周末两天，比特币强劲拉升。 截至发稿，比特币涨近3%，涨至86600美元上方，盘中一度突破87000美元，其余加密货币，以太坊，狗狗币等也大幅上涨。 美国财长贝森特表示，利率敏感行业正处于衰退期，但对（此类行业）2026年的增长前景充满信心。 不过，就在11月22日，波士顿联储主席苏珊·柯林斯表示，她认为美联储没有在12月继续降息的必要。这番表态进一步凸显出决策者对未来货币政策行动 的分歧。 CoinGlass网站数据显示，近24小时内，加密货币共有超11万人爆仓。 据报道，自10月29日政策会议以来，美联储主席鲍威尔本人尚未公开发言。目前12名有投票权的联邦公开市场委员会成员中，已有5人表态倾向维持利率 不变，几乎形成势均力敌的局面，这意味着无论12月10日做出何种决定，都可能出现反对票。 | Total Liquidations | Long | Short | Trade | Analytics | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1h Rekt | $11.31M | 4h Rekt | | $29.34M | | Long | $1.84M | Long | | ...

周末两天，比特币强劲拉升。 截至发稿，比特币涨近3%，涨至86600美元上方，盘中一度突破87000美元，其余加密货币，以太坊， 狗狗币等也大幅上涨。 CoinGlass网站数据显示，近24小时内，加密货币共有超11万人爆仓。 值得注意的是，上周五（11月21日），美股迎来久违反弹，主要原因还是美联储三号人物威廉姆斯周五 的讲话，押注再次转向更高的降息概率。 威廉姆斯表示，"在不久的将来"降息可能是合理的，这推动投资者提高了对12月降息的预期。 责编：彭勃 校对：王朝全 美国财长贝森特表示，利率敏感行业正处于衰退期，但对（此类行业）2026年的增长前景充满信心。 不过，就在11月22日，波士顿联储主席苏珊·柯林斯表示，她认为美联储没有在12月继续降息的必要。 这番表态进一步凸显出决策者对未来货币政策行动的分歧。 据报道，自10月29日政策会议以来，美联储主席鲍威尔本人尚未公开发言。目前12名有投票权的联邦公 开市场委员会成员中，已有5人表态倾向维持利率不变，几乎形成势均力敌的局面，这意味着无论12月 10日做出何种决定，都可能出现反对票。 中信证券研报称，判断11月20日美股下跌由宏观因素主导，而非AI泡沫破 ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin experienced a significant rebound, rising above $87,000 with a 3.46% increase, following a drop below $81,000 earlier in the week [1][4] - The overall cryptocurrency market saw a positive trend, with several major cryptocurrencies also reporting gains [2] - A notable increase in liquidation events occurred, with nearly 120,000 traders liquidated in the past 24 hours [3] Market Performance - Bitcoin (BTC) reached $87,116, up 3.46% with a market cap of $59.76 billion, increasing by 3.7% [2] - Ethereum (ETH) rose to $2,856, up 4.44%, with a market cap of $34.07 billion, increasing by 5.4% [2] - Other cryptocurrencies like Solana (SOL), XRP, and Dogecoin (DOGE) also showed significant gains, with XRP increasing by 7.98% and Dogecoin by 6.61% [2] Liquidation Data - In the last 24 hours, total liquidations reached approximately $210 million, with long positions accounting for $84.23 million and short positions for $120 million [4] - The data indicates a high level of volatility in the market, with significant liquidation amounts across different time frames [4] Economic Context - Recent comments from New York Federal Reserve President John Williams highlighted concerns about a weak labor market, suggesting potential for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4][5] - Following these comments, the probability of a rate cut in December surged to about 70%, nearly doubling from the previous day's estimate of under 40% [5] - Market analysts suggest that the volatility of cryptocurrencies far exceeds that of traditional assets, emphasizing the need for cautious investment strategies [5]

近日，比特币波动加剧，但总体呈大跌趋势。由于近期下跌幅度过大，比特币短期之内或迎来反弹。今年以来，比特币一度涨至126000美元以 上，而目前价格在87000美元左右，回调幅度巨大。 消息面上，据央视财经报道，当地时间周五，被称为美联储三号人物的纽约联储银行行长威廉姆斯表示，当前劳动力市场疲软对经济构成的威 胁已经超过了通胀压力，他认为，美联储仍有进一步降息的空间。 另据证券时报，根据芝商所的美联储观察工具，在威廉姆斯周五发布讲话后， 利率期货市场的交易员对美联储12月降息的概率预期猛增至了约 70%，较一天前的不到40%几乎翻倍。 此外，美联储到明年1月累计降息25个基点概率为58%，维持利率不变概率为20%，累计降息50个基点 概率为22%。 据北京商报报道，对于加密货币后续走势，业内认为，加密资产波动性远超传统资产，短期需关注8万美元支撑位有效性，投资者需理性评估 风险，谨慎布局。 | BTC | 87116 | +3.46% | | --- | --- | --- | | $597.6亿 +3.7% | | | | ETH | 2856 | +4.44% | | $340.7亿 +5.4% | | | ...

人民财讯11月23日电，比特币升破87000美元，日内涨超3%。 ...

Market Overview - Recent significant volatility in the US stock market, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices experiencing consecutive declines, reflecting fragile market sentiment [1][3] - Concerns over economic slowdown, investment bubble risks, and profit-taking by investors have contributed to the most notable intraday fluctuations in months, with the S&P 500 dropping nearly 2% last week and a cumulative decline of 3.5% in November [3] Nvidia's Earnings and Market Reaction - Nvidia's earnings report, which was widely anticipated to boost market confidence, failed to sustain its positive impact, leading to a sharp decline in the S&P 500 index by over 2% within two hours after the report [5] - CEO Jensen Huang's comments regarding AI bubble discussions drew parallels to former Cisco CEO John Chambers' optimistic statements before the 2000 tech bubble burst, highlighting the potential for a similar market reaction [8] Impact on Popular Stocks and Cryptocurrencies - Popular stocks have suffered significant losses, with Robinhood's market value shrinking by 25% in the month, Coinbase Global's stock plummeting by 30%, and Palantir Technologies down approximately 23% [6] - The cryptocurrency market has also faced severe downturns, exacerbating overall market pressure due to the interconnectedness between cryptocurrencies and tech stocks [6] AI Investment Concerns - Despite strong profit growth from AI companies like Nvidia, there are increasing worries about whether capital expenditures can effectively translate into profits, with over $1.5 trillion in AI-related investments announced globally in recent months [7] Private Market and Cryptocurrency Interactions - The private market is gaining attention from stock market investors, with concerns arising from a major bankruptcy in the private credit sector, where companies previously financed at low rates now face high refinancing pressures [9] - The downturn in the cryptocurrency market has further dampened market sentiment, with significant sell-offs from companies heavily invested in cryptocurrencies, leading to a 37% drop in related trading strategies this month [9] Leverage and Market Dynamics - Current market volatility is closely linked to leveraged trading and year-end profit-taking, with broker-dealer financing balances reaching a historic high of $1.1 trillion by the end of October [11] - High leverage can amplify gains during market upswings but increases risks during downturns, creating a vicious cycle of selling to meet margin requirements [11][12] Behavioral Finance Factors - Investors are increasingly engaging in profit-taking, despite the S&P 500's 12% year-to-date gain, driven by concerns over potential profit reversals [12] - Collective behavior among hedge fund traders to secure year-end bonuses often leads to simultaneous selling during market weakness, further exacerbating downward pressure [12]

Group 1 - Coinbase's derivatives division plans to expand the trading range of altcoin futures to a 24/7 schedule [1][2] - The newly included cryptocurrencies are Avalanche, Bitcoin Cash, and Cardano, among others [1][2] - Additional specific coins in the expanded trading range include Chainlink, Dogecoin, Hedera, Litecoin, Polkadot, Shiba Inu, Stellar, and SUI [1][2]

Group 1 - Nvidia's strong earnings report alleviated concerns about a potential AI bubble, contributing to a significant market rally with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 700 points before experiencing a subsequent decline [1] - The mixed September jobs report, which showed strong payroll gains but an increase in the unemployment rate to the highest level in four years, contributed to market volatility [2] - Federal Reserve policymakers are adopting a more hawkish stance, casting doubt on the possibility of a rate cut in the near future [2] Group 2 - The decline in bitcoin's price, which has dropped over 30% from earlier highs, is correlated with the stock market's performance, particularly affecting the TQQQ ETF that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index [3][4] - The GENIUS Act, enacted on July 18, has established a regulatory framework for stablecoins, which has diminished bitcoin's transactional role, contributing to its price drop [3] - The selloff in bitcoin may be forcing investors to liquidate stock positions, particularly those who used leverage for crypto investments [4] Group 3 - Bitcoin has become a significant indicator for stock market movements, with algorithms reacting to the relationship between stocks and bitcoin [5] - Investors with substantial holdings in AI-related stocks are also likely to own cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and ethereum, suggesting a connection between the two asset classes [6] - The current liquidity issues in the market may be reflected in the performance of cryptocurrencies, which are seen as leading indicators for equities [6]

Core Insights - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant sell-off, with Bitcoin dropping over 7% and falling below $87,000 for the first time since April [1][2] - Other cryptocurrencies are also seeing declines, with Ethereum down nearly 8% and Solana down 8.37% [1][2] Market Performance - Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at $86,097.4, down 7.09% in the last 24 hours [2] - Ethereum (ETH) is at $2,802.56, down 7.81% [2] - Solana (SOL) is priced at $131.91, down 8.37% [2] - The total liquidation in the cryptocurrency market over the past 24 hours exceeded $900 million, affecting over 252,000 traders [2][3] Market Trends - Bitcoin has erased all its gains for the year, with a cumulative decline of 7.8% since the beginning of the year, marking the first annual drop since 2022 [3] - Large holders have sold over $20 billion in assets since September, following a four-year cycle logic that typically leads to price declines [3] Analyst Opinions - Morgan Stanley's investment strategist suggests that the cryptocurrency market has entered the "autumn" phase of Bitcoin's four-year cycle, advising investors to take profits in preparation for a potential "crypto winter" [3] - Standard Chartered's digital asset research head indicates that the recent price drop aligns with the third major sell-off in the current cycle, suggesting that Bitcoin prices may have reached a bottom [4]

Dawson补充说，"科技估值波动的火药桶"可能会使比特币在年底前跌至7.5万美元，尽管价格应该很快从这一水平反弹。根据在线期权平台Derive.xyz的数 据，比特币在年底跌破9万美元的可能性已上升至50%，因为交易员加大了对冲力度，以应对世界上最大的加密货币的进一步下跌。此外，期权市场认为比 特币在2025年突破10万美元的可能性只有30%。 澳大利亚堪培拉Derive.xyz的研究主管Sean Dawson表示："比特币价格目前非常脆弱，并倾向于下跌。之前的牛市驱动因素，如降息……已经失败，阻碍了 价格上涨的势头。换句话说，地平线上几乎没有什么值得看涨的。"Dawson估计，在过去30天里，多头和空头头寸的加密货币清算总额为82.5亿美元。 王滢波表示，对于普通投资者而言，这个充满内在冲突的宏大实验，远非通往财务自由的捷径，而是一个风险极高、逻辑脆弱的场所。保持距离，是避免成 为这个宏大叙事殉葬品的最明智选择。 机资本的最大魅力"暴涨的可能性"便将消失，支撑其当前高估值的投机基础便会瓦解。 "比特币面临一个逻辑上的死循环。"上海社会科学院数字经济学者王滢波向《华夏时报》记者表示，其高昂的价格依赖于"未来 ...