油价调整

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时间定了,油价将调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 13:22
距离8月12日24时的油价调整窗口仅剩6天,目前本周期油价统计工作已完成60%。受国际油价下跌影 响,虽然近期周期油价涨幅不断收窄,但目前涨幅仍高于上调线,油价调整暂处上调状态。 8月6日,周期统计进入第6天,预计汽柴油上调幅度为110元/吨,较昨日涨幅又缩水35元/吨,折合每升 油价上涨0.08-0.10元。本次油价调整时间为8月12日24时(下周二晚12点)。 距离调价还有4个统计日,当前国际油价仍低于周期原油均价。若今天国际油价不上涨,预计明天(8月 7日)周期第7天,油价涨幅将收窄至100元/吨以内。若国际油价延续当前跌势,预计周五国内油价涨幅 将收窄至60元/吨左右,最终涨幅可能缩至50元/吨以内至调价搁浅。反之,若国际油价小幅反弹,本周 期油价调整最终或迎来小幅上涨。 来源/今日油价查看、大众日报 (来源:纵览新闻) ...
油价调整时间定了!是涨?是跌?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 12:00
距离8月12日24时的油价调整窗口仅剩6天,目前本周期油价统计工作已完成60%。受国际油价下跌影响,虽然近期周期油价涨幅不断收窄,但目前涨幅仍 高于上调线,油价调整暂处上调状态。 8月6日,周期统计进入第6天,预计汽柴油上调幅度为110元/吨,较昨日涨幅又缩水35元/吨,折合每升油价上涨0.08-0.10元。本次油价调整时间为8月12日 24时(下周二晚12点)。 距离调价还有4个统计日,当前国际油价仍低于周期原油均价。若今天国际油价不上涨,预计明天(8月7日)周期第7天,油价涨幅将收窄至100元/吨以 内。若国际油价延续当前跌势,预计周五国内油价涨幅将收窄至60元/吨左右,最终涨幅可能缩至50元/吨以内至调价搁浅。反之,若国际油价小幅反弹, 本周期油价调整最终或迎来小幅上涨。 来源:石家庄日报 综合:今日油价查看、大众日报、石家庄交通广播 ...
8月6日【油价下跌】原油“4连降”,新周期油价涨幅“2毛变1毛”,8月12日调价,上涨或转为下跌!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 07:02
车友们,今天是2025年8月6日,农历闰六月十三,立秋在即,暑热还在持续!而在国内成品油市场,距离新一轮调价,2025年8月12日24时,今年第16次调 价周期仅剩6天时间,本轮周期进入倒计时!本周,油价调整方向也将进一步明朗,目前,周期内原油变化率正值运行,此次油价处于上涨范畴,但是,基 于原油市场转弱,此次油价上涨悬念再起,油价存在上涨变下降的希望,具体分析如下: 目前,全国油价,各地加油站92/95号汽油以及0号柴油等,油价按照前一日调价后的水平执行!不过,由于今年第15次调价,汽柴油迎来今年第3次搁浅的 水平,因此,实际全国油价仍是7月16日汽柴油普降0.11元/升后的价格,具体汇总报价更新,笔者放在文章末尾,其中,北京市场92号汽油7.26元/升,95号 汽油7.73元/升…… 按照汽柴油调价安排,2025年第16次调价,计价周期(7月30日至8月12日)的10个工作日,从数据显示,本轮周期初,原油变化率高开走低,油价涨幅呈现 收窄的局面,支撑油价涨幅下降,关键在于原油市场重心下移! 据悉,在原油市场,7月30日,国际油价创下阶段性新高,WTI原油价格涨至70美元/桶,布伦特原油报价涨至73.24美 ...
8月2日【油价下跌】原油猛跌2.8%,新周期上涨225元/吨,下周油价涨幅“降下来”,今年“第7涨”悬念再起!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-02 06:23
时光荏苒,今天是2025年8月2日,农历闰六月初八,距离8月12日新周期调价还有10天时间,截至本周,新周期完成30%,油价统计上涨225元/吨,处于大 涨范畴!但是,随着原油市场冲高回落,最近2个交易日,原油价格逆势连跌,且,隔夜市场,原油猛跌2.8%,新周期,油价涨幅或将收窄,下周涨幅或降 下来,此次油价今年"第7涨"能否兑现,悬念再起! 据悉,截至目前,2025年前7个月,汽柴油调价完毕,最近2个月,油价呈现趋势上涨的走势!据悉,2025年6-7月份,汽柴油共计进行5次调价,其中,3次 上涨,1次下跌,1次搁浅,阶段性,汽油上涨430元/吨,换算升价,各种油品上涨0.35元/升左右! 按照油价形成机制,目前,全国各地加油站,92/95号汽油以及0号柴油,油价仍维持7月15日24时,今年第14次调价,汽柴油下降130元以及125元/吨后的水 平,以北京为例,92号汽油报价在7.26元/升,山东报价在7.22元/升,相比5月末的低值,累计上涨幅度达0.35元/升! 目前,按照汽柴油10个工作日调价的机制,2025年第16次调价,本周,计价周期完成前3个工作日,基于8月2日周末调价休市,本轮计价周期按照周五第 ...
油价调整:注意,预计上调225元/吨,油价大涨中!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 02:39
Core Viewpoint - The current oil price adjustment cycle indicates an expected increase of 225 yuan/ton, with a slight reduction of 5 yuan/ton compared to the previous day's forecast, translating to an increase of 0.17-0.20 yuan per liter, which exceeds the upper limit for price hikes [1] Oil Price Trends - International oil prices have recently experienced fluctuations, with U.S. crude oil dropping below $70 per barrel, closing at $69.36 per barrel after a decline of 1.34% [4] - Brent crude oil also fell by 1.36%, closing at $71.74 per barrel, with current prices at $69.27 per barrel, reflecting a further decrease of 0.13% [4] - The recent U.S. economic data, including a surprising rise in core PCE inflation to 2.8%, has impacted market expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, leading to a stronger dollar and reduced oil demand [4] Regional Fuel Prices - The following are the expected fuel prices in various regions: - Beijing: 92 gasoline at 7.26 yuan, 95 gasoline at 7.73 yuan, 98 gasoline at 9.23 yuan, and diesel at 6.88 yuan [4] - Shanghai: 92 gasoline at 7.22 yuan, 95 gasoline at 7.68 yuan, 98 gasoline at 9.48 yuan, and diesel at 6.88 yuan [4] - Guangdong: 92 gasoline at 7.28 yuan, 95 gasoline at 7.89 yuan, 98 gasoline at 9.89 yuan, and diesel at 6.91 yuan [5] - Hainan: 92 gasoline at 8.37 yuan, 95 gasoline at 8.89 yuan, 98 gasoline at 10.06 yuan, and diesel at 6.99 yuan [5]
油价,今晚暂不调整
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-07-29 10:27
7月29日,国家发展改革委发布消息称,自2025年7月15日国内成品油价格调整以来,国际市场油价小幅 波动,按现行国内成品油价格机制测算,7月29日的前10个工作日平均价格与7月15日前10个工作日平均 价格相比,调价金额每吨不足50元。根据《石油价格管理办法》第七条规定,本次汽、柴油价格不作调 整,未调金额纳入下次调价时累加或冲抵。 《证券日报》记者梳理发现,这是今年成品油零售价的第十五次调价窗口,也是成品油零售价迎来的第 三次搁浅。待本次调价过后,今年成品油调价将呈现"六涨六跌三搁浅"的格局。 "总的来看,本轮计价周期内,多数时间原油市场缺乏核心驱动因素,基本围绕前期众多消息发酵。"卓 创资讯(301299)成品油分析师王雪琴在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,短期内,在宏观情绪转暖 的背景下,原油价格受到提振,预计延续偏强行情。 国家发展改革委价格监测中心表示,虽然夏季出行旺季为石油市场提供支撑,但美国关税政策的不确定 性将加剧国际油价波动,预计短期国际油价将维持区间震荡走势。 国家发展改革委价格监测中心有关负责人告诉《证券日报》记者,本轮调价周期内,受美国关税谈判进 展、美欧对俄油制裁、"欧佩克+"增产 ...
今晚,油价不调了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 10:13
Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that there will be no adjustment to domestic refined oil prices as of July 29, 2025, due to minimal fluctuations in international oil prices, with the adjustment amount being less than 50 yuan per ton [1] Group 1: Price Adjustment Overview - Domestic refined oil prices have undergone fifteen rounds of adjustments, resulting in a pattern of "six increases, six decreases, and three stabilities" [1] - After accounting for the increases and decreases, the overall prices of gasoline and diesel have decreased by 225 yuan/ton and 215 yuan/ton respectively compared to the end of 2024 [1] Group 2: Future Price Expectations - The next price adjustment window will open on August 12, 2025, at 24:00 [1] - Analysts from Longzhong Information predict a higher probability of price increases in the next round due to potential supply risks from new U.S. sanctions on Russia and ongoing traditional fuel consumption peaks in the U.S. [1] - Analyst Wang Xueqin from Zhaocai Information also anticipates a bullish trend in oil prices, with an expected initial increase of 55 yuan/ton based on current international oil price levels [1]
原油大涨1.2%,汽油预降25元/吨,4天后调价,油价搁浅大势已定!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 07:06
Core Viewpoint - The upcoming oil price adjustment on July 29, 2025, is expected to result in a price freeze, with the current trend indicating that the price reduction will not meet the standard threshold of 50 yuan per ton [1][5][7]. Price Adjustment History - In the previous adjustment (the 14th of 2025), gasoline and diesel prices decreased by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton, respectively, leading to a price drop of 0.1-0.12 yuan per liter [3]. - The last four price adjustments have shown a pattern of "3 increases and 1 decrease," with significant price increases observed from early June to early July, where gasoline and diesel prices rose by 560 yuan and 540 yuan per ton [3][5]. Current Market Analysis - As of July 25, 2025, the average price of crude oil is at 67.75 USD per barrel, with a change rate of -0.73%, indicating a decrease of 25 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel [5][7]. - Recent trends in the crude oil market show a slight increase, with WTI crude oil rising by 1.2% to 66.03 USD per barrel and Brent crude oil increasing by 0.98% to 69.18 USD per barrel [5][7]. Future Predictions - The oil price adjustment mechanism suggests that the upcoming adjustment may not exceed a reduction of 50 yuan per ton, with the likelihood of a price freeze being high [5][7]. - The market remains cautious about the potential for further increases in crude oil prices, which could limit the extent of any price reductions in the upcoming adjustment [7].
7月19日国际油价大涨,国内油价或由跌入涨,下次油价或上涨?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-18 23:22
Group 1 - Domestic oil prices have stopped rising after a significant increase of 560 yuan/ton for gasoline, with the latest adjustment resulting in a decrease of 130 yuan/ton for gasoline and 125 yuan/ton for diesel [2][4] - The current pricing cycle for oil runs from July 16 to July 29, with the first two days showing a decrease of 45 yuan/ton, but the decline has since reduced to 25 yuan/ton due to rising international oil prices [2][4] - As of July 18, international oil prices have increased, with WTI crude at 68.74 USD/barrel and Brent crude at 70.57 USD/barrel, raising concerns about potential price increases for domestic gasoline and diesel in the upcoming adjustment [4] Group 2 - The latest price adjustments for gasoline and diesel across various regions show a decrease of 130 yuan/ton, with specific prices for 92 gasoline in Beijing at 7.26 yuan/liter [5] - The price variations across different provinces indicate a range of prices for gasoline and diesel, reflecting regional market conditions [5]
国内油价下调,加满一箱油将少花5元左右
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 09:43
Core Viewpoint - Domestic fuel prices in China have been reduced after three consecutive increases, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton, respectively, effective from July 15, 2025 [2][3] Price Adjustment Details - The National Development and Reform Commission announced the price adjustments based on recent international oil price fluctuations, with the average reference crude oil price at 68.25 USD per barrel and a change rate of -3.34% [3] - Specific price reductions include a decrease of 0.1 yuan per liter for 89 and 92 octane gasoline, 0.11 yuan per liter for 95 octane gasoline, and 0.11 yuan per liter for diesel [3][4] - This adjustment marks the 14th price change in 2025, with a pattern of "six increases, six decreases, and two pauses" observed so far this year [3] Impact on Consumers - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92 octane gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan [4] - For a small private car with a monthly mileage of 2000 km and fuel consumption of 8L per 100 km, the cost savings will be around 7 yuan at the next price adjustment [4] - In the logistics sector, a heavy truck running 10,000 km monthly with a fuel consumption of 38L per 100 km will see a reduction in fuel costs by about 195 yuan [4] International Oil Price Trends - The international oil price has experienced fluctuations due to various factors, including high travel demand during the U.S. Independence Day holiday and geopolitical tensions affecting energy transport security [5][6] - OPEC+ has announced a significant increase in oil production by 548,000 barrels per day starting in August, which may exert downward pressure on oil prices [6] Future Price Adjustment Outlook - There are differing opinions among industry analysts regarding the next round of domestic fuel price adjustments, with some predicting a likelihood of price stabilization while others foresee potential increases [8] - Analysts note that the ongoing U.S. fuel consumption peak and the impact of OPEC+ production increases will play crucial roles in determining future price movements [7][8]