Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's tax revenue is expected to exceed 155 trillion yuan, accounting for about 80% of total fiscal revenue [1] - Tax revenue (excluding export tax rebates) is projected to surpass 85 trillion yuan, an increase of 13 trillion yuan compared to the total tax revenue during the "13th Five-Year Plan" [1] - The tax authority's collection of social insurance fees and land transfer fees is expected to exceed 70 trillion yuan, strengthening the financial foundation for economic and social development [1] Group 2 - The structure of tax revenue is improving, with manufacturing tax revenue maintaining a steady share of around 30%, indicating the sector's crucial role in the economy [1] - The fastest growth in tax revenue is seen in modern service industries such as information software and technology services [1] - The number of tax-related business entities has surpassed 100 million, reflecting strong market vitality and resilience [2] Group 3 - Tax policies aimed at improving people's livelihoods in areas such as elderly care, childcare, healthcare, and education are expected to reduce tax burdens by an average of 11.7% annually from 2021 to 2024 [2] - Economic factors such as tax cuts, price changes, and tax source structures influence tax revenue, leading to discrepancies between economic growth and tax revenue [2] - The decline in growth rates of traditional industries like real estate has resulted in slower tax revenue growth, while emerging industries, despite their positive momentum, currently contribute less to overall tax revenue [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - On July 28, at the end of the month, the central bank conducted continuous large - scale net injections, resulting in a balanced and slightly loose capital market. The bond market continued its upward trend, while the convertible bond market adjusted, with most convertible bond issues declining. Yields on US Treasury bonds of various maturities generally increased, and yields on 10 - year government bonds of major European economies generally decreased [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - **Domestic News**: - On July 28, China and the US held economic and trade talks in Stockholm, Sweden, aiming to translate the important consensus of the two heads of state into specific policies and actions [3]. - During the 14th Five - Year Plan period, the national cumulative new tax and fee cuts are expected to reach 10.5 trillion yuan, and export tax rebates are expected to exceed 9 trillion yuan [3]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized eight key tasks for the second half of the year, including implementing the strategy of expanding domestic demand and promoting high - quality development of key industrial chains [4]. - The national childcare subsidy program was announced. Starting from January 1, 2025, families with children under 3 years old can receive an annual subsidy of 3,600 yuan per child [4]. - **International News**: The US Treasury Department expects net borrowing of 1.007 trillion US dollars from July to September this year, an increase of more than 450 billion US dollars from the previous forecast, mainly due to the impact of the debt ceiling. It also expects net borrowing of 590 billion US dollars from October to December [6]. - **Commodities**: On July 28, WTI September crude oil futures rose 2.38% to 66.71 US dollars per barrel, Brent September crude oil futures rose 2.34% to 70.04 US dollars per barrel, COMEX August gold futures fell 0.77% to 3,310 US dollars per ounce, and NYMEX natural gas prices fell 2.04% to 3.032 US dollars per ounce [7]. 3.2 Capital Market - **Open Market Operations**: On July 28, the central bank conducted 495.8 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed - rate, quantity - tender method, with a net injection of 325.1 billion yuan [9]. - **Funding Rates**: On July 28, due to the central bank's continuous large - scale net injections, major repurchase rates declined. DR001 dropped 5.53bp to 1.462%, and DR007 dropped 7.17bp to 1.581% [10]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest - rate Bonds**: - **Spot Bond Yield Trends**: On July 28, the bond market continued its upward trend. By 20:00 Beijing time, the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond active issue 250011 fell 1.75bp to 1.7150%, and the yield of the 10 - year CDB bond active issue 250210 fell 2.75bp to 1.8000% [13]. - **Bond Tendering**: Information on the tendering of several bonds such as 25Nongfa Discount 06 (Add 3) and 25Guokai 06 (Add 25) was provided, including maturity, issuance scale, winning yield, etc. [14]. - **Credit Bonds**: - **Secondary - market Transaction Abnormalities**: On July 28, the transaction prices of 5 industrial bonds deviated by more than 10%. For example, "24Yuanhang Holdings PPN001 (Restructuring)" fell more than 13%, and "H1Bidi 01" rose more than 350% [14]. - **Credit Bond Events**: Multiple companies announced various events, such as Jingfeng Pharmaceutical failing to repay a 117 - million - yuan loan, Zhengbang Technology's subsidiary entering pre - reorganization, etc. [15]. - **Convertible Bonds**: - **Equity and Convertible Bond Indexes**: On July 28, the three major A - share stock indexes rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rising 0.12%, 0.44%, and 0.96% respectively. The major convertible bond indexes fell, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index, Shanghai Convertible Bond Index, and Shenzhen Convertible Bond Index falling 0.70%, 0.62%, and 0.81% respectively [16]. - **Convertible Bond Tracking**: Taifu Convertible Bond announced not to redeem early and will not choose early redemption if the early - redemption clause is triggered again within the next three months [18]. - **Overseas Bond Markets**: - **US Bond Market**: On July 28, the yield of the 2 - year US Treasury bond remained unchanged at 3.91%, while yields on other maturities generally increased. The 10 - year US Treasury bond yield rose 2bp to 4.42% [21]. - **European Bond Market**: On July 28, the yield of the 10 - year UK government bond rose 3bp, while yields on 10 - year government bonds of other major European economies generally decreased. For example, the yield of the 10 - year German government bond fell 3bp to 2.69% [24]. - **Price Changes of Chinese - funded US - dollar Bonds**: As of the close on July 28, price changes of various Chinese - funded US - dollar bonds were provided, including daily changes, credit entities, bond balances, etc. [26].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant achievements in tax reform and economic development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with a cumulative tax reduction and fee exemption expected to reach 10.5 trillion yuan [1][2] - The number of tax-related business entities in the country has surpassed 100 million, with a net increase of 30 million since 2020 [1] - The tax revenue collected by the tax authorities is projected to exceed 155 trillion yuan, accounting for approximately 80% of total fiscal revenue [1] Group 2 - From 2021 to the first half of this year, the cumulative tax reduction and fee exemption reached 9.9 trillion yuan, with an annual average exceeding 2 trillion yuan [2] - Policies focused on supporting technological innovation and advanced manufacturing accounted for 3.6 trillion yuan of the tax reductions, representing 36.7% of the total [2] - The private economy, including private enterprises and individual businesses, benefited from 7.2 trillion yuan in tax reductions, making up 72.9% of the total [2] Group 3 - The R&D expense deduction policy has been continuously optimized, with companies enjoying a deduction of 3.32 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 25.5% increase from 2021 [3] - High-tech industry sales revenue is expected to grow at an annual rate of 13.9% from 2021 to 2024, with the share of high-tech manufacturing in total manufacturing rising from 15.3% in 2020 to 16.9% in the first half of this year [3] - The integration of the real economy and digital economy is deepening, with the core industries of the digital economy expected to grow at an annual rate of 10.8% from 2021 to 2024 [3] Group 4 - The level of foreign investment in China has steadily increased, with the number of foreign tax-related business entities growing by 12.7% since 2020 [4] - Export tax refunds processed by tax authorities are expected to grow at an annual rate of 6.6% from 2021 to 2024, with a further increase to 7.1% in the first half of this year [4] - The clean energy sector, including wind, solar, and hydropower, is projected to see annual sales revenue growth of 13.1% from 2021 to 2024 [4]

Group 1: Domestic News - The China-US economic talks commenced in Stockholm on July 28, aiming to translate important consensus into specific policies and actions to advance bilateral economic relations [2] - The National Taxation Administration announced that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the cumulative new tax cuts and fee reductions are expected to reach 10.5 trillion yuan, significantly promoting economic and social development [2] Group 2: Industrial and Economic Policies - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized eight key areas for the second half of the year, including expanding domestic demand, promoting high-quality development of key industrial chains, and enhancing technological innovation [3] - A new childcare subsidy plan was announced, providing 3,600 yuan per child annually for children under three years old starting from January 1, 2025 [3] Group 3: International News - The U.S. Treasury Department projected a net borrowing of 1.007 trillion dollars for the third quarter, significantly higher than previous estimates due to the increase in the debt ceiling [4] - The U.S. government is accelerating bond issuance to replenish cash reserves after the debt ceiling was raised by 5 trillion dollars [4] Group 4: Financial Market Dynamics - On July 28, the central bank conducted a 4.958 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, resulting in a net cash injection of 3.251 billion yuan for the day [6][7] - The bond market showed a warming trend, with the yield on the 10-year government bond falling by 1.75 basis points to 1.7150% [8] Group 5: Commodity Market - International crude oil prices rose, with WTI crude oil futures increasing by 2.38% to 66.71 dollars per barrel [5] - Natural gas prices fell by 2.04% to 3.032 dollars per million British thermal units [5] Group 6: Credit Market - Several corporate bonds experienced significant price deviations, with "24远洋控股PPN001" dropping over 13% and "H1碧地04" declining over 10% [10] - Companies such as 景峰医药 and 正邦科技 faced financial difficulties, with the former unable to repay a loan and the latter entering pre-restructuring [11] Group 7: Convertible Bonds - The convertible bond market saw a collective decline, with major indices dropping by 0.70% to 0.81% on July 28 [15] - The trading volume in the convertible bond market decreased by 9.94 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [15]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the achievements of China's tax reforms and revenue collection during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with total tax revenue expected to exceed 155 trillion yuan, accounting for about 80% of total fiscal revenue [1] - The tax revenue (excluding export tax rebates) is projected to surpass 85 trillion yuan, an increase of 13 trillion yuan compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" period [1] - The cumulative collection of social insurance fees and land transfer fees is expected to exceed 70 trillion yuan during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] Group 2 - A series of tax reduction and fee exemption policies have been implemented, with a total expected reduction of 10.5 trillion yuan and export tax rebates exceeding 9 trillion yuan, significantly promoting economic growth [1] - As of mid-2023, the number of tax-related business entities in China has surpassed 100 million, an increase of 30 million since 2020, indicating strong market vitality [1] - The number of individuals benefiting from special additional deductions in personal income tax has reached 119 million, a 55% increase compared to 2020, with the total tax reduction amounting to nearly 300 billion yuan this year [1] Group 3 - During the "14th Five-Year Plan," the construction of a green tax system has been continuously improved, with tax revenues from environmental protection and resource taxes reaching 2.5 trillion yuan, and tax incentives for green development resulting in a reduction of 1.5 trillion yuan [2] - The average annual tax reduction and fee exemption exceed 2 trillion yuan, with private small and micro enterprises being the main beneficiaries [3] - By the end of 2023, the total expected tax reduction and fee exemption will reach 10.5 trillion yuan, with 7.2 trillion yuan benefiting private economic taxpayers [3] Group 4 - Tax revenue has shown steady growth and structural optimization during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with manufacturing tax revenue maintaining around 30% of the total, reflecting its stabilizing role in the economy [4] - The fastest growth in tax revenue comes from modern service industries such as information software and technology services [4] - Direct taxes now account for over 40% of total tax revenue, indicating an enhanced redistributive function of the tax system [4] Group 5 - The contribution of traditional industries like real estate to tax revenue has been declining, while emerging industries are growing but still contribute less to overall tax revenue [5] - The overall tax revenue growth is generally aligned with GDP growth, despite some discrepancies due to tax reduction policies and price fluctuations [5] Group 6 - The convenience of tax payment and filing has improved significantly, with a focus on providing a more user-friendly experience during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [6] - The shift from physical to electronic invoicing has reduced the need for taxpayers to visit tax offices, streamlining the invoicing process [6] - The introduction of intelligent tax declaration systems has minimized manual data entry, allowing for quicker and more accurate tax submissions [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's economic growth will lead to a cumulative tax revenue exceeding 155 trillion yuan, strengthening the financial foundation for economic and social development as well as improving people's livelihoods [1][2] - Tax revenue in China is steadily increasing in scale and optimizing in structure, demonstrating a characteristic of "increased quantity and improved quality" [1] - The cumulative new tax cuts and fee reductions during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period are expected to reach 10.5 trillion yuan, with export tax rebates anticipated to exceed 9 trillion yuan [1] Group 2 - Tax system reforms and reductions in taxes and fees provide strong support for improving people's livelihoods, focusing on alleviating the financial burdens of family upbringing and elderly care [2] - Over 1 billion taxpayers applied for tax refunds totaling more than 130 billion yuan, with the majority of beneficiaries being young and middle-aged individuals aged 30 to 55 [2] - By 2024, the World Bank's business environment assessment indicates that the annual tax payment time for companies in China has been reduced by 78.2% compared to the last assessment in 2019, placing China among the leading countries [2]

Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is expected to see a cumulative reduction in taxes and fees reaching 10.5 trillion yuan, with export tax refunds exceeding 9 trillion yuan [1][2] - The implementation of the VAT law and comprehensive revision of the tax collection law marks significant progress in tax reform and improvement of the business environment [1][2] Tax Reduction and Fee Exemption - A series of tax and fee reduction policies have been implemented focusing on supporting technological innovation and manufacturing, with a cumulative reduction of 9.9 trillion yuan from 2021 to mid-2023, projected to reach 10.5 trillion yuan by the end of the year [2] - Tax reductions benefiting the private economy amount to 7.2 trillion yuan, accounting for 72.9% of the total, while small and micro enterprises have received 6.3 trillion yuan, representing 64% of the total [2] - The number of individuals benefiting from personal income tax deductions increased by 55% to 119 million, with tax reductions rising from 116 billion yuan in 2020 to nearly 300 billion yuan, a growth of 156.5% [2] Green Tax System Development - The green tax system has been enhanced, generating 2.5 trillion yuan in revenue from environmental protection and resource taxes from 2021 to mid-2023, while tax incentives for green development have led to reductions of 1.5 trillion yuan [3] Legal Governance System Improvement - The tax governance system has been strengthened with the implementation of new regulations, including the management of digital invoices and tax information reporting for internet platform enterprises [4] - A total of 62,100 tax law violators were investigated, recovering 571 billion yuan in tax losses, with over 3.75 million A-level taxpayers identified in 2024, an increase of nearly 1 million since 2020 [4] Optimization of Tax Business Environment - The tax authority has simplified tax payment processes, reducing required documentation by 50% and paper submissions by over 25% [5] - The annual tax payment time for businesses has been reduced by 78.2%, ranking among the best globally [5] - The transition to digital invoicing has eliminated the need for 30 billion paper invoices annually, saving businesses over 100 billion yuan in costs [5][6]

Tax Revenue and Economic Growth - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's tax revenue is expected to exceed 155 trillion yuan, accounting for approximately 80% of total fiscal revenue, indicating steady growth and structural optimization of tax revenue [2] - The proportion of direct taxes has increased to over 40%, reflecting an enhancement in the redistributive function of the tax system [2] - The manufacturing sector remains the largest contributor to tax revenue, maintaining around 30% of the total, while the fastest growth is seen in modern service industries such as information software and technology services [2][3] Tax Policies and Economic Impact - The cumulative tax and fee reductions during the "14th Five-Year Plan" are expected to reach 10.5 trillion yuan, significantly supporting economic stability and growth [3] - Export tax rebates are projected to exceed 9 trillion yuan, further promoting positive economic trends [3] - The share of county-level economic sales revenue in the national total has increased from 22.8% in 2020 to 24.3% in the first half of this year, indicating a more coordinated regional development [3] Support for Private Sector and Foreign Investment - Over 70% of the new tax and fee reductions benefit private economic entities, including private enterprises and individual businesses, contributing to their steady growth [4] - The number of foreign-invested enterprises has increased by 12.7% since 2020, with foreign enterprises experiencing stable sales revenue growth [6] - Tax authorities have implemented measures to enhance the efficiency of tax refunds for outbound tourists, with a 40% improvement in processing times, supporting inbound tourism and consumption [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the tax reform and development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period in China, highlighting significant increases in tax revenue and the impact of tax policies on improving people's livelihoods [2][3]. Tax Revenue and Economic Growth - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the total tax revenue collected by tax authorities is expected to exceed 155 trillion yuan, accounting for approximately 80% of total fiscal revenue [2] - Tax revenue (excluding export tax rebates) is projected to surpass 85 trillion yuan, which is an increase of 1.3 trillion yuan compared to the total tax revenue during the "13th Five-Year Plan" period [2] Personal Income Tax Insights - The number of individuals benefiting from special additional deductions in personal income tax has reached 119 million, marking a 55% increase compared to the initial tax settlement in 2020 [2] - The total amount of tax reductions has grown by 156.5%, increasing from 116 billion yuan in 2020 to nearly 300 billion yuan this year [2] - Among those benefiting from personal income tax deductions, over 80% are middle-aged individuals aged 30-55, who are often responsible for both elderly and child care [3] Tax Compliance and Enforcement - The tax authorities have intensified efforts to combat tax evasion, particularly targeting high-income individuals, including over 360 cases of tax evasion involving internet celebrities since 2021, recovering over 3 billion yuan in tax [5] - A total of 21,800 cases of fraudulent or improper tax benefit claims have been investigated, recovering 26.9 billion yuan in tax during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [5]

Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period in China is characterized by steady economic growth and significant tax reforms, with total tax revenue expected to exceed 85 trillion yuan, an increase of 13 trillion yuan compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" period [1][2] - A series of tax reduction and fee reduction policies have been implemented, with an estimated total of 10.5 trillion yuan in new tax cuts and fee reductions, significantly aiding economic recovery [1][3] Tax Revenue and Economic Growth - During the "14th Five-Year Plan," tax revenue is projected to surpass 155 trillion yuan, accounting for approximately 80% of total fiscal revenue, with tax revenue (excluding export tax rebates) expected to exceed 85 trillion yuan [2] - The tax revenue growth rate has slowed in recent years, with a 3.4% year-on-year decline in 2024 and a 1.2% decline in the first half of the year [5] Tax Reduction Policies - From 2021 to mid-2023, new tax cuts and fee reductions totaled 9.9 trillion yuan, with expectations to reach 10.5 trillion yuan by the end of the year, averaging over 2 trillion yuan annually [3] - The majority of tax cuts have benefited the private sector, with private enterprises receiving 7.2 trillion yuan in tax reductions, accounting for 72.9% of the total [3] Emerging Industries and Tax Contributions - Traditional industries like real estate are experiencing slower growth, while emerging sectors such as new energy vehicles and high-tech manufacturing are showing strong growth, with sales revenue increasing by 37.6% annually [4] - The contribution of new productive forces to tax revenue is on the rise, with private enterprises' sales revenue increasing from 68.9% in 2020 to 71.7% in mid-2023 [4] Individual Tax Policies - A series of individual income tax deductions have been introduced, including increased deductions for childcare, education, and elder care, aimed at alleviating family financial burdens [7][8] - Over 1 billion individuals benefited from these deductions, with a significant portion of the benefits going to middle-aged individuals with dependents [7] Future Tax Reforms - The recent policy discussions emphasize the need to improve the individual income tax system, suggesting a more equitable distribution of tax burdens among different income types [9]