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(经济观察)“十五五”规划建议清晰勾勒“确定的中国”
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-28 20:39
中新社北京10月28日电题:"十五五"规划建议清晰勾勒"确定的中国" 《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》(简称《建议》)28日对外公布。这 份约2万字的《建议》,清晰勾勒出一个"确定的中国"。 ——经济增长的确定性。 "十四五"时期,中国经济总量连跨多个台阶,预计2025年底达到140万亿元人民币左右。外界高度关注 这种势头能否保持。 与"十四五"规划一脉相承,《建议》继续把推动高质量发展确定为"十五五"时期经济社会发展的主题, 并要求"坚持以经济建设为中心""经济增长保持在合理区间"。 坚持把发展经济的着力点放在实体经济上,推动量子科技、生物制造等成为新的经济增长点,促进形成 更多由内需主导、消费拉动、内生增长的经济发展模式......经济增长需要各领域同向发力。从产业发展 到科技创新,从国内市场到经济体制,《建议》着眼不同维度作出的上述细致部署,将为中国经济持续 增长护航。 ——发展提质的确定性。 中国反复强调,要统筹经济质的有效提升和量的合理增长。衡量质量的标尺之一,是增长数字能否让民 众"有感"。 《建议》提出的"十五五"时期经济社会发展主要目标中,既有"科技自立自强水平大幅 ...
权威解读!“十五五”规划建议7大要点,一文梳理
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the "15th Five-Year Plan" proposed by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, emphasizing high-quality economic development, technological self-reliance, and the establishment of a robust domestic market as key objectives for the next five years [1]. Economic Development - The plan prioritizes "significant achievements in high-quality development" while de-emphasizing specific economic growth targets, allowing for greater flexibility in macroeconomic policy [2]. - It aims to increase the resident consumption rate and enhance the level of technological self-reliance through policy coordination and institutional optimization [3]. Capital Market Functionality - The plan calls for improving the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market, focusing on balancing investment and financing functions to better serve the real economy [4]. - It emphasizes the need for a modern capital market system that aligns with high-quality development and supports innovation and green development [5]. Financial Strength - The plan outlines the goal of accelerating the construction of a financial powerhouse, enhancing the central bank's system, and optimizing monetary policy transmission mechanisms [6]. - It stresses the importance of a comprehensive macro-prudential management system to prevent systemic risks [7]. Industrial Foundation - The plan places a strong emphasis on building a modern industrial system and consolidating the foundation of the real economy, with a focus on maintaining a reasonable proportion of manufacturing [9]. - It outlines strategies for upgrading key industries and fostering emerging industries through intelligent, green, and integrated development [10]. Technological Self-Reliance - The plan advocates for accelerating high-level technological self-reliance to support new quality productivity, emphasizing the integration of technological and industrial innovation [12]. - It highlights the importance of focusing on key areas such as artificial intelligence and quantum information to drive forward-looking technological advancements [15]. Domestic Market Development - The plan identifies a strong domestic market as a strategic foundation for modernization, promoting the interaction between consumption and investment [16]. - It includes measures to enhance consumption and investment, such as implementing special actions to boost consumption and establishing management methods for new consumption scenarios [17]. Fiscal Sustainability - The plan emphasizes the role of proactive fiscal policy in enhancing fiscal sustainability, advocating for improved fiscal management and budgetary coordination [18]. - It suggests establishing a long-term mechanism for government debt management that aligns with high-quality development [19][20].
“十五五”规划建议学习体会
Group 1: Economic Policy and Strategy - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes upgrading traditional industries such as mining, metallurgy, and textiles to enhance global competitiveness[2] - The plan prioritizes "demand-side" policies to address insufficient effective demand and obstacles in domestic circulation[2] - A strong domestic market is identified as a strategic foundation for modernization, with a focus on boosting consumption through employment and income initiatives[2] Group 2: Public Investment and Social Welfare - Public service spending is expected to increase, with social security and employment support accounting for 16.8% of public fiscal expenditure in the first three quarters of 2025[3] - The plan advocates for a higher proportion of government investment in people's livelihoods, aligning with demographic changes and resource development[3] - The government aims to enhance the effectiveness of investments by coordinating various types of government funding to stimulate private investment[3] Group 3: Fiscal Policy and Economic Stability - The plan proposes a more proactive macroeconomic policy and emphasizes the role of active fiscal policy to stabilize growth, employment, and expectations[5] - There is an expectation for the central government to strengthen its financial authority and increase local fiscal autonomy, optimizing the distribution of fiscal powers[5] - Risks such as overseas recession and geopolitical uncertainties are highlighted as potential challenges to economic stability[5]
“十五五”怎么干?专家热议中国经济
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-10-28 14:27
Group 1 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period stabilized the economy under complex conditions, while the "15th Five-Year Plan" aims to leverage existing advantages for high-quality development [2][3] - The strategic task of the "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes building a modern industrial system and strengthening the foundation of the real economy, responding to profound changes in the international environment [2] - There is a focus on seizing opportunities in new technological revolutions and industrial transformations, particularly in fields like information technology, artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and biomedicine [2] Group 2 - The core of great power strategic competition lies in the contest of comprehensive strength, with an emphasis on maintaining strategic determination and enhancing economic and technological capabilities [3] - The establishment of a unified national market is crucial for promoting domestic circulation and transforming the domestic market from large to strong [3] - Strategies to expand domestic demand include increasing public service spending, raising disposable income proportions, and enhancing consumer spending within total demand [3] Group 3 - Enterprises are encouraged to align their development directions with the "15th Five-Year Plan" and identify key tasks for future growth [4] - Companies should explore international markets and leverage policy benefits such as financial subsidies, tax incentives, and project funding [4] - Cultural enterprises are presented with opportunities to enhance cultural exchange and storytelling, contributing to the construction of a culturally strong nation [4]
晶采观察丨四中全会将这项任务摆在首位 传递哪些信号?
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-10-28 14:27
10月20日至23日,中国共产党第二十届中央委员会第四次全体会议在京召开。全会审议通过《中共中央 关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》(以下简称《建议》),圆满完成各项议程。 相信很多人都关注到了这一点,党的二十届四中全会部署12项战略任务,明确把"建设现代化产业体 系,巩固壮大实体经济根基"摆在第一条。这足以说明实体经济的分量,以及对我国"立身之本"的重 视。 市场方面,大国经济都是内需为主导,市场是当今世界最稀缺的资源。因此,构建强大国内市场不仅是 发展的必然选择,更是推进中国式现代化的关键战略依托,这也体现了我们发展的战略定力。在具体路 径上,《建议》提出坚持扩大内需这个战略基点。一是拓展增量,二是提升效益,三是畅通循环。 在提升效益方面,国家发展改革委方面表示,我国固定资产投资年度规模已达到50万亿元,但惠民生、 补短板、育动能等任务还很重,必须把"钱"特别是政府资金更好地用在发展紧要处,花在群众生活上。 对此,《建议》提出优化政府投资结构,提高民生类政府投资比重,统筹用好各类政府投资,加强政府 投资全过程管理等举措,将更好地发挥政府投资的撬动作用,不断增进投资的综合效益。 推动经济行稳 ...
聚焦“十五五”规划建议丨巩固壮大实体经济根基
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-10-28 14:05
现代化产业体系以先进制造业为骨干,这也意味着发展新质生产力要摆在更为突出的位置。"着力打造 新兴支柱产业""实施产业创新工程""前瞻布局未来产业"……《建议》作出系统部署,既着眼于布局新 的经济增长点,也重在加强不同产业、上下游之间协同融合发展,加快科技创新与产业创新深度融合, 进一步提升产业体系整体效能,为高质量发展注入更充沛的动能。 "建设现代化产业体系,巩固壮大实体经济根基",不是等来的,而是干出来的,关键要做好贯彻落实。 各地各部门在谋划"十五五"时期相关规划时,要把党中央的部署落实落细,强化政策引导、资源调配、 要素保障,形成支持实体经济的强大合力。同时,还要拿出有力措施,营造崇尚实业、鼓励创新的社会 氛围和市场环境,切实提升深耕实业的获得感。 我们是靠实体经济起家的,也要靠实体经济走向未来。务实推进各项举措,坚持不懈奋斗创新,让实体 经济的"参天大树"更加枝繁叶茂,中国经济必将劈波致远。 《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》28日公布。其中,"建设现代化产 业体系,巩固壮大实体经济根基"被摆在战略任务的第一条,彰显实体经济对我国发展至关重要的作 用,要在接续推进中国式现代化 ...
新华时评·聚焦“十五五”规划建议|巩固壮大实体经济根基
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-28 13:53
"建设现代化产业体系,巩固壮大实体经济根基"是一个系统工程。《建议》提出"坚持智能化、绿色 化、融合化方向""推动重点产业提质升级"等一系列举措,不仅旨在保持制造业一定规模,更是要通过 全方位的升级来提升产业竞争力、培育良好产业创新生态、巩固壮大优势,为国民经济持续健康发展提 供坚实支撑。 现代化产业体系以先进制造业为骨干,这也意味着发展新质生产力要摆在更为突出的位置。"着力打造 新兴支柱产业""实施产业创新工程""前瞻布局未来产业"……《建议》作出系统部署,既着眼于布局新 的经济增长点,也重在加强不同产业、上下游之间协同融合发展,加快科技创新与产业创新深度融合, 进一步提升产业体系整体效能,为高质量发展注入更充沛的动能。 "建设现代化产业体系,巩固壮大实体经济根基",不是等来的,而是干出来的,关键要做好贯彻落实。 各地各部门在谋划"十五五"时期相关规划时,要把党中央的部署落实落细,强化政策引导、资源调配、 要素保障,形成支持实体经济的强大合力。同时,还要拿出有力措施,营造崇尚实业、鼓励创新的社会 氛围和市场环境,切实提升深耕实业的获得感。 我们是靠实体经济起家的,也要靠实体经济走向未来。务实推进各项举措,坚 ...
专访国家信息中心主任徐强:引导优质要素流向技术创新及产业化
Core Viewpoint - The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China has set significant goals for the 15th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing high-quality development and substantial improvements in technological self-reliance and independence [1][2]. Group 1: Technological Self-Reliance - The term "substantial improvement" indicates a significant enhancement in both independent innovation capabilities and the scale of independent innovation industries [2][3]. - The focus will be on guiding quality resources towards technological innovation and industrialization, promoting the widespread application of new technologies in manufacturing [2][4]. - The integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation is deepening, with a focus on creating a favorable innovation ecosystem and enhancing the role of enterprises in innovation [4][6]. Group 2: Modern Industrial System - The strategy prioritizes "building a modern industrial system and consolidating the foundation of the real economy," highlighting the importance of intelligent, green, and integrated development [5][6]. - The real economy, particularly manufacturing, is crucial for optimizing resource allocation and ensuring stable economic growth [6][8]. - The emphasis on maintaining a reasonable proportion of manufacturing is essential for achieving the goals of the 15th Five-Year Plan and supporting China's modernization [8][9]. Group 3: Future Industries - The proposal includes forward-looking layouts for future industries such as quantum technology, biomanufacturing, and hydrogen energy, which are expected to become new economic growth points [10][11]. - The development of future industries relies on breakthroughs in emerging technologies, supported by a comprehensive industrial system and rich application scenarios [10][11]. - The economic logic suggests that as the economy matures, new demands will arise, leading to the creation of new industries and business models through technological advancements [11].
四中全会将这项任务摆在首位 传递哪些信号?
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-10-28 13:12
Core Viewpoint - The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasized the importance of building a modern industrial system and strengthening the foundation of the real economy as a priority for national development [1][2]. Group 1: Industrial Development - The proposal aims to optimize and upgrade traditional industries, focusing on enhancing the global competitiveness of sectors such as chemicals, machinery, and shipbuilding, which account for approximately 80% of the manufacturing value added in China [2]. - An estimated market space of around 10 trillion yuan will be created over the next five years through these initiatives [2]. - The development of emerging pillar industries, including new energy, new materials, aerospace, and low-altitude economy, is expected to generate several trillion-level market opportunities [2]. Group 2: Economic Strategy - The strategy emphasizes the importance of domestic demand as the main driver of the economy, highlighting the need to build a strong domestic market as a key strategic support for modernization [2]. - The proposal outlines three specific pathways to expand domestic demand: increasing volume, enhancing efficiency, and ensuring smooth circulation [2]. Group 3: Investment and Efficiency - The annual scale of fixed asset investment in China has reached 50 trillion yuan, with a focus on improving the effectiveness of government investments in areas that benefit people's livelihoods and address critical gaps [3]. - The proposal suggests optimizing the structure of government investment to increase the proportion allocated to public welfare, thereby enhancing the overall effectiveness of investments [3]. - The synergy between upgrading traditional industries and the growth of emerging industries is crucial for achieving stable and dynamic economic growth [3].
“十五五”,这项任务排首位
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-10-28 12:34
"十五五",中国经济怎么干? 党的二十届四中全会对"十五五"时期经济社会发展部署了12项战略任务,"建设现代化产业体系,巩固壮大实体经济根基"摆在第一位。 置于首位,实体经济的重要性不言而喻,迈向"十五五",发展好实体经济仍是重中之重。 在宁波舟山港金塘港区大浦口集装箱码头,船舶进行集装箱装卸作业。新华社发(邹训永摄) 置于中国发展的坐标系中,实体经济同样当得起这个首位。 它是经济运行的"压舱石"。制造业、建筑业、农业和服务业等领域的劳动力需求量大,有数据显示,在我国,其吸纳就业超过4亿人,占全国就业人口的 53%,是维护社会稳定和人民生活水平提高的有力保障。 它是国际竞争的"主战场"。制造业作为国民经济的重要支柱,直接关系国家战略安全。"十四五"以来,我国制造业门类齐全优势更加明显,制造大国家底 更加厚实,规模连续15年全球第一,成为抵御外部不确定性的底气所在。 当前,国际形势复杂严峻,实体经济之重更为凸显。 位于重庆市两江新区的赛力斯汽车超级工厂拍摄的自动化生产作业现场。 新华社记者 王全超 摄 实体经济有多重要? "实体经济是大国的根基,经济不能脱实向虚"。 "不管经济发展到什么时候,实体经济都是我国经 ...