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俄罗斯出口石油赚上万亿,为啥经济还那么差?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-21 04:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite Russia's rich natural resources, it has struggled to develop a strong economy due to high extraction costs, technological limitations, and the impact of oligarchic exploitation [3][5] - Post-Soviet Russia has maintained its status as a world power but faces significant challenges due to political instability, social conflicts, and economic sanctions from Western countries [5][7] - Russia's reliance on energy exports has not translated into economic strength comparable to other resource-rich nations like Saudi Arabia, primarily due to the high costs associated with resource extraction and transportation [3][5] Group 2 - The need for Russia to develop its industrial strength and open international markets is crucial for economic revitalization, leveraging its military-industrial complex and market systems [7] - Recent economic cooperation with Europe, driven by a desire to reduce dependence on the U.S., has led to some recovery in the Russian economy, although long-term growth requires broader industrial development [5][7] - Historical military trade experience from the Soviet era provides Russia with a potential revenue stream, which could support its ambitions to become a powerful empire again if it seizes global economic opportunities [7]
盛路通信(002446.SZ):拥有完备的军工资质认证,涵盖科研生产、保密管理及质量保障等关键环节
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-18 08:16
格隆汇12月18日丨盛路通信(002446.SZ)在互动平台表示,公司拥有完备的军工资质认证,涵盖科研生 产、保密管理及质量保障等关键环节。 ...
方正燕翔:2026增长稳、科技强、内需进,价格回升引盈利修复
(原标题:方正燕翔:2026增长稳、科技强、内需进,价格回升引盈利修复) 21世纪经济报道 记者 崔文静 广州报道 "若2026年'反内卷'政策成功推动再通胀,参照2016—2017年供给侧结构性改革的成功逻辑,企业盈利 有望快速修复,从而为市场注入强劲动力。"在南方财经论坛2025年证券业年会上,方正证券首席经济 学家燕翔如是表示。 燕翔首先对2026年经济走势提出"三维度"分析框架:一是"增长稳",GDP增速将保持在稳定区间;二 是"科技强","三新"经济占比持续提升,汽车、AI等产业在全球市场的竞争力进一步凸显;三是"内需 进",消费与投资将实现边际改善,内需将成为核心驱动力,尤其在2025年低位基础上实现显著修复。 谈及A股市场前景,燕翔从微观基础出发,指出A股盈利与PPI高度正相关这一关键规律。 数据显示,2025年10月PPI同比仍为-2.1%,上市公司盈利整体处于筑底阶段。燕翔认为,若2026年"反 内卷"政策推动商品价格回升,参照2016—2017年供给侧结构性改革经验(当时全A非金融上市公司盈 利增速分别达31%和34%),企业盈利将明显改善,为市场提供强劲支撑。 针对美股AI泡沫问题,燕翔 ...
韩第62届贸易日:有望达成史上最大出口额
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-12-11 17:20
(原标题:韩第62届贸易日:有望达成史上最大出口额) 据韩联社12月4日报道,产业通商部与贸协当日举行了第62届"贸易日"纪念仪式,1000余名贸易有 功人士及政府、相关机构人士出席,今年1月至11月,韩国累计出口额达6402亿美元,创2022年以来近 三年新高。韩国出口有望首次突破7000亿美元大关。出口连续6个月实现正增长,呈现"先抑后扬"的良 好态势。今年,韩国出口由半导体、汽车、船舶、生物等主力制造业凭借强大竞争力领跑。随着韩流在 全球扩散,K-食品、K-美妆等消费品以及军工产品也取得亮眼成绩,为出口增长助力。出口市场结构 也逐步拓展实现多元化。此外,今年第三季度,出口中小企业数量达8.9万家,创历史新高;中小企业 出口额达871亿美元,也创下历史最高纪录,出口基础不断扩大。纪念仪式上,598名个人和1689家企业 因对韩国出口作出贡献而受到表彰。 ...
迈信林:公司的战略重心是聚焦军工和算力两大核心板块
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-09 12:12
证券日报网12月9日讯迈信林在12月8日回答调研者提问时表示,应收账款7.17亿元并非主要来自军工板 块,主要来源是算力业务的板块,军工板块的应收每年会有一定的涨幅,但符合预期。目前公司的战略 重心是聚焦军工和算力两大核心板块,母公司不会大规模拓展民品客户,主要原因是,部分小型民品客 户存在付款周期不确定、账款拖欠风险较高的情况,未来若规划拓展民品业务,会优先选择付款条件规 范、信用资质优良的优质客户。虽然公司暂未大规模拓展民品业务,但目前仍有部分稳定合作的优质民 品客户,主要包括半导体及西门子等知名企业。这些民品客户均具备良好的信用资质和规范的付款流 程,合作以来未出现账款拖欠情况,与公司的合作模式也相对成熟。 ...
高仓位!私募“迎战”年末行情
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-12-07 12:19
【导读】私募高仓位迎年末行情,策略偏向均衡与"高低切" A股已进入今年最后一个月的收官交易期,近期A股市场的震荡调整并未引发私募担忧,不少私募仍保 持高仓位水平。私募排排网数据显示,截至2025年11月21日,股票私募仓位达82.97%,较前一周上升 1.84个百分点,再次刷新年内新高,同时创下近185周新高。 从操作策略看,均衡布局与"高低切"成为私募调仓的关键词。展望2026年,受访私募普遍将企业盈利的 边际改善视为市场核心驱动力,认为A股"慢牛"基础仍在,市场风格有望转向价值与成长更为均衡的格 局。 私募保持高仓位运行 私募排排网最新数据显示,截至2025年11月21日,股票私募仓位达82.97%,较前一周上升1.84个百分 点,不仅刷新年内高点,更是创下近185周的新高。 仓位分布进一步显现了私募的进攻姿态。满仓私募占比已攀升至68.99%;而中等仓位、低仓及空仓私 募比例均有明显下降,分别为18.56%、8.56%和3.89%。这一结构变化显示,更多股票私募机构正倾向 于继续加仓,进一步强化了对后市看好的共识。 相聚资本的投资组合构建体现了"攻守兼备"的思路。其当前持仓大致分为两类:一类是处于周期与 ...
12月A股市场展望
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 04:52
Market Overview - The A-share market has shown a significant downward trend in November, contrasting sharply with the optimistic expectations at the beginning of the month, with the Shanghai Composite Index declining by 1.67% and the ChiNext Index falling by 4.23% [1][2] - Defensive sectors such as banking and textiles performed relatively well, while growth sectors like technology and automotive faced substantial declines, with the computer industry down by 5.26% [1][2] Key Factors Influencing Market Performance - A notable cooling in global artificial intelligence investment themes has directly impacted the performance of growth sectors, initiated by a significant pullback in U.S. tech stocks, with the Nasdaq index experiencing a maximum drop of 7.37% in November [2][3] - Domestic economic recovery momentum remains insufficient, as indicated by a drop in the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) to 49.0, and a 5.5% year-on-year decline in profits for industrial enterprises [3][4] - The tightening of global liquidity conditions has also exerted pressure on risk assets, with U.S. non-farm payrolls increasing by 119,000 in September, leading to a shift in market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies [3][4] Market Behavior and Trends - As the year-end approaches, institutional investors are adopting strategies to lock in profits and preserve performance, leading to a shift from high-valuation sectors to low-valuation defensive stocks, resulting in significant market structure differentiation [4][5] - The overall market turnover has decreased from around 2 trillion to approximately 1.7 trillion, indicating reduced liquidity and increased volatility in individual stocks [4][5] Investment Strategy and Outlook - A "defensive + growth" allocation strategy is recommended, balancing stable cash flow from defensive sectors like banking and utilities with increased exposure to high-growth areas such as energy storage and military industries [6][7] - The energy storage sector is expected to grow over 40% due to rising demand and policy support, while the military sector benefits from ongoing national defense modernization efforts [6][7]
晚间重大,国常会出利好,4天缩量冲高回落,今天警惕一个关键信号
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-29 06:01
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a "roller coaster" effect on November 27, 2025, with a slight increase in the Shanghai Composite Index but a decline in the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices, amidst decreasing trading volume over four consecutive days [1][3]. Market Trends - The market has shown a "shrinking rebound" trend for four days, with trading volume decreasing to 1.71 trillion yuan, raising concerns among investors about potential market stagnation or upcoming volatility [3][5]. - The market sentiment has cooled significantly, with the success rate of consecutive rising stocks dropping below 20%, indicating a cautious approach from active funds [3][5]. Technical Analysis - The shrinking trading volume reflects a decrease in capital participation and a strong sense of caution among investors, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing significant resistance at the 60-day moving average [5][7]. - Historical data suggests that the area above 3400 points on the Shanghai Composite Index has accumulated a considerable number of trapped positions, creating a strong resistance zone that requires substantial volume to break through [5][8]. Sector Performance - There is a noticeable shift in market focus from high-growth sectors to low-value stocks, with defensive sectors like banking, insurance, and liquor gaining traction as investors seek safety [8][10]. - The technology growth sectors, particularly semiconductors and AI, have faced significant pullbacks after substantial gains earlier in the year, leading to profit-taking behavior among investors [8][10]. Policy Impact - Recent government policies have positively influenced the pharmaceutical and medical device sectors, with expectations of continued active rebounds in certain stocks [10]. - Warnings from the Ministry of National Defense regarding Japan's stance on the Taiwan Strait have positively impacted the military industry and local stocks in Fujian [10]. Capital Flow - There is a noticeable slowdown in incremental capital, with northbound capital showing a cautious attitude and trading volumes declining [12]. - The overall market sentiment is cautious due to external uncertainties, with investors advised to maintain a 50% position and consider defensive sectors to hedge against risks [12].
年末重新增配A股迎来契机?投资主线有哪些?十大券商策略来了
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-11-23 13:21
Core Viewpoints - Current risk release provides an opportunity for reallocating A-shares and Hong Kong stocks by year-end and planning for 2026 [2] - The AI sector is experiencing a "darkest hour," but long-term confidence remains unwavering [4] - The adjustment phase is merely a "doubtful bull market level" [11] Industry Insights - Focus on resource and traditional manufacturing opportunities, particularly in chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and new energy [3] - The AI industry is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with significant valuation growth potential for A-share companies [8] - The market is likely to experience a style switch, with increasing attention on low-valued sectors [6] Investment Recommendations - Emphasize sectors benefiting from physical asset consumption, such as upstream resources (copper, aluminum, lithium, oil, coal) and midstream industries [5] - Maintain a balanced allocation between growth sectors and undervalued value industries, particularly in the consumer sector as year-end approaches [10] - Focus on AI applications and sectors closely related to the "14th Five-Year Plan," such as hydrogen energy, nuclear energy, and quantum technology [14]
中超控股(002471.SZ):公司现有的电线电缆工艺装备、技术可满足军工产品的生产要求
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-18 15:59
Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhongchao Holdings (002471.SZ), has confirmed that its existing wire and cable manufacturing equipment and technology meet the production requirements for military products [1] Group 1 - The company is actively engaging with investors through an interactive platform [1] - The company's technology is positioned to support military product production, indicating potential growth opportunities in the defense sector [1]