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沪指迎“九连阳”,“十五五”规划开局关键蓄势期,把握更多人选择的中证A500ETF(159338)投资机会,近10日净流入超130亿元
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-30 03:41
Group 1 - The current period is crucial for the "14th Five-Year Plan," with expectations for continued loose monetary and active fiscal policies in China by 2026, leading to a potential recovery in total demand [1] - Global fiscal expansion is being synchronized across the US, Europe, and Japan, contributing to gradual demand improvement, with the Federal Reserve likely to maintain a loose policy in 2026, benefiting the A-share market [1] - The CSI A500 Index, which focuses on advanced manufacturing, information technology, communication, pharmaceuticals, and raw materials, is expected to outperform during the economic recovery phase due to its sector allocation [1] Group 2 - The CSI A500 ETF (159338) tracks the CSI A500 Index (000510), which selects samples from leading companies in various industries, ensuring both market capitalization representation and balanced industry distribution [1] - The CSI A500 Index has shown a significant historical performance, with a total increase of 464.08% since its base date, compared to a 362.09% increase for the CSI 300 Index, resulting in an excess return of 101.99% [1] - As of December 29, 2025, the CSI A500 has risen by 22.39% year-to-date, while the CSI 300 Index has increased by 17.90%, yielding an excess return of 4.49% [1] Group 3 - The number of clients for the Guotai CSI A500 ETF is the highest among its peers, with total accounts being more than three times that of the second-ranked product, indicating strong investor interest [2]
两岸圆桌派|汪涛、陈凤馨:大陆过去对台湾是“溺爱”,可惜台湾人没有意识到
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-30 03:23
Core Viewpoint - The ongoing US-China technology war has reached a critical stage, with China making significant advancements in various technology sectors, raising questions about Taiwan's position and future opportunities in this context [1][17]. Group 1: China's Technological Advancements - According to the Australian Strategic Policy Institute's report, China has established a leading position in over 60 out of 70 key technology areas, significantly surpassing the US [5]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes six key areas for technological breakthroughs, including integrated circuits and advanced materials, while also identifying new economic growth points such as quantum technology and hydrogen energy [2][3]. - China's approach to technology development is characterized by a broad exploration of all available technologies rather than a selective focus, allowing for a diverse range of innovations [10][16]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investment - The success of Chinese tech companies like Cambricon and Moore Threads is attributed to market-driven investments rather than government funding, highlighting the importance of private capital in fostering innovation [7][21]. - The shift from government-selected winners to market-selected winners has led to a more dynamic and competitive tech landscape in China, enhancing the conversion of research into commercial applications [8][9]. Group 3: Implications for Taiwan - Taiwan's reliance on TSMC raises concerns about its long-term economic sustainability, as the island lacks other significant industries to support its economy if TSMC were to relocate [24][25]. - The historical investment in the semiconductor industry has created a strong foundation, but there is a pressing need for Taiwan to diversify its economic base beyond TSMC to avoid becoming overly dependent [22][26]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The ongoing technological competition suggests that the US's strategy of containment may be ineffective, as China's advancements continue to challenge the status quo [17][20]. - The potential for collaboration between the US and China is acknowledged, but the technology war is expected to persist, influencing global market dynamics and investment strategies [3][18].
中国铁建谋划“十五五”:在推进重大基础设施建设中勇当先锋
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 02:58
12月30日消息,"十四五"即将收官,"十五五"开启序幕之际,中国铁建总结了"十四五"取得的重大发展 成就,并展望"十五五"发展蓝图与战略规划。中国铁建党委书记、董事长戴和根表示,"十四五"期间, 中国铁建服务国家战略展现新作为,经营发展迈上新台阶,科技创新实现新突破,深化改革激发新活 力,牢牢把握高质量发展这一首要任务,推动企业发展实现了系统性提升、历史性跨越。 12月30日消息,"十四五"即将收官,"十五五"开启序幕之际,中国铁建总结了"十四五"取得的重大发展 成就,并展望"十五五"发展蓝图与战略规划。中国铁建党委书记、董事长戴和根表示,"十四五"期间, 中国铁建服务国家战略展现新作为,经营发展迈上新台阶,科技创新实现新突破,深化改革激发新活 力,牢牢把握高质量发展这一首要任务,推动企业发展实现了系统性提升、历史性跨越。 他介绍,中国铁建积极投身交通强国建设,参与了川藏铁路等"世纪工程"的技术攻关与建设,在高速铁 路、高原铁路、跨海大桥、长大隧道等领域持续巩固全球领先优势;深度参与"一带一路"建设,一大批 标志性工程顺利推进或竣工。 在经营发展和科技创新方面,戴和根指出,"十四五"期间,中国铁建下了很大决 ...
大国博弈,科技领航——2026年中国经济展望
Core Viewpoint - The GDP growth target for 2026 is expected to remain around 5%, with macro policies focusing on promoting consumption and expanding investment to ensure a good start for the 14th Five-Year Plan [3] Export Performance - China's export performance in 2025 was better than expected, with nominal exports increasing by 5.4% in USD and 6.2% in RMB in the first 11 months. After adjusting for price factors, actual export growth was 7.9% in USD and 9.0% in RMB [4][5] - The strong external demand contributed significantly to China's economic growth, with net exports boosting GDP growth by 1.5 percentage points in the first three quarters of 2025, accounting for 29.0% of the cumulative GDP growth [4] - The expected growth rate for China's exports in 2026 is projected at 3.4% in USD terms, supported by stable US-China tariffs and China's cost advantages [9][28][30] Manufacturing Investment - Manufacturing investment is expected to recover slightly in 2026, from around 1% growth in 2025 to approximately 2% in 2026, driven by resilient exports and policy support for advanced manufacturing [31][46] - The decline in manufacturing investment in 2025 was attributed to "strong supply and weak demand" and trade friction, but the outlook for 2026 suggests a recovery due to improved export expectations and continued policy support [36][46] Real Estate Sector - The direct drag of the real estate sector on the economy is expected to weaken in 2026, with a projected decline in commodity housing sales area of about 5% and a narrowing of the decline in real estate investment to around -11% [55][58] - The real estate sector's recovery will depend on improved consumer confidence and the successful resolution of credit risks among property developers [56][57] Consumption and Investment - Expanding domestic demand is crucial for achieving the 5% GDP growth target in 2026, with a focus on promoting consumption and investment [64] - The government is expected to maintain support for consumption through long-term special bonds, with a funding scale at least equal to the 300 billion RMB allocated in 2025 [66][68] - Infrastructure investment is projected to rebound to 8% growth in 2026, supported by previously announced policies [64]
大陆过去对台湾是“溺爱”,可惜台湾人没有意识到
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-30 02:39
Core Insights - The ongoing US-China tech war has reached a critical stage, with China making significant advancements in various technology sectors, indicating a shift in global power dynamics [1][9][26] Group 1: China's Technological Advancements - China has established a leading position in over 60 out of 70 key technology areas, significantly surpassing the US in many fields [5][21] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes six key areas for technological breakthroughs, including integrated circuits and advanced materials, while also identifying new economic growth points such as quantum technology and hydrogen energy [2][4] - The focus on artificial intelligence application is expected to accelerate, leveraging China's extensive supply chain and market size [4][12] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Innovation - The shift from government-led to market-driven selection of technology winners is crucial for fostering innovation in China, allowing for a more dynamic and competitive environment [8][10] - Young tech entrepreneurs are emerging as key players, with their success contributing to a cycle of investment and innovation within the tech sector [9][21] - The ability to convert academic research into commercial applications remains a critical factor for China's technological success [5][21] Group 3: Implications for Taiwan - Taiwan's reliance on TSMC as its primary technological asset raises concerns about its long-term economic sustainability, especially if TSMC's operations are relocated [22][24] - The historical investment in the semiconductor industry has positioned Taiwan well, but there is a need for diversification to avoid over-dependence on a single entity [24][25] - The changing geopolitical landscape necessitates a reevaluation of Taiwan's role in the tech ecosystem, as it faces competition from mainland China's rapid advancements [22][26]
广东省“十五五”规划专题协商会召开 林克庆主持会议为编制好落实好“十五五”规划贡献智慧力量
12月29日,广东省"十五五"规划专题协商会在省政协召开。会议深入学习贯彻中共二十届四中全会精神 和习近平总书记视察广东重要讲话重要指示精神,围绕我省编制"十五五"规划进行专题协商,集思广 益、凝聚共识。省政协主席林克庆主持会议。 会上,省发展改革委负责同志通报我省"十五五"规划编制有关情况,省各民主党派、工商联负责同志和 政协委员代表从不同角度、不同层面积极建言,省教育厅、省科技厅、省工业和信息化厅等有关部门负 责同志认真回应。与会人员深度协商互动、充分表达意见,取得了预期效果。 省委常委、常务副省长张虎指出,召开此次专题协商会,是发挥人民政协专门协商机构作用、践行全过 程人民民主的生动实践,是科学编制好省"十五五"规划、凝聚全省智慧和力量的必然要求。省委、省政 府对编制"十五五"规划高度重视,加强调研论证,广泛凝聚共识,通过多种方式听取人民群众和社会各 界的意见建议。我们将全面贯彻落实习近平总书记关于"十五五"规划编制工作的重要讲话重要指示批示 精神,锚定在推进中国式现代化建设中走在前列的总目标,紧扣坚定不移挑好大梁、全面推进强省建设 的总任务,以高站位、大格局谋划广东"十五五"发展,充分吸纳本次协商会的 ...
“十五五”规划开局关键蓄势期,把握更多人选择的中证A500ETF(159338)投资机会,近5日净流入超百亿元
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-30 01:38
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the national financial work conference emphasizes the continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy in 2026, which is expected to enhance the attractiveness of Chinese assets to global capital [1] - The offshore RMB has recently strengthened against the US dollar, surpassing the 7.0 mark, reaching a 15-month high, indicating a potential for moderate appreciation in 2026 [1] - The CSI A500 Index, which covers leading companies across various sectors, is highlighted as a balanced investment option that offers both defensive and growth potential in a fluctuating market [1] Group 2 - Compared to the CSI 300, the CSI A500 emphasizes industry balance and sector leaders, providing a more diversified and higher growth exposure, particularly during industrial upgrades [2] - As of December 26, 2025, the CSI A500 Index has increased by 466.78% since its base date, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, which rose by 363.87%, resulting in an excess return of 102.91% [2] - The number of accounts for the Guotai CSI A500 ETF ranks first among its peers, being more than three times that of the second-ranked product, indicating a strong preference among investors for this ETF [2]
“十五五”规划开局关键蓄势期,关注中证A500ETF(159338)
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 01:28
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the Chinese stock market, particularly the Shanghai Composite Index, is experiencing a strong upward momentum, with the offshore RMB strengthening against the USD, reaching a 15-month high at the 7.0 level, which is expected to enhance the attractiveness of Chinese assets to global capital [1] - It is anticipated that China's monetary and fiscal policies will remain accommodative through 2026, leading to a recovery in overall demand, while global fiscal expansion in the US, Europe, and Japan is expected to improve demand [1] - The CSI A500 index is highlighted for its balanced industry exposure and higher growth potential, making it a favorable option during the structural upgrade cycle, with an annualized return of 9.11% and a volatility of 21.41% since its base period, outperforming the CSI 300 in terms of total returns [2] Group 2 - The CSI A500 index's characteristics of industry balance and coverage of leading companies across various sectors provide investors with a defensive yet growth-oriented investment choice, particularly in volatile markets [2] - Investors are encouraged to pay attention to the CSI A500 ETF (159338), which offers a combination of safety and growth potential [2]
凝心聚力深学精神 实干笃行勇于担当
Zheng Zhou Ri Bao· 2025-12-30 00:48
市委宣讲团成员、市委党校中华文化教研部主任李敬先后走进管城区和中牟新区,为宣传文化系 统、精神文明建设业务骨干、"两新"组织负责人、新就业群体代表及微网格长宣讲全会精神。李敬围 绕"充分认识全会重大意义""全面理解'十五五'目标原则""系统把握'十五五'战略部署""切实抓好全会精 神落实"四个方面,从历史、实践、理论、国际多维度展开解读,系统阐述了"十五五"时期经济社会发 展的总体要求、主要目标与战略任务。两场宣讲通过清晰逻辑与鲜活案例相结合,为基层党员干部全面 准确理解全会精神提供了指导。参会人员纷纷表示,将把全会精神转化为实干指南,聚焦产业升级、城 市更新、民生改善等重点领域精准发力,为辖区高质量发展和高效能治理贡献力量。 惠济区花园口镇召开学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神市委宣讲团报告会,全镇机关党员干部、村 (社区)"两委"干部及区镇两级人大代表、党代表等百余人参加。市委宣讲团成员、郑州师范学院传播 学院副院长蔡莹以"全面深化改革 推进中国式现代化"为题,紧扣全会战略部署与实践要求,结合郑州 及惠济区发展实际,通过理论阐释与案例分析,深入解读全会核心要义。花园口镇有关负责人表示,宣 讲为全镇高质量发展注 ...
广东省“十五五”规划专题协商会召开
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 00:28
省委常委、常务副省长张虎指出,召开此次专题协商会,是发挥人民政协专门协商机构作用、践行全过 程人民民主的生动实践,是科学编制好省"十五五"规划、凝聚全省智慧和力量的必然要求。省委、省政 府对编制"十五五"规划高度重视,加强调研论证,广泛凝聚共识,通过多种方式听取人民群众和社会各 界的意见建议。我们将全面贯彻落实习近平总书记关于"十五五"规划编制工作的重要讲话重要指示批示 精神,锚定在推进中国式现代化建设中走在前列的总目标,紧扣坚定不移挑好大梁、全面推进强省建设 的总任务,以高站位、大格局谋划广东"十五五"发展,充分吸纳本次协商会的意见建议,确保编制出一 份立足广东实际、突出广东特色的"十五五"规划纲要。 省委常委、省委统战部部长、省政协党组副书记王曦,省政协领导许瑞生、邓海光、袁宝成、王学成、 张嘉极、李心、郑轲、郑振涛、陈文明等参加。 (薛江华 周际 苏诗琪) 会上,省发展改革委负责同志通报我省"十五五"规划编制有关情况,省各民主党派、工商联负责同志和 政协委员代表从不同角度、不同层面积极建言,省教育厅、省科技厅、省工业和信息化厅等有关部门负 责同志认真回应。与会人员深度协商互动、充分表达意见,取得了预期效 ...