Focus on Key Events - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments are launching the 2025 New Energy Vehicle Rural Promotion Campaign to enhance the adoption of electric vehicles in rural areas, including measures like tax reductions and improved service networks [3][4]. - The European Central Bank's Isabel Schnabel stated that now is an opportune time to enhance the global status of the euro, driven by increased investor interest in Europe and a relative decline in the dollar's dominance [5][6]. - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission issued a new management method for the development planning of central enterprises, emphasizing the concentration of state capital in key industries and strategic emerging sectors [6][7]. - China's public fund management scale has surpassed 33 trillion yuan for the first time, reflecting a significant growth trend in the wealth management sector [8]. - Central Huijin has increased its control over eight securities firms, potentially leading to a new wave of mergers and acquisitions in the securities industry [9]. Policy Developments - The 2025 New Energy Vehicle Rural Promotion Campaign aims to improve the green development level in rural areas by promoting electric vehicle usage and enhancing service support [3][4]. - The new management method for central enterprises establishes a three-tier planning system to guide the optimization of state-owned capital allocation [6][7]. Market Trends - The public fund industry is experiencing growth due to policy benefits and product innovation, indicating a robust future potential driven by increasing wealth management needs [8]. - The consolidation of securities firms under Central Huijin is expected to enhance industry concentration and drive professionalization and internationalization [9]. Economic Indicators - As of the end of May, China's foreign exchange reserves increased to $32,853 billion, supported by a recovering economy and improved trade relations [10][11].

"车技不过关，少走云贵川。" 当一辆考验续航和安全能力的新能源车驰骋在山路上时，会是怎样的风景？跑车师傅陈刚来自贵州省遵义市S镇（代称）下属的一个山村，当地地势高， 山坡陡峭。在群山环绕之间，他跑了二十多年的车，家里车型装备齐全，有为个人或者晕车的乡亲而开的摩托车、为载学生或多人而备的面包车，以及一 辆"秀气"的新能源汽车。作为镇上最早购买这种车型的司机，陈刚见证了新能源车在山路十八弯中实现从0到1的突破。 同样在西南边陲的某一农村，家里开着小卖部的鲁鸿成为村里购买新能源车的第一人，2022年，在哪吒汽车和比亚迪之间纠结后，决定入手后者。现今， 村里常见的新能源车从1辆增至3辆。 缓慢增长的数据背后，是近期热议的新能源车下乡话题。 5月30日，工业和信息化部、国家发展和改革委、农业农村部等五部门发布《关于开展2025年新能源汽车下乡活动的通知》，124款车型入选2025年新能源 汽车下乡车型目录，较2024年的99款车型增长了25%。 自2020年启动以来，新能源汽车下乡活动已迈入第六个年头。如今，随着新能源汽车渗透率从一线城市至五线城市呈梯度递减，今年新能源汽车的这轮下 乡，被看作是推动汽车市场规模增长的重 ...

Group 1: New Energy Vehicle Initiatives - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and four other departments launched the 2025 New Energy Vehicle (NEV) rural promotion initiative, selecting 124 models to participate, including brands like BYD, Deep Blue, and Tesla's Model 3 and Model Y for the first time [1] - The initiative aims to meet the needs of rural areas with reliable and well-reviewed NEV models, promoting a comprehensive service network for purchase, usage, and maintenance [1] Group 2: NIO's Financial Performance - NIO reported Q1 2025 revenue of 12.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 21%, with R&D investment of 3.18 billion yuan [2] - The company delivered 42,094 vehicles in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of over 40%, leading to a sales revenue of 9.9393 billion yuan, up 18.6% from Q1 2024 [4] - For Q2 2025, NIO expects total deliveries of 72,000 to 75,000 vehicles, a year-on-year growth of 25.5% to 30.7%, with revenue guidance of 19.513 billion to 20.068 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.8% to 15.0% increase [4] Group 3: FAW-Volkswagen's New Energy Vehicle Plans - FAW-Volkswagen signed a memorandum with the Tianjin Economic Development Zone to produce two new energy vehicles based on the CMP platform by 2027, enhancing its competitiveness in the NEV market [5] - The CMP platform is designed specifically for the Chinese market, improving the speed of product development and launch by over 30% [7] Group 4: Changan Automobile's Corporate Changes - Changan Automobile announced a change in its indirect controlling shareholder to a newly established central enterprise following the split of the China Weaponry Equipment Group's automotive business [8][10] - The restructuring is not expected to significantly impact Changan's normal operations, with May sales reaching 224,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 9% [10] Group 5: XPeng's Technological Advancements - XPeng Motors, in collaboration with Huawei, launched the AR-HUD technology, which will debut in the XPeng G7 model, featuring an 87-inch display and advanced visual design for enhanced driving information [11][13] Group 6: New Model Previews - Fangcheng Leopard released a teaser for its upcoming model, potentially named Fangcheng Leopard Titanium 7, showcasing a design that combines rugged aesthetics with futuristic elements [16]

2025年06月09日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报 观点与策略 | 黄金：非农小幅超预期 | 3 | | --- | --- | | 白银：技术突破 | 3 | | 铜：美元回升，限制价格上涨 | 5 | | 铝：区间震荡 | 7 | | 氧化铝：继续下行 | 7 | | 锌：上方偏承压 | 9 | | 铅：低位运行 | 10 | | 锡：止跌回升 | 11 | | 镍：现实支撑与弱势预期博弈，镍价震荡运行 | 13 | | 不锈钢：负反馈传导减产增加，钢价区间震荡 | 13 | | 碳酸锂：短期进口减量，长期供需过剩，震荡 | 15 | | 工业硅：情绪见顶，盘面具备下行动能 | 17 | | 多晶硅：现货具备下跌驱动，盘面空配为主 | 17 | | 铁矿石：预期反复，宽幅震荡 | 19 | | 螺纹钢：低位震荡 | 20 | | 热轧卷板：低位震荡 | 20 | | 硅铁：宽幅震荡 | 22 | | 锰硅：宽幅震荡 | 22 | | 焦炭：三轮提降落地，宽幅震荡 | 24 | | 焦煤：事故扰动，宽幅震荡 | 24 | | 动力煤：需求仍待释放，宽幅震荡 | 26 | | 原木：震荡反复 | 27 | | ...

证券研究报告 （2025.06.02-06.08） 合规 诚信 专业 稳健 分 析 师：徐至 SAC登记编码：S0730525040001 发布日期：2025年6月8日 01 全国要闻与数据跟踪 目 02 河南经济与政策跟踪 录 03 债券市场运行跟踪 Contents 04 股票市场运行跟踪 05 券商板块周行情跟踪 2025年"服务消费季"着力推动商旅文体 健融合发展，培育"旅游+""美食+"等 融合消费场景，通过多种创新形式，激发经 营主体活力，提升供给品质，释放服务消费 潜能，培育新增长点。 融合消费场景 n 6月3日，商务部启动2025年"服务消费季"活动 n 6月3日，工业和信息化部专题研究部署推动人工智能产业发展和赋能新型工业化 n 6月3日，工业和信息化部等五部门发布《关于开展2025年新能源汽车下乡活动的通知》 n 6月4日，财政部发布《2025年度中央财政支持实施城市更新行动评选结果公示》 n 6月4日，国家能源局组织开展新型电力系统建设第一批试点工作 n 本周公布主要数据： n 6月3日，财新传媒公布5月份财新中国制造业采购经理指数 n 6月5日，中国物流与采购联合会发布的2025年5月 ...

行业研究|可选消费|汽车与汽车零部件 证券研究报告 2025 年 06 月 08 日 [Table_Title] 汽车下乡再启动，汽车央企重组推进 ——汽车行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告要点： 5 月乘用车维持高速增长，新能源批发同比再上 40% 乘用车：5 月 1-31 日，全国乘用车市场零售 193 万辆，同比去年 5 月 增长 13%，较上月增长 10%，今年以来累计零售 880.2 万辆，同比增长 9%；5 月 1-31 日，全国乘用车厂商批发 232.9 万辆，同比去年 5 月增 长 14%，较上月增长 6%，今年以来累计批发 1079.7 万辆，同比增长 12%。 新能源：5 月 1-31 日，全国乘用车新能源市场零售 105.6 万辆，同比去 年 5 月增长 30%，较上月增长 14%，全国新能源市场零售渗透率 53.5%， 今年以来累计零售 438 万辆，同比增长 34%；5 月 1-31 日，全国乘用车 厂商新能源批发 124 万辆，同比去年 5 月增长 37%，较上月增长 9%，新 能源厂商批发渗透率 54.2%，今年以来累计批发 522.1 万辆，同比增长 41%。 五部 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the new materials industry [1]. Core Insights - The new materials sector is a crucial direction for the chemical industry, currently experiencing rapid growth in downstream demand. With policy support and technological breakthroughs, domestic new materials are expected to accelerate their long-term growth. The report emphasizes that "one generation of materials supports one generation of industry," highlighting the foundational role of the new materials industry in supporting other sectors [6]. Summary by Sections 1. New Materials Industry Dynamics 1.1 Electronic Information Sector - On June 6, SEMI reported that the global semiconductor equipment shipment value increased by 21% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching $32.05 billion. However, there was a 5% quarter-on-quarter decline due to typical seasonal patterns [8][24]. 1.2 Aerospace Sector - The report highlights key materials such as PI films, precision ceramics, and carbon fibers as areas of focus [11]. 1.3 New Energy Sector - The report emphasizes the importance of photovoltaic materials, lithium-ion batteries, proton exchange membranes, and hydrogen storage materials [13]. 1.4 Biotechnology Sector - The focus is on synthetic biology and scientific services, with a notable mention of China's potential to surpass the U.S. in biotechnology, particularly in drug development [15]. 1.5 Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Sector - Key areas include adsorbent resins, membrane materials, and biodegradable plastics [16]. 2. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - The report lists several key companies with their stock prices and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024, 2025E, and 2026E, along with their price-to-earnings (PE) ratios and investment ratings. For example, Ruihua Tai (688323.SH) has a stock price of 13.85 with an EPS forecast of 0.06 for 2025E, rated as "Increase Holding" [18]. 3. Industry Rating and Investment Strategy - The new materials sector is expected to benefit from the catalytic effects of downstream application sectors, gradually entering a prosperous cycle, thus maintaining a "Recommended" rating for the new materials industry [17].

中经记者 陈燕南 北京报道 《五部门关于开展2025年新能源汽车下乡活动的通知》（以下简称"《通知》"）显示，选取满足乡村地 区使用需求、口碑好、质量可靠的新能源车型，开展展览展示、试乘驾驶等活动。 据了解，今年车型目录中共有124款车型，相比之下，2020—2024年分别为60款、52款、70款、69款、 99款。除了数量进一步扩大，车型种类也更丰富。不仅有常见的家用车型，还包括越野车、商用车，以 及皮卡、轻卡等适合农村使用场景的车型，价格从几万元到几十万元不等，为农村消费者提供了更广泛 的选择空间。 值得关注的是，此次进入目录的车企也数量更多，一汽、理想、长城、一汽丰田、郑州日产、北汽福 田、潍柴新能源商用车等都涵盖在内。 广州眺远营销咨询公司总监高承飞则对记者表示，此次新能源汽车下乡活动，车型数量大幅增加至124 款，这不仅为消费者提供了更丰富的选择，也体现了新能源汽车市场的日益成熟和多元化。 "相比以往，此次下乡活动更注重车型的适配性，针对农村及三四线城市的路况、使用场景和消费者需 求，筛选出更多适合的车型，如小型SUV、微型电动车等，这些车型在续航、空间和价格上更具优势， 能够更好地满足农村消费者日 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The zinc price's box - style oscillation pattern awaits a breakthrough, while the lead price is expected to remain volatile. Attention should be focused on the price trend of waste batteries [4][64]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Report Abstract - The US ADP employment increase in a certain month was 1.37 million, lower than the expected 1.5 million and the previous value of 2.625 million, reaching the lowest level in years. The market focused on this data [4]. - China's manufacturing PMI in a certain month was 49.5%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, but still below the critical point. It was the first time to fall below the critical point in a certain period [4]. - The European Central Bank mentioned continued small - scale interest rate cuts, and countries would increase investment in national defense and infrastructure, providing support on a broader macro - level [4]. - The China Zinc Raw Material Joint Negotiation (Coordination) Group announced the guidance price range for imported zinc concentrate procurement fees in the third quarter of 2025 [4]. - The supply of zinc raw materials remained loose, and the zinc ingot output might have a large - scale increase. The domestic zinc ingot social inventory decreased slightly, and the low inventory supported the zinc price [4]. - The supply of recycled lead was unstable, and the inventory of lead ingots in the national market increased. The consumption of waste batteries was weak, and the lead price was expected to remain volatile [4]. 3.2 Multi - and Short - Focus 3.2.1 Multi - and Short - Factors Analysis (Zinc) - Bullish factors: The output of domestic and foreign zinc mines may accelerate in June, and the zinc ingot output ratio may have a large - scale increase, and the social inventory has decreased [7]. - Bearish factors: The consumption end is weak [7]. 3.2.2 Multi - and Short - Factors Analysis (Lead) - Bullish factors: The supply of recycled lead is still unstable [10]. - Bearish factors: The operating rate of primary lead enterprises is high, the price of waste batteries is running weakly, and the off - season consumption has not improved significantly [10]. 3.3 Data Analysis 3.3.1 Zinc - Related Data - In April, China's zinc ore concentrate imports were 494,662.21 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 37.64% and a year - on - year increase of 72.63%. The supply from major countries increased, and Australia became the top supplier [12]. - In June, the average domestic zinc concentrate TC increased by 150 yuan/metal ton to 3,650 yuan/metal ton, and the average imported ore TC increased by 10 dollars/dry ton to 55 dollars/dry ton. The China Zinc Raw Material Joint Negotiation (Coordination) Group released the guidance price range for imported zinc concentrate procurement fees [15]. - The price of zinc concentrate slightly increased. The price of 50% zinc concentrate in Hechi was 17,930 yuan/ton, up 90 yuan/ton from the previous week; in Chenzhou, it was 17,700 yuan/ton, up 70 yuan/ton from the previous week [20]. - In April, China's refined zinc output was 576,000 tons, down 39,000 tons from March, with a year - on - year slight increase of 0.3%. From January to April, the cumulative output was 2.333 million tons, and the year - on - year decline narrowed to 2.9%. Due to the increase in zinc ore processing fees, the smelter's production profit was repaired [23]. - In April, refined zinc imports were 28,200 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 2.4% and a year - on - year decrease of 38.66%. From January to April, the cumulative imports were 129,200 tons, with a year - on - year decrease of 9.44% [26]. - Policies such as the new energy vehicle countryside campaign and urban renewal were introduced, which may have an impact on the consumption of zinc in related industries [30]. - As of June 5, the LME zinc inventory was 137,150 tons, down 1.44% from the previous week. The SHFE zinc inventory decreased by 4% to 42,310 tons in the week of May 30. As of June 5, the zinc ingot inventory in the national main markets was 58,300 tons, down 900 tons from June 3 [33]. 3.3.2 Lead - Related Data - This week, the lead futures and spot prices rebounded after hitting the bottom. The basis was 55 yuan/ton, and the premium range narrowed. The price difference between 1 lead and recycled refined lead was 110 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan/ton from the previous week [38]. - The weekly price of 60% lead concentrate in Kunming decreased by 257 yuan/ton, and in Baoji, it decreased by 251 yuan/ton. As of May 30, the lead concentrate processing fees in different regions changed, with some decreasing and some increasing [42]. - In April 2025, the lead concentrate imports were 111,046 physical tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 4.3% and a year - on - year increase of 22.1%. As of 2025, the cumulative lead concentrate imports were about 448,700 physical tons, with a year - on - year increase of 41%. In April, the refined lead imports were 4,734 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 65% [46]. - In April 2025, China's lead output was 664,000 tons, with a year - on - year decrease of 1%. Both primary lead and recycled lead production decreased in April, but some enterprises resumed production in May [48]. - The operating rate of primary lead increased by 5.98 percentage points to 66.26%. The operating rate of recycled lead enterprises increased by 10.94 percentage points to 62.91%, and the operating rate of lead batteries increased by 1.99 percentage points to 74.34% [51][53][57]. - Last week, the LME lead inventory decreased after a large - scale increase, and the SHFE lead inventory decreased by 3.98% to 46,500 tons in the week of May 30. As of June 5, the national main market lead ingot social inventory was 50,800 tons, up 3,900 tons from June 3 [61]. 3.4 Market Outlook - The zinc price's box - style oscillation pattern awaits a breakthrough; the lead price is expected to remain volatile, and attention should be paid to the price trend of waste batteries [64].

V期现日报 投资次输业务资格·证监许可 【2011】1292 2025年6月6日 林嘉施 Z0020770 | 价格及基差 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 现值 | 前值 | 日涨跌 | 日涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 304/2B (无锡宏旺2.0卷) | 13050 | 13100 | -50 | -0.38% | 元/吨 | | 304/2B (佛山宏旺2.0卷) | 13050 | 13050 | O | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 期现价差 | 530 | 550 | -20 | -3.64% | 元/吨 | | 原料价格 | | | | | | | | 现值 | 前值 | 日涨跌 | 日涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 菲律宾红土镍矿1.5%(CIF)均价 | ਦਰੇ | ਦੌਰੇ | O | 0.00% | 美元/湿吨 | | 南非40-42%铬精矿均价 | 60 | ୧୦ | - J | -0.83% | 元/吨度 | | 8-12%高镍生铁出厂均价 | 957 | વેરૂદ | 1 | 0.05% | 元/镍点 | | 内 ...