Content: --------- <doc id='1'>金融工程日报 A 股单边下行，AI 应用逆势走强、锂电池产业链全线下挫</doc> <doc id='2'>核心观点 金融工程日报 市场表现：20251121 市场全线下跌，规模指数中上证 50 指数表现较好，板 块指数中上证综指表现较好，风格指数中沪深 300 价值指数表现较好。行业 指数全线下跌，家电、传媒、食品饮料、银行、农林牧渔行业表现较好，综 合、有色金属、基础化工、通信、电子行业表现较差。中船系、水产、小红 书平台、拼多多合作商、短剧游戏等概念表现较好，锂矿、锂电正极、锂电 隔膜、盐湖提锂、锂电电解液等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：20251121 收盘时有 33 只股票涨停，有 107 只股票跌停。昨日涨 停股票今日表现低迷，赚钱效应较弱，高开低走，收盘收益为-0.55%，昨日 跌停股票今日收盘收益为-5.58%。今日封板率 61%，较前日提升 10%，连板 率 24%，较前日下降 0%。 市场资金流向：截至 20251120 两融余额为 24917 亿元，其中融资余额 24744 亿元，融券余额 173 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.6%，两融交易占市 场成交额比重为 10.1%。</doc> <doc id='3'>折溢价：20251120 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是创科技 ETF，ETF 折价较多的是芯 片 ETF 景顺。近半年以来大宗交易日均成交金额达到 20 亿元，20251120 当 日大宗交易成交金额为 19 亿元，近半年以来平均折价率 6.36%，当日折价率 为 7.71%。近一年以来上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500、中证 1000 股指期货主 力合约的年化贴水率中位数分别为 0.48%、3.39%、10.86%、13.39%，当日上 证 50 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 4.00%，处于近一年来 29%分位点，当 日沪深 300 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 7.08%，处于近一年来 25%分位 点；当日中证 500 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 8.69%，处于近一年来 69% 分位点；当日中证 1000 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 8.76%，处于近一年 来 80%分位点。</doc> <doc id='4'>机构关注与龙虎榜：近一周内调研机构较多的股票是九号公司-WD、蓝思科 技、泰恩康、中航重机、沃尔德、超颖电子、宏昌科技、斯菱股份等，九号 公司-WD 被 179 家机构调研。20251121 披露龙虎榜数据中，机构专用席位净 流入前十的股票是天华新能、易点天下、安妮股份、久其软件、榕基软件、 古麒绒材、江龙船艇、荃银高科、华瓷股份、神农种业等，机构专用席位净 流出前十的股票是西藏城投、视觉中国、浪潮软件、德力佳、禾信仪器、中 水渔业、梦天家居、亚通精工、南侨食品、北方长龙等。陆股通净流入前十 的股票是天华新能、江龙船艇、英利汽车、国风新材、久其软件、久之洋、 荃银高科、西藏城投、南侨食品等，陆股通净流出前十的股票是华胜天成、 视觉中国、方大炭素、诺德股份、浪潮软件、易点天下、禾信仪器等。 风险提示：市场环境变动风险；本报告基于历史客观数据统计，不构成投资 建议。</doc> <doc id='5'> | 金融工程·数量化投资 | | | --- | --- | | 证券分析师：张欣慰 | 联系人：李子靖 | | 021-60933159 | 021-60875177 | 021-60933159 021-60875177 zhangxinwei1@guosen.com.cn lizijing1@guosen.com.cn S0980520060001 相关研究报告 《金融工程日报-A 股高开低走，封板率创近一个月新低》 —— 2025-11-20 《金融工程日报-沪指震荡收红，水产股集体大涨、黄金股午后 拉升》 ——2025-11-19 《金融工程日报-沪指震荡走低，锂电产业链回调、互联网电商 概念逆势走强》 ——2025-11-18 《金融工程日报-沪指震荡下跌，锂矿题材逆势爆发》 —— 2025-11-17 《金融工程日报-沪指冲高回落，算力、半导体产业链领跌》 — —2025-11-14</doc> <doc id='6'>市场表现 宽基与风格指数表现 今日(20251121，下同) 市场全线下跌，规模指数中，上证 50 指数表现较好，上 证 50 指数下跌 1.74%，沪深 300 指数下跌 2.44%，中证 500 指数下跌 3.46%，中 证 1000 指数下跌 3.72%，中证 2000 指数下跌 3.99%。 板块指数中，上证综指表现较好，上证综指下跌 2.45%，深证综指下跌 3.43%，中 小 100 指数下跌 3.25%，创业板指下跌 4.02%，科创 50 指数下跌 3.19%，科创 100 指数下跌 4.04%，北证 50 指数下跌 4.71%。 风格指数中，沪深 300 价值指数表现较好，沪深 300 价值指数下跌 1.70%，沪深 300 成长指数下跌 2.47%，中证 500 价值指数下跌 3.30%，中证 500 成长指数下跌 3.16%。主要宽基、板块及风格指数今日表现如下图所示。</doc> <doc id='7'>图1：今日宽基、板块与风格指数表现 行业指数表现 今日行业指数全线下跌，家电、传媒、食品饮料、银行、农林牧渔行业表现较好， 收益分别为-0.27%、-0.50%、-0.89%、-1.00%、-1.58%，综合、有色金属、基础 化工、通信、电子行业表现较差，收益分别为-5.41%、-5.30%、-5.26%、-4.59%、 -4.41%，中信一级行业指数今日表现如下图所示。</doc> <doc id='8'>资料来源：Wind，国信证券经济研究所整理</doc> <doc id='9'>图2：今日中信一级行业指数表现 概念主题表现 今日中船系、水产、小红书平台、拼多多合作商、短剧游戏等概念表现较好，收 益分别为 3.51%、0.65%、0.47%、0.42%、0.22%，锂矿、锂电正极、锂电隔膜、 盐湖提锂、锂电电解液等概念表现较差，收益分别为-9.67%、-8.66%、-8.18%、 -8.08%、-7.99%，今日收益较高与较低的前十个概念指数表现如下图所示。</doc> <doc id='10'>资料来源：Wind，国信证券经济研究所整理</doc> <doc id='11'>图3：今日收益较高与较低的前十个概念指数 资料来源：Wind，国信证券经济研究所整理</doc> <doc id='12'>市场情绪 日内涨跌停家数 我们统计上市满 3 个月以上的股票在今日盘中的实时涨跌停家数情况。今日盘中 最高有 33 只股票

Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a broad decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3850 points, while market volume saw a slight increase [2][5] - The performance of various sectors showed that home appliance manufacturing, media and internet, food and beverage, and banking sectors performed relatively well, while metal materials and mining, power and new energy equipment, and electronics sectors led the decline [2][5] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 2.45%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 3.41%, the ChiNext Index dropped by 4.02%, the SSE 50 Index declined by 1.74%, the CSI 300 Index decreased by 2.44%, the STAR 50 Index fell by 3.19%, and the CSI 1000 Index dropped by 3.72%, with a total market turnover of approximately 1.98 trillion yuan [2][8] Sector Analysis - The leading sectors included home appliance manufacturing, media and internet, food and beverage, and banking, while the lagging sectors were metal materials and mining (-5.11%), power and new energy equipment (-4.78%), and electronics (-4.66%) [8] - Concept stocks such as China Shipbuilding System (+3.51%), aquatic products (+0.65%), Xiaohongshu platform (+0.47%), and Pinduoduo partners (+0.42%) showed gains, while lithium mining and related concepts faced declines [8] Market Drivers - Key market drivers included the unexpected rise in U.S. unemployment rates despite job growth, leading to uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [8] - Concerns about high asset prices and AI bubble risks contributed to a decline in U.S. stocks, which in turn affected market sentiment in the Asia-Pacific region [8] Short-term and Long-term Outlook - The report suggests a short-term market correction may occur due to rapid price increases, but the long-term outlook remains positive with expectations of a "slow bull" market trend [14] - In the medium term, the market's strength may depend on macroeconomic policies and technological advancements, particularly in AI and robotics, which are seen as key areas for creating new demand [15] - Long-term fundamentals, including stabilization in the real estate market and the effectiveness of "anti-involution" policies, are expected to support continued growth in the A-share market [15]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the China Shipbuilding System concept has seen a significant increase of 3.24%, leading the concept sector in terms of growth [1][2] - Within the China Shipbuilding System concept, six stocks experienced gains, with Jiuzhiyang, China Ship Defense, and Kunshan Intelligent showing the highest increases of 15.63%, 6.37%, and 6.18% respectively [1][2] - Conversely, the stocks that faced the largest declines included China Ship Special Gas, China Power, and ST Emergency, which fell by 3.47%, 1.28%, and 0.68% respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The main funds flow into the China Shipbuilding System concept amounted to a net inflow of 129 million yuan, with significant contributions from stocks like China Ship Defense, which saw a net inflow of 199 million yuan [2][3] - The net inflow ratios for Jiuzhiyang, China Ship Defense, and China Ship Technology were 8.44%, 7.41%, and 5.84% respectively, indicating strong investor interest [3] - The trading volume and turnover rates for the leading stocks in the China Shipbuilding System concept were notable, with Jiuzhiyang having a turnover rate of 15.15% and China Ship Defense at 10.99% [3][4]

Strong Stocks - As of November 21, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 2.45% to 3834.89 points, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 3.41% to 12538.07 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 4.02% to 2920.08 points [1] - A total of 33 stocks in the A-share market hit the daily limit up, with the top three strong stocks being Zhongshui Fishery (000798), Rongji Software (002474), and Huaci Co., Ltd. (001216) [1] - Zhongshui Fishery recorded a 6-day consecutive limit up with a turnover rate of 26.46% and a transaction amount of 1.416 billion yuan, while Rongji Software achieved a 5-day consecutive limit up with a turnover rate of 39.35% and a transaction amount of 2.538 billion yuan [1] - The top 10 strong stocks are detailed in a table, highlighting their consecutive limit up days, turnover rates, transaction amounts, net buying amounts, and industry classifications [1] Strong Concept Sectors - The top three concept sectors with the highest increase in A-shares are the China Shipbuilding System, Sora Concept (Wensheng Video), and Kuaishou Concept [2] - The China Shipbuilding System increased by 3.24%, with 60% of its constituent stocks rising, while the Sora Concept saw a slight increase of 0.31% with 39.02% of its stocks rising [2] - The Kuaishou Concept experienced a decline of 0.43%, with 35.42% of its constituent stocks rising, indicating a mixed performance across the sectors [2]

今天打开行情软件，估计不少朋友都倒吸一口凉气吧？沪指直接低开低走失守3900点，跌了2.45%，深证成指和创业板指跌得更狠，全市场超5000只个股飘 绿，手里的票要么绿油油要么原地踏步，是不是越看越慌，甚至想点开卖出键割肉离场？ 作为跑了20年财经的老记者，也是盯着中长线做投资的老兵，帮主见过太多这样的恐慌时刻。从2008年的1664点到2018年的2440点，每次市场跌得大家直 呼"扛不住"的时候，其实都是情绪在主导，而非基本面真的塌了。今天这波下跌也一样，前期涨得火的电池、能源金属、硅能源这些赛道股，不少资金赚了 钱想年末落袋为安，加上3900点这个心理关口一破，杠杆资金和止损盘集中出逃，越卖越跌形成了恶性循环，就像菜市场没人抢菜，商贩只能降价甩卖，不 管菜品好坏先清仓再说。 下周操作，帮主给中长线朋友三个实在建议。第一，绝对别割肉，尤其是手里拿着消费、金融、优质制造龙头的朋友，现在割肉就是把便宜筹码在地板上送 给别人，咱们做中长线图的是稳，不是跟着短期波动追涨杀跌。第二，分批布局，重点关注两类标的：一类是高股息的银行、公用事业股，它们分红稳定， 就像投资里的"压舱石"，现在股息率比不少理财还高；另一类是 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 2.45% to close at 3834.89 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index dropping by 3.41% to 12538.07 points. The ChiNext Index decreased by 4.02% to 2920.08 points. Overall, 351 stocks rose while 5071 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 17082 billion yuan, an increase of 2575 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][12]. Industry Performance - Most of the Shenwan first-level industries saw declines today. The media, home appliances, and food and beverage sectors experienced relatively smaller declines of 0.32%, 0.40%, and 0.88% respectively. In contrast, industries such as comprehensive, non-ferrous metals, electric equipment, basic chemicals, electronics, communications, steel, and environmental protection faced larger declines, with drops of 5.50%, 5.26%, 5.17%, 4.70%, 4.58%, 4.51%, 4.40%, and 4.00% respectively [1][12]. Concept Sector Performance - The concept sectors that saw the largest gains today included the China Shipbuilding System, aquatic products, Xiaohongshu platform, Pinduoduo partners, short drama games, virtual humans, and Kimi. Conversely, sectors such as lithium mining, lithium battery anodes, and lithium extraction from salt lakes experienced corrections [2][11].

Market Performance - Major Asia-Pacific stock indices closed mostly lower, with the Nikkei 225 index down 2.4% and the Korean Composite Index down 3.78% [1] - The A-share market experienced fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 2.45%, the Shenzhen Component down 3.41%, and the ChiNext Index down 4.02% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.98 trillion, an increase of 261 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The AI application sector showed strength, with Rongji Software (002474) achieving five consecutive trading limits [1] - The military industry sector performed actively, with Jiuzhiyang (300516) hitting the upper limit, while Jianglong Shipbuilding (300589) and Tianhai Defense (300008) also saw significant gains [1] - The lithium battery industry chain faced a collective adjustment, with multiple stocks, including Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240), hitting the lower limit [1] - The semiconductor, consumer electronics, photovoltaic, and fintech sectors experienced notable declines [1] Notable Stocks - N Dapeng, a new stock on the Beijing Stock Exchange, surged over 1500% intraday and closed up 1211.11%, with a turnover rate exceeding 98% [2] - The stock is involved in the production of specialized intelligent equipment for industrial precision cleaning, primarily used in vehicle powertrains and core components of new energy systems [2] - The stock of HeFu China (603122) opened significantly lower and quickly fell to the limit down after a previous surge [3] International Market Trends - The Nikkei 225 index closed at 48,625.88, down 2.4%, and has decreased 3.48% for the week [4] - Major weight stocks in Japan, particularly AI concept stocks, saw significant declines, with Advantest down 12.1% and SoftBank Group down 10.9% [4] - The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong fell 2.13%, with notable declines in JD Health, SMIC, and Alibaba [3] Commodity Prices - Gold prices fell by 1.13% to $4,030.51 per ounce, while silver dropped by 2.7% to $49.262 per ounce [6] - Oil prices also declined, with NYMEX WTI crude down 1.25% to $58.26 per barrel and ICE Brent crude down 1.1% to $62.68 per barrel [7] - Cryptocurrencies continued their downward trend, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin all dropping over 7%, marking Bitcoin's first drop below $87,000 since April [6]

Market Overview - The market experienced significant fluctuations on November 21, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling over 2% and the ChiNext Index dropping more than 4% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.97 trillion yuan, an increase of 257.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Nearly 5,100 stocks in the market declined, indicating a widespread downturn [1] Sector Performance - The AI application sector showed resilience, with Rongji Software achieving five consecutive trading limits [1] - The military industry sector was active, with stocks like Jiuzhiyang hitting the daily limit, while Jianglong Shipbuilding and Tianhai Defense saw significant gains [1] - Conversely, the lithium battery industry chain faced a collective adjustment, with stocks such as Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting the daily limit down [1] - The organic silicon concept experienced a rapid decline, with Chenguang New Materials also hitting the daily limit down [1] - The storage chip sector continued to weaken, with Demingli and Shikong Technology hitting the daily limit down [1] Index Performance - By the end of the trading session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 2.41%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 3.41%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 4.02% [1]

截至收盘，沪指跌2.45%，深成指跌3.41%，创业板指跌4.02%。 盘面上个股普跌，全市场近5100只个股下跌，99只个股跌停。从板块来看，AI应用概念逆势走强，榕基软件5连板。军工板块表现活跃，久之洋20cm 触及涨停，江龙船艇、天海防务逆势大涨。下跌方面，锂电池产业链集体调整，盛新锂能等多股跌停。有机硅概念快速下跌，晨光新材跌停。存储 芯片概念持续走弱，德明利、时空科技跌停。 板块方面，中船系、AI应用等板块涨幅居前，电池、硅能源、锂矿等板块跌幅居前。 今日A股市场全天震荡调整，沪指跌超2%，创业板指跌超4%。沪深两市成交额1.97万亿，较上一个交易日放量2575亿。 准确 快速 权威 专业 下载财联社APP获取更多资讯 7x24h电报 头条新闻 VIP资讯 实时盯盘 ...

A股三大指数集体收跌，截至收盘，上证指数跌2.45%，深证成指跌3.41%，创业板指跌4.02%，北证50 跌4.71%。沪深京三市全天成交额19836亿元，较上日放量2610亿元。全市场超5000只个股下跌。板块 题材上，中船系、Sora概念活跃，电池、能源金属、硅能源板块调整。盘面上，中船系板块活跃，久之 洋涨超15%。Sora概念部分活跃，易点天下、视觉中国涨停封板。电池板块全线走弱，天华新能、星源 材质、宏工科技等数十只跌超10%，德新科技等数只个股跌停。能源金属大幅调整，赣锋锂业、天齐锂 业等数只个股跌停。硅能源板块调整，大为股份、晨光新材跌停。 ...