【导读】国泰君安国际，一支穿云箭，千军万马来相见 兄弟姐妹们啊，今天市场沸腾了，相信你们都挣到钱了吧！ 全线大涨 6月25日，市场全天放量大涨，沪指创出年内新高，创业板指涨超3%。截至收盘，沪指涨1.03%，深成指涨1.72%，创业板指涨3.11%。 两市共3919只个股上涨，80只个股涨停，1284只个股下跌。 | 880005 涨跌家数 | | | --- | --- | | 其中 涨停 | 80 | | 涨幅 > 7% | 135 | | 涨幅 5-7% | 124 | | 涨幅 3-5% | 330 | | 涨幅 0-3% | 3330 | | 跌幅 0-3% | 1171 | | 跌幅 3-5% | 63 | | 跌幅 5-7% | 29 | | 跌幅 > 7% | 21 | | 其中 跌停 | 6 | | 上涨家数 | 3919 | | 下跌家数 | 1284 | | 平盘停牌 | 217 | | 总品种数 | 5420 | | 总成交额 | 16395.06亿 | | 总成交量 | 124713.4万 | | 涨家增减 | 1209 | | 涨家增幅 | 44.61% | | 指数量比 | 1. ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Coke's fourth - round price cut has been implemented, with wet - quenched coke down by 220 yuan/ton and dry - quenched coke down by 240 yuan/ton. Steel is in the off - season, and its price is expected to fluctuate within a narrow range. Steel mills' production enthusiasm is good, and iron - molten output has slightly rebounded. Coke supply is tending to be loose, and its futures price is expected to fluctuate. [6] - For coking coal, due to stricter safety inspections and environmental supervision in some coal mines in Shanxi, supply has tightened marginally. Coal prices have stopped falling and stabilized. The coking coal spot market is running steadily, and the futures market is expected to fluctuate. [6] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures and Spot Market Data - **Coke Futures**: For example, J2601 closed at 1424.0, down 24.5; J2605 closed at 1450.0, down 32.0. [2] - **Coking Coal Futures**: JM2601 closed at 843.5, down 16.0; JM2605 closed at 866.0, down 13.5. [2] - **Spot Market**: Coke's邢台出厂价is 1560 yuan/ton with no change; coking coal's澳洲低挥发is 868 yuan/ton, down 1. [2] - **Coking Profit**: 01盘面利润is 251.7 yuan/ton, down 8.3 yuan/ton compared to the previous day. [2] 3.2 Fundamental Data - **Coke Fundamentals**: 247 steel enterprises' iron - molten daily output is 241.6, up 0.57 (0.24% month - on - month). The daily output of all - sample independent coking plants is 65.0, down 0.34 (- 0.52% month - on - month). [2] - **Coking Coal Fundamentals**: 110 coal - washing plants' refined coal daily output is 47.8, down 3.5 (6.70% month - on - month). The inventory of all - sample independent coking plants' coking coal is 798.1, down 2.3 (- 0.29% month - on - month). [2] 3.3 Important News - In May 2025, the crude steel output of 70 countries/regions included in the World Steel Association statistics was 158.8 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 3.8%. [4] - On June 24, the main port iron ore transactions in China were 81.30 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 31.2%; 237 mainstream traders' construction steel transactions were 9.32 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 9.5%. [5] 3.4 Trading Strategies - Coke: With the fourth - round price cut implemented, steel is in the off - season, and coke supply is loose. Futures prices are expected to fluctuate. [6] - Coking Coal: Supply has tightened marginally, prices have stopped falling and stabilized. The spot market is stable, and the futures market is expected to fluctuate. [6]

Group 1 - Cathay Securities International Holdings has received approval from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to upgrade its existing securities trading license to provide virtual asset trading services, allowing clients to trade cryptocurrencies and stablecoins directly on its platform [1] - The CSI Securities Company Pioneer Strategy Index (931402) has seen a strong increase of 3.55% as of June 24, 2025, with constituent stocks such as Guosheng Jin控 (002670) and Tianfeng Securities (601162) hitting the 10% daily limit up [1] - The Securities ETF Pioneer (516980) has risen by 3.71%, marking a third consecutive increase [1] Group 2 - The Securities ETF Pioneer has achieved a net value increase of 35.73% over the past year, with the highest monthly return since inception being 39.27% and the longest consecutive monthly increase lasting three months with a total increase of 47.88% [3] - The latest price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the CSI Securities Company Pioneer Strategy Index is 19.51, indicating it is at a historical low, being below 85.2% of the time over the past year [3] - The index tracks larger securities companies, reflecting stable business models and reasonable valuation levels within the securities industry [3] Group 3 - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Securities Company Pioneer Strategy Index account for 59.9% of the index, including companies like Dongfang Caifu (300059) and CITIC Securities (600030) [4] - A recent guideline issued by the People's Bank of China and other departments aims to support consumption and encourages the issuance of consumer ETFs, which may attract additional funds to the sector [4] - The market remains active, and ongoing reforms in the merger and acquisition sector by the securities regulatory authority may serve as a catalyst for the securities sector [4] Group 4 - The securities sector is expected to show a clear improvement in performance year-on-year for the first half of the year, with a notable mismatch between high profitability and low valuation, suggesting attractive investment opportunities [5]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China and six other departments have jointly released guidelines to enhance financial support for consumption, aiming to stimulate economic growth through a series of 19 key measures focused on various aspects of consumer finance [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Support Measures - The guidelines propose a comprehensive support system for consumption through financial innovation, creating a virtuous cycle of "policy guidance - financial supply - consumption upgrade" [1]. - Key measures include enhancing consumer capacity, expanding financial supply in consumption sectors, and optimizing the consumption environment [1][3]. - A specific focus is placed on providing 500 billion yuan in low-interest loans (1.5%) to stimulate credit investment in service consumption and elderly care [1][3]. Group 2: Financing Channels - The guidelines emphasize the need to solidify the macroeconomic financial foundation by supporting employment and optimizing insurance coverage [3]. - Financial institutions are encouraged to issue loans to key service sectors such as retail, hospitality, and education, enhancing the quality and efficiency of service consumption [3][4]. - The guidelines also promote diversified financing channels, including bond and equity financing for qualified enterprises in the consumption sector [4]. Group 3: Consumer Potential Release - The new policies are seen as crucial for stabilizing economic growth amid global uncertainties and domestic economic pressures, with consumption being a key driver [5][6]. - Specific areas of focus for financial support include goods consumption, service consumption, and new consumption models [6][7]. - The guidelines advocate for personalized financial products tailored to the unique characteristics of service consumption [7]. Group 4: Strengthening Financial Services - The guidelines call for the optimization of payment services to enhance consumer experience across various payment methods [9]. - A robust credit system is to be established, leveraging national credit information platforms to improve the identification of consumer credit status [9]. - Consumer rights protection mechanisms will be strengthened to ensure transparency and compliance in financial services [9]. Group 5: Long-term Economic Impact - The policies aim to create a synergistic relationship between government guidance and market mechanisms, addressing supply-demand mismatches while facilitating industrial transformation [10]. - The anticipated outcome is a dual upgrade in supply and demand within the consumption market, contributing to high-quality economic development and improved living standards [10].

FICC日报 | 2025-06-25 国内政策提振，指数反弹 市场分析 金融促消费政策出台。国内方面，国新办举行新闻发布会介绍，9月3日上午，北京天安门广场将举行纪念中国人 民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争胜利80周年大会，包括检阅部队。央行等六部门联合印发《关于金融支持提振和 扩大消费的指导意见》，从支持增强消费能力、扩大消费领域金融供给、挖掘释放居民消费潜力、促进提升消费供 给效能、优化消费环境和政策支撑保障等六个方面提出19项重点举措。海外方面，以色列和伊朗同意全面停火， 伊朗最高国家安全委员会发表声明，宣布与"以色列及其支持者"停火。以色列总理内塔尼亚胡也发表声明称，接 受美国总统特朗普提出的停火协议。 指数走高。现货市场，A股三大指数震荡走高，上证指数收复3400点，涨1.15%收于3420.57点，创业板指涨2.3%。 行业方面，板块指数涨多跌少，电力设备、非银金融、商贸零售、汽车行业涨幅居前，仅石油石化、煤炭行业收 跌。当日沪深两市成交金额上升至1.4万亿元。海外市场，鲍威尔在国会证词中表示，美联储目前处于有利位置， 能够耐心等待，待对经济走向有更清晰的判断后再考虑调整货币政策立场。但他不排除关税 ...

Market Performance - A-shares saw a morning surge with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.15% to 3420.57 points, Shenzhen Component Index up 1.68%, and ChiNext Index increasing by 2.3%[1] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index closed up 2.06% at 24177.07 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 2.14% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 1.9%[1] - The total trading volume in the Hong Kong market reached 2404.815 billion HKD[1] U.S. Market Trends - All three major U.S. stock indices rose over 1%, with the Dow Jones up 1.19%, S&P 500 increasing by 1.11% to 6092.18 points, and Nasdaq rising by 1.43%[1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated a balanced stance on interest rate cuts, suggesting a wait-and-see approach regarding tariff impacts on the economy[8] Geopolitical Developments - A fragile ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran remains in place, but the fate of highly enriched uranium is still uncertain, with the International Atomic Energy Agency seeking to return to Iran for verification[8][11] Economic Policies - The People's Bank of China and six other departments issued guidelines to enhance financial support for boosting and expanding consumption, emphasizing structural monetary policy tools and credit support for key service sectors[11]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China and other government departments have jointly issued guidelines to enhance financial support for consumption, aiming to stimulate economic growth through increased consumer spending [2][3]. Group 1: Key Areas of Financial Support - The guidelines focus on three main areas of consumption: goods consumption, service consumption, and new consumption types [3]. - Current goods consumption is robust, with durable goods spending reaching levels comparable to the U.S. by 2024, while service consumption has significant growth potential, currently at 18% of GDP compared to over 40% in developed countries [3][4]. Group 2: Specific Measures for Goods Consumption - Financial institutions are encouraged to provide various channels for financing old-for-new consumer goods, including support for recycling and upgrading essential household items [4][5]. - The guidelines emphasize the importance of financing for the automotive sector, including flexible loan terms and reduced penalties for early loan repayment during trade-in processes [4][5]. Group 3: Support for Service Consumption - Increased financing support is directed towards sectors such as retail, hospitality, and elder care, aiming to unlock the potential of basic service consumption [5][6]. - Innovative financing models are encouraged in cultural, tourism, and educational sectors, with a focus on extending loan terms and utilizing accounts receivable and intellectual property as collateral [5][6]. Group 4: New Consumption Types - The guidelines propose exploring financial support channels for digital, green, and health-related consumption, promoting financial innovation tailored to these new consumption trends [5][6]. Group 5: Multi-layered Financial Service System - A multi-tiered consumer finance service system has been established, with commercial banks and consumer finance companies playing a central role, supported by diverse financing channels [6][7]. - The guidelines advocate for enhancing the internal structures of financial institutions to improve consumer finance services and support qualified enterprises in issuing bonds and equity financing [6][7]. Group 6: Specific Financial Initiatives - A notable initiative includes the establishment of a 500 billion yuan re-lending facility for service consumption and elderly care, indicating a strong commitment to support these sectors [7][8]. - The guidelines also encourage cultural, tourism, and educational enterprises to access bond markets for funding, alongside support for early-stage companies through equity investments [7][8]. Group 7: Promoting Old-for-New Consumption - The old-for-new consumption strategy is highlighted as a key driver for expanding goods consumption, with a focus on innovative models such as replacing old elevators in residential areas [8][9]. - The integration of diverse consumer credit products with old-for-new initiatives is recommended to enhance consumer experience and operational efficiency for merchants [9].

重要新闻 3. 商务部：组织开展2025年千县万镇新能源汽车消费季活动 1. 央行今天将开展3000亿元MLF操作 中国人民银行：为保持银行体系流动性充裕，2025年6月25日（周三），中国人民银行将以固定数量、 利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展3000亿元MLF操作，期限为1年期。 2. 六部门推19项举措明确金融促消费的"路线图"，强化商品消费和服务消费金融供给 6月24日，中国人民银行等6部门联合对外发布《关于金融支持提振和扩大消费的指导意见》，推出19条 重点举措，从支持增强消费能力、扩大消费领域金融供给、挖掘释放居民消费潜力、促进提升消费供给 效能、优化消费环境和政策支撑保障等六个方面，明确了当前金融支持消费增长的方向和重点。意见提 出，创新优化信贷产品，加大对符合条件的消费行业经营主体首贷、续贷、信用贷、中长期贷款支持力 度。意见明确了金融支持消费的重点领域——商品消费、服务消费和新型消费，并给出了相应引导。意 见强调要夯实宏观经济基础，强化金融与财政、产业等政策协同联动，将支持增强居民消费能力作为金 融发力的重要方向。 商务部办公厅发布组织开展2025年千县万镇新能源汽车消费季活动的通知，活动时间 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the issuance of guidelines by six Chinese government departments to enhance and expand consumption through financial support, focusing on 19 key measures across six major areas [1][2][3] Group 2 - The guidelines emphasize the importance of strengthening consumer capacity and fostering demand, aiming to stabilize consumption expectations and enhance support for the real economy [2] - Financial institutions are encouraged to innovate and optimize credit products, particularly for the consumer sector, with a focus on first loans, renewals, credit loans, and medium to long-term loans [2] - A special re-lending facility of 500 billion yuan is established to support loans in key service consumption areas, allowing eligible financial institutions to apply for re-lending based on 100% of the loan principal [2] - The guidelines promote financial support for key consumption sectors, including wholesale and retail, catering, and elder care services, while also encouraging the development of new consumption models such as digital and green consumption [3] - Financial institutions are urged to engage with major projects in the consumption sector, including cultural and tourism facilities, healthcare, and infrastructure, to innovate financing models and optimize loan approval processes [3] - The guidelines aim to enhance payment convenience by improving payment services across various consumption scenarios, including cash, cards, mobile payments, and digital currency, while also focusing on the needs of elderly and foreign consumers [3]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China emphasizes the importance of international law in response to Israel and the US's actions against Iran's nuclear facilities, indicating a willingness to support peace initiatives [1] - The National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference discusses deepening economic reforms to promote modernization [2] - The People's Bank of China and six other departments issue guidelines to enhance financial support for consumption, including a 500 billion yuan loan for service consumption and pension [3] - The Ministry of Commerce announces a campaign to promote electric vehicle consumption in rural areas from July to December 2025 [4] - Guangdong province releases a plan to stimulate domestic circulation by promoting trade-in programs for various consumer goods [5] Group 2 - Youyan New Materials announces plans to introduce strategic investors with a total investment of 300 million yuan [6] - Youngor announces the sale of financial assets, totaling 4.175 billion yuan [7] - Changchuan Technology plans to raise up to 3.132 billion yuan for semiconductor equipment research and development [8] - Tailin Microelectronics expects a 267% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of the year [9] - Huatai Securities is approved to issue up to 10 billion yuan in technology innovation bonds [11] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve Chairman Powell indicates potential for early interest rate cuts if the labor market weakens and inflation decreases [16] - US stock markets show significant gains, with the Nasdaq rising 1.43% and the Dow Jones reaching its highest closing since March [17] - International crude oil futures experience substantial declines, with WTI and Brent crude oil futures dropping over 6% [18] - Goldman Sachs maintains an overweight recommendation for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, projecting a target of 4600 points for the CSI 300 index [19]