Core Viewpoint - In May 2023, China's total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 6.4% year-on-year, driven by various factors including holiday consumption, promotional events, and the "old-for-new" policy [1] Group 1: Consumption Growth Drivers - The "old-for-new" policy has significantly boosted consumer spending, with retail sales of home appliances, audio-visual equipment, communication devices, and furniture increasing by 53%, 33%, 30.5%, and 25.6% respectively, contributing 1.9 percentage points to the total retail sales growth [3] - The "6·18" online shopping festival, which started on May 13, has accelerated online retail sales, with a 6.3% year-on-year increase in physical goods online retail from January to May, accounting for 24.5% of total retail sales [3] - Holiday consumption showed positive trends, with domestic tourism during the "May Day" holiday increasing by 6.4% year-on-year, and restaurant income in May rising by 5.9% [4] Group 2: Emerging Consumption Trends - There is a continuous release of new consumption momentum, with retail sales of sports and entertainment goods and gold and silver jewelry increasing by 28.3% and 21.8% year-on-year respectively [4] - The expansion of the visa-free entry policy has enhanced consumer activity, with inbound tourists under the visa exemption policy increasing by over 70% during the "May Day" holiday, leading to a significant rise in tourism orders and payment transactions [4]

日本央行行长植田和男：随着实际工资逐步改善，消费有望维持温和增长趋势。 ...

Macro Economic Group - In April, industrial added value increased by 6.1% year-on-year, exceeding WIND's expectation of 5.2%, but down 1.6 percentage points from March. The cumulative year-on-year growth from January to April is 6.45%, which is 0.6 percentage points higher than last year's total [3] - The total retail sales of consumer goods in April nominally grew by 5.1%, lower than WIND's expectation of 5.5%, with a cumulative year-on-year growth of 4.7% from January to April, which is 1.2 percentage points higher than last year [3] - Fixed asset investment cumulative year-on-year growth from January to April is 4.0%, below WIND's expectation of 4.3%, but still 1.0 percentage points higher than last year [3] - The trade surplus for January to April reached USD 368.8 billion, an increase of USD 113.9 billion year-on-year, with a year-on-year growth rate of 44.7% [4] Strategy and Advanced Manufacturing Group - Leap Motor reported a loss attributable to equity holders of RMB 130 million in Q1 2025, significantly reduced from a loss of RMB 1.01 billion in the same period of 2024. Revenue for Q1 2025 was RMB 10.02 billion, a year-on-year increase of 187.1%, driven by a 162% increase in vehicle sales to 87,552 units [7] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 reached a historical high of 14.9%, compared to -1.4% in the same period of 2024 and 13.3% in Q4 2024. The collaboration with Stellantis in Europe provides a competitive advantage for Leap Motor in the European market [7] Consumer Group - In April 2025, the online sales of trendy toys and anime products reached RMB 1.31 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 48%, continuing the rapid growth trend from Q1 [10] - Domestic trendy toy brands performed well, with Pop Mart's online sales increasing by 287% year-on-year, and LABUBU series products experiencing a buying frenzy in overseas markets [11] - During the 618 shopping festival, various e-commerce platforms adjusted their promotional strategies, with Tmall starting its campaign earlier and simplifying discount structures, which is expected to significantly reduce return rates [12]

Core Viewpoints - The current macroeconomic environment shows mixed signals, with some companies facing operational pressures while positive trends in consumption, industry, and capital markets are emerging [2] Employment Issues - The total number of employees in manufacturing listed companies reached 16.01 million in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, down from 4.1% in the previous year [4][14] - Employment growth is primarily driven by the automotive manufacturing and computer communication electronics sectors, which contributed nearly all of the employment increase [4][14] Income Distribution - The average salary in the manufacturing sector is projected to be 176,000 yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 4.4%, aligning closely with the growth rate of urban residents' disposable income [5][20] - The ratio of manufacturing average salary to financial industry salary has increased, reaching its highest level since 2012, indicating a favorable environment for talent influx into manufacturing [5][20] Profitability Issues - Manufacturing companies are experiencing profitability pressure, with operating profit declining by 12.2% year-on-year in 2024, and the operating profit margin dropping from 6.6% in 2023 to 5.7% in 2024 [6][24] - The profitability pressure index for the industrial sector has risen to 10.5%, indicating increased pressure compared to 7.7% in 2023 [6][25] Investment Returns - The estimated investment return for manufacturing listed companies is approximately 5.4% in 2024, down from 6.4% in the previous year, marking a decline in absolute levels [7][33] - Despite the overall decline, certain sectors such as leather, computer communication electronics, and general equipment have shown a rebound in investment returns [7][33] Asset and Liability Issues - Total assets of manufacturing listed companies grew by 5.1% year-on-year in 2024, but the growth rate has slowed compared to previous years [8][36] - The asset-liability ratio has continued to rise, reaching 52% in 2024, indicating increasing debt levels [8][36] Cash Flow - The accounts receivable turnover days increased to 57.1 days in 2024, indicating greater collection pressure [9][45] - The growth rate of monetary funds for non-financial A-share companies turned negative at -1.9% in 2024, with manufacturing experiencing a significant decline to -2.8% [9][45] Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure for manufacturing listed companies decreased by 11.1% year-on-year in 2024, contrasting with a growth of 3.4% in the previous year [10][48] - Newly listed companies have shown a significant increase in capital expenditure, with a growth rate of 23.7% in 2023-2024, indicating a divergence from established firms [10][48] Financing Issues - The growth rate of interest-bearing debt for manufacturing listed companies slowed to 6.8% in 2024, continuing a trend of deceleration since 2022 [11][57] - The interest burden has decreased, with the ratio of interest expenses to interest-bearing debt falling to 3.36% in 2024, indicating a reduction in debt servicing costs [11][57]

NO.1 央行等部门5月7日上午将介绍"金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况 国务院新闻办公室5月6日消息，国务院新闻办公室将于5月7日上午9时举行新闻发布会，请中国人民银 行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证券监督管理委员会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预 期"有关情况，并答记者问。 NO.2 财政部蓝佛安：有信心实现2025年的5%左右增长目标 每经记者 杨建 每经编辑 肖芮冬 ｜2025年5月7日 星期三｜ 2025年5月4日至7日，亚洲开发银行理事会第58届年会在意大利米兰举行。蓝佛安指出，中国是经济全 球化的受益者也是贡献者，近年来对全球经济增长的贡献率保持在30%左右。今年一季度GDP同比增长 5.4%，实现良好开局。中方将采取更加积极有为的宏观政策，有信心实现2025年的5%左右增长目标。 中国将继续建设国内统一大市场，扩大高水平对外开放，同世界特别是亚太成员分享中国发展机遇与红 利，携手应对时代挑战，共创亚太美好未来。 NO.3 我国首次海洋性冰川航空探测启动，调查点位海拔超过4700米 据央视新闻报道，5月6日，自然资源部中国地质调查局将在西藏昌都正式开展我国首次海洋性冰川航空 探测，以掌 ...

文旅市场热度攀升，电影文博持续火热，重点零售和餐饮企业销售额保持快速增长，邮政快递业加速与 文旅产业深度融合……"五一"假期，全国消费市场繁荣活跃，呈现出高质量发展的良好态势。 出行热情持续高涨 "五一"假期，民众出行热情高涨。铁路、公路、水路、民航等部门全面联动，全力保障交通运输的安全 与顺畅，为民众的出行提供便利。 交通运输部最新数据，5月1日至5日，全社会跨区域人员流动量146594万人次，日均29319万人次，比上 年同期增长7.9%。 国家税务总局最新增值税发票数据显示，"五一"假期，全国消费相关行业销售收入同比增长15.2%，其 中消费品"以旧换新"政策带动家电及通讯器材类商品消费需求旺盛，家居用品及珠宝首饰消费增幅较 高，个性化旅游服务消费受到青睐。 据商务部商务大数据监测，"五一"假期，全国消费市场繁荣，全国重点零售和餐饮企业销售额同比增长 6.3%。 数据显示，"五一"假期全国边检机关共保障1089.6万人次中外人员出入境，日均217.9万人次，较去 年"五一"假期增长28.7%。外国人出入境111.5万人次，较去年同期增长43.1%；入境外国人中，适用免 签政策入境38万人次，较去年同期增 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - In 2025, gold purchases are becoming a preferred investment choice for residents in Beijing amid negative consumption growth [2][4] - Beijing's retail sales of consumer goods decreased by 3.3% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with gold and jewelry consumption showing a significant increase of 29% [2][4] - In March 2025, gold and jewelry consumption reached 78.7 billion yuan, ranking just below automotive and communication equipment categories [2] Group 2: Gold Price Trends - The price of gold has been on the rise, with a 28.2% increase in the closing price of Au9999 gold in 2024 and a further 27.8% increase in 2025 [2][6] - The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset has been highlighted due to geopolitical uncertainties and economic instability, leading to increased investment in gold bars and coins [6] Group 3: Consumer Behavior - There is a notable divergence in gold consumption trends, with gold jewelry consumption declining by 26.85% in Q1 2025, while gold bars and coins saw a growth of 29.81% [6] - The overall consumer spending in Beijing has been affected by various factors, including insufficient effective demand and intense market competition [4][10] Group 4: Economic Context - The overall economic environment in Beijing has shown signs of slowing recovery, with the first quarter of 2025 reflecting a decline in various consumer sectors, particularly in the restaurant and hospitality industries [8][10] - Employment in the service sector has also been impacted, with a decrease in the number of employees in key industries such as catering and information technology [9][10]

Group 1: Consumption Trends - March retail sales data for consumer goods exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year growth of 5.9% in March and a cumulative growth of 4.6% for the first quarter[14] - Price reductions in essential goods, particularly in food and daily necessities, have led to improved sales volumes, with all price-reduced categories achieving positive year-on-year sales growth for three consecutive months[4] - The learning tablet market saw a significant increase, with sales volume up 29.4% and sales revenue up 15.8% in Q1 2025, driven by government subsidies and promotional efforts[8] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The first quarter GDP growth was 5.4%, consistent with the previous quarter and better than the 5% growth for the entire year of 2024[18] - The cumulative fixed asset investment growth rate was 4.2% in March, with significant contributions from transportation infrastructure and equipment upgrades[18] - The social financing scale increased by 58,879 billion yuan in March, a year-on-year increase of 10,544 billion yuan, indicating a positive trend in credit availability[22] Group 3: Market Risks - Potential risks include fluctuating statements regarding tariffs from the U.S., which could impact market stability[23] - The restructuring of supply chains due to tariffs may lead to global growth slowdowns and overcapacity risks[23]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - In Q1 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.4% year-on-year at constant prices, with a 1.2% quarter-on-quarter increase compared to Q4 2024. The added value of the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries increased by 3.5%, 5.9%, and 5.3% respectively [4]. - The added value of large-scale industrial enterprises increased by 6.5% year-on-year in Q1 2025, accelerating by 0.7 percentage points compared to the whole of last year. In March, it increased by 7.7% year-on-year, accelerating by 1.8 percentage points compared to January - February [4]. - The added value of the service industry increased by 5.3% year-on-year in Q1 2025, accelerating by 0.3 percentage points compared to the whole of last year. In March, the service industry production index increased by 6.3% year-on-year, accelerating by 0.7 percentage points compared to January - February [4]. - In Q1 2025, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) increased by 4.2% year-on-year, accelerating by 1.0 percentage point compared to the whole of last year. Excluding real estate development investment, it increased by 8.3% [4]. - In Q1 2025, total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.6% year-on-year, accelerating by 1.1 percentage points compared to the whole of last year. In March, it increased by 5.9% year-on-year, accelerating by 1.9 percentage points compared to January - February [5]. - In Q1 2025, the national surveyed urban unemployment rate averaged 5.3%. In March, it was 5.2%, a 0.2 percentage point decrease from the previous month [5]. - In Q1 2025, the per capita disposable income of national residents was 12,179 yuan, a nominal increase of 5.5% year-on-year, and a real increase of 5.6% after deducting price factors [5]. - In Q1 2025, the total volume of goods imports and exports was 10.3013 trillion yuan, a 1.3% year-on-year increase. Exports were 6.1314 trillion yuan, a 6.9% increase, while imports were 4.17 trillion yuan, a 6.0% decrease [5]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs National Economic Accounting - GDP quarterly growth rates from 2022 - 2025 are presented, showing trends in different industries such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, industry, construction, and services [7]. - Contribution rates of different industries to GDP growth are provided, including agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, industry, construction, and various service - related sectors [13]. Industry Industrial Growth Rate - The added value of large - scale industrial enterprises showed different growth rates in different industries and time periods. For example, in March 2025, it increased by 7.7% year-on-year [4][21]. - Different industries such as coal mining, oil and gas extraction, and农副食品 processing had varying year-on-year growth rates of added value in different months [21]. Main Output of Large - Scale Industry - Output data of various industrial products from 2024 - 2025 are presented, including energy products (e.g., crude oil, coal), industrial raw materials (e.g., ethylene, chemical fiber), and finished products (e.g., automobiles, smartphones) [23]. Industry Electricity Consumption - Electricity consumption growth rates of different industries from 2023 - 2024 are provided, such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, mining, and manufacturing [31]. Industrial Enterprise Profits - In January - February 2025, the total profit of large - scale industrial enterprises was 910.99 billion yuan, a 0.3% year-on-year decrease. Different industries had different profit growth or decline situations [34]. - The profit situation of different industrial categories (mining, manufacturing, and production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water) in January - February 2025 is presented, with mining showing a decline, manufacturing an increase, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water a significant increase [38]. Industrial Enterprise Inventory - As of the end of February 2025, the finished - product inventory of large - scale industrial enterprises was 6.37 trillion yuan, a 4.2% increase, with an improvement in the inventory situation compared to December last year [43]. - Inventory data of large - scale industrial enterprises in different industries and time periods from 2024 - 2025 are provided, showing trends in different industrial chains [45]. Price Index CPI - In March 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.1% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month. Different categories of consumer goods had different price changes [48]. - CPI data of different consumer goods categories from 2024 - 2025 are presented, including food, clothing, housing, and transportation [49]. PPI - In March 2025, the national industrial producer price index (PPI) decreased by 2.5% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month, with different price changes in production and living materials [55]. - PPI data of different industries from 2024 - 2025 are provided, such as mining, raw materials, and processing industries [55][58]. Real Estate - Data on the price indices (year - on - year and month - on - month) of newly built commercial residential buildings in 70 large and medium - sized cities from 2015 - 2025 are presented, showing different trends in first - tier, second - tier, and third - tier cities [62][64].