智通财经6月30日电，花旗预计黄金价格将在2026年下半年前回落至2500-2700美元/盎司。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the volatility of gold prices, with a significant drop below $3250 per ounce followed by a rebound to around $3287 per ounce by the end of the day [1][6] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also fallen, with major brands like Chow Tai Fook and Chow Sang Sang seeing prices drop to around 980-990 yuan per gram [4][8] - The A-share precious metals sector saw gains in response to the international gold price rebound, with notable increases in stocks like Chao Hong Ji and Zhongrun Resources, which rose over 6% [9][10] Group 2 - Gold remains one of the best-performing asset classes in the first half of the year, with a 25% increase, and has risen 80% since the beginning of 2023 [11] - Over 90% of central banks surveyed expect to increase their gold reserves in the next 12 months, driven by ongoing economic and geopolitical uncertainties [11] - Predictions for future gold prices vary significantly among institutions, with optimistic forecasts suggesting prices could reach $6000 per ounce by 2029, while others anticipate declines below $3000 per ounce in the coming quarters [11][12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold prices is influenced by easing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty in Federal Reserve policies, and a shift in fund flows from gold ETFs [1][2]. Geopolitical Situation - The recent easing of tensions in the Middle East, particularly the ceasefire between Israel and Iran, has weakened the safe-haven appeal of gold. The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and increasing great power competition continue to pose long-term geopolitical risks that may support gold prices in the future. Following the ceasefire agreement, COMEX gold futures experienced a drop of over 2% [1]. Federal Reserve Policy - Market expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are inconsistent. The latest CME "FedWatch" indicates an 81.9% probability of maintaining rates in July and a 76% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by September. Stronger-than-expected PCE data and tariff policies from the Trump administration may delay the rate cut timeline, suppressing gold price rebounds. However, if subsequent economic data shows weakness, it could strengthen demand for gold as a safe haven [1]. Fund Flows - According to the World Gold Council, global gold ETF demand turned negative in May, with North American and Asian funds leading the decline. This marks the first monthly net outflow from global gold ETFs, with total assets under management decreasing by 1% month-over-month. The shift in fund flows is putting pressure on the gold market [1]. Market Outlook - Gold is currently in a short-term downward trend due to reduced market risk appetite stemming from geopolitical easing and uncertainty in Federal Reserve policies. However, long-term factors such as global debt issues and great power competition may reactivate gold's safe-haven attributes. Future expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts could also drive gold prices higher. Short-term attention should be on the breakout situation in the $3250 - $3280 range, as well as the outcomes of tariff negotiations on July 9 and Federal Reserve policy developments [2].

回调还是反弹？黄金方向怎么选 黄金下跌触及关键防线，支撑能否经得住考验？若失守，下方关注哪里？点击查看详细分析！ 相关链接 ...

Group 1 - The Shenyuan Nonferrous Metals Index has increased by 8.11% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which has decreased by 2.41% [1] - Among the sub-industries, precious metals have shown the highest growth, with new metal materials and minor metals both increasing by around 30%, while energy metals have seen a slight decline [1] - For the second half of the year, the focus should be on gold and rare earths as key sub-sectors within nonferrous metals [1] Group 2 - Gold prices are expected to continue rising after fluctuations, supported by a negative correlation with long-term U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index [2] - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to begin a rate-cutting cycle in September 2024, which could lead to a decrease in the federal funds target rate below 4.5%, positively impacting gold prices [2] - Historical data shows that during the last rate-cutting cycle from 2018 to 2019, gold prices increased by over 40%, indicating a strong potential for upward movement in the current cycle [2] Group 3 - Central banks globally have been increasing their gold reserves, with China's reserves reaching approximately 2,296.37 tons as of May 2025, marking the seventh consecutive month of increases [3] - Despite high gold prices, the ongoing purchases by central banks are expected to support gold prices in the medium to long term [3] Group 4 - The rare earth sector is experiencing tight supply, with China controlling over 50% of global rare earth reserves and more than 70% of production [5] - Demand for rare earths has been growing rapidly, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, with expected growth rates of around 25% over the next three years [5] - The future growth points for rare earth demand are anticipated to emerge in humanoid robotics, with a projected compound annual growth rate exceeding 150% over the next three years [5] Group 5 - Overall, the rare earth industry is characterized by tight supply and significant future demand potential, with current prices near historical lows, indicating substantial upside potential [6] - It is recommended to focus on leading companies in the rare earth magnetic materials sector [6]

美国闪击伊朗，伊朗是否还有回击措施，黄金能否守住3340？点击观看金十研究员文成直播分析 相关链接 ...

最近，国际现货黄金价格"跌跌不休"。 中国外汇投资研究院研究总监李钢认为， 目前国际黄金价格处于3500美元遇阻承压回落调整阶段，长 期上涨趋势并未改变 ，预计年内突破3500美元概率较高。值得一提的是，中国、越南、印度等新兴市 场国家官方增持黄金也是金价维稳的关键。 欧洲中央银行近日发布的报告指出， 黄金供给的变化是未来金价走势的重要变量 。以往经验表明，黄 金供给曾对需求上升做出弹性反应，未来官方部门的黄金储备需求若进一步上升，可能会带动全球黄金 供给进一步增加。 国内各品牌金饰价格也随之波动， 金饰克价4天跌15元~19元不等 。其中，周生生足金饰品价格呈现出 5天4跌态势。6月15日-20日周生生足金饰品克单价分别为1038元、1037元、1024元、1023元、1023元、 1020元，6月20日较15日每克下跌18元。 此外，老庙黄金为1012元/克，较16日下跌19元/克；周大福为1020元/克，较16日下跌15元/克；老凤祥 为1018元/克，较16日下跌17元/克。 | EASIX | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 避险抗通胀,长期配黄金 | | | | ...

特朗普几天来一直公开酝酿让美国加入以色列对伊朗的打击，以加大赌注。 彭博社认为，在连续发表强硬言论(包括要求德黑兰居民撤离，以及提前离开本周在加拿大举行的七国 集团峰会返回华盛顿)之后，特朗普的最新立场显示出一种让步。 莱维特发表上述言论后，黄金与原油价格都出现下滑。现货黄金价格周五亚市早盘下滑，金价最低跌至 3362美元/盎司附近。布伦特原油早盘下跌2.00%，报75.74美元/桶。 多年来，特朗普一直倾向于设定两周的最后期限，有时会遵守，有时却错过期限，或者根本不采取行 动，这使得"两周内"成为他在白宫两届任期内处理待决决定的常用语。 摘要周五（6月20日）亚市早盘，现货黄金短线走低，最新黄金价格交投于3360美元附近，今日金价开 盘先行窄幅偏弱运行，受到5-10日短期均线的压力，不过走势未跌破中轨线支撑，基本面也有利好支 撑，故此，后市仍偏向震荡调整，或再度走强攀升。 周五（6月20日）亚市早盘，现货黄金短线走低，最新黄金价格交投于3360美元附近，今日金价开盘先 行窄幅偏弱运行，受到5-10日短期均线的压力，不过走势未跌破中轨线支撑，基本面也有利好支撑，故 此，后市仍偏向震荡调整，或再度走强攀升。 【 ...

中东乱局持续，市场关注美国是否出手，黄金能否再测3400？点击观看金十研究员文成直播分析 相关链接 ...

今日金价 单位 变动幅度 涨跌 老庙黄金价格 1016 元/克 6月19日国内黄金市场动态：品牌金店首饰金价格整体趋稳，部分金店小跌5元/克。具体来看，周生 生、老凤祥黄金的首饰金价维持1025元/克高位，与昨日持平，继续领跑市场；菜百首饰则延续990元/ 克的低价策略，暂为当前市场最低报价。今日品牌金店价差仍保持35元/克（1025元/克-990元/克），与 前一交易日持平。 具体各大品牌金店最新价格见下表格： 0 平 六福黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 周大福黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 周六福黄金价格 1005 元/克 0 今日金店黄金价格一览（2025年6月19日） 金店报价 平 金至尊黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 老凤祥黄金价格 1023 元/克 0 平 潮宏基黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 周生生黄金价格 1023 元/克 0 平 菜百黄金价格 990 元/克 0 平 上海中国黄金价格 993 元/克 0 平 周大生黄金价格 1020 元/克 而在黄金价格持稳之际，铂金迎来强势补涨。以周生生黄金为例，今日黄金饰品价格不变，铂金饰品价 格大涨17元/克，报价531元/克。若您还关 ...