Workflow
印太战略
icon
Search documents
朝中社:李在明访日之行是充当美日韩军事合作“急先锋”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 07:52
朝中社25日发表评论文章,批评韩国总统李在明23日的访日之行是充当美日韩军事合作"急先锋"。 文 章评论说,韩日领导人会晤23日在日本东京举行。韩国执政者此次的访日之行打破了韩国总统上任后优 先访美的外交惯例。韩国执政者旨在把强化美日韩三角军事同盟中的一轴——韩日关系的坚定态度展示 给美方,而这会导致地区安保危机进一步升级。 文章指出,由于韩日强化合作,"带有侵略性的美日韩 三角军事同盟的结构和功能将会进一步提升,并对朝鲜半岛和东北亚地区形势造成严重影响"。文章 说,此次韩日领导人会晤的议题表明,两国有意积极参与美国"印太战略",预示着安保环境将进一步被 破坏,而这正是此次韩日领导人会谈蕴藏的危险。 文章警告说,面对追求霸权的美国及其随从势力造 成的令人担忧的事态,朝方绝不会坐视不管。(新华社) ...
与普京会晤后,美方立马对中方改了口风,莫迪昭告全球:印度不跪
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 05:13
Economic Impact of Tariffs - The implementation of tariff policies has severely impacted the US economy, with inflation soaring by 2.9% and clothing prices experiencing a 60% surge [3] - Corporate supply chain costs have increased by 13%, leading to production halts in companies like Ford due to rare earth supply disruptions [3] - Trump's approval rating has dropped by 14 percentage points due to tariff-related issues, particularly affecting agricultural states where farmers have suffered significant losses from Chinese tariffs on US beef and soybeans [3] Response from China - China has responded firmly to US tariffs, emphasizing the legitimacy of energy cooperation and rejecting tariff threats [3] - China's control over rare earth materials has become a critical leverage point, directly impacting the US military and electric vehicle industries, with companies like Tesla seeking urgent assistance [3] - Historical precedents indicate that the US has previously had to retract 100% tariffs on China, suggesting a potential for similar outcomes in the current situation [3] India's Economic Challenges - The US has raised tariffs on Indian goods from 25% to 50%, threatening India's $77.5 billion export market and putting 6 million jobs at risk [4] - India's defense procurement from Boeing has been halted, leading to a 3% drop in Boeing's stock price, while Indian farmers have faced retaliatory tariffs on US soybeans and almonds [4] - India has secured a stable energy supply from Russia at a 30% discount, mitigating some impacts of US tariffs [4] Manufacturing Sector Comparison - China's manufacturing sector constitutes 28% of its GDP and dominates 90% of global rare earth processing capacity, while India's manufacturing share has decreased from 16% to 13% [6] - Despite Apple's plans to shift some production to India, the majority of iPhone 16 Pro production remains in China, highlighting India's ongoing reliance on Chinese manufacturing [6] Cooperation Between China and India - The rapid cooperation between China and India has taken the US by surprise, with India redirecting textile orders to Chinese e-commerce platforms [7] - Following the implementation of US tariffs, India's exports to the US only decreased by 2.7%, while exports to China surged by 19.3% [7] - The establishment of a direct currency exchange between the Indian Reserve Bank and China has accelerated the de-dollarization process among BRICS nations, with trade volumes expected to exceed $100 billion within three years [7] Regional Geopolitical Shifts - The collective actions of BRICS countries have significantly undermined the US's "Indo-Pacific Strategy," with various nations opting to bypass US influence in trade agreements [7] - Investments in the Asia-Pacific region have surged, with a 58% increase in Chinese investments in high-speed rail and 5G infrastructure, totaling $1.2 trillion [7]
不许中国改变现状!美国打不赢关税战,要军事威慑?又有F35B迫近
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 04:08
Group 1 - The U.S. has been actively trying to limit China's rise through various strategies, including tariffs and military deployments, but these actions have not significantly threatened China and have instead highlighted U.S. challenges [1][3][12] - Since 2018, the U.S. has imposed tariffs on Chinese steel, aluminum, and expanded to technology products, aiming to curb China's manufacturing upgrades and semiconductor industry [3][8] - The U.S. has strengthened its Indo-Pacific strategy by forming alliances with countries like Japan, Australia, and India, and has provided military technology to Australia, indicating a clear focus on countering China's influence [1][5] Group 2 - In 2024, the U.S. increased military aid to Taiwan and pressured European nations to reduce investments in China, but these countries maintained their economic ties with China [5] - The trade war escalated with the U.S. planning to impose a 145% tariff on Chinese goods in 2025, while China prepared to retaliate with a 125% tariff, leading to significant economic tensions [10] - Despite economic setbacks, the U.S. continued to enhance its military presence in the region, deploying F-35B fighter jets to Japan, which increased military tensions in the area [10][12]
先见之明!特朗普没想到,印度“去美国化”,俄罗斯意外躺赢,
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 02:35
Group 1 - The article discusses the deteriorating relationship between India and the United States, highlighting India's response to increased tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which raised tariffs on Indian goods to 50% [1][10] - Indian businesses are feeling the impact of these tariffs, with significant losses reported, such as the Farida Group, which has $114 million in frozen projects due to the tariff hike [1][10] - In contrast, the U.S. has shown favor towards Pakistan, granting lower tariffs and engaging in military cooperation, which has further strained India's position [3][5] Group 2 - The Indian government, led by Modi, has taken a firm stance against U.S. pressure, halting arms purchases from the U.S. and participating in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit hosted by China [5][7] - India's pivot towards Russia for energy and military cooperation has strengthened ties, as India continues to purchase Russian oil despite U.S. sanctions [5][7] - The article suggests that India's "de-Americanization" strategy may serve as a warning to other nations about the risks of U.S. hegemony, as countries seek alternative partnerships [10][8]
国际锐评丨战后80年,日本的“历史健忘症”该治治了
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of remembering historical events, particularly Japan's wartime actions during World War II, to prevent repeating past mistakes and to cherish peace achieved after the war [1][3]. Group 1: Historical Context - The article highlights that Japan's militaristic actions during World War II caused immense suffering, particularly in China, where over 35 million people were casualties of the war [1]. - It notes that August 15, 1945, marks Japan's unconditional surrender, symbolizing the victory of the Chinese people in the Anti-Japanese War and the global anti-fascist struggle [1]. Group 2: Current Political Climate - The article discusses Japan's current political landscape, where some politicians and right-wing groups are attempting to downplay Japan's wartime responsibilities and distort historical facts, such as the Nanjing Massacre and the "comfort women" issue [3][4]. - It mentions Japan's recent shift in historical discourse, where the government has moved away from established practices of addressing historical issues, leading to criticism of Japan's regression on historical matters [3]. Group 3: Military and Strategic Developments - The article outlines Japan's increasing military budget and its efforts to amend its pacifist constitution, which raises concerns about a resurgence of militarism [3][4]. - It points out that Japan's defense strategy is evolving, with the upcoming 2024 upgrade of the U.S.-Japan Security Treaty shifting the alliance's focus from defense to a more offensive posture, which could embolden Japan's military ambitions [4]. Group 4: International Reactions - The article notes that there is growing international criticism of Japan's attempts to whitewash its wartime history and its military expansion, with voices from various countries expressing concern over Japan's actions [5]. - It highlights that some Japanese citizens are becoming aware of the true historical events, leading to shock and disillusionment regarding the government's narrative [5].
特朗普对印度征收50%关税,莫迪却转向中国,美国搬起石头砸自己脚
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 00:02
2019年8月11日,特朗普签署总统令,将对华关税暂停期延长90天,至11月10日。表面上看,这是缓兵之计,为中美紧张关系提供了一定的缓冲;然而,对 印度而言,这却是一记重拳。高达50%的惩罚性关税几乎席卷了印度对美出口商品的全部,让印度经济遭受重创。 印度的困境并非源于偶然。特朗普政府将印度视为"软柿子",其高额关税背后是美国对印度在美印贸易谈判中"不配合"态度的强烈不满,特别是印度迟迟不 肯开放农业市场。 更深层次的原因在于,特朗普试图通过打压印度,以达到离间俄印关系,瓦解金砖国家联盟,最终实现其"联俄抗华"战略目标的野心。 印度成为了他策略中牺牲的"案例",用以震慑其他国家。 特朗普的贸易战策略:一场没有赢家的博弈 因此,当与美国的关系跌入冰点时,莫迪政府将目光转向东方。一系列积极的举动标志着中印关系的显著改善:两国直航恢复,国防部长和外交部长互访, 以及对中企投资审查的放松,这些都表明印度正在主动修复与中国的战略关系。甚至比亚迪搁置两年的10亿美元投资项目也重新看到了希望。 莫迪此后对中国的访问,并非简单的多边会议参与,而是向美国发出的强烈信号:印度并非没有选择,世界并非只有一个中心。 印度寻求与上合 ...
全面反美?莫迪政府通告美国,对美征收150%关税,特朗普迎生死局
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 03:14
不过,有经济学家指出,特朗普的关税策略或许可以让其实现想要的目的,但所伴随着的高风险危机不一定是美国可以承担得起的。一方面,印度是美国农 产品和科技产品的重要市场,高关税可能导致美国企业出口难度加大,加剧国内的通货膨胀问题。另一方面,与印度关系的恶化,可能会导致美印关系出现 事实上,特朗普也非常清楚这次对印度加征高额关税会产生一些难以预料的后果和影响,但是为了三个目标,特朗普不得不这样做:第一,地缘目标。印度 一直被认为是俄罗斯的核心盟友,因此对印度加征关税可以迫使印度减少对俄罗斯武器装备和石油天然气的依赖,最终让其主动倒向西方的"反俄阵营",从 而配合美国实现孤立俄罗斯的战略目标。第二,经济目标。特朗普认为在与印度的贸易合作中,美国承受了巨额的损失,因此通过加征高额关税可以在一定 程度上扭转美印贸易逆差的局面,进一步推动制造业的回流,填补美国工业空心化。第三,政治目标。特朗普需要通过对外展示强硬姿态来迎合国内的保守 团体,尤其是加征高额关税在某种意义上来说也是兑现了自己当初竞选的承诺,在转移民众视线的同时也可以尽可能为2026年的中期选举"拉票"。 美印关系全面恶化,特朗普对印度加征高额关税遭莫迪强力反制, ...
“你敢加我关税,我就不买F-35战机”!特朗普没想到莫迪会这么硬气,这下轮到美国有麻烦了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 09:15
"印度宣布搁置F-35采购计划"。这消息像颗小炸弹,在军事圈炸开了锅。要知道,F-35可是全球最先进的隐身战机之 一,印度追了它整整十年,怎么突然就"撂挑子"了? 故事得从特朗普那张"大嘴"说起。大概五六年前,时任美国总统的特朗普在和印度官员会面时,随口说了句"可以考 虑向印度出售F-35"。就这么一句没经过军方和国务院核实的"客套话",被印度当成了重大外交突破。那之后,新德 里的国防会议上,F-35成了高频词——怎么和现有的俄制苏-57搭配?预算够不够?甚至连飞行员培训方案都开始琢 磨了。印度媒体更是跟打了鸡血似的,隔三岔五就炒"美印F-35交易进入倒计时"。 但最扎心的,还得是美国自己的算盘落了空。这些年美国在亚太搞"印太战略",把印度捧成"关键伙伴",可真到核心 技术转让时,比谁都抠门。F-35的源代码不共享、发动机技术不开放,连维修保养都得依赖美国本土。印度心里门儿 清:买F-35就是给美国当"提款机",还随时可能被卡脖子。现在特朗普关税一加,印度索性把这张"画饼"撕了——你 不让我占便宜?我也不让你得好处! 这场F-35的闹剧,撕开了美印关系的遮羞布。美国把印度当"棋子",印度却想当"棋手";美国想 ...
美关税大棒砸向新德里,印度告 到WTO,普京战机订单稳赚赢家
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-10 03:15
Group 1: Trade Relations - The U.S. plans to impose tariffs of 20% to 25% on Indian goods, significantly higher than the 15% tariffs on Japan and the EU, which has shocked Indian negotiators [1] - India's exports to the U.S. could drop by 30% in the new fiscal year, from $86.5 billion to $60.6 billion, affecting key sectors like oil, pharmaceuticals, and electronics [4] - India's Trade Minister Goyal has formally challenged the U.S. tariffs at the WTO, claiming that $2.9 billion worth of Indian exports will be impacted, leading to an additional cost of $725 million for Indian businesses [1][4] Group 2: Agricultural Concerns - The U.S. demands that India open its markets for corn, soybeans, and dairy products, which poses a significant political risk for the Modi government, as 42% of the population relies on agriculture [5] - The Indian government has firmly stated that agriculture and dairy products are off-limits for negotiation, highlighting the sensitivity of these sectors [5] Group 3: Military Developments - India has signed a significant military deal with Russia for 30 Su-57E stealth fighter jets, which includes technology transfer and local assembly, enhancing India's air force capabilities [7] - The Indian Air Force plans to establish three stealth fighter squadrons in strategic locations, increasing its operational readiness against regional threats [8] Group 4: Economic Impact - The tariffs and military expenditures are expected to lead to rising prices for medicines and food, affecting the general population as political decisions impact market dynamics [10]
美方一点余地不留,莫迪终于翻脸,不仅供出美国,还将主动访华
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 09:09
Core Viewpoint - The escalating tensions between the United States and India, primarily due to India's purchase of Russian oil, have led to a significant diplomatic rift, with Trump threatening to impose high tariffs on India, showcasing a lack of respect for India's strategic importance [1][3][15]. Group 1: U.S.-India Relations - Trump's aggressive stance towards India, including threats of tariffs, indicates a shift in U.S. policy, where India is no longer seen as a reliable partner but rather as a target for pressure [3][15]. - The U.S. perception of India as a country that prioritizes short-term gains over long-term strategic alliances has contributed to the current diplomatic crisis [5][15]. - Modi's initial silence in response to U.S. pressure was a strategic pause before a more assertive response, highlighting the seriousness of the situation [3][10]. Group 2: India's Response - Modi's government has begun to push back against U.S. pressure by revealing the hypocrisy of U.S. criticisms, pointing out that the U.S. had previously encouraged India's oil imports from Russia [7][9]. - The decision for Modi to visit China after U.S. threats signals a potential realignment of India's foreign policy, seeking support from other major powers [10][12]. - This visit is seen as a strategic move to enhance India's negotiating position against U.S. tariffs and to recalibrate its relationship with China [12][19]. Group 3: Implications for Global Strategy - The U.S. strategy in the Indo-Pacific region is at risk of unraveling as India, a key player, openly distances itself from U.S. influence [15][17]. - The situation illustrates a broader trend where emerging nations may seek to assert their independence from U.S. dominance, potentially leading to a shift in global alliances [19]. - The U.S.'s failure to treat India as an equal partner has resulted in a loss of credibility and strategic stability, undermining its geopolitical objectives [17][19].