Core Viewpoint - Safe-haven traders are focusing on a bill vote that could fund the U.S. government through January, leading to an increase in December-dated gold futures, which are up 2.3% at $4,213.10 [1] Company Summaries Newmont Corporation (NEM) - NEM shares are up 3.8% at $93.44, marking a sixth consecutive daily gain and approaching the record high of $98.58 reached on October 16 [2] - The stock has been on a long-term uptrend, supported by the ascending 80-day moving average [2] Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (HMY) - HMY shares have increased by 6.1%, trading at $18.97, and are set for a fourth consecutive rise [4] - The stock has shown a remarkable 131% year-to-date gain and is in recovery after a decline from the October 16 record peak of $22.25, having bounced off the 180-day trendline earlier this month [4]

短期阻力与长期预测：4150美元关口成关键 尽管涨势凶猛，但金价短期并非没有压力。当前国际黄金在4148美元附近遭遇技术阻力，下方支撑位在4118美元，若跌破可能回调至4096美元甚 至4040美元区间。不过，长期趋势仍被机构看好：摩根大通私人银行预测，到2026年底金价可能突破5000美元，较当前再涨25%以上。其逻辑在 于：全球央行购金节奏难放缓，地缘冲突或长期化，而美联储降息周期下，实际利率下行将进一步推高黄金吸引力。 普通人如何应对？记住这3条"避坑指南" 面对金价狂飙，普通投资者需保持理性：1. 刚需买金饰优先选克重款，避开"一口价"陷阱，对比工费并保留发票；2. 投资黄金远离无资质平台， 建议将黄金配置比例控制在总资产的5%-10%，避免"押注式"买入；3. 变现时选择银行或正规金店，提前问清回收价与手续费，警惕"高价回收"套 路。 2025年的黄金市场，用"疯狂"二字形容毫不为过——国际现货黄金价格一度冲破4145美元/盎司，沪金期货飙至952元/克，金饰价格更是直逼1300 元/克大关。年初至今，金价累计涨幅近50%，较10年前暴涨300%，创下30年来最猛涨势。全球投资者都在追问：这波行情还 ...

格隆汇11月11日｜黄金期货上涨0.5%，此前参议院在周一晚些时候通过了一项旨在结束创纪录政府停 摆的支出方案。投资者可能认为，政府的重新开放意味着美联储在十二月再次降息的几率有所提高。瑞 穗证券分析师Robert Yawger解释说："当利率走低时，黄金往往会吸引资金流入。如果我可以在飙升的 黄金市场上获得10%的收益，我就不会把钱投入3.75%的债券。"黄金价格保持在接近历史最高水平，并 且似乎在经历了十月份大部分时间的下跌后正在弥补失地。 ...

摘要周二（11月11日）欧市早盘，贵金属市场表现强劲。经过一段时间的盘整，黄金获得了强劲的势 头。白银攀升至重要的心理关口50美元上方。贵金属需求增加，铂金上涨2.7%。现货黄金延续涨势， 一度触及4120关口，刷新近两周高点。白银涨幅超4%。美国经济数据疲软、美联储降息预期升温，凸 显黄金避险魅力。 周二（11月11日）欧市早盘，贵金属市场强势上扬。黄金在经历一段时间的震荡整理后，多头动能十 足。白银价格突破关键心理阻力位50美元大关。铂金受需求增长推动，涨幅达2.7%。现货黄金持续走 高，盘中最高触及4120关口，创近两周新高。白银日内涨幅超过4%。美国经济数据不及预期，强化了 市场对美联储降息的预期，凸显黄金作为避险资产的独特魅力。 【要闻速递】 首先，尽管美国政府停摆问题尚未完全解决，但参议院两党已重启谈判并释放积极信号，提振了市场风 险情绪。 此外，美联储官员表态分歧越发凸显，旧金山联储主席戴利支持保持降息开放态度，而圣路易斯联储主 席则呼吁谨慎，这种政策不确定性将继续影响市场节奏。 当前黄金呈现冲高回落态势，短线需重点关注前期下跌反弹形成的关键阻力区间4161-4154-4144美元/盎 司，该区 ...

经过整整41天的政府停摆，美国参议院终于在当地时间周一（11月10日）达成关键协议，定于当晚启动 一系列8项表决，其中最后一项就是通过短期政府资金法案，预计将以微弱优势过关。这场罕见的周日 深夜会议，以60比40票艰难推进法案，正式宣告"重开政府"进入倒计时。一旦参议院通过，法案将立即 移交众议院，议长迈克·约翰逊放话：最快周三就能表决。 展望后市，黄金的前景一片光明。到今年年底，金价可能在每盎司4200美元至4300美元之间徘徊，而明 年第一季度，每盎司5000美元仍是一个合理目标。这一乐观预期建立在持续的降息路径、经济不确定性 和地缘贸易摩擦之上。尽管股市在AI相关股（如英伟达上涨5.8%、Palantir大涨8.8%）带动下跳涨 1.54%，标普500收于6832.43点，纳斯达克上涨2.27%，但黄金作为多元化资产的地位无可动摇。政府停 摆结束将释放部分经济压力，但数据缺口和美联储分歧将持续发酵，黄金将在低利率与避险双轮驱动 下，继续闪耀。投资者应密切关注美国政府如果结束停摆后将公布的非农就业等关键数据，以及美联储 官员讲话和市场对12月会议预期变化。 周二（11月11日）亚市早盘，现货黄金延续隔夜涨 ...

Core Insights - The gold price has surged significantly, with domestic gold jewelry prices exceeding 1300 yuan per gram, driven by weak U.S. economic data and rising expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [1][7]. Group 1: International and Domestic Market Trends - As of 11:50 AM, international gold prices showed strong performance, with London spot gold at $4136 per ounce and U.S. gold at $4146 per ounce, reflecting a 0.74% increase from the previous trading day [3]. - Domestic gold prices also rose, with spot gold reaching 952.66 yuan per gram, silver at 11.6 yuan per gram, and platinum at 364.9 yuan per gram, indicating a "volume and price increase" trend in the market [3]. Group 2: Brand Jewelry Price Increases - The domestic gold retail market experienced a widespread price increase, with major brands adjusting their prices upward. Notably, Lao Feng Xiang and Lao Miao gold reached 1310 yuan per gram, up 37 yuan from the previous day [5]. - Other brands such as Chow Tai Fook, Chow Sang Sang, and King Fook reported prices of 1308 yuan per gram, with daily increases ranging from 29 to 32 yuan [5]. - China Gold and Jin Da Fu reported prices of 1300 yuan and 1301 yuan per gram, respectively, both seeing increases of around 30 yuan [5]. Group 3: Market Influences and Consumer Guidance - The recent rise in gold prices is primarily influenced by global economic expectations and monetary policy directions, with future price movements to be monitored based on international economic data and Federal Reserve policy updates [7]. - For ordinary consumers, the cost of purchasing gold jewelry has increased, suggesting a need for rational planning based on individual needs [8]. - For investors, the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset has grown, although caution regarding short-term volatility is advised [8].

Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that the macroeconomic themes for 2026 will revolve around economic recovery, rising inflation, and the cessation of monetary easing [1] Group 1: Economic Outlook - Economic recovery will determine the direction of asset allocation [1] - Producer Price Index (PPI) and liquidity will dictate the timing of asset allocation [1] - Changes in the risk-return characteristics of assets will inform tactical responses [1] Group 2: Asset Allocation Strategy - Risk assets are expected to maintain a stronger cost-performance ratio compared to safe-haven assets for 2026 [1]

Market Overview - US stock indices opened higher, with the Nasdaq Composite Index rising approximately 2% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index increasing over 2.7% [1] - Major tech stocks showed strong performance, with Micron Technology up over 7% and Nvidia, TSMC rising over 3% [3] Semiconductor Sector - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index reached 7138.03, up 190.58 points, reflecting a 2.74% increase [2] - Notable stock movements included Micron Technology at 254.63 (+7.02%), AMD at 247.21 (+5.85%), and TSMC at 295.51 (+3.14%) [3] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose over 2.2%, with significant gains in stocks such as Canadian Solar (+15.52%) and Xpeng Motors (+13.12%) [4][5] European Market - European stock markets experienced broad gains, with Italy's MIB Index up over 2% and Germany's DAX Index increasing over 1% [6] Gold and Commodities - Spot gold and NYMEX gold prices touched $4100 per ounce, marking a 2.1% increase for spot gold [6] - Predictions for gold prices by the end of 2025 range from $4200 to $4600 per ounce, with varying estimates for 2026 [8] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market rebounded, with Bitcoin reaching $106,000 and Ethereum at $3,579.72, reflecting increases of 2.17% and 1.46% respectively [9] - The total liquidation in the crypto market reached approximately $295 million, with nearly 120,000 traders liquidated [9]

Market Performance - The US stock market opened higher with all three major indices rising, particularly strong performance in technology stocks, with the Nasdaq Composite Index up approximately 2% [1] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index increased by over 2.7%, while the Nasdaq Technology Index rose by 2.37% [2] - Notable stock movements include Micron Technology rising over 7%, AMD up 4.8%, and SanDisk surging over 10% after announcing a 50% increase in NAND flash memory contract prices [2][3] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose over 2.2%, with significant gains in Chinese companies such as Canadian Solar up over 15%, Xpeng Motors up over 13%, and Baidu increasing nearly 4% [2][3] European Market - European stock markets experienced broad gains, with Italy's MIB Index rising over 2% and major indices like France's CAC40 and Germany's DAX both increasing by over 1% [3] Commodity Prices - Gold prices reached $4100 per ounce, marking a 2.1% increase, while silver prices rose over 3% [4][5] - Predictions for gold prices by the end of 2025 range from $4200 to $4600 per ounce, with varying estimates for 2026 [5] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market rebounded, with Bitcoin reaching $106,000 and Ethereum surpassing $3,600, reflecting significant trading volume increases [6] - Approximately 119,698 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours, with a total liquidation amount of $295 million [6]

Market Performance - The US stock market opened higher with all three major indices rising, particularly strong performance in technology stocks, with the Nasdaq Composite Index up approximately 2% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index up over 2.7% [1] - Notable stock movements include Micron Technology rising over 7%, AMD up 4.8%, and Nvidia and TSMC both increasing by over 3% [2][3] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by over 2.2%, with significant gains in stocks such as Canadian Solar up over 15% and XPeng Motors up over 13% [2] Commodity Market - Gold prices reached $4100 per ounce, marking the first increase since October 27, with a daily rise of 2.1% for spot gold and 2.07% for NYMEX gold [4] - Predictions for gold prices by the end of 2025 range from $4200 to $4600 per ounce, with varying estimates for 2026, indicating a potential for significant volatility in the short term [6] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market rebounded, with Bitcoin reaching $106,000 and Ethereum surpassing $3,600, reflecting a substantial increase in trading volume and a significant number of liquidations in the market [6][7] - The total trading volume for Bitcoin was reported at $93.446 billion, showing a 55.56% increase over the previous 24 hours [7] Corporate Developments - Burger King China has been sold, with shareholders from Mixue Ice City and Pop Mart taking over, indicating a shift in ownership within the fast-food sector [8] - The market for real estate is seeing a push for the sale of existing homes, with various regions advancing this initiative [8]