据环球网财经报道，6月10日，世界银行发布最新《全球经济展望》报告，将2025年全球经济增长预期从1月预测的2.7%下调至2.3%。这一增速仅优于2009 年金融危机和2020年疫情衰退时期，预示2020年代可能成为自上世纪60年代以来经济表现最差的十年。 无独有偶，华尔街顶级大佬、摩根大通首席执行官杰米·戴蒙在当地时间11日警告称，随着特朗普颁布的关税措施持续产生影响，美国的经济数据可能很快 就会变得令人担忧。戴蒙称，"美国真实的数据会很快急剧恶化。" 世行： 华尔街大佬： 美国经济面临滞胀风险，市场现在过于乐观 与世界银行的预测相呼应，摩根大通首席执行官杰米·戴蒙在6月11日接受采访时警告，美国经济可能很快"恶化"。他特别提到，特朗普政府的高关税和移民 驱逐政策可能推高通胀，同时抑制经济增长，增加"滞胀"风险（即经济停滞与高通胀并存）。戴蒙表示，尽管5月消费者价格指数显示通胀有所降温，但此 时关税的全面影响尚未显现，"企业投资和消费者信心可能在未来几个月受到重创。" ▲当地时间5月20日，德国埃姆登港，大众汽车集团的新车。 根据世界银行对关税战影响的测算，如果2026年和2027年的全球经济增长态势也符合 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View - The crude oil futures are expected to run strongly. The short - term and medium - term trends are both oscillatory, while the intraday trend is oscillatory and bullish. It is anticipated that the domestic crude oil futures on Thursday will maintain an oscillatory and bullish trend [1][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalog 3.1 Variety Morning Meeting Minutes - For the crude oil 2507 contract, the short - term, medium - term trends are oscillatory, and the intraday trend is oscillatory and bullish. The reference view is a bullish run, with the core logic being the intensification of geopolitical risks [1]. 3.2 Price Quotes and Driving Logic of Main Varieties - Energy and Chemicals Sector of Commodity Futures - The intraday view of crude oil (SC) is oscillatory and bullish, and the medium - term view is oscillatory. The reference view is a bullish run. The core logic includes positive signals from the China - US leaders' phone call, the potential cooling of the China - US tariff war, the escalation of the Russia - Ukraine conflict, concerns about the breakdown of the US - Iran nuclear negotiation and the potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran, as well as the OPEC+ countries' lower - than - expected production increase in April - May. International crude oil futures prices rose by over 5% on Wednesday night, and the domestic crude oil futures 2507 contract closed up 3.37% to 497.4 yuan per barrel [5].

Group 1 - The price of London gold is experiencing a slight increase, currently reported at $3,370.37 per ounce, with a gain of 0.46% [1][3] - Today's gold price opened at $3,356.79 per ounce, reaching a high of $3,376.49 and a low of $3,351.38 [1][3] Group 2 - The market faces challenges due to rising U.S. government debt, with a significant amount of new debt expected to enter the market in the coming months [2] - A Reuters survey indicates that just over half of strategists expect a new round of selling pressure on long-term bonds by the end of June, primarily due to deteriorating U.S. fiscal conditions [2] - The tax and spending plan proposed by President Trump is projected to increase U.S. debt by trillions of dollars before 2034, exacerbating market concerns [2] - Nearly 90% of surveyed forex strategists anticipate a significant decrease in demand for U.S. dollar assets this year, with European markets likely to benefit the most [2]

Group 1 - The G7 summit will take place in Alberta, Canada, from June 15 to 17, marking Prime Minister Carney's first multilateral diplomatic event since taking office [1] - Carney's election victory was significantly influenced by the backlash against Trump's aggressive trade policies, which shifted public focus from the Liberal Party's previous governance issues to a strong response against the U.S. [1] - Alberta province plays a crucial role in U.S.-Canada relations, being a major source of oil and gas, contributing to over 80% of Canada's oil production in 2023, with approximately 4 million barrels of oil exported daily to the U.S. [3] Group 2 - Carney's administration aims to strengthen economic ties with European allies, breaking the norm by visiting Paris and London instead of Washington for his first official trip [2] - The G7 summit will include leaders from South Africa, Australia, South Korea, and India, all of whom have complex relationships with the Trump administration, particularly regarding trade policies [5][6] - Japan has been engaged in trade negotiations with the U.S. since early this year, but significant progress has not been made, highlighting the challenges faced by allied nations in dealing with U.S. trade policies [4] Group 3 - The relationship between Alberta and the federal Liberal government is strained, with ongoing conflicts over energy policies and federal funding [3] - Australia's Prime Minister Albanese has taken a strong stance against U.S. tariff increases, emphasizing the need to protect national interests despite being a U.S. ally [6] - South Korea's new President Lee Jae-myung faces challenges in balancing U.S. relations while protecting domestic interests amid slow trade negotiations [7] Group 4 - India's Prime Minister Modi has been invited to the G7 summit, with the backdrop of strained relations between Canada and India due to recent diplomatic incidents [8] - Modi's government aims to navigate complex international relations, balancing ties with the U.S. while addressing regional conflicts and trade issues [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term view of the stock index is range - bound, the medium - term view is upward, and the intraday view is slightly bullish. Although there are some factors restricting the upward movement of the stock index, the bottom - support from policies is strong, and the downward risk in the short term is low[1][4] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IH2506, the short - term trend is oscillatory, the medium - term trend is upward, the intraday trend is slightly bullish, with an overall view of range - bound. The core logic is that the positive policy expectations provide strong support[1] 3.2 Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - The intraday view of IF, IH, IC, and IM is slightly bullish, the medium - term view is upward, and the reference view is range - bound. Yesterday, each stock index rebounded slightly. The total stock market turnover was 1286.6 billion yuan, a reduction of 164.6 billion yuan compared to the previous day. The result of Sino - US economic and trade consultations is highly uncertain, and the market sentiment is mainly one of waiting and watching. Overseas uncertainties and weak domestic demand suppress the upward momentum of the stock index. However, the weakening of macro - economic indicators increases the expectation of policy support, and the bottom - support of the market is sufficient. The marginal effect of the negative impact of the tariff war is weak, and the short - term downward risk of the market is low[4]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong IPO market has shown signs of recovery since 2025, with a notable increase in investor participation, although the performance of newly listed stocks has been mixed, as evidenced by the case of New Qi An [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 10, 2025, 32 companies have listed on the Hong Kong main board, with 9 of them (28.13%) experiencing a drop in share price on their first trading day, compared to 36.8% for the entire year of 2024 [1]. - New Qi An's stock price surged by 72.49% in the dark market before its listing, but it opened at a 60.05% premium and closed the first day with a gain of only 21.43% [1][3]. - On the second trading day, New Qi An's stock price fell to 17.76 HKD, dropping below its issue price of 18.9 HKD, marking a decline of approximately 6% [3]. Group 2: IPO Structure and Allocation - New Qi An's IPO involved issuing 10,585,400 shares, with 10% allocated for public sale and 90% for international placement. However, the public offering was oversubscribed by 149.37 times, while the international placement was only 0.93 times [5][6]. - The actual allocation for public sale was only 15.7%, significantly lower than the expected 50% due to a "routine reallocation" strategy, indicating a preference to keep shares concentrated among a few investors [5][6]. - The top three underwriters hold 60.52% of the actual tradable shares, suggesting a high concentration of ownership that could influence stock price movements [7][8]. Group 3: Company Overview and Financial Performance - New Qi An is a manufacturer of glycine and sucralose, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from international markets, accounting for nearly 80% of sales in 2024 [10][12]. - The company has experienced revenue fluctuations, with reported revenues of 761.5 million RMB in 2022, 447 million RMB in 2023, and 569 million RMB in 2024, largely due to declining product prices [13]. - Recent trends indicate a recovery in product prices, particularly for sucralose, which has seen a price increase of 150% from July 2024 to March 2025, benefiting New Qi An's financial outlook [14].

Group 1 - The trade war initiated by the Trump administration has disrupted international trade order and negatively impacted U.S. retailers, leading to inventory shortages [1] - Zhejiang Aodu Daily Necessities Co., Ltd. is a major OEM for several well-known thermal cup brands, with approximately 70% of thermal cups used in the U.S. sourced from Yongkang, Zhejiang [1] Group 2 - Following the announcement of mutual tariff reductions between China and the U.S. on May 12, there has been a surge in order requests from American clients, with previously paused orders being reinstated [2] - U.S. supermarkets have sold out their inventories due to the trade war, prompting American consumers to stock up on products in anticipation of potential shortages [2] - Shipping goods to the U.S. typically takes over two weeks, and some U.S. clients have requested air freight due to urgency, but high costs and limited capacity have made this impractical [2] - There is an expectation of a significant increase in orders during the 90-day tariff window, with certainty that order volumes will surge [2]

Group 1: Gold Market - The World Bank's "Global Economic Outlook" indicates that U.S. tariffs and policy uncertainties will significantly pressure global economies, lowering global growth from 2.7% to 2.3% for the year, compared to 2.8% last year. U.S. growth is revised down from 2.3% to 1.4% [2] - The trade war has caused global trade to stagnate in the second half of the year, impacting supply chains, but a recession is not expected. The effects of Trump's tariff policies continue, leading to increased uncertainty and market volatility [2] - Technically, gold has been fluctuating, with a focus on resistance at $3342. A drop below $3300 could accelerate declines [2] Group 2: Oil Market - Iran's Security Council warns that any Israeli attacks on its nuclear facilities will be met with retaliation, strengthening Iran's resolve to develop nuclear weapons. U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations show progress but remain contentious, with the U.S. demanding a halt to uranium enrichment [4] - OPEC+ announced an increase in production by 411,000 barrels per day, continuing a trend for four months. However, five members are not meeting their production targets, with actual increases at 180,000 barrels per day against a planned 310,000 [4] - Geopolitical tensions are rising, contributing to higher oil prices [4] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Oil prices extended gains, reaching a high of $66.25, with a quick pullback observed. Support is noted at $64.40, and a drop below this level could lead to further declines towards $63.60 [6] - Copper prices are experiencing a tight range after volatile trading, with support at $4.77 and resistance at $4.90. A break below support could accelerate declines, while a breakout above resistance could lead to further bullish momentum [8] Group 4: Nikkei 225 - The Nikkei 225 index has broken through resistance at 37800 and is in a bullish trend, recently touching 38400 before a quick pullback. The upward trend is expected to continue, with resistance at 38700 [9]

直到现在，特朗普还没有意识到中国正在超越美国。 看着特朗普第二任期统治下的美国，美国媒体已经开始着急，他们发出提醒，希望特朗普政府能够重视 起来，不要再继续错误行为了。 特朗普二次"入宫"的政策，真的错了吗？ 从特朗普上台开始，他的核心只有一个：利益。他喊着"MAGA（让美国再次伟大）"的口号，做的全是 让自己赚得盆满钵满的事情。 上任前两个月，特朗普践行自己在竞选时期的承诺：改善国内非法移民的情况、签署各种政令、与马斯 克一起，对各部门下手，做的是"节流"的事情、推动俄乌停火等等。 本以为特朗普此任期真的会就"MAGA"展开行动，然而，上任的第三个月，特朗普就暴露了自己的目 的。 就连特朗普所在的共和党，内部也出现了不赞同的声音。更别说这项政策给美国带来了严重的危机，许 多铁杆盟友因此开始考虑这段关系。 简而言之，关税能够给美国带来多少收入暂且不论，特朗普政府已经开始在短短几个月时间内遭受内外 夹击了。 对于特朗普政府来说，唯一超出其预料的就是中国。中国从推出"对等关税"开始就持强烈反对态度，但 特朗普也认为，中国虽然反对，但迟早会接受自己的政策。 他发动了关税战，称关税会让美国好起来，还喊话希望美国民众" ...

Group 1 - The article discusses a new wave of technological revolution and industrial transformation that is reshaping the global innovation landscape and economic structure [1] - Chinese companies are transitioning from being followers to leaders in the face of globalization challenges, significantly impacting both the Chinese and global economies [1] - The "Future Methodology" video series aims to provide insights into the rise of strategic emerging industries, the transformation of traditional industries, and to serve as a valuable reference for China's industrial development [1] Group 2 - The first episode of the "Future Methodology" will focus on foreign trade enterprises affected by the tariff war, specifically in Yongkang, Zhejiang, known for its precision manufacturing and large hardware industry chain [2] - Yongkang is recognized as the largest production and export base for thermal cups and kettles in China and globally, with many international brands relying on its manufacturing capabilities [2] - The article highlights the challenges faced by Yongkang's export-oriented enterprises due to the tariff war and their strategies for survival and competitiveness in an uncertain future [2]