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一季度净亏损13.2亿元,天合光能称“未来行业竞争将发生根本性转变”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 15:46
Core Viewpoint - Trina Solar believes that despite the current pressure on profitability across the photovoltaic (PV) industry chain, all segments have reached a price bottom, and terminal market demand continues to be released [1][5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Trina Solar reported revenue of 80.282 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29.21%, with a net loss of 3.443 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase in loss of 162.30% [1]. - In Q1 2025, Trina Solar, along with major competitors, reported net losses, with Trina Solar's loss at 1.32 billion yuan, the lowest among its peers [1]. Reasons for Loss - The decline in PV module prices and the provision for credit and asset impairments are the two main reasons for Trina Solar's losses [3]. - In Q1 2025, Trina Solar made provisions for credit and asset impairments totaling 359 million yuan, including credit impairment losses of 73 million yuan and asset impairment losses of 285 million yuan [3]. - In 2024, the total provision for credit and asset impairments was 3.106 billion yuan, with credit impairment losses of 508 million yuan and asset impairment losses of 2.598 billion yuan [3]. Strategic Initiatives - To meet overseas localization demands, Trina Solar is strategically investing in overseas light manufacturing, establishing a smart tracking manufacturing plant in Saudi Arabia, and securing multiple GW-level orders to enhance local delivery and service efficiency [3]. - The company has achieved over 5.7 GW in domestic wind-solar-storage project indicators and has shipped 7.3 GW of mounting systems, ranking among the top five in Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East [4]. Industry Competition and Future Outlook - The PV industry is currently divided into three technology camps: the TOPCon camp represented by Trina Solar and Jinko Solar, the BC camp represented by Longi Green Energy, and the heterojunction camp represented by Huasun and Dongfang Risheng [5]. - Trina Solar expects TOPCon technology to maintain its dominant position in the coming years, with potential efficiency improvements through various technological advancements [5]. - The company is also focusing on new perovskite PV technology to enhance the efficiency of perovskite-silicon tandem cells, with theoretical conversion efficiencies exceeding 30% [5]. - The competition in the PV industry is anticipated to shift from a focus on single PV module supply to the delivery of integrated solar-storage system solutions and comprehensive management capabilities [5]. - According to the China Photovoltaic Industry Association (CPIA), the Chinese market is expected to add 215 GW to 255 GW of new installations in 2025, with global new installations projected to reach 531 GW to 583 GW, driven by rapid demand growth in emerging markets [6].
单结硅光伏电池“终极”技术正式进入规模化应用
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-28 08:55
当日,中国电力企业联合会、德国莱茵TÜV集团、鉴衡认证中心、爱旭股份、隆基绿能联合于北京发 布了《背接触(BC)电池技术发展白皮书》(下称《白皮书》)。 这是光伏行业首份BC技术发展白皮书。上述机构认为,这标志着这一"单结硅太阳能电池终极形态"技 术正式进入规模化应用新阶段。 目前国内光伏电池技术层面,TOPCon技术占据主流,BC相对小众,主要是隆基绿能、爱旭股份 (600732.SH)、TCL中环(002129.SZ)等企业在量产推广。BC技术的推崇者普遍认为,BC组件效率高、发 电能力更强,具有更优的功率温度系数、更好的抗衰减性能等,可靠性更高。 BC电池(Back Contact Cell) 是一种通过将电池的正负电极全部置于背面、正面无任何栅线遮挡的光伏电 池技术。 智通财经记者|马悦然 "目前,BC技术的成熟比重约能达到80%的水平,未来还会有一些优化的空间,但是大的堵点、卡点问 题已经没有了,完全可以真正在行业里大规模推广。" 4月27日,光伏龙头隆基绿能(601012.SH)创始人、总裁李振国表示。 国务院国资委原行业协会商会工作局局长张涛在上述会上提出,BC技术深度发展与成熟需要社会协同 共 ...
光伏行业发布首个《背接触(BC)电池技术发展白皮书》
news flash· 2025-04-27 04:02
4月27日,中电联、德国莱茵 TÜV 、鉴衡、爱旭股份、隆基绿能在北京联合发布《BC 技术行业白皮 书》。上述白皮书指出,当前BC技术电池量产效率突破27%,较 TOPCon(隧穿氧化层钝化接触)电池 量产效率领先1.6%,技术成熟度与成本竞争力已直逼传统路线;其理论效率极限 29.1%逼近晶硅理论效 率天花板。 ...
隆基绿能再度升级BC2.0产品 BC产能有望快速放量
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-04-16 11:43
Core Viewpoint - Longi Green Energy is advancing in the BC technology field, launching the upgraded Hi-MO 9 module equipped with BC2.0 technology, aiming to lead the photovoltaic industry towards higher efficiency, reliability, and returns [2][3]. Group 1: Technology Advancements - The Hi-MO 9 module has begun mass production, showcasing significant technological breakthroughs: conversion efficiency increased to 24.8%, bifacial rate over 80%, and power output reaching 670W, which enhances the capacity by 6.4% compared to TOPCon products [3][4]. - The company has accumulated orders of 30GW for its HPBC series modules, with a backlog exceeding 40GW, covering over 30 countries and regions [3][6]. Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Longi Green Energy initiated the "BC revolution" in 2021 and fully transitioned to BC technology in 2023, with plans for comprehensive mass production of BC second-generation products by 2025 [5][8]. - The company is expected to achieve 50GW of BC second-generation capacity by the end of the year, supported by a complete BC industrial chain from upstream equipment to downstream modules [7]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The photovoltaic industry is anticipated to see a significant increase in BC technology adoption, with projections indicating that by 2025, domestic BC shipments could approach 50GW, achieving a market penetration rate of 7% [7][8]. - The global BC module shipment volume is expected to exceed 160GW by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 85% from 2024 to 2027, leading to a market size exceeding 120 billion yuan [7].
实地探访|协鑫集成芜湖基地:TOPCon满产提效中,布局BC主要对标分布式市场
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-04-03 13:53
Core Viewpoint - The company is advancing its solar cell technology with significant efficiency improvements and plans for new product launches, while also adapting to market demands and optimizing production capabilities [1][5][6]. Group 1: Technology and Product Development - As of February 2025, the company's GPC2.0 battery efficiency is expected to exceed 27.5%, with a new GPC3.0 product anticipated to launch in Q2 2024, targeting efficiencies above 27.8% [1][5]. - The company has established production capabilities of 30GW for high-efficiency modules and 16GW for N-type TOPCon batteries across three bases by the end of 2024 [3]. - The company is focusing on BC technology alongside TOPCon to meet diverse market demands, with a growing number of patents filed for GPC products [5][6]. Group 2: Market Position and Financial Outlook - The company has seen a historical high in the revenue contribution from its module business, while the system integration business's share has decreased [3]. - The company anticipates a net profit of approximately 55 million to 80 million yuan for 2024, with a net profit of 10 million to 50 million yuan after excluding non-recurring gains [8]. - The company has adjusted its order strategy to focus on domestic markets, achieving significant success in large-scale bidding projects, leading to a substantial increase in module shipment volume and market share [8]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to raise 4.842 billion yuan through a private placement to fund a 10GW battery project and support working capital [5]. - The company is also upgrading part of its TOPCon production lines to BC battery capacity, with an initial planned capacity of 12GW [5]. - The company aims to balance its market focus between domestic and international markets, projecting a future demand split of 50% each [8].
晨报|左侧布局BC设备
中信证券研究· 2025-03-14 00:15
Group 1: BC Equipment and Manufacturing Industry - BC is currently the most visible expansion direction, with leading manufacturers planning to add 40-65 GW/year of BC capacity from 2024 to 2027, alongside a significant increase from the existing 780 GW TOPCon upgrades [1] - BC technology offers significant equipment flexibility, primarily involving 2-3 laser processes and 1 coating process, with a notable increase in the use of LPCVD equipment [1] - Risks include slower-than-expected technological advancements in BC, reduced willingness to upgrade battery capacity, and potential market competition deterioration [1] Group 2: Banking Sector and Debt Market - Some commercial banks have recently sold bonds from OCI and AC accounts to realize floating profits, which may amplify market impacts in a volatile debt market [2] - The current selling behavior of banks is not expected to trigger a market panic, with short-term adjustments facing less pressure compared to long-term [2] Group 3: Policy and Economic Impact - Hohhot has introduced new childbirth subsidy details, with the maximum subsidy reaching 100,000 yuan per child, indicating a potential nationwide rollout of similar policies [4] - If extrapolated nationwide, the fiscal subsidy scale is estimated to reach 901 billion, 1,363 billion, and 1,825 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, still falling short of international standards [4] Group 4: Defense and Aerospace Industry - The 2025 Government Work Report highlights deep-sea technology for the first time, indicating a focus on deep-sea development and potential investment opportunities in acoustic and titanium materials [6] - Risks include accelerated competition among countries, potential underperformance in enterprise capacity expansion, and fluctuations in raw material costs [6] Group 5: Coal Industry - The coal sector has seen improved expectations, leading to a rise in stock prices, driven by high dividend styles, stable thermal coal prices, and optimized stock structures [8] - The bottom price expectation for coal is becoming clearer, with potential price increases if demand improves and inventory decreases [8] Group 6: Property Services Sector - The historical issues facing private property service companies have dissipated, with strong dividend attractiveness and sustainable cash flow [10] - The upcoming 2024 annual reports are expected to confirm high dividends and a vision for stable long-term development [10] Group 7: Tin Industry - The suspension of mining operations by Alphamin Resources in the Democratic Republic of Congo could lead to a significant reduction in global tin supply, potentially increasing tin prices above 300,000 yuan/ton [12] - The expected supply gap in 2025 may widen due to the suspension and slower-than-expected recovery of Myanmar's tin mines [12] Group 8: New Materials in Military Industry - Defense spending is projected to grow by 7.2% in 2025, indicating a recovery in demand for military materials and potential valuation recovery for upstream companies [13] - The military industry is at a turning point, with significant demand expected to be released in 2025 [13]
机械|左侧布局BC设备,能见度与弹性兼具
中信证券研究· 2025-03-14 00:15
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significant growth potential of Back Contact (BC) battery technology in the photovoltaic industry, highlighting its high technical barriers and economic viability, with major manufacturers planning substantial capacity expansions from 2024 to 2027 [1][2][4]. Capacity Expansion - Major manufacturers are expected to add 40-65 GW/year of BC capacity from 2024 to 2027, with existing TOPCon capacity of 780 GW undergoing upgrades for greater output [1][4]. - The planned capacity for leading domestic BC manufacturers includes Longi Green Energy at 107.5 GW, with incremental additions projected for the years 2024 to 2027 [5]. Economic Viability - The cost of mature production capacity is around 0.69 CNY/W, while BC technology offers a premium of 0.05-0.1 CNY/W, indicating a favorable economic outlook [2][4]. - The estimated market space for BC laser equipment is projected to reach 4.75 billion CNY by 2027, while the market for BC coating equipment is expected to reach 6.5 billion CNY [4]. Technological Advancements - BC technology requires significant upgrades in laser and coating equipment, with laser device value increasing from 4-20 million CNY/GW in TOPCon to 50-60 million CNY/GW in BC [6][7]. - LPCVD coating technology is anticipated to see increased adoption due to its suitability for BC applications, with its penetration rate expected to rise significantly [8]. Investment Opportunities - The article suggests that BC technology will create investment opportunities in laser and coating equipment, as leading manufacturers are likely to upgrade their capacities in a counter-cyclical manner [10].