Core Viewpoint - Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney stated that the U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum lack justification and legal basis, negatively impacting both American workers and industries as well as Canadian industries [1] Group 1 - Canada is the largest supplier of steel and aluminum to the U.S. [1] - Carney indicated that Canada will respond to the tariffs imposed by the U.S. [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that President Trump has increased tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50%, while the UK has been granted an exemption from this increase [1] Group 2 - The increase in tariffs is part of a broader trade policy aimed at protecting domestic industries [1] - The exemption for the UK may influence trade relations and negotiations between the US and other countries [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Views of the Report - For the steel market, with Trump raising steel and aluminum tariffs to 50%, there is greater pressure on steel exports. The policy - driven positive factors have basically been priced in. The real - estate market in core cities has stabilized, while that in lower - tier cities is still bottoming out. The peak of apparent demand has passed, and with the arrival of the rainy season and high - temperature weather, demand will further weaken. The market is shifting from strong reality to weak reality, and the weak expectation remains unchanged. Technically, prices have broken through the recent trading range and are expected to continue the downward trend [1]. - For the iron ore market, steel mills' profitability is acceptable, but iron - water production is expected to decline further due to the end of the downstream consumption peak and steel - mill production restrictions. The global iron - ore shipment is at a relatively high level and rising seasonally. The port inventory decline is slowing down, and the high proportion of trade - mine inventory exerts pressure on futures prices. The futures price may break downward under the influence of falling steel prices [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Threaded Steel and Hot - Rolled Coil - **Market Factors**: Trump's tariff increase, real - estate market conditions, demand seasonality, and limited impact of production - cut rumors. The market is changing from strong to weak reality, and prices are expected to continue falling [1]. - **Operation Suggestion**: Hold short positions [1]. - **Data Summary**: - **Prices**: The closing prices of threaded - steel and hot - rolled - coil futures and spot prices have declined. For example, the threaded - steel futures main - contract closing price is 2,928 yuan/ton, down 1.74% from last week [1]. - **Production**: The national building - materials steel - mill threaded - steel production is 225.51 tons, down 2.58% from last week, while hot - rolled - coil production is 319.55 tons, up 4.54% [1]. - **Inventory**: The total inventory of five major steel products has decreased. For instance, the threaded - steel social inventory is 394.59 tons, down 5.25% from last week [1]. - **Trading Volume**: The national building - materials trading volume (7 - day moving average) is 13.95 tons, down 30.08% from last week [1]. 3.2. Iron Ore - **Market Factors**: Steel mills' iron - water production is expected to decline. The global iron - ore shipment is rising seasonally, and port inventory decline is slowing. The futures price may break downward [3]. - **Operation Suggestion**: Hold short positions lightly [3]. - **Data Summary**: - **Prices**: The settlement price of DCE iron - ore futures main contract is 695.5 yuan/dry ton, down 0.43% from last week. Spot prices of various iron - ore powders have also declined [3]. - **Shipment**: The global iron - ore shipment in the week of May 27 - June 2, 2025, is 3,431.0 tons, up 242.3 tons from the previous week [5]. - **Inventory**: The port inventory of iron ore is 13,866.58 tons, down 0.87% from last week. The inventory of imported sintered powder ore in 64 sample steel mills is 1,210.52 tons, down 2.65% [3]. - **Shipping and Exchange Rates**: BCI freight rates have increased, and the US dollar index has risen 0.55% [3].

Market Overview - Major US indices showed positive performance with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 0.51% to 42,519.64, Nasdaq increased by 0.81% to 19,398.96, and S&P 500 rose by 0.58% to 5,970.37 [2] - European markets also experienced gains, with the European Stoxx 50 up by 0.38% to 5,375.70 and Germany's DAX 30 rising by 0.67% to 24,091.62 [2] - In Asia, the Hang Seng Index increased by 1.92% to 8,519.86, while the Indian Sensex fell by 0.78% to 80,737.51 [2] Steel and Aluminum Tariffs - The US government announced an increase in tariffs on imported steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective from June 4, 2025 [3] - Tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from the UK will remain at 25% until a new agreement is reached by July 9 [4] South Korea's Political Landscape - Lee Jae-myung of the Democratic Party was confirmed as the President of South Korea with a vote share of 49.42%, while his main opponent received 41.15% [4] - Lee emphasized his commitment to boosting the economy and improving living standards from the moment of his election [4] Ukraine Conflict - Ukraine's security agency reported a successful underwater attack on the Crimean Bridge, marking the third assault on the structure [5] - The operation involved 1,100 kg of TNT, causing significant damage to the bridge's underwater supports without civilian casualties [5] US Economic Outlook - The OECD revised down its global economic growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 2.9%, a decrease of 0.2 and 0.1 percentage points respectively [11] - The US economic growth forecast for this year was also lowered to 1.6%, down by 0.6 percentage points from previous estimates [11] Nvidia's Market Position - Nvidia regained its position as the world's most valuable publicly traded company with a market capitalization of $3.45 trillion, surpassing Microsoft [12] - The stock rose approximately 3% on the day, with a month-to-date increase of nearly 24% [12] Tesla's Sales Performance - Tesla's new car sales in the UK fell by 45.8% year-on-year in May, totaling 1,758 vehicles, despite an overall increase in new car registrations in the country [13] Volkswagen's Workforce Changes - Volkswagen announced that around 20,000 employees have agreed to voluntary departure as part of a restructuring plan to address uneven demand [14] - The company aims to reduce costs significantly at its Wolfsburg plant and accelerate its transformation [14] Semiconductor Industry Developments - Broadcom announced the delivery of its Tomahawk® 6 series switch chip, achieving a record industry capacity of 102.4 Tbps per chip, doubling the bandwidth of existing Ethernet switch products [14]

Core Viewpoint - The Canadian government asserts that the U.S. tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum are "illegal and unreasonable" and is engaged in urgent and "real-time negotiations" to persuade the U.S. to lift these tariffs [1] Group 1 - The Canadian government is actively negotiating with the U.S. regarding the tariffs [1] - The tariffs imposed by the U.S. on Canadian steel and aluminum are characterized as unjust by the Canadian government [1] - The negotiations are described as tense and ongoing, indicating a high level of urgency [1]

Group 1 - The British pound has depreciated by 0.18% against the US dollar, currently standing at 1.3518 [1] - The White House has announced that President Trump will maintain a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports from the UK [1]

Report Title - EU Carbon Market Market Briefing (Issue No. 92, 2025) [1] Report Release Date - June 3, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Short-term: Neutral to bullish; Medium-term: Fluctuation range of €67 - 75 [2] Core Viewpoints - EUA is more correlated with TTF as it returns to the energy fundamentals [2] Market Conditions Auction - On June 2, 2025, the EUA auction price was 70.58 euros/ton (0.06%), the auction volume was 324,550 tons, the bid coverage ratio was 1.5, and the auction revenue was 229.07 million euros [2][4] Secondary Market - EUA futures settlement price was 70.91 euros/ton (0.71%), with a trading volume of 26,300 lots (0.66) [2] Strategy - Short-term: Neutral to bullish; Medium-term: Expected to fluctuate within the range of €67 - 75 [2] Core Logic Bullish Factors - Weaker renewable energy generation and rising electricity demand in Western Europe are expected to push up the residual load [2] Bearish Factors - The US announced to raise steel and aluminum tariffs from 25% to 50%, pressuring the European market; The June option expiration date is approaching, with the largest open interest of put options at €65 and call options concentrated at €80 [2] Other Factors - The US draft requires Iran to suspend uranium enrichment activities, and Iran rejected the US proposal on its nuclear program; Russia proposed a short and limited ceasefire and agreed to exchange prisoners with Ukraine [2][3] Data Charts - There are 6 charts showing EUA auction price, bid coverage ratio, futures and spot market information, price and basis, and December contract positions [4][5]

金十整理：钢铝关税明起翻倍，美国哪些产品要涨价了？ 1. 汽车和卡车：钢材是汽车的主要材料，约占其重量的60%；新的关税水平可能会使汽车价格上涨2000 至4000美元。 2. 铝罐食品和饮料：50%的关税或使每罐食品/饮料的价格提高约1美分，此前对铝征收25%的关税，在 2018-2022年期间给美国饮料行业造成了17亿美元的损失。 3. 主要家用电器：冰箱、洗碗机和洗衣机等主要家用电器在一定程度上依赖钢铁，此前25%的钢铝关 税，让这些家用电器的价格在2018年6月至2019年4月期间上涨了5%至10%。 ...

Group 1 - U.S. Steel Corporation (X) is currently down 0.4%, narrowing its cumulative gain over the last five trading days to 3.1% [1] - Mexican President López Obrador is awaiting U.S. President Trump's announcement to double steel and aluminum tariffs to 50% on June 4 [1] - A meeting was held on June 2 between López Obrador and Mexican Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard to discuss the potential impact of Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs on Mexico [1]

Group 1 - The U.S. stock index futures fell over 0.3% following President Trump's announcement to double steel and aluminum tariffs to 50% [1] - Spot gold increased by 0.4%, reaching $3,329 per ounce [1] - WTI crude oil futures rose by 1.8%, priced at $61.96 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures increased by 1.7% after OPEC+ raised oil supply [1]