家被业界誉为"港版淡马锡"的投资机构初始管理规模达 620 亿港元，由香港特区行政长官李家超 在首份《施政报告》中亲自规划，旨在通过直接投资或与私募基金合作，吸引重点企业落户香港，在 争取长期投资回报的同时，推动金融科技、人工智能、生物科技、高端制造业等四大核心领域发展。 在硬科技、生物科技、新能源 / 绿色科技这三大投资赛道上，港投公司展现出了前瞻性布局眼光。该 公司行政总裁陈家齐在接受第一财经独家专访时分享了她的洞察："优秀的科技公司无论在什么经济 周期中都会崭露头角。历史上许多成功的公司，之所以能一路走来，是因为它们选择了正确的发展路 径，并解决了市场上的核心痛点。" 她认为，从历史来看，最具创新能力的科技机构，通常都是解决市场上 ...

2025.05. 11 本文字数：2469，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 高雅 在全球经济格局充满不确定性的当下，投资机构如何在波动中寻找机遇？ 作为中国香港特区政府重点打造的战略投资平台，香港投资管理有限公司（以下简称"港投公司"）正 以其独特的定位和清晰的战略给出答案。 这家被业界誉为"港版淡马锡"的投资机构初始管理规模达620亿港元，由香港特区行政长官李家超在 首份《施政报告》中亲自规划，旨在通过直接投资或与私募基金合作，吸引重点企业落户香港，在争 取长期投资回报的同时，推动金融科技、人工智能、生物科技、高端制造业等四大核心领域发展。 在硬科技、生物科技、新能源/绿色科技这三大投资赛道上，港投公司展现出了前瞻性布局眼光。该 公司行政总裁陈家齐在接受第一财经独家专访时分享了她的洞察："优秀的科技公司无论在什么经济 周期中都会崭露头角。历史上许多成功的公司，之所以能一路走来，是因为它们选择了正确的发展路 径，并解决了市场上的核心痛点。" 她认为，从历史来看，最具创新能力的科技机构，通常都是解决市场上核心痛点的企业，它们能在不 同的经济周期中脱颖而出。现在正是抓住这一窗口，快速寻找优秀伙伴和公司的好 ...

最具创新能力的科技机构能在不同的经济周期中脱颖而出。 在全球经济格局充满不确定性的当下，投资机构如何在波动中寻找机遇？ 这家被业界誉为"港版淡马锡"的投资机构初始管理规模达620亿港元，由香港特区行政长官李家超在首 份《施政报告》中亲自规划，旨在通过直接投资或与私募基金合作，吸引重点企业落户香港，在争取长 期投资回报的同时，推动金融科技、人工智能、生物科技、高端制造业等四大核心领域发展。 在硬科技、生物科技、新能源/绿色科技这三大投资赛道上，港投公司展现出了前瞻性布局眼光。该公 司行政总裁陈家齐在接受第一财经独家专访时分享了她的洞察："优秀的科技公司无论在什么经济周期 中都会崭露头角。历史上许多成功的公司，之所以能一路走来，是因为它们选择了正确的发展路径，并 解决了市场上的核心痛点。" 她认为，从历史来看，最具创新能力的科技机构，通常都是解决市场上核心痛点的企业，它们能在不同 的经济周期中脱颖而出。现在正是抓住这一窗口，快速寻找优秀伙伴和公司的好时机。 在风险中寻找科技投资机遇 第一财经：在全球经济不确定性加剧的背景下，港投如何在当前全球市场动荡中布局？如何在三大重点 赛道中平衡风险与机会？ 陈家齐：投资本身 ...

Group 1 - The global economic landscape is shifting, with China emerging as a new capital haven amidst rising distrust in U.S. economic policies due to the tariff war and increasing credit risks associated with U.S. assets [1][2][4] - The U.S. national debt has surged to $36.2 trillion, with approximately $9.2 trillion maturing by 2025, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability [2][3] - Foreign investors' holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds have decreased from nearly 50% in 2014 to an expected 30% by the end of 2024, indicating growing apprehension about U.S. fiscal health [3] Group 2 - Foreign capital is increasingly recognizing the stability and innovation potential of the Chinese market, with significant investments from sovereign funds and family offices [4][5][10] - The Saudi Public Investment Fund has signed a $50 billion cooperation agreement with six major Chinese financial institutions, highlighting the importance of the Chinese market [3][4] - The establishment of local offices and participation in RMB fund raising by foreign LPs indicates a shift towards deeper integration into the Chinese market [9][11] Group 3 - The rise of Chinese technology companies and favorable policy environments are prompting foreign LPs to reassess the investment value of the Chinese market [5][10] - The introduction of policies such as the QFLP pilot program is facilitating foreign investment in China's private equity market, with over fifty regions implementing these policies [7][10] - Foreign LPs are increasingly participating in local projects and government partnerships, reflecting a strategic shift from mere observation to active engagement in the Chinese market [11][12] Group 4 - The interest of foreign LPs in China is transitioning from "reassessment" to "reallocation," as they recognize the unique value of RMB assets in global asset allocation [12] - The ongoing technological innovations and policy optimizations in China are attracting long-term capital from regions like Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Europe [12] - The trend indicates that China is evolving from being the "world's factory" to becoming a "world innovator," enhancing its position in the global capital market [12]

作者丨Eyan 本期推荐阅读5分钟 本期导读： 技术突破和政策红利正共同推动外资LP对中国市场的"再认识"。 在全球经济格局深刻调整的当下，"东升西落"不再仅是中国内部的战略共识，而是逐渐成为全球资 本市场的现实写照。美国对中国发起的关税战不仅未能遏制中国的发展，反而在全球范围内引发了 对美国经济政策的不信任。与此同时，美债收益率的飙升和美股高估值的持续，使得美元资产的信 用风险日益凸显。在这样的背景下，中国以其稳健的经济增长和日益完善的投资环境，成为全球资 本寻求避风港的新选择。外资LP们开始悄然布局中国市场，寻找新的增长点和投资机会。这一趋 势不仅体现了全球资本对中国市场的重新评估，也标志着中国在全球资本流动中的角色正在发生深 刻变化。 外资重新"认识"中国 今年4月以来美国对全球，尤其是中国，发起的关税战引发了广泛的国际抵制。曾被视为"避风 港"的美元资产，如今正面临信任危机。美债收益率飙升、美股高估值泡沫、以及对华关税战的持 续升级，使得投资者开始重新审视美国资产的安全性。与此同时，中国市场以其稳定的政策环境和 科技创新能力，逐渐成为全球资本的避风港。 美国国债市场一直被视为全球最安全的投资标的。然而 ...

随着特朗普发起关税风波之后，这直接推动了金价飙升至了历史高位，创下了自1986年以来最强的季度表 现，而加关税导致了黄金频频暴涨，而关税缓和之后黄金也是出现了猛烈回调，而本周的黄金市场那叫一 个热闹！黄金价格就像坐过山车一样，让无数投资者又爱又恨。这不，我赶紧来跟大家唠唠，说说下周的 机会。 黄金短线调整，长期依旧看涨！ 如果要用一个词来形容全球金融市场在2025季度表现的话，那么除了"东升西落"外，还有一个词也将格外 适用："避险为王"……黄金 那么下周的趋势如何看？二次反抽延续下跌是关键，通常强势中的大跌，不要急于看连阴，一定要注意分 水岭，一个是价格，一个是时间。而本周尾盘虽说回撤3265一线之后反抽上扬，但整体走势上依旧承压， 下周反抽之后依旧看空做调整即可！ 黄金：下周开盘关注3337-45位置情况，反抽到位依旧看空，继续看测试3260一线！ 所谓一个靠谱的人，凡事有交代，件件有着落，事事有回音，兴言一直致力于市场，唯有坚持写出对投资 者有用的分析，少错一单，那么我相信日久见方能见人心！ 责任编辑：赵兴言 【以上观点，仅供参考，投资有风险，入市需谨慎】 短期美方对贸易谈判的呼声较高，市场风险偏好回升 ...