Core Viewpoint - The Shenzhen state-owned enterprise reform sector has shown strong performance, driven by the release of a new action plan aimed at promoting high-quality mergers and acquisitions from 2025 to 2027 [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shenzhen state-owned enterprise reform sector opened high and continued to rise, with stocks like Jian Ke Yuan, Guang Tian Group, and Shen Sai Ge hitting the daily limit [1] - Following the announcement of the action plan, there was a rapid influx of short-term capital into the market, leading to multiple stocks reaching their daily limit [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - The Shenzhen Municipal Government issued the "Shenzhen City Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Mergers and Acquisitions (2025-2027)," aiming for the total market value of listed companies in the region to exceed 20 trillion yuan by the end of 2027 [1] - The action plan focuses on ten key tasks related to mergers and acquisitions, particularly in strategic emerging industries such as integrated circuits, artificial intelligence, new energy, and biomedicine [1] Group 3: Investment Sentiment - The market's positive response to the policy has created a consensus expectation regarding Shenzhen's state-owned enterprise reform, which is likely to attract further speculative investments [1] - Jian Ke Yuan's 20% limit-up performance is expected to draw additional follow-on investments from market participants [1]

Core Insights - China Chengtong Holdings Group has led the investment in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) through fund investments, completing over 230 billion yuan in investment transactions, with over 90% directed towards SOE-related fields and more than 70% towards strategic emerging industries [1][2] Group 1: Fund Investments - The company manages eight different types of funds with a total scale exceeding 710 billion yuan, including the State-Owned Enterprise Structural Adjustment Fund and the Mixed Ownership Reform Fund [1] - Investments have been made to guide social capital towards key industries of SOEs, forming industrial clusters in sectors such as new energy vehicles, integrated circuits, and artificial intelligence [1] Group 2: Strategic Restructuring and Governance - In addition to fund investments, the company has self-raised over 93 billion yuan to participate in strategic restructuring and professional integration of SOEs, becoming a significant shareholder in various enterprises [2] - The company has explored governance mechanisms different from solely state-owned enterprises, actively participating in decision-making processes of the SOEs it invests in [2] Group 3: Focus on Emerging Industries - The company has cumulatively invested over 10 billion yuan in the new energy vehicle industry chain, collaborating with multiple SOEs in areas such as lithium battery raw materials and energy storage [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 938 million yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 142 million yuan, up 29.7% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company has seen a steady improvement in revenue growth quarter by quarter, with a focus on strategic emerging industries such as military, automotive, and new energy, which are maintaining good market conditions [12]. - The company plans to raise up to 1.3 billion yuan through a private placement to enhance its capabilities in emerging industries [12]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 2.416 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.9% [6]. - The revenue growth rates for Q1 to Q3 were 5.2%, 13.8%, and 14.9%, respectively, indicating a consistent upward trend [12]. - The revenue breakdown by business segments shows significant growth in data science analysis and evaluation, which increased by 47.1% year-on-year [12]. Profitability - The net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 9.8%, an increase of approximately 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [12]. - The gross profit margin was 45.1%, up 0.52 percentage points year-on-year, with Q3 showing a net profit margin of 15.5%, an increase of 2.03 percentage points [12]. Cash Flow and Dividends - The company reported a net operating cash flow of 258 million yuan for the first three quarters, a decrease of 23% year-on-year, but Q3 showed a slight increase of about 1.2% [12]. - The dividend payout for the first half of the year was approximately 84 million yuan, with a dividend rate of 86.4% [12]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 3.6 billion yuan, 4.08 billion yuan, and 4.63 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 429 million yuan, 531 million yuan, and 661 million yuan [12]. - The expected growth rates for revenue and net profit are 12.1%, 13.4%, and 13.6% for revenue, and 21.7%, 23.9%, and 24.5% for net profit over the same period [12].

Market Overview - A-shares opened lower and experienced fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3900 points and the Shenzhen Component Index below 13000 points, while the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index dropped below 1400 points. The number of declining stocks far exceeded that of advancing stocks, with stable trading volume [1] Coal Sector Performance - The coal sector showed resilience, with the sector index surpassing 2200 points, reaching a new high for the year. Major companies like Dayou Energy saw significant gains, with nearly 10 trading days recording 9 limit-up days, marking a 10-year high since June 2015 [2] - The onset of a new cold front is expected to increase coal demand as heating begins in northern regions. Daily coal consumption in power plants rose to 388.9 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 26.4 million tons, while total coal inventory reached 9584 million tons, up 63.5 million tons [2] - The price index for thermal coal in the Bohai Rim region reported a rise to 684 yuan/ton, marking a week-on-week increase of 4 yuan/ton, continuing its upward trend for four consecutive weeks [2] Investment Trends - Market funds have actively entered the coal ETF (515220), with net inflows exceeding 1.3 billion yuan over five consecutive days, and the ETF's size has grown over 360% this year, currently exceeding 14 billion yuan [3] - Analysts from Shanxi Securities anticipate a recovery in coal prices and improved performance in the fourth quarter, suggesting that the coal sector is poised for a rebound and should be considered for increased allocation [3] Shenzhen Local Stocks - Shenzhen local stocks experienced a collective surge, with several stocks hitting the daily limit. The Shenzhen Municipal Financial Management Bureau announced an action plan aimed at promoting high-quality development through mergers and acquisitions [4] - The action plan aims for a comprehensive improvement in the quality of listed companies by 2027, targeting a total market capitalization of over 20 trillion yuan and the cultivation of 20 companies with a market value of over 100 billion yuan [4] - The plan includes establishing a project library for mergers and acquisitions, focusing on key industries and facilitating collaboration between various sectors [4] Strategic Industry Support - The action plan emphasizes support for strategic emerging industries such as integrated circuits, artificial intelligence, new energy, and biomedicine, encouraging leading companies to engage in mergers and acquisitions to enhance supply chains and technology levels [5] - Companies are encouraged to pursue mergers and acquisitions in future industries like synthetic biology, intelligent robotics, quantum information, and advanced materials to rapidly scale up and achieve technological breakthroughs [6]

Core Insights - The productivity revolution driven by technological fusion is profoundly reshaping the global technology landscape, making innovation and the development of strategic emerging industries a prime choice for "bullish on China" [1] - The Chinese private equity market is seeking new balance and breakthroughs amid structural reshaping, with a focus on long-term capital and quality projects in fields like artificial intelligence and advanced manufacturing [1] Fundraising Aspects - RMB funds have stabilized after a decline, with an increase in the allocation of state-owned mother funds, industrial capital, and insurance funds, indicating that long-term capital is becoming a stabilizing force in the market [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes "early, small, and hard technology," directing funds and resources towards high-quality projects [1] Investment Aspects - The focus remains on sectors such as artificial intelligence and advanced manufacturing, which continue to attract significant interest and investment [1] - The A-share market is slowly recovering, and the Hong Kong stock market is becoming more active, with mergers and secondary share transactions playing a key role in improving liquidity [1] Exit Aspects - The A-share market is showing signs of gradual recovery, while the Hong Kong market's activity is increasing, with mergers and secondary share transactions being crucial tools for enhancing liquidity [1] Event Announcement - The launch of the "2025 China Private Equity Rankings" and "China POWER50 Enterprise Rankings" aims to recognize institutions, enterprises, and individuals that adhere to long-termism and drive value creation through professionalism and innovation [1][2] - The evaluation will be based on various dimensions, including management scale, fundraising amounts, investment case numbers, overall return levels, and the development status of invested enterprises [3] Evaluation Criteria - The rankings will include multiple categories such as private equity main rankings, comprehensive rankings, state-owned investment institution rankings, investment person rankings, active venture capital region rankings, and service institution rankings [3][4] - The evaluation period for the 2025 rankings is set from December 1, 2024, to November 30, 2025 [20] Timeline - The announcement of the evaluation criteria and questionnaire collection began on October 23, 2025, with the submission deadline for application materials set for December 15, 2025 [27][29] - The results will be revealed at the "2026 China Capital Annual Conference" in January 2026 [33]

受深圳出台并购重组行动方案消息刺激，22日早盘深圳本地股大幅高开。截至记者发稿时，建科院、深 赛格、广田集团、深物业A、力合科创、深纺织A、特力A等10多只本地股涨停，深水规院大涨逾11%。 《方案》提出，力争到2027年底，并购重组市场量质齐升，累计完成并购项目超200单、交易总额超 1000亿元，落地一批行业示范案例。 在丰富拓展并购重组融资渠道方面，《方案》鼓励符合条件的企业综合运用现金、股份、定向可转债、 科创债券等方式实施并购重组，用好重组股份对价分期支付、配套募集资金储架发行等机制。鼓励银行 机构通过并购贷款、银团贷款、投贷联动等方式对企业市场化兼并重组给予信贷支持。 根据深圳证监局数据，自去年"并购六条"发布以来，截至今年6月，深圳上市公司公布并购重组预案215 笔，160笔重组事项披露交易金额，合计超过450亿元。 其中，既涉及国有控股上市公司，也有民营上市公司，既有同行业并购，也有围绕补链强链开展等类 型，不仅紧紧围绕公司主营业务和战略发展方向进行，也有助于促进产业协同和提高整体产业链竞争 力。 具体来看，今年3月底，华润三九斥资62亿元收购天士力医药集团28%股份的交易完成过户，天士力成 ...

宏观日报 | 2025-10-23 地产下游销售低位，关注能源上游价格波动 中观事件总览 生产行业： 1）有记者向外交部发言人郭嘉昆提问，在与中国商务部部长王文涛会谈之后，欧盟委员会贸易和经 济安全委员谢夫乔维奇表示，欧盟和中国官员已同意在布鲁塞尔举行紧急会谈，讨论中国针对稀土的出口管制问 题。外交部能否确认这一会谈并提供更多信息？对此郭嘉昆表示，中欧经贸关系的本质是优势互补、互利共赢。 希望欧方恪守支持自由贸易、反对贸易保护主义的承诺。 服务行业：1）深圳市地方金融管理局等多部门印发《深圳市推动并购重组高质量发展行动方案（2025—2027年）》， 其中提出，力争到2027年底，辖区上市公司质量全面提升，境内外上市公司总市值突破20万亿元，培育形成千亿 级市值企业20家。行动方案支持集成电路、人工智能、新能源、生物医药等战略性新兴产业领域开展上下游并购 重组，以及加快实施国有企业战略性重组和专业化整合。 数据来源：iFind，华泰期货研究院 行业总览 上游：1）黑色：玻璃价格回落较多。2）农业：棕榈油价格小幅回落。3）能源：煤炭库存回落，液化天然气价格 回升。 中游：1）化工：PX、尿素开工率保持高位。2） ...

深化提升行动攻坚突破 扩投资优布局增动能 四季度冲刺收官 国资央企改革发展主线浮现 "现在我们正紧盯重点难点任务攻坚突破，全力以赴推动改革深化提升行动高质量收官。同时，认真谋 划新一轮改革的思路举措，有力支撑集团高质量发展。"中国诚通控股集团有限公司（下称"中国诚 通"）战略发展部负责人在10月22日的新闻发布活动上回答《经济参考报》记者提问时表示。 同时，多家央企已启动"十五五"规划编制工作，谋划新一轮的全面深化改革。 2025年是改革深化提升行动的收官之年。从多家央企披露的信息来看，"高质量收官"是四季度改革工作 的"重头戏"。中国有色改革深化提升行动已完成三年总体任务的97%。中国中煤部署扎实做好改革收尾 工作，确保改革深化提升行动圆满收官。中国石化强调，要树立更高标准、坚持问题导向、做实工作台 账，推动改革在重点领域和关键环节取得更大突破。 哈电集团提出，聚焦重点任务谋划"十五五"发展，布局一批具有前瞻性和战略性的重大科技项目和产业 化项目。中国华电要求围绕国家战略需要、新型能源体系和新型电力系统建设，科学研究、统筹做好公 司"十五五"规划编制。 中国企业改革与发展研究会研究员周丽莎表示，本轮国企改革 ...

Core Insights - China Unicom reported a revenue of 293 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.0%, and a net profit of 8.8 billion yuan, up 5.2% year-on-year [1] - The company is focusing on integrated innovation and expanding new productive forces, maintaining a positive momentum in operational development [1] - All three major telecom operators in China, including China Mobile and China Telecom, have shown steady growth in revenue and net profit [1] Group 1: Business Growth - China Unicom's mobile user base reached 356 million, with a net increase of 12.48 million users, while fixed broadband users reached 129 million, with a net increase of 6.79 million users [2] - The number of IoT connections surpassed 700 million, indicating a significant expansion in connectivity [2] - The company's cloud revenue reached 52.9 billion yuan, and data center revenue was 21.4 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.9% year-on-year increase [2] Group 2: Technological Advancements - China Unicom is enhancing its capabilities in next-generation internet, big data, AI, and cybersecurity, with a focus on 6G, low-altitude smart networks, and quantum technology [3] - R&D expenses increased by 5.9% year-on-year, leading to more significant achievements in technology [3] - The company is integrating 5G, AI, and industrial internet to empower various industries, with over 20,000 customers served by its 5G virtual private network [2] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - China Unicom plans to spin off its subsidiary, Unicom Smart Network Technology Co., Ltd., for listing on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's Growth Enterprise Market [4] - This spin-off aims to enhance the innovation and operational quality of Smart Network Technology, allowing it to leverage capital markets for growth in the vehicle networking sector [4] - The spin-off is part of China Unicom's broader strategy to optimize its industrial layout and strengthen core competitiveness [4] Group 4: Financial Performance of Subsidiary - Unicom Smart Network Technology reported revenues of 437 million yuan, 574 million yuan, and 809 million yuan for the years 2020, 2021, and 2022, respectively, with net profits of 75 million yuan, 117 million yuan, and 100 million yuan [5] - The company focuses on vehicle networking and smart transportation, aligning with national strategies for building a strong transportation and digital economy [6]

Economic Performance - Shanghai's GDP growth rate for the first three quarters is 5.5%, surpassing the national average by 0.3 percentage points, indicating strong economic resilience and vitality [1][2] - The total GDP for Shanghai reached 40,721.17 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 5.5% [1] Sector Analysis - The primary industry added value is 64.26 billion yuan, growing by 0.9%; the secondary industry added value is 8,448.67 billion yuan, growing by 3.9%; and the tertiary industry added value is 32,208.24 billion yuan, growing by 5.9% [1] - The industrial added value in Shanghai increased by 5.2% year-on-year, with the total industrial output value for large-scale enterprises growing by 5.7% [1] - The three leading industries in Shanghai saw manufacturing output value increase by 8.5%, outpacing the overall industrial output growth by 2.8 percentage points [1] Investment and Consumption - Fixed asset investment in Shanghai grew by 6.0% year-on-year, while the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 12,302.77 billion yuan, increasing by 4.3% [2] - The major financial market transaction volume in Shanghai increased by 12.7% year-on-year [2] Financial Indicators - The local general public budget revenue for Shanghai was 6,555.68 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.0%, while expenditures rose by 8.0% to 6,876.39 billion yuan [2] - The average urban survey unemployment rate in Shanghai was 4.2% [2]